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Our 2025 Abu Dhabi GP predictions
Our 2025 Abu Dhabi GP predictions
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About this episode
Matt and Tommy dive into their predictions for the 2025 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, focusing on the tight championship battle between Lando Norris, Oscar Piastri, and Max Verstappen. They discuss surprise performers like Alex Albon and Nico Hulkenberg, as well as potential flops such as Esteban Ocon and Yuki Tsunoda. Pole position and podium predictions spark lively debate, with both hosts favoring McLaren drivers. The episode also features playful family involvement with predictions from their relatives, adding a fun twist. They wrap up reflecting on the season and hint at changes for next year's prediction format.
Topics:
2025 abu dhabi grand prix
formula one championship predictions
lando norris
oscar piastri
max verstappen
surprise drivers
pole position predictions
podium finishes
family predictions
season reflection
Cars:
Dodge Charger
It's all come down to this... One of the most intense and talked about title fights goes down to the final weekend, as Matt 'Good' Gallagher and Tom 'Boring' Bellingham face off for one final time in the 2025 P1 Predictions Championship...
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Hello, everybody, and welcome back to the P1 Podcast with Matt and Tommy.
The energy is high because today, it's predictions, the championship goes down to the wire in Abu Dhabi,
not just for Lando Norris, Oscar Piastri and Max Verstappen, but also for Tom Boring Bellingham
and Matt's The Good Gallagher.
Just made that up on the spot.
People would be calling me greedy Gallagher, which is absolutely crazy.
But here we are, Tommy.
58, 55 to you, three points separating us, which to be fair, we need to correct that
there was an adjustment made.
And everybody that says that I'm always trying to get points, your dad included,
well, I was the one to message you that you got it wrong about the five people
across the two sprint and main race podiums.
So, there you go.
I gave a point away.
I could have easily got away with that.
You could have, because, yeah, I completely brain farted and forgot the podium.
Of course, George was on there and not Max in the sprint.
That's what confused me.
Exactly.
So, you are three points clear.
Now, of course, a champion is going to be crowned both here and also in Abu Dhabi.
So, there's going to be a bonus point on offer for getting the world champion correct.
And we can go for the same driver for that one prediction,
because it's unfair if whoever gets first, probably.
There's a more high percentage chance of it coming in.
So, there you go.
It is all to play for.
Let's dive into it and begin for one final time in 2025 with a good surprise.
My good surprise.
You're smiling.
So, I don't know if you've gone for the same one.
Probably.
We think very alike.
I'm going for Alex Albon.
It's my good surprise.
He's been on a very, I'm going to say steady,
slightly lower than steady run of form of late.
Carlos has been sheffing like no tomorrow.
He has been in the kitchen cooking up Gordon Ramsay level meals,
couple of podiums.
Alex, it's time for him to shine in this one.
We've been, we were so impressed with him in the first half of the year.
And I would love to see him finish the season strongly and secure.
Well, yeah, he's nine points ahead of Carlos in the championship now,
which I hope we don't see a graphic during the race,
because you know what F1 are like.
But Alex Albon is my pick.
Yeah, it would be peak formula one when there's a top three championship fight
to be like the fight for eighth.
So my good surprise, I have gone for Nico Holkenberg.
And the reason for that is that I looked at the last two years
and was like, wow, Holkenberg qualified incredibly well in the house.
So I feel like he's also improved his form a lot
since the kind of lull he had in the middle of the season.
Of course, had a bad race last time out,
but like his qualifying has improved quite a lot.
It has to be said.
And a track that he goes well at.
I've gone for the Hulk.
The Hulk is locked in.
Tommy, who are you going for a big flop?
Now you mentioned about your competitiveness
and how you will always just go for a point no matter what.
This may be a bit of a cheap one,
but I've gone for Esteban Ocon.
The logic here is that he's on quite a poor run of form
compared to Holly Berman.
He's been struggling quite a bit towards the end of the year.
He actually missed Abu Dhabi last year as well
due to the whole...
So he turns up as an Alpin.
About the last year.
Yeah, about the last year.
