a lot of sensors in China, a load of LiDAR, nearly all cars a ton of compute and even actuator power.
Power requirements exceed what 12 volts can do, making 48 volts just sufficient really for
the next level of ADAS whilst maintaining safety voltage thresholds.
So there are loads of clear advantages to doing what Tesla asked the industry to do two years ago.
Please think about implementing 48 volt, but there's a reason they haven't,
technical, economic, logistical challenges. If you've missed part one, then I'll quickly recap.
This is the existing automotive supply chain, billions of dollars, hundreds, probably billions
of dollars over the years cumulatively have been spent on the supply chain of building facilities
and knowledge that make 12 volt stuff. Component availability represents immediate practical
barriers. So if you make an EV, if you're an OEM and you make an EV, should we go 48 volts?
Okay, can we get all the bits we want from our existing suppliers? Do we need new supply chains?
There are development costs, minimum order qualities, things like that. Scale will bring it down.
Electromagnetic compatibility, EMC considerations, no one ever talks about that.
They become more complex with 48 volt systems, higher voltages and faster switching frequencies
can generate increased EMC interference. And so while challenges, they're all solvable,
all fixable problems, but require engineering and testing to ensure automotive EMC compliance.
I mean, even AM radio, there's this campaign of let's not hurt AM radio with electric vehicles,
kind of crazy. By the way, I have a like 25 year career in broadcast radio before I started
this podcast as my only career now. So I used to work an AM radio station, like I'm not anti AM
radio, but come on, in a digital IP connected world, should we not move forward with clean
green transport because there's an AM radio lobby cost considerations are also really important.
48 volt systems can reduce material costs. I've established that reduced copper usage,
but initial development component pricing premium manufacturing process changes
that all ramps up the cost before it comes down. 48 volt is the long game safety and service
considerations are some of the biggest long game in the automotive industry. If you make a vehicle
today, that's great. Now it has to be service for 10, 15, 20 years and the rest. So shock hazards
need to be minimized. It's 48 volts. So it's fine. It's safe, but different service and training
procedures and safety protocols for a vehicle that is then in service for decades, service
technicians, diagnostic equipment, all of that needs updating. Automotive industry 48 volt technology
is out there. I'm not pretending that Tesla's the only one doing it tends to be led primarily by
the European premium manufacturers putting in mild hybrid applications rather than
the whole vehicle level architecture. This reflects maybe a conservative strategy
to do things piecemeal Audi pioneered 48 volt systems back in 2016. The sq seven came out and
that had a really sophisticated mild hybrid system that I think was only 48 volt power
for the electric supercharger, the active suspension, the sq seven had a lithium ion 48
volt battery, a belt driven alternator starter and another 12 kilowatts of additional acceleration
power. Mercedes Benz adopted 48 volt mild hybrid systems across their model line,
clse class s class, the the three liter engines they had all included 48 volts power to replace
things like mechanical belt drives and accessories like air conditioning compressors and coolant
pumps. This allows the systems to continue operating when engines shut off during stop
start operation then the cabin comfort is not affected. BMW was pretty aggressive actually
with 48 volt back in the day with over 50 models incorporating their 48 volt starter generators.
BMW systems provide another 10 horsepower eight kilowatts during starting and acceleration
moments while supporting the engine workload. The company strategy focuses on 48 volt systems
in its combustion range to make them better. But if you look at the Asian automakers,
they did it with a bit more caution actually focusing on specific applications where benefits
outweighed the cost of implementing. So if I think about Hyundai and Kia, they went 48 volt in
their mild hybrids like Tucson, Santa Fe, Seats, Sportage with diesel engines where efficiency
benefits are probably the most pronounced. Toyota of course 48 volt mild hybrids, Land Cruiser,
Hilux, a departure from their hybrid powertrain focus, but again using turbo diesels 48 volts
systems with some DC DC conversion designed for simple existing powertrain integration
while maintaining the compatibility to operate what they say in extreme conditions like water
wading and stuff like that. Hyundai announced ambitious plans to go to 48 volt architecture by
the end of the decade. That is probably the most comprehensive voltage system transition
from the major OEMs. The strategy involves working with suppliers to start building a 48 volt
component ecosystem whilst maintaining profitability. Hyundai's approach to applications beyond
automotive extending 48 volt technology to things like their robotics like Boston Dynamics,
that's all under them as well now for component development is going to help with things like
economies of scale. Let's talk about the market and how it could adopt how the cars that we drive
not tomorrow but in time could all be using the next generation of low voltage technology.
