#365: How To Insure Autonomous Vehicles w/Steve Miller of Hub International
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Autonocast Jun 4, 2026
#365: How To Insure Autonomous Vehicles w/Steve Miller of Hub International

#365: How To Insure Autonomous Vehicles w/Steve Miller of Hub International

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#365: How To Insure Autonomous Vehicles w/Steve Miller of Hub International
Term

AVs

“AVs” means autonomous vehicles—cars or other vehicles that can drive themselves using sensors and software. Here, the discussion is about insuring those self-driving systems.

Term

DMV

“DMV” is the government office that handles vehicle rules and licensing. In this episode, it’s also setting requirements for companies testing self-driving vehicles.

Concept

R&D application for on-road testing

An “R&D application for on-road testing” refers to applying to conduct research and development trials on public roads. For autonomy companies, these approvals often come with regulatory and insurance requirements because real-world testing carries real safety risk.

Concept

every mode of autonomy

He’s saying autonomy isn’t just self-driving cars—it can apply to many kinds of vehicles and environments. Insurance has to account for those different scenarios, not just one type of vehicle.

Concept

bias towards founders

He’s talking about a common mindset: people assume the founders’ new tech is so advanced that it must be safer or easier to insure. The episode argues that insurers still look for proof and risk management, not just confidence in the inventors.

Concept

liability and risk transfer

“Liability and risk transfer” is the idea that responsibility for accidents or losses can be shifted—often via insurance or contracts—from one party to another. The host argues that even with new autonomous technology, liability doesn’t automatically disappear or get fully “disrupted” away.

Concept

easy button

This is an expression meaning “there’s a simple fix.” He’s saying insuring self-driving tech isn’t that straightforward—you can’t just press one button and be done.

Concept

early adopters

Early adopters are the first people or companies willing to try something new. With autonomous vehicles, insurers want proof it’s safe before they commit to covering it.

Term

AV

“AV” stands for autonomous vehicle. Here, the host describes an early testing/validation setup where the vehicle is being tested with a human driver and safety engineer present, and the goal is to show the system is at least as safe as a human in that role.

Concept

human behind the wheel with the safety engineer in the passenger seat

That’s how early self-driving tests are often done: people are still in the car to watch and take over if something goes wrong. Insurance pricing depends on whether the system is truly driverless or still supervised.

Company

Drive AI

Drive AI is a self-driving company mentioned as background. The point is to connect early self-driving development and how insurers might evaluate safety using real-world data.

Brand

Apple

Apple is mentioned because it hired someone involved with an autonomous-driving company. It’s part of the “how we got here” context for self-driving development.

Concept

crash data

Crash data is information about accidents—what happened and how bad it was. Insurers use it to estimate how risky a system is.

Concept

driverless

“Driverless” means there’s no human actively driving the car. From an insurance standpoint, that’s a big change because the car’s system is responsible for what happens.

Term

insurance carriers file their rates with each state

Insurance companies have to set their prices according to rules in each state. That means autonomous-vehicle insurance can vary by location because the approval process is state-by-state.

Term

surcharge

A surcharge is an extra charge added to the insurance price. It’s used to make the cost higher when the insurer thinks the risk is higher or the data is uncertain.

Term

actuaries

Actuaries are the people at insurance companies who do the math to estimate risk. They use data to figure out how expensive claims are likely to be, so the company can price insurance correctly.

Concept

forensically determine a claim

To determine a claim “forensically” means using detailed evidence and analysis—often from vehicle sensors and logs—to reconstruct what happened. The speaker ties this to autonomous vehicles’ onboard sensors and compute, which can support more precise investigations after incidents.

Concept

waves of the troughs of disillusionment

This phrase is describing a hype cycle pattern: early excitement is followed by disappointment (“trough of disillusionment”), then later stabilization and more realistic progress. The speaker uses it to explain how autonomous-vehicle vendors evolve over time as expectations change.

Concept

safety case

A safety case is a structured argument (with evidence) showing that a system is acceptably safe for its intended use. In autonomous-vehicle insurance, it’s used alongside test results and real-world driving data to help insurers and risk models understand how safety performance translates into claim likelihood.

Concept

on road data

On-road data refers to real-world driving records collected from autonomous vehicles operating in traffic. The speaker contrasts it with simulation, noting that insurers need both to build credible risk estimates for claims.

Concept

simulated data

Simulated data is information generated by running scenarios in a computer model instead of relying only on real-world driving. For autonomous vehicles, simulation helps cover rare edge cases and produces large datasets that can be combined with on-road evidence for risk assessment.

