Our 2025 Las Vegas GP predictions

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Hello, everybody, and welcome back to the P1 podcast with Matt and Tommy.

We're back in our setups.

It's felt like so long since I turned on an actual computer.

We've returned from our North America tour.

The P1 Live Delusion Tour has been absolutely amazing.

I have to say first and foremost, every single person that came to those shows,

you are a complete and utter legend.

The energy that you guys brought was phenomenal.

Look, we're now here to do some predictions for the Las Vegas Grand Prix this coming weekend, Tom Bellingham.

How are we feeling first and foremost with the jet lag and secondly with the upcoming race that we have?

The jet lag is strong, which might be actually quite fun because it might make for some crazy washed predictions.

Although, they're normally pretty bad anyway, so it might have changed things.

And yeah, as you mentioned, the Delusion Tour in North America was absolutely awesome.

Got to see some new cities and everyone was so welcoming and everyone that we met.

The meet and greet was amazing and it was awesome.

We have, of course, a slightly more local one next month where you can still get your tickets for Manchester.

The others are sold out.

So if you want to see us next month, we'd love to see you there.

Go on, I actually want to shout out Andy, our pilot on the way home who's a listener.

That is probably one of the most bizarre things that happened.

Give the context.

I think a little bit more context is that our pilot sounds like we had a private jet.

We did not. We flew back.

Hey, you're in the illusion now.

But yes, we flew back and we boarded the flight and there was a member of the staff that said,

oh, hey, I absolutely love the podcast.

I was like, oh, that's cool.

That's really cool.

That wasn't the pilot at that point.

And then I sat down next to Elle and then another guy came over with all the stars

and stripes that you can imagine and was like, oh, just want to say I love the podcast.

I'm like, pretty sure you're flying our plane, aren't you?

I'm surprised that someone with such talent and such, I don't know, just complete a nutter.

The world of difference of two plebs talking about Formula One and a pilot was pretty mental.

But yeah, big shout out to Andy for that one.

It's awesome to meet people from all across the world that do such awesome jobs and for some reason.

Yeah, listen to us.

Listen to our pod.

So big shout out to you.

Right, it is 5148 to Tom Bellingham because I decided to throw it in Brazil,

throw it all at Max Verstappen and he did not deliver disgusting pit lane to third place.

Just not good enough in my eyes.

So it is my turn to go first.

And remember, we cannot choose the same prediction.

Let's head into a good surprise.

My good surprise for the Las Vegas Grand Prix is Lewis Hamilton.

Lewis Hamilton, go and get his podium.

It's happening.

Maybe.

Well, you don't know, Tommy, just because I put him as good surprise.

You might have spread your eggs this time.

I put him in my top three, which is what I love as well about this prediction series

that people will go, but Matt, you did this.

So how can that come true?

Guys, we spread the point sometimes.

We can't get a full clean sweep.

That has never happened in predictions history and will not happen.

I am absolutely convinced.

But Lewis Hamilton, I think, of course, finished second place last time out.

We went to Las Vegas, of course, was in Mercedes and also got beaten by George Russell.

But he was very strong in the race.

And overall, I think that Ferrari should be strong this weekend.

I am fully delusional as you probably can imagine.

But this is our last chance as Ferrari.

And I feel as though Hamilton, I mean, look, he's had pretty poor qualifications of late.

So this time he's making it to Q3 and it's a good surprise locked in.

OK, interesting.

I have gone for a bit of a rogue one.

I have gone for Pierre Gasly, who did very well in the past in Vegas.

Alpine, of course.

And very well last time out in Brazil.

Indeed.

No, I don't do your rules like we only go on the last race.

And then and then if they're one higher, you suddenly get a point.

And no, I I'm going for Gasly.

I think he'll be strong around here.

Alpine have been so bad this year that maybe it's an opportunity for him.

OK, all right.

Pierre Gasly hype train since Colopinto has had his contract signed.

You reckon this is the strong end to the season that we've been waiting for Gasly?

All right, let's head to a big flop.

OK, a big flop, maybe an obvious one.

I've gone for McLaren.

I've gone for the team.

There's obviously a lot of talk.

They're probably going to win now by 40 seconds because there's so much not hype,

the opposite of hype downplaying everything.