We'll take a quick break. I'll have a slurp of coffee. We'll finish off and round out
the end of part two of this two part series on why your cutting edge EV still has 70 year old
12 volt technology. Stick around back in a moment.
Okay, welcome back to the podcast. Let's finish off part four if you like as it's a two part series
on our low voltage systems in our EVs. The automotive 48 volt system market had a big
growth recently. Projections also show expansion from 6.47 billion to 36 billion over the next six
or seven years a 24 25% compound annual growth rate. So various movement in the low voltage
system in automotive growth is driven by emissions regulations fuel efficiency requirements and
modern vehicle power demands. European markets have been leading 48 volt adoption because of
more stringent CO2 emissions regulations with mild hybrid systems economically attractive now
to meet those regulations. The European Commission's plan to reduce automotive emissions by almost 40%
by the end of the decade is an incentive to make that jump to 48 volt. Market research indicates
48 volt systems will appear in maybe a fifth of all vehicles sold globally this year again not the
entire vehicle architecture but some parts of it. Well Tesla's decision to share their 48 volt
implementation with the world was a really big moment. I think a lot of people interpreted this
as a little bit of maybe Elon Musk bravado saying we know how to do it better than everyone so
let me remind you when they launched the cyber truck they also wrote they wrote the book on 48
volt they effectively wrote a guide called how to design a 48 volt vehicle and he said oh I've
sent it to all the other automotive CEOs so they can have a good read of it. I think people again
dismissed it as Mr Musk being well you know the showman and all those kind of things but
that's a remarkable strategic thing to do to raise that I think with the wider public the
attention that Tesla and the CEO can captivate people sometimes I don't think they kind of
realized how important that was and then after the launch it seemingly all went away. So the
initiative confirmed at the time by people like the Ford CEO Jim Farley acknowledged as well by
Elon Musk afterwards demonstrates how Tesla have confidence in their tech but want to transform
the industry and no doubt Tesla's got skin in the game document it's never been shared as far as I
know I did a lot of research for this podcast series I couldn't find that document online but
documentation sharing has happened some of the detailed technical specifications have appeared
online you can't guarantee that that is true sections of it have appeared online you can't
guarantee the authenticity of that Ford CEO Jim Farley's confirmation that Tesla sent the
how to design a 48 volt vehicle documents to him validate the reports that do seem to make this
credible Farley's response that Ford's next-gen team has been on a similar path suggests that look
all out to automakers are looking at this Tesla's motivation for sharing the documentation with other
CEOs extends beyond just being you know altruistic the primary drivers appear to be Tesla's recognition
that if they want to do what they want to do with their vehicles so the steer by wire that the high
voltage stuff they need a component production ecosystem you know economies of scale that reduce
Tesla's costs they can't do it alone by encouraging competitors to also go 48 volt
it establishes the market it drives supplier investment it brings the cost down automotive
industry responses to the 48 volt documentation sharing has been positive in public statements
revealing the underlying skepticism perhaps about how practical the idea is Jim Farley
Ford CEO's that it was great for the industry and proposed some more collaboration to help the
supply base move to 48 volts however industry analysts analysis suggests the positive public
statements out there kind of mask these more significant concerns about how practical it is
we can kind of cope with 12 volts we've worked out ways to make 12 volt work in an EV world
legacy automakers have a different challenge and constraints to Tesla so existing model lines many
more models established supplier relationships some of them have more complex manufacturing
all designed around 12 volt supplier ecosystem responses were a lot more cautious by the way
reflecting the reality that if you're a component manufacturer you can't just