Concept

bootstrap phase

The bootstrap phase is the early stage where you’re still getting things off the ground. You don’t yet have lots of real-world proof, so it’s harder to judge risk and set up insurance confidently.

Term

qualitative versus quantitative

This is about using either opinions and expert judgment (qualitative) or numbers and measurements (quantitative). With new autonomous systems, you often start with more judgment until you have enough data to use solid statistics.

Term

non-deterministic

Non-deterministic means the same situation might not always produce the exact same result. The concern is that AI behavior can vary, which makes it tougher to predict risk for insurance.

Term

SOPs

SOPs are written instructions for how to do something the same way every time. The point here is that autonomy is newer, so it may not yet have the same level of standardized procedures as highly regulated industries.

Term

haul insurance

Haul insurance is insurance for moving cargo from one place to another. The speaker is saying that even aviation started by insuring new kinds of risk before everything was perfectly predictable.

Concept

iterative

“Iterative” here means the process improves step-by-step. Instead of judging the self-driving system only by its final results, insurers look at how it’s being tested and how safety is handled as the program develops. Over time, the risk picture becomes clearer.

Concept

safety driver

A safety driver is a person sitting in the car to watch the self-driving system and be ready to intervene. If a human is present and can take over, the risk profile can be different. Insurers ask about this because it affects how likely incidents are and how severe they might be.

Concept

underwriters

Underwriters are the insurance experts who decide how risky a situation is and what the insurance should cost. For self-driving cars, they want lots of details about how the system is tested and used. Their job is to translate that information into coverage terms.

Concept

Build America 250

Build America 250 is a named government program or rule the hosts are discussing. The key takeaway here is that it doesn’t spell out exactly how responsibility (liability) should be handled after a crash. That’s important because insurance depends on who’s legally at fault.

Term

ADS

ADS means the car’s self-driving system—the computer and sensors working together to drive. When people talk about ADS crashes, they’re talking about incidents involving that system. Insurers look at the whole situation, including who got hit.

Term

minimum state limits

Minimum state limits are the lowest required liability coverage amounts under a state’s auto insurance laws. The host uses California’s minimums (15,000) to show that if the other driver’s coverage caps out, the remaining damage cost can fall back onto the AV’s insurance.

Concept

loss record

A loss record is basically the insurer’s log of past insurance claims. If a crash isn’t fully covered by the other driver, part of the cost can still show up as a claim on your insurance history.

Concept

human variable

The human variable means the self-driving system isn’t the only factor—people can behave differently and make different decisions. That makes risk harder for insurers to predict.

Concept

third party validation

Third party validation means someone independent checks and confirms the safety claims. Insurers use that kind of evidence to judge how risky the system is.

Term

simulation

Simulation means testing the system in software before real-world driving. The point here is that insurers want more than just saying you did simulations—they want to see how you actually operate safely.

Term

close course

A closed course is a controlled test track where you can run scenarios safely without regular traffic. The host is saying insurers care about whether you’ve tested in realistic, controlled ways.

Concept

engage with the marketplace

This means work with insurers in a straightforward way. The host is saying being difficult or secretive won’t help you long-term.

Term

robotoxys

This sounds like “robotaxis,” meaning self-driving cars that give rides like a taxi service. Because they’re meant to drive themselves, insurers have to think differently about risk.

Term

Tesla approach

They mean a “keep improving it with software updates” strategy. If the car’s behavior can change after an update, the insurer has to reassess what could go wrong.

Term

software update

A software update is a change to the car’s computer programs after you’ve bought it. If that update changes how the car drives, the insurance company may need to rethink the risk.

Term

validation efforts

Validation efforts are processes used to prove that an autonomous system performs safely and as intended. In insurance, validation is important because insurers need evidence about how the system behaves across scenarios, not just marketing claims.

Term

actuarial

Actuarial means “insurance math.” It’s how insurers estimate how likely claims are and how much coverage should cost.

Brand

Waymo

Waymo is a self-driving car brand. The discussion says even if a system is great today, an update can change how it drives, which affects insurance risk.

Term

NVR

NVR here means a system that records driving/sensor data and saves it for later. The point is that even if the early results look bad, the car can change after software updates, so the “driver” or behavior you see later may be different.

Term

loss reserves

Loss reserves are money an insurance company holds back to pay for claims later. The tricky part for AVs is that claims can take time to resolve, and software updates can change risk while the outcome is still unknown.

Concept

risk transfer partner

A risk transfer partner is the company that agrees to cover the financial risk if something goes wrong. They only do it if they believe they can price it correctly and still make money.