So I'm kind of banking on him
for getting how to drive Abu Dhabi.
No, Este Bestie.
Lock him, bro. This is for me.
There we go.
All right, you've gone for Esteban Ocon.
Speaking of cheap points...
Don't you dare go for...
You go for it, aren't you?
I've gone for Yuki Sonoda.
Okay.
I think sadly,
and I could have easily just flopped
one of the three championship contenders and be like,
well, I didn't win the world championship,
so that's a flop of the entire year.
That's five points.
Now, I've gone for Yuki Sonoda
because I do feel like Katar was a flash in the pan.
I feel he will go back to being in Struggle Town.
It'll be sad. It'll be sad to see.
I will knee slide across my room
if it does come in. I'm really sorry, Yuki.
Of course, this could well be his last
race in Formula One.
On a human level, of course, I would love to see Yuki do well
and do something like he did in the sprint in Katar,
but from a predictions cold-hearted level,
give me the point, Yuki.
Please, I beg. It doesn't matter.
Yuki, just come on.
You can't win the world championship,
but you've got Max.
You could help as a lapped car.
It might be a flop if he's going 30 seconds
a lap slower in the middle sector,
like a Paris did.
I've already thought of every scenario, Tommy.
Come on, Yuki. Be the teammate Max Verstappen needs
as I'm wearing a Max Verstappen-era's
torn t-shirt.
Right. Let's go to pole position.
My pole position
for the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix is
Oscar Piastri.
Oscar Piastri
has gone locked in.
I feel right.
So this is, of course, off of Katar as well
and how well he did there,
but with everything
that's riding,
my brain just says that Oscar Piastri
is at the very least going to get pole position.
I won't spoil anything else.
But I just feel as though with
Lando is going to feel a huge amount of pressure
and that is very,
that's a human thing to feel.
If he gets pole position and wins Lando Norris,
fair play and he's answered many critics
over the last few races anyway.
He should be world champion right now,
had it not been for the disqualification in Vegas.
But I feel as though Oscar Piastri
will drive like a man possessed
and I feel like he will be as quick
as he was in Katar.
So I've gone for Oscar Piastri pole position.
Okay.
I had gone for Oscar Piastri pole position
as well.
For exactly the same reason,
I think McLaren will be strong here.
Oscar has turned a page despite
obviously the disappointment
of what happened last time.
But I would change it to
Lando Norris.
I do think McLaren
are going to be exceptionally strong here
and that's why I'm going to go
for Lando.
I do think there will be some nerves there of course.
I wouldn't be surprised if there was
maybe
one lap during the session where
runs a bit wide or whatever like we saw it in Katar
but
I think he can lock in and grab
pole position.
We do now because I took your
prediction seriously.
Well, I do think he will do.
He's got a fantastic chance.
He's brilliant round Abu Dhabi
and I think it's a very safe prediction
to go for that.
Third position Tommy.
P3, you know what that means.
It means George Russell.
Welcome to the predictions championship again.
He's going to be in the mix.
I think he could
be a very interesting
player in the championship.
There's obviously a lot of
it feels like
if someone's going to be that driver
to get in the mix
no disrespect because Antonelli
has beaten him
in the last few but
George has more
experience and equally like Ferrari
have just fallen off a cliff now it seems.
That's why I'm going to go for George
Russell.
Third position George Russell locked
in for Tommy.
I'm changing mine on the fly
not because I had George Russell
just genuinely because I'm concerned
about antics that might well be played here
considering you get first position
Dibs.
In third position I am going for
Lando Norris.
Lando will finish the third
which
I mean our world champion prediction
could well be spreading our eggs so don't worry.
Because we've done that many times
but in third position
I am going for Lando.
I didn't want to put
in third but I'm thinking ahead
right now.
In second position
I am going to
Oh no, no it's just dawned
on me that's not the correct way to have
gone about these things Matt.
Because I know what you're going to go for
in first place so this is
this is this is
Oh my God it can't be.
No I do. If you've given away
what you're going to go for pole position
Oh my God
This is tough.
