Our 2025 Abu Dhabi GP predictions

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Hello, everybody, and welcome back to the P1 Podcast with Matt and Tommy.

The energy is high because today, it's predictions, the championship goes down to the wire in Abu Dhabi,

not just for Lando Norris, Oscar Piastri and Max Verstappen, but also for Tom Boring Bellingham

and Matt's The Good Gallagher.

Just made that up on the spot.

People would be calling me greedy Gallagher, which is absolutely crazy.

But here we are, Tommy.

58, 55 to you, three points separating us, which to be fair, we need to correct that

there was an adjustment made.

And everybody that says that I'm always trying to get points, your dad included,

well, I was the one to message you that you got it wrong about the five people

across the two sprint and main race podiums.

So, there you go.

I gave a point away.

I could have easily got away with that.

You could have, because, yeah, I completely brain farted and forgot the podium.

Of course, George was on there and not Max in the sprint.

That's what confused me.

Exactly.

So, you are three points clear.

Now, of course, a champion is going to be crowned both here and also in Abu Dhabi.

So, there's going to be a bonus point on offer for getting the world champion correct.

And we can go for the same driver for that one prediction,

because it's unfair if whoever gets first, probably.

There's a more high percentage chance of it coming in.

So, there you go.

It is all to play for.

Let's dive into it and begin for one final time in 2025 with a good surprise.

My good surprise.

You're smiling.

So, I don't know if you've gone for the same one.

Probably.

We think very alike.

I'm going for Alex Albon.

It's my good surprise.

He's been on a very, I'm going to say steady,

slightly lower than steady run of form of late.

Carlos has been sheffing like no tomorrow.

He has been in the kitchen cooking up Gordon Ramsay level meals,

couple of podiums.

Alex, it's time for him to shine in this one.

We've been, we were so impressed with him in the first half of the year.

And I would love to see him finish the season strongly and secure.

Well, yeah, he's nine points ahead of Carlos in the championship now,

which I hope we don't see a graphic during the race,

because you know what F1 are like.

But Alex Albon is my pick.

Yeah, it would be peak formula one when there's a top three championship fight

to be like the fight for eighth.

So my good surprise, I have gone for Nico Holkenberg.

And the reason for that is that I looked at the last two years

and was like, wow, Holkenberg qualified incredibly well in the house.

So I feel like he's also improved his form a lot

since the kind of lull he had in the middle of the season.

Of course, had a bad race last time out,

but like his qualifying has improved quite a lot.

It has to be said.

And a track that he goes well at.

I've gone for the Hulk.

The Hulk is locked in.

Tommy, who are you going for a big flop?

Now you mentioned about your competitiveness

and how you will always just go for a point no matter what.

This may be a bit of a cheap one,

but I've gone for Esteban Ocon.

The logic here is that he's on quite a poor run of form

compared to Holly Berman.

He's been struggling quite a bit towards the end of the year.

He actually missed Abu Dhabi last year as well

due to the whole...

So he turns up as an Alpin.

About the last year.

Yeah, about the last year.

So I'm kind of banking on him

for getting how to drive Abu Dhabi.

No, Este Bestie.

Lock him, bro. This is for me.

There we go.

All right, you've gone for Esteban Ocon.

Speaking of cheap points...

Don't you dare go for...

You go for it, aren't you?

I've gone for Yuki Sonoda.

Okay.

I think sadly,

and I could have easily just flopped

one of the three championship contenders and be like,

well, I didn't win the world championship,

so that's a flop of the entire year.

That's five points.

Now, I've gone for Yuki Sonoda

because I do feel like Katar was a flash in the pan.

I feel he will go back to being in Struggle Town.

It'll be sad. It'll be sad to see.

I will knee slide across my room

if it does come in. I'm really sorry, Yuki.

Of course, this could well be his last

race in Formula One.

On a human level, of course, I would love to see Yuki do well

and do something like he did in the sprint in Katar,

but from a predictions cold-hearted level,

give me the point, Yuki.

Please, I beg. It doesn't matter.

Yuki, just come on.

You can't win the world championship,

but you've got Max.

You could help as a lapped car.

It might be a flop if he's going 30 seconds

a lap slower in the middle sector,

like a Paris did.

I've already thought of every scenario, Tommy.

Come on, Yuki. Be the teammate Max Verstappen needs

as I'm wearing a Max Verstappen-era's

torn t-shirt.

Right. Let's go to pole position.

My pole position

for the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix is

Oscar Piastri.

Oscar Piastri

has gone locked in.

I feel right.

So this is, of course, off of Katar as well

and how well he did there,

but with everything

that's riding,

my brain just says that Oscar Piastri

is at the very least going to get pole position.

I won't spoil anything else.

But I just feel as though with

Lando is going to feel a huge amount of pressure

and that is very,

that's a human thing to feel.

If he gets pole position and wins Lando Norris,

fair play and he's answered many critics

over the last few races anyway.

He should be world champion right now,

had it not been for the disqualification in Vegas.

But I feel as though Oscar Piastri

will drive like a man possessed

and I feel like he will be as quick

as he was in Katar.

So I've gone for Oscar Piastri pole position.

Okay.

I had gone for Oscar Piastri pole position

as well.

For exactly the same reason,

I think McLaren will be strong here.

Oscar has turned a page despite

obviously the disappointment

of what happened last time.

But I would change it to

Lando Norris.

I do think McLaren

are going to be exceptionally strong here

and that's why I'm going to go

for Lando.

I do think there will be some nerves there of course.

I wouldn't be surprised if there was

maybe

one lap during the session where

runs a bit wide or whatever like we saw it in Katar

but

I think he can lock in and grab

pole position.

We do now because I took your

prediction seriously.

Well, I do think he will do.

He's got a fantastic chance.

He's brilliant round Abu Dhabi

and I think it's a very safe prediction

to go for that.

Third position Tommy.

P3, you know what that means.

It means George Russell.

Welcome to the predictions championship again.

He's going to be in the mix.

I think he could

be a very interesting

player in the championship.

There's obviously a lot of

it feels like

if someone's going to be that driver

to get in the mix

no disrespect because Antonelli

has beaten him

in the last few but

George has more

experience and equally like Ferrari

have just fallen off a cliff now it seems.

That's why I'm going to go for George

Russell.

Third position George Russell locked

in for Tommy.

I'm changing mine on the fly

not because I had George Russell

just genuinely because I'm concerned

about antics that might well be played here

considering you get first position

Dibs.

In third position I am going for

Lando Norris.

Lando will finish the third

which

I mean our world champion prediction

could well be spreading our eggs so don't worry.

Because we've done that many times

but in third position

I am going for Lando.

I didn't want to put

in third but I'm thinking ahead

right now.

In second position

I am going to

Oh no, no it's just dawned

on me that's not the correct way to have

gone about these things Matt.

Because I know what you're going to go for

in first place so this is

this is this is

Oh my God it can't be.

No I do. If you've