Concept

judicial system

The judicial system is the legal process that decides who is at fault and how a claim gets resolved. Even if an AV system performs well, the final outcome can still depend on legal decisions.

Term

underwriting

Underwriting is how an insurance company decides whether to insure you (or a product) and how much to charge. It’s about judging risk, not just selling a policy.

Term

MGA

An MGA is a middle company in insurance that helps write and manage policies for other insurers. The point here is that some MGAs push hard for growth, which can backfire if they don’t handle risk carefully.

MG MGA
Car

MG MGA

The MG MGA is an older sports car from MG, built to be fun to drive. It’s usually a small, lightweight roadster, meaning it’s designed for open-air driving. People talk about it because it’s a well-known classic car that many enthusiasts still enjoy today.

Term

reinsurance

Reinsurance is basically insurance for insurance companies. If a company expects big claims, it buys reinsurance so it isn’t financially crushed by those losses.

Concept

private equity

Private equity is money from investment firms that back companies and often push for fast growth. Here, the concern is that that pressure can make insurance risk management worse.

Concept

robotaxes

Robotaxes are autonomous vehicles operating as ride-hailing services without a human driver. The question “Who ensures them?” highlights a key insurance challenge: coverage, liability, and risk pricing for self-driving fleets.

Term

aspirational

Here “aspirational” means the insurance discount is based on expectations of better outcomes, not confirmed results from real-world data.

Concept

liability thresholds

Liability thresholds are the legal rules for when someone is considered responsible for harm. The host is saying the act doesn’t create brand-new responsibility levels, even though it changes how AV software is viewed.

Term

risk follows title

“Risk follows title” is a liability principle meaning the party that holds legal ownership (title) is typically treated as responsible for certain risks and insurance obligations. For autonomous vehicles, the host is pointing out that even if software “takes over,” the vehicle’s registered/owned status still drives who must carry auto liability coverage.

Term

subrogation

If an insurance company pays for a crash, it may try to get that money back from whoever caused the problem. That “trying to recover” is called subrogation.

Term

cyber liability

Cyber liability covers problems caused by digital attacks or software/security failures. With self-driving cars, that matters because the car relies heavily on software.

Term

loss ratio

Loss ratio is an insurance math term that compares what insurers collect in premiums to what they pay out in claims. If it’s above 100%, insurers are paying out more than they collect, so prices tend to rise.

Term

litigious

“Litigious” means a state or area where lawsuits are common. If lawsuits are common, insurance companies often have to pay more, which can raise premiums.

Term

nuclear verdicts

“Nuclear verdicts” are huge court-awarded damages in injury lawsuits. Even a few of those can make insurance much more expensive because insurers have to plan for worst-case outcomes.

Term

autopilot

Autopilot is Tesla’s system that helps with driving, like steering or speed control. It’s not fully independent—people are still expected to watch and be ready to take over.

Term

human in the loop

“Human in the loop” means the driver is still part of the system. The car can assist, but a person is expected to watch and step in if something goes wrong.

Term

L4 survey V space

“L4” means the car can handle driving on its own in certain situations. The speaker is talking about how insurers think about the kinds of risks that show up for that level of self-driving.

Term

tail risk

Tail risk means the chance of a very unusual but very bad outcome. Even if it’s unlikely, it can heavily affect how much insurance you need.

Concept

settle

When an insurer “settles,” it pays to resolve the claim without going to court. The idea is to reduce legal expense and avoid the uncertainty of a trial.

Term

ODD

ODD means the “rules of where the car is allowed to drive itself.” Insurance pricing depends on how limited or broad that allowed area and situation set is.

Concept

insurance towers

“Insurance towers” means building coverage in layers so you can reach very high protection limits. For big risks, one policy layer isn’t enough, so they stack them.

Term

self-insure

Self-insuring means you keep money aside to pay for losses yourself. Instead of relying entirely on an outside insurer, you’re funding some of the risk internally.

Term

captive arrangement

A captive arrangement is when a company insures itself using its own insurance setup. Instead of relying only on outside insurers, the company controls how the risk is priced and funded.

Term

captive structure

A captive structure is the company’s internal insurance “system.” The company sets aside money for losses and can benefit if claims end up lower than expected.

Term

ODE's

This seems to mean autonomous operations that aren’t happening in everyday traffic. The speaker is saying those off-road/controlled deployments can still generate useful insurance data.

Concept

pivoted or expanded

They’re talking about companies moving into other kinds of automated systems beyond regular self-driving cars. The idea is that experience from one area helps insurers understand risk in another.