You're baiting, you're baiting
I know for a fact, oh gosh what do I do
Oh my God
I'm going to go for
Oh this is so bad
because if you go for Oscar first
and then I go for who I want to go in second
then who the hell do I put first
that's not going to be good
because George is not winning
Abu Dhabi, I'm sorry he's not
In second place I'm going for Oscar Piastri
I'm locking in Oscar Piastri P2
because I won't be able to choose him
first so I have to go for him second
and then go for someone that might win
so there you go Oscar Piastri P2
that was a long deliberation I apologise
P2 I have gone for
Lando Norris
Yes I think you kind of called that one
I think you saw where
see where this is going and yeah
I think Lando
I can see Lando being
and quite rightly cautious in the world championship fight
I think he'll have the car to win
but of course he doesn't need to win
I think that is very important
to remember for him
and McLaren whether they do or not
is another question
but that's why I'm going for
Lando P2
Yep very fair indeed
Tommy who have you gone for first position
because you have not mentioned Oscar Piastri
and he's not mentioned Max Verstappen
So P1
I have gone for
Oscar Piastri
Oscar Piastri
Oscar Piastri
If you put Max in that was screwed
Yeah I know
Oscar Piastri I'm going for Oscar P1
I think he's going to
want to take that win
obviously
this scenario
means that he would not win the world championship
Norris would win the world championship
but Piastri going into
you know the final race
getting that win
give him some momentum to take into the new year
even though obviously
could potentially be
difficult winter reflecting
on how the championship
has gone but it would be a nice
way to see him in the year
Okay in first position
obviously initially
I was going to go for Oscar Piastri
but I've changed it on the fly
as you've been hearing for the last few minutes
so my first position is going to be
Max Verstappen
I do not
believe it in the slightest but also
stranger things have happened
in literally the last few races
and I can't put anyone else
up there that could do something
and Max's
pace in Qatar wasn't that bad
McLaren were quicker
hard to really judge considering
they were on different strategies and McLaren were on full push
because they were doing
a different way of doing
their pit stops but
Max gets into P1
he's got a chance for sure
I know I'm saying I don't believe it but if
Max somehow finds himself leading the race
those elbows
will be the widest thing you've ever seen
and if Lando
and if Lando's in second Lando will just sit there
Lando doesn't need to try and pass Max
if he'll be world champion
he can just follow Max home
I would love to see what Max would then do
would he then do a Lewis Hamilton
on Rosberg trying to back him into the pack
and things like that
plenty of chaos that could well ensue
but that's only if Max goes into the lead
Can I just congratulate Lando and Orison
victory at the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix as well
are you going for
Piaz?
Are you going for Piaz or are you going for Max?
Lando could well
just dominate this weekend
but the things that
if it was just a normal weekend
I would say yes Lando back him
maybe Oscar it'd be quite close between the two of them
with everything that's on the line
and how the championship in some
very strange ways
is slipping away from him ever so slightly
he's still in the pound seat
and he doesn't need to win does he like
he doesn't need to take risk
he just needs to qualify in the top three
there's so many things that I'm sure be playing in his head
that's why I've not backed him
for this weekend
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let's go to one crazy prediction
at least two drivers
will be in championship
rippling position
during the race
okay so at some point
when landon orris does his pit stop
at the start and drops to fifth and then
yeah gonna get into the specifics
of the T's and C's
and i was hoping you weren't gonna think about the T's and C's
so i'll just lock that one in
and uh no michael massi has resurrected
so there you go that is
that is my prediction
my one crazy prediction i have gone for
lewis hamilton makes q3
for god's sake
oh that's a good loophole
yeah that's good when's the last time he made q3
uh that's a very good question
it's uh well there's been four
sessions he's not made it so
i need facts and figures right now let me see
qualifying lewis hamilton
because if he's
oh god they are bad aren't they
go on hit us with the last one
okay well let's just do the entire season
hamilton has qualified
eighth fifth eighth ninth seventh
eighth ninth seventh twelfth twelfth
fourth fifth fifth fourth fifth sixteenth
twelfth seventh fifth twelfth sixth fifth
third thirteenth twentieth
and that's it and then katar
which was eighteenth but it's not
eighteenth and eighteenth again in the sprint
in the sprint as well so he hasn't made