They and I understand why they're downplaying it.

You know, they've they've not been strong at Vegas before.

They struggled last year.

They had of course a fantastic car last year and a race winning car last year

and they still struggled 2023.

They were also, you know, didn't go well for him.

So yeah, I do think on paper they should struggle here.

It's not suited them in the past.

There is part of me that goes, oh, maybe this will be like an outlier

and it will will change.

But I've got to I've got to go with my gut here.

So I'm going to go for McLaren.

OK, well, I'm glad you went for your gut because within the rules

I'm not allowed to go for the same thing as you.

But I wasn't going for McLaren.

My big flop is Lando Norris.

So therefore, look, there there are plenty of permutations

that I will argue about on the Sunday podcast for the second place.

Oh, he's only won by 20 seconds.

No, I'm sorry, Tommy.

But like, say McLaren are poor, but Oscar beats Lando.

I'm not I'm not saying Oscars.

You know, that's not a flop because Oscars gain points in the championship.

You know, there's plenty of things I'm already thinking about.

You're already thinking about Tommy.

Don't get defensive.

You're three points clear in the lead.

Like, you know what I'm saying?

We talk about Michael Masseying up until the point in which we have

the Michael Massey in my favor and you will have said, no, oh, Matt,

you're the most competitive man in the world.

I can see it in your eyes, Tommy.

There is competition.

Yeah, you want this title.

And look, you just got to you just got to like accept that.

But I've gone for Lando Norris big flop because he has been utterly

sensational in the last few races.

He has an incredible lead.

It's not the fact that I think that Lando is going to start to crumble.

That's not the reason I've gone for a big flop.

It is because, you know, similar to your thinking, Tommy, that the

the data we have is that McLaren don't know how to set up their car

in these conditions around a track that is very unique.

So that's the reason I've gone for Lando Norris and we shall

see how that unfolds.

Pole position.

Oh, God, I wanted so I just my my brain and my heart are saying

two very different things, which is what it always always says

to be honest with you.

Am I going to go with my brain or am I going to go with my heart?

I'm going with my heart.

Charlotte.

Charlotte pole position.

OK, so my brain is saying it's a Mercedes pole position

every single day of the week.

It really is whether it's George or Kimmy.

We don't know.

Brazil was a very good weekend for Kimmy Antonelli.

However, my heart says, Matt, if you don't back, Charlotte,

and he gets pole position around a track he's been strong

out in the past, you will kick yourself.

It will be a point.

You know, if I don't go for him and he does get it,

it's a point lost, but it's more than a point lost

because it's for Charlotte.

You know, so I'm going for him.

Come on, like just give me that pole position.

Give me the point.

That's very interesting because I was very much

considering Charlotte Claire and I was almost so convinced

you're going to go for him that I didn't go for him

because I thought you were going to and there's no point.

So I've actually gone for Max Verstappen.

I do feel like, you know, there's a lot of hype

around this race that it could be a bit like last year,

Ferrari, Mercedes strong, but I do think Max

has a history of, you know, being particularly strong

in qualifying this year when it does hook up,

obviously not last time out.

But yeah, I'm going to go for Max because there's

a long old straight and they've been, you know,

had good straight line speed this year.

And yeah, this was a very difficult one to pick.

And I think all of these are about to come up now.

So difficult because I just, I don't know where the form is.

Am I going on this year of everything we've seen

and will Vegas be as different as before?

Do I go on last year's form?

Oh, it's been really, really tough actually.

It's incredibly tough.

You have McLaren that are seen as to be on the back foot

coming into Vegas and yet they have been the best car

for the majority of this season.

You've got Red Bull that could genuinely just roll the dice

and be the fastest car and win by 15 seconds.

Or the worst car.

Max Verstappen.

Or they could have the worst car out in Q1 like this one in Brazil.

Ferrari have had a pole position in Hungary, of course,

and look like they could be strong round here

because they have been in the past.

Charles was fighting, of course, George last year

at the beginning of the race, if I remember correctly.

So there's plenty of things that you have to consider.

And then, of course, Mercedes,

who had a 1-2 last time we were here.

So who do you back?

That is the massive question.