Term

ADAS

ADAS stands for Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems—features like automated braking, lane keeping, and highway assistance that help the driver but aren’t full self-driving. The transcript highlights that different companies define and brand ADAS capabilities differently, which complicates collecting consistent data for insurance underwriting.

Concept

driver in the loop

It means the car can do some driving, but a person is still responsible for watching and stepping in if something goes wrong. That matters for insurance because it changes who’s considered responsible.

Term

adaptive cruise control

Adaptive cruise control is like regular cruise control, but it can slow down or speed up to keep a set distance from the car in front. Here, it’s part of the argument about how much you still need to watch the road.

Concept

takeover

“Takeover” refers to the moment when a driver must immediately resume control from automated driving or driver-assistance functions. The speaker argues that if drivers become less vigilant, requiring rapid takeover can be risky—even if the automation helps in some situations.

Term

FC

FC here is an acronym for a forward-collision safety feature category that’s discussed alongside automatic emergency braking. The point is that some forward-collision systems have clearer proof of safety benefits than others.

Term

AEB

AEB is the system that can automatically brake if it thinks you’re about to crash. In the discussion, it’s brought up as an example of a driver-assist feature that has shown safety benefits in data.

Term

vigilance task

A vigilance task is when you have to keep watching carefully for something bad to happen. The argument here is that “watching until something goes wrong” doesn’t necessarily make you safer if you’re not fully engaged.

Term

following distance

Following distance is how much space you leave between your car and the one in front. Some driver-assist systems can help keep that gap consistent so you’re less likely to get too close.

Term

L2

L2 is a level of “partial automation.” The car can help with steering and speed, but you still have to watch the road and be ready to take control immediately.

Term

keep lane

“Keep lane” is the feature that helps your car stay in its lane. It can nudge or steer to keep you from drifting, but you still need to watch what’s happening.

Concept

errors of omission

An omission error is when you leave something out that you should have included. In AV insurance terms, it could mean the company didn’t account for certain situations or limitations. Those gaps can still create real safety risk even if nothing “obviously” fails.

Concept

move fast and break things mentality

This phrase describes a software-style culture of rapid iteration and experimentation. In the context of autonomous/automated vehicle safety, the host argues that this mindset can be dangerous because vehicle systems need rigorous safety validation rather than quick trial-and-error. It’s used to explain why some AV companies may be riskier than others.

Concept

human driving association

“Human driving association” is presented as a fictional or speculative organization tied to the idea of a future where human driving is restricted. It functions as a narrative device to discuss how people might react if autonomy becomes the default and human control is outlawed.

Concept

insurance for a human driven analog vehicle

The speaker is discussing how insurance pricing could change if a “human driven analog vehicle” is considered riskier in a world where autonomous systems are demonstrably safer. The core idea is that risk-based pricing and market demand would make coverage for non-autonomous cars “fightfully expensive” (i.e., much more costly).

Concept

pure analog

“Pure analog” here is a non-technical way of contrasting older, non-autonomous cars with modern automated systems. The speaker uses it to mean vehicles that rely on human control rather than autonomy/automation features.

1967 Triumph TR4-A
Car

1967 Triumph TR4-A

The 1967 Triumph TR4-A is an old-school British sports car. The point here is that older cars weren’t designed with today’s crash-avoidance tech in mind, so they don’t “protect you” the way modern systems try to.

Term

cameras

Cameras are sensors that help the car “see” what’s around it. The host is saying they can help prevent crashes, but if something gets hit, the parts tied to those systems can be expensive to repair.

Term

telemetry

Telemetry is the car’s recorded data from its sensors and systems. In a crash, it can help show what the vehicles were doing and when, which can make claims more accurate.

Term

GPU

A GPU is a powerful computer chip that helps the car process lots of sensor information quickly. The host is saying that the car can use that processing to understand what was happening around it.

Term

fraud quotient

“Fraud quotient” is a way of talking about how often insurance claims involve dishonesty or arguments about what really happened. The host’s point is that more vehicle data can make those disputes harder to fake.

Term

float

“Float” is the insurance company’s money it receives from customers before it has to pay for claims. While it’s waiting, the company can invest that money to help its finances.

Concept

autonomy is emotionally safer

This frames vehicle autonomy (AVs) as reducing driver stress and perceived risk, not just improving safety metrics. The idea is that when the car handles driving tasks, humans may feel less anxious about crashes or errors.

Concept

state insurance fund

A “state insurance fund” is an insurance program run by the government. It exists so people can still get insurance even when private companies can’t or won’t cover them.

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