yeah he hasn't actually made q3 that much
it's not as big as loophole as i think
no i mean that's not it's four
it's a run of four isn't it he hasn't made
q3 he hasn't made out of q1 in the run
of four
anyway it's not been great yeah brazil
okay all right i'll allow it
let's go to our patreon prediction
tommy
my patreon prediction is from that
bloke and it is
carlos science finishes ahead of alex
halban in the world drivers championship
which basically means
yeah he needs nine points so a fifth place
he needs to finish fifth or above and alex
no score obviously you've gone
for a good surprise um yeah
i saw it it's obviously a long
shot but that's where it should be and
uh yeah that was quite a good one so went for
that i also thought this patreon
prediction was really good so uh i've gone
for it it's from marty
the season will be over and there will be
zero controversy peace will reign
and there will be goodwill to all men
so so this is basically
like if the title is just the biggest
anti-climax it's literally just lights to flag
nothing happens nobody dive bombs
nobody does anything silly and it's literally
just the end which i think is actually
unlikely considering max for stappan and
what max can do yeah yeah um so yeah
no controversy is essentially my
but it's also a bw so you never know
you do never know
and how do we rate controversy when we
think of 2021 like you know just
yeah because that was an absolute stinker of a race
and then it was yeah and then michael
massie pressed the big red
safety car button
right well champion
who is going to be crowned
the formula one
world champion in 2025
remember we can both go for the same one
my world champion is
lando norris
lando norris is going to be world champion
i'm i'm i'm pretty
pretty confident should everything
and that's a big caveat
should everything go to plan
lando knows to be world champion and
it's as simple as that
yeah easily uh i've also gone for
well tommy try that again
but with more hype
and more suspense
lando norris is winning uh
the championship exactly
yeah exactly uh you
if you listen to the bonus episodes i said
85 percent
uh looking at this
championship permutations
i'm now like wow
it's even even i don't even know
if uh 85 percent covers it
um but we'll we'll see
would you have gone for max for a seven world champion had kimmy
had to not gone off and lando would have had been 10 points ahead
uh because that would have mean he'd
needed to finish first or second with max
if max won he'd need to finish second
uh he'd been able
to finish third wouldn't he as well no okay
that's this connotation now oh sorry
yeah he's to finish on the podium
i know he can finish fourth
no max will have more wins
uh no
it's 12 points wait fourth or lower
oh sorry it's identical isn't it sorry
bro we look if there's one thing i'm good at
you're good at knowing the entire history of formula one
i'm good at maths don't don't sorry
of course no because what was what in
my head i was remembering those scenarios of george rustle
but then yeah of course i realized um
yeah he's he's got to be on the
podium p2
then then it i would be a bit more
likely and it would just be
what would be more likely i don't know
would it be more likely because max
starts to win i just this is the thing i
don't think max is winning abdabi but
then i said that about vagusness that's
about kata and obviously kata was
even way less likely to him to win it
requires a fumble from a client it's
the only way i see it yeah that's
we've seen that a few times all right
okay both of us gone for land and
or is world champion let's head to the
family top three where it is
currently it's it's 14 9 is it 13 9 i
feel like you got one point you got one
point yeah my dad got you got the top
two did he oh yeah so it's 14 9 to the
boring belliams and sadly it has not been
past that is it is not a double points
situation so uh this is all just for fun
um i am going to call and considering it
is just for fun i'm bringing in i'm
bringing in geogene yes we're bringing
in my wonderful sister to drop her
will knowledge and this is where she
scores a perfect three pointer which
doesn't mean anything when we uh get to
the end of it geogene please i
literally messaged you say that i was
going to ring you and she's not picking
up
hello what's your message wow
is she joking imagine if this was the
actual the championship was still on them
that's null and void like you've
dns yeah dns in the family top three is
wild finally i was we're recording and i
told you and you didn't pick up
hello geogene welcome to the p1 podcast
um the the the gallegers have lost so
um this is why you're being filled
what do you mean oh you've been
watching every podcast right you've
been you've been tuning in
sure um okay all right that's annoying
yeah we have lost it's very annoying um
but this is the way the cookie crumbles
sadly can you give me please your third
position for abu dhabi the finale