And that's what makes this predictions championship

so incredibly tight

and can easily swing in my favor.

Please, God help me that it does this weekend.

Third position, Tom Bellingham.

Okay, third position.

Why are you smiling?

No, I was thinking, do I want to change?

No, I'm not going to change.

I'm going to stick with it.

Honestly, I've changed this top three so, so many times.

I'm going to go for Lando Norris,

which obviously a bit of egg spreading here

because I've obviously gone from a Claren Big Flop.

There is part of me that thinks that they will still perform.

Like Lando is on the form of his life.

He's driving absolutely brilliantly.

And part of me thinks that even if they are struggling

a little bit, a podium would still be possible,

you know, particularly in his hands with him driving

so well at the moment and confidence sky high.

So yeah, I'll go for Lando P3.

In third position, I'm not spreading my eggs currently.

Lewis Hamilton.

Getting a podium.

I said it at the start.

I've ruined it at the start.

Then I sort of said maybe I'm not going to go for a top three

Lewis Hamilton in my actual top three, but I did.

Come on, Lewis, please lock in and get a podium.

Like it has to happen this year.

Surely you cannot, it cannot happen.

I firmly believe that this is his best chance of getting a

podium if we're looking at everything and the two races

that are coming up afterwards.

I don't think Ferrari going to be anywhere near in Qatar.

And I think Abu Dhabi will be very similar.

So Vegas, Ferrari, dial in, give him a good car.

And Lewis, please provide a good qualifying where you

start in the top four.

Thank you.

In second position, I've gone for Max Verstappen.

I haven't uttered his name once in this predictions episode,

but you can't discount him.

And I do genuinely think he will be strong.

That's why I've put him, of course, in the top three.

He could well win Vegas.

He should have in, you know, should have would have

could have territory, won Brazil with the pace

that he put down, but he started so far back.

And of course, Tommy, you know, myself and you,

we will die on the hill, but he shouldn't have stopped

on that last, last stint.

But he had the best package around Brazil.

So as much as Lando had a perfect weekend in Brazil,

you cannot ignore the fact that Red Bull still have

a very good car when, when they can get it right.

So I've gone for second place Max Verstappen.

Second place, I so nearly went for Max Verstappen,

but it changed it before we did these predictions.

And you know what happens when you change something?

It's George Russell.

I've gone for George Russell P2 winner last year.

Comfortable winner last year.

Had a fantastic season, wasn't, you know,

his usual form last time out of course as well.

But yeah, I've gone for, for George P2.

Okay, Tommy, who have you gone for the winner?

So for P1 and the winner of the Las Vegas Grand Prix,

I've gone for Kimmy Antonelli.

I couldn't, in the same way you went for

Charlotte Clairpole position and said,

I would kick myself if I didn't go for it.

Exactly the same with Kimmy Antonelli.

If he actually got a win and I had even 10% thoughts

that I think he could win this Grand Prix

and I didn't go for it, I'd regret it in the hope of,

you know, basically basking in the glory of, of picking it.

And look, Kimmy Mercedes should be strong here.

Kimmy, of course, has had the best race

of his entire career last time out in Brazil.

Best weekend, wasn't it just the race?

It was every session.

Well, yeah, the whole weekend was absolutely brilliant.

You know, best of, best behind-the-scenes

in every single session.

And yeah, as we, you know,

have said the whole food additive thing as well.

It is permitted in Vegas.

Wild that you're including that.

Yeah, it's gotta be, it's gotta be.

It's the craziest form guide of the lot.

Well, I saw the latest one is Hormone Treated Beef

for Ollie Bearman.

I didn't see that one.

That was nowhere near as good though.

I know, the stretches.

Cause you look at it and you're like,

well, he's had two bad races there and there actually.

Yeah, cause the one for Ollie Bearman,

his average is like when it is that he finishes 12

and when it isn't, he finishes like 16th or something.

Whereas Kimmy Antonelli's is like absolutely outrageous.

It's something like his average is 12th

and then when it's not, sorry,

when it's permitted, it is like fifth or something.

So it's such a wide range.

So when it comes to the end of the year and goes,

you know what guys, that actually is true.

I do, I do have that, that food additive.

He puts in his like water bowl before the race.