up sticks and go 48 volt overnight without significant investments and all of them are
working on razor thin margins two years after Tesla's cyber truck launch and the document
sharing initiative the automotive industry has not adopted a 48 volt EV plan it's not even been
discussed publicly it reveals a fundamental structural barrier that extends far beyond
just the technical considerations 12 volt systems persistence across the entire industry really
demonstrates how complex it is for the economies the technical side the organizational factor
in building an electric vehicle automotive supply chains represent the most significant
industry you know out there in terms of the the entire industry in terms of going 48 volt it's
the supply chain that would need to change the OEMs can say yeah this is a great idea we'll design
our vehicles differently unlike Tesla which maintains significant vertical integration and you
close working relationships with their suppliers and component manufacturing some of the traditional
automakers rely more heavily on either established supplier networks that have invested billions
like I say in 12 volt or they simply cannot work so closely with them to do it together scale of
supply chain challenges becomes apparent considering thousands of different components required for
modern EV production from a simple switch to a complex module it all has to be redone financial
analysis of the 48 volt system reveals complex trade-offs of making short-term transitions 48
volt offers long-term advantages efficiencies costs and things like that and vehicle performance
like the EVs would be better in time but development costs extend far beyond just the components
you know deep vehicle level integration testing validation even safety certification competitive
dynamic surrounding 48 volts adoption reveal how established industry leaders may publicly say
yeah we're looking at this it all makes sense let's collaborate even the technology offers clear
advantages but when it hits the bottom line are they going to transform their business even take
a hit in the short term when so many of them are looking at quarterly share prices and profit
targets and things like that the automotive industry's measured response to Tesla's plan
to go 48 volts highlights the potential evolution in the automotive industry hybrid architecture
is one thing and that's where they have gone 48 volts but to follow Tesla and entirely change
the way that you design a vehicle well that hasn't been forthcoming ultimately the way the car
industry works with 12 volt batteries even in a cutting-edge EV reveals this complex
interplay between we want to innovate and do amazing things but also there are established
systems that we have to stick to and for now while the future likely holds maybe a 48 volts
broader adoption transition is going to be measured in decades rather than years reflecting a
profound challenge as we go to EV and that's your podcast for today check out if you haven't
heard the first part I'm sure that's gonna make sense if you listen to that first in your feed
compared to what I've just talked about but either way round I hope you've enjoyed it thank you so
much for listening and I'll see you on the next one
About this episode
Exploring the necessity of 12-volt batteries in modern electric vehicles, this episode delves into Tesla's push for a 48-volt architecture, particularly in the Cybertruck. It discusses the historical context of battery systems, the advantages of higher voltage—like reduced weight and improved efficiency—and the challenges of transitioning from 12 volts. Notable insights include Tesla's collaboration with suppliers and the broader implications for the automotive industry, highlighting the complexities of supply chains and the cautious approach of legacy automakers in adopting new technologies.
Welcome back to EV News Daily, welcome The Tech Sheet, the name we give to special bonus episodes which explain the tech behind EVs. Yesterday, in Part 1, we talked about:
➤ Electric Starter Innovation (1912)
➤ 6-Volt Era (1920s–1950s)
➤ Primitive Battery Tech
➤ Transition to 12 Volts (1953–1956)
➤ Efficiency of Higher Voltage
➤ Industry Standardization
➤ Failed 42-Volt Push (1990s–2000s)
➤ Dual Systems in EVs
➤ Critical Role of 12 Volts in EVs
➤ Manufacturing & Service Dependence
➤ Economic & Regulatory Inertia
➤ Tesla’s 48-Volt Revolution (2023, Cybertruck)
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