oh i'm going to say oscar
oscar third okay in second second i'm
going to say max for stappen right and
in first position
wow a very normal set of predictions no
no Fernando Alonso no Lewis Hamilton
were there any other drivers in your
mind that you're going to drop randomly
or was where you always set on those
three
yeah always on those three my guy wow i
can't wait for you to score a three
pointer and it means nothing in this
family top three thank you mate
speak to you soon love you bye
all right now it's gone for no great
set of predictions yeah very normal at
the wrong time um but here we are it's
fine all right Tommy over to you
okay yeah so don't worry if you were
expecting some fun predictions from
Georgina and she didn't deliver because
i have brought in grace again
ah here we go and even better this
time so look she's she's three and a
half now she she's you know old
enough to exactly she's old enough to
be able to do this herself so no
picture of the drivers she just has to
say
so it might be it might be a unicorn in
first place we don't know okay so here
we go minus points she goes for a
unicorn okay here we go
i need you to tell me everybody
it's the season
hello today right hello
it's the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix okay
the final formula one race of the season
that's the second who's gonna finish
in third place
makes a stopper who's gonna finish second
uh
georgia's Lee and who's gonna win the
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix
color pinto color pinto
i'm gonna fall oh god i've got me so who's
gonna win the world championship max
for stappen lando norris or oscar
piastri oscar piastri
oscar piastri there we go she has she
has oscar piastri betrayed max for
stappen at the last to say oscar
piastri is going to be world champion
crazy wow there you go
franco color pinto is winning the
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix
oscar piastri winning the title
she knows the stat that every time a
three car do you see that three car
championship fight the third place wins
real wow which is mad that that's
happened how many times the last two
times it's happened last two times
2010 2007 i think every time i was
like wow okay but the last two
yeah interesting that go and tell
grace she's not done her maths well
because oscar is 16 exactly the two
alps aren't in the championship
no she's your daughter i'm kidding just
three and a half i can't really have a
go out for that i know maths are better
than mine
one thing that's actually quite funny
let you into a little like funny
thing that happened is um my so like
by the side of our tv um we have
like this like little like crystal
thing like an ornament and um when
i got back down after the race uh
after kata katie was like oh have you
seen where she put the maxa stop and
like little model car that i bought her
back from when we did the tour in the
netherlands and i looked and she'd like
placed it on the crystal before the
race and i've left it there to like
manifest like i was like if it's but
the power if that if that can uh if
that can do what kata did i'm leaving
it there yeah yeah i mean the onesy
and now the crystal with with the car
on top we're doing everything grace has
superpowers unbelievable well there you
go thank you everybody that is the final
predictions of the year don't worry
once abu dhabi is complete we will be
reflecting on our 2025 season
predictions as well as looking back on
our entire 20th the first
championship prediction as well i've
absolutely love those videos uh so
looking forward to that tommy
what are your final thoughts for the
final time in predictions in 2025
uh my final thoughts are this has been
so much fun i've really enjoyed doing the
predictions i think it's great and i love
i love the the thing we've added to
basically like the you can't predict the
same thing i think it's made such a
more interesting scenario in in a year
where obviously like a lot of the time
we've had the same two or three
drivers on on the podium so yeah really
enjoyed it i hope you've all enjoyed it
as well and i'm glad it's gone down
to the finale as well between us yeah
you are definitely the 85% favorite but uh
i wouldn't say three points there's a lot
of predictions i mean how many points
are available like nine i think i think
i've only scored three points and all
more three or more points about four
weekends this year but uh we will be
amending the the the way we do
predictions next year as well to
freshen it up add some things we've
listened to your feedback as well feel
free to send grace is just going to do
all of mine next year yeah that'd be
great just the entire podcast actually
that's that's fine you're gonna let
you win some hour right
but there you go thank you everybody
we'll see you soon lots of love take care
bye see you for the watch alongs can't
wait for it
bye
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