All right.

P1 for the Las Vegas Grand Prix.

We all know what it's going to be when it's a pause though.

Charlotte clear.

Charlotte boy, do it for me.

Pole and victory.

Don't give me a pole and then don't give me a pole position.

And then he's an engaged man now.

Please.

I'm fully, I'm fully believing surely this is the one.

It has to be.

This is the only opportunity now for Ferrari to win a race.

This year.

Charlotte has to be.

Yeah.

You've heard it before.

You'll hear it again.

But right now you're hearing it as well in this present form.

Charlotte is winning Las Vegas.

You've heard it here first.

Well, I say first.

You've heard it many times from me that Charlotte is going to

win a Grand Prix and he has not.

But this time it's happening.

Come on.

There's got to be people that believe this.

Let me know.

Let me know in the comments right now on YouTube or audio,

wherever you are.

You believe, right?

Well, look, the crazy thing is he's not in my top three or pole

position, but in my first draft, he was pole position.

And I think maybe third or something.

So it's so hard to pick.

So hard to pick.

There's so many drivers to choose from at the top.

And that's what we want.

That's what we want from these predictions.

That is what we want.

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Right, if you didn't think these were crazy enough,

let's head to our crazy prediction.

My one crazy prediction is

no McLaren on the podium.

Not a single McLaren will feature on the podium.

And I will get a point for it.

They're getting a 1-2, aren't they, Tommy?

They really are.

Yeah, it's a little bit of a weird little pole thing

because they've obviously been on the podium so much,

but it would be a surprise even though

the form guide says that they should struggle.

The form guide is the form guide.

That's the form guide for last year.

The form guide for this season is the McLaren

are winning everything.

So there you go, no McLaren on the podium.

So mine is also about McLaren and of course it is.

McLaren pit stops under three seconds.

I am going for that until I get it right

every single time.

Yeah, by the way, I obviously

dearly hope you don't get it

because then we go to Qatar

where they're having at least two stops each.

Yeah, that's true.

It also adds some fun jeopardy

into the watch along every time I do it as well.

Every time.

And you'll see me celebrate

with sheer vocal noise

when it doesn't come in.

Obviously, no hate to McLaren.

I hope you have a wonderful race,

but a 3.1 pit stop would be

that would be delightful for one of the drivers.

All right,

Patreon prediction Tommy, what have you gone for?

My Patreon prediction is from

Jennifer English,

Colopinto finishes in the points.

So as I went for good surprise,

Gansley and also Colopinto points

don't know why

I've gone for Alpine.

Alpine the goats.

Why not?

My Patreon prediction comes in from Sky Sarah,

rookie on the podium.

It's open.

It's beautiful.

Tommy, how many, how many podiums has Kimmy

Gansley had?

He was actually on pain last time out.

Oh, sorry.

Sorry.

If we go back to the start of the episode,

you said it doesn't matter

what happens in the last race.

That's not the way it goes.

Yeah.

Thank you very much.

Actually editor,

replay that right now in the episode

so we can hear him say that word

for word.

That is not the form is the last race.

Oh God, that's beautiful.

I love it when I get you like that.

So that's what I've gone for.

Because Ansonella, yes,

he was on the podium last time out,

but that is not a norm.

He's had a horrendous run of form

if you look at the mid part of the season.

So there you go.

Sky Sarah, rookie on the podium.

Thank you so much for the Patreon prediction

that caused Tommy to question it

ever so slightly.

All right then.

We now head to the family top three

where neither of us know

whether they're going to pick up.

So let's see.

No, my dad has not responded

since I said I'm going to come to him.

So let's see who picks up.

If not, who will think

I'm about to give her a call

about my trip from the U.S.

Yeah.

Hi.

Mom, give me a top three.

It's a miracle.

Hi, Dad.

I messaged you to let you know

that I'm going to come to you

for the predictions.

Don't know if you'd seen it or not,

but no.

All right, so it's on the fly.

So it's Las Vegas this weekend

and I need to know your top three.

So can we start in third position, please?

Thank you.

Do you want a Georgina answer

or do you want to?

No.

No, we're losing.

It's 10-9 to the Boring Bellingham.

No, you want it proper.

If I wanted a Georgina answer,

I'd ring Georgina.

Right.

Three.

George Russell.

OK.

And third place, George Russell.

Fine.

Second place.

Nice.

Max Verstappen.

That's why I went for.

OK, appreciate that.

And in first position?

Land-O.

Wow.

OK.

So you don't see McLaren

falling off in the slightest

and Land-O will win.

That's a good prediction.

Land-O's on a bit of a run

at the moment, so...

I feel like you've definitely

said that before

that Max Verstappen's unstoppable

and that he was stoppable

in the next race.

So that'll be interesting

to see that not coming.

Well, it was out of them too.

I've got a feeling that

Max might do it

because there's no,

like, support races there

this time.

So I'm going to go

to the next race

and support races there

this time.

It's all practice.

You know what it's like

when he practices.

Well, I went for

Charle-Claire W.

So there you go.

There you go.

All right.

Thanks, Dad.

Switch us in.

Love you.

Bye.

OK.

That's quite a good

lockdown.

And look, he's covered

the base of Land-O.

Yeah, he's not against it.

Being literally the same

as he has been

in the last two races,

which I think is

absolutely fine.

I don't mind it.

Max Verstappen's second

and then George's third.

George, we think it's

going to be strong.

So yeah, a good,

a good feeling.

I love it.

Shall I give my sister

with you?

No.

No, I don't want you

to put Fernando Alonso

winning the race.

Right.

Over to you, Tommy.

OK.

I'm going to give

my wife a call.

I absolutely hate

doing these.

I messaged her to say

brilliant.

Can you do family

prediction?

She said no.

Bless her.

So we'll see.

Hopefully,

if she gets

Let's hear the

anguish in her voice.

Hello.

Yeah.

Good.

That's a not good.

Right.

Can we get your top three

please?

Starting with P3.

OK.

Shall.

OK.

Interesting.

Katie.

OK.

P2.

I'm going with George.

OK.

Very strong line up

currently.

And P1.

Max.

Oh,

gone for the

No.

McLaren.

Can we,

can we get a little

addition of where she

is?

I don't know

they're not going to be

suited to it or possible

implosion.

I'm not sure,

but

Interesting.

I've gone for

no, I've gone for

McLaren big flop,

actually.

So we've

gone all in with that

one.

All right.

Thank you.

All right.

Love you.

Bye.

OK.

Wow.

That's going to say

you've gone for

in there, mate,

because you've just

forced her to do

another thing that she

doesn't want to do,

which is

family predictions.

Happy.

Weirdly happy either way

with how she'd gone with

that, because if she'd

gone McLaren,

I feel like it's

fine because it covers

the bases.

So

I guess literally

any driver in the top

seven, sorry, Yuki,

and you're kind of happy

with them in the top three.

And even then

could well be

another curveball

in this Vegas weekend.

I'm looking forward to

it.

We will be live

on Twitch and YouTube

once again from our

gorgeous, wonderful

home setups.

I'm going to miss this

because we're going to be

live from about

3.30 in the morning

each time.

So

look forward to that.

It might will be 3.45

actually.

I might stay in bed

for the 15 minutes

if I possibly can.

But we will be live.

Do not worry

for each competitive

session.

God know

we'll be live

for Friday practice.

I don't even think

I'll watch F.P.1.

I'm not going to lie to

you because that's on

at like half past midnight

and then

they send them home again.

Yeah.

Hopefully they don't do

that.

I'll echo what you said

that you have to join us

for the watch along

because there's so much hype

around this weekend.

How are we

going into Vegas

when it was such

a race that was

absolutely slated?

And now

it's one of the

ones I look forward to

most every year

and the predictions

reflect that

that we just have no

I mean we

normally have no idea

but this time

we literally have

no idea and

they're so varied.

That's probably our most

varied predictions

between

us two

and the two family members.

Probably the whole year

so far I think.

For sure.

I'm looking forward to scoring

absolutely no points

and

you know look

we've got two races to go

after that and a sprint

so that's well after

getting some more points

that Ferrari are indeed

shocking.

So thank you everybody.

As I said we'll be live.

See you very soon.

Lots of love.

Take care.

Lots of love.

Bye.

And back to sleep

because jet lag.

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