"Blue Sky is at Risk!" The New Threat to Dealership Values (and the Brands to Buy Now) | Alan Haig, President of Haig Partners
Car Dealership Guy Podcast
Car Dealership Guy Podcast Apr 16, 2026
"Blue Sky is at Risk!" The New Threat to Dealership Values (and the Brands to Buy Now) | Alan Haig, President of Haig Partners

"Blue Sky is at Risk!" The New Threat to Dealership Values (and the Brands to Buy Now) | Alan Haig, President of Haig Partners

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"Blue Sky is at Risk!" The New Threat to Dealership Values (and the Brands to Buy Now) | Alan Haig, President of Haig Partners
Company

Haig Partners

Haig Partners is the company connected to Alan Haig. They’re presented as part of the expertise behind the discussion on dealership value.

Term

powertrain

The powertrain is the main stuff that drives the car—engine and transmission and related parts. Some brands cover those parts longer than other components.

Brand

Kia

Kia is mentioned because it provides longer warranty coverage for the car’s main mechanical parts. That helps buyers feel safer about ownership.

Brand

Geely

Geely is mentioned as one of the Chinese brands that moved into Australia. The speaker is using it to show how new competition can squeeze dealer profits.

Brand

BYD

BYD is mentioned as another Chinese brand that entered Australia. The point is that when more brands show up, dealers often have to cut prices to keep selling.

Concept

blue sky

In dealership talk, “blue sky” means the extra value you’re paying for the business’s future earning power—not the building or equipment. If people think the brand or business will do poorly, that “blue sky” value drops.

Brand

Volkswagen

Volkswagen is one of the big German car companies. The point here is that it was an early example of a foreign brand coming into the U.S. and selling well.

Toyota Glad Toyota
Car

Toyota Glad Toyota

The Toyota Land Cruiser is a tough SUV made for rough roads and long-term ownership. It’s popular with people who want something reliable and capable. Dealers often mention it because it has a strong reputation and many buyers already know they want one.

Brand

Hyundai

Hyundai is a car company that sells cars in the U.S. The speaker is pointing out that Hyundai also builds cars here, not just ships them in from overseas.

Concept

level playing field

A “level playing field” means everyone is competing under similar conditions. The speaker is saying Chinese brands may get extra help that makes it harder for other brands to compete fairly.

Brand

Nissan

The host says Nissan is trying to sell more affordable cars. They’re aiming at models priced under about $25,000 to match what buyers want.

Brand

Ford

Ford is mentioned to make a point about product choices. The speaker is saying Ford isn’t really competing in the small-sedan category anymore.

Brand

Volvo

Volvo is a car brand. In this segment, they’re talking about whether Volvo could have to be sold off to a different owner because of worries about who controls the company and what data/technology the cars use.

Term

EVs

EVs are electric cars that run on batteries instead of gasoline. The point being made is that Volvo may have focused too much on EVs and not enough on what U.S. shoppers wanted.

Concept

geopolitical risk

Geopolitical risk means world events that can disrupt business—like trade rules or political tensions. For car companies and dealers, it can affect supply, pricing, and profits.

Concept

Q4

“Q4” is the fourth quarter of the year (October–December). In auto retail, Q4 performance often matters because it can reflect year-end inventory strategies, holiday demand, and how manufacturers and dealers manage incentives.

Term

oil prices

Gas prices are tied to oil prices. If oil prices move, it can change what people pay at the pump, and that can affect car buying.

Concept

single store transactions

This is about what kinds of dealership deals are happening. The speaker says more deals are for one store at a time, not just big multi-store purchases.

Concept

M&A

M&A means one company buys another company or merges with it. In car dealerships, it usually shows up when bigger groups buy many dealerships at once.

Concept

new vehicle profit

This is how much money dealerships make from selling new cars. The speaker is saying that part of the business is getting less profitable over time.

Company

AutoNation

AutoNation is a big car dealership company in the U.S. The speaker is drawing on their past experience there to explain how dealership buying and pricing can change.

Concept

bottom 25% performers

This is a performance-management approach: identify the lowest-performing employees (here, F and I staff) and focus training and coaching on them first. The idea is that lifting the weakest group can produce outsized gains in overall store profitability.

Concept

lift your bottom quartile up to average

“Bottom quartile” refers to the lowest 25% of performers. The speaker’s point is that moving that group closer to average performance can create a measurable “lift” in store-level profit, especially in F and I where product penetration matters.

Concept

COVID

They’re talking about how COVID changed car sales. During that time, dealerships often sold more cars and made more money, and then things later cooled off.

Concept

tail

They mean the later years of ownership, after the warranty. That’s when cars usually need more work, so customers spend more on service.

Term

tens of thousands

They’re warning that these tools aren’t cheap—some can cost a lot of money upfront. Dealerships need to make sure the benefits are worth that cost.

Brand

Mercedes-Benz

They’re focusing on Mercedes-Benz and why its dealership value is changing. The key idea is that Mercedes’ EV strategy and dealer rules affect how desirable owning a Mercedes dealership is.

Company

Adam Chamberlain

They’re talking about a specific executive coming in to lead Mercedes. The idea is that his past experience in both the brand and dealerships should help Mercedes sell better in the U.S.

Company

Lithia

Lithia is a big company that owns and runs lots of car dealerships. Experience there can help someone understand what actually sells cars day to day.

Term

F&I managers

F&I managers run the finance part of the deal and help customers with add-ons like warranties and protection plans. They also have to follow the rules while doing it.

Brand

Audi

Audi is the main focus here. The host is saying Audi dealers have been struggling, and they’re debating whether Audi is now at a low point where buyers might get a better deal.

Term

mezzanines

Mezzanines are intermediate floors built above the main showroom area. In this segment, the host claims Audi required second-floor mezzanines that were never used by consumers, making them an expensive requirement with little payoff.

ID Buzz
Car

ID Buzz

The Volkswagen ID Buzz is an electric van. The speaker is saying that even though Volkswagen spent a lot to launch it, it didn’t end up selling in big numbers.

Brand

Honda

Honda is mentioned as a brand where dealership investments can still make good business sense. The idea is that Honda tends to hold up well, so dealers can earn a solid return.

Brand

Mazda

Mazda is discussed in the context of California rules for selling vehicles. The speaker’s point is that even with those rules, Mazda can still sell successfully without needing every possible EV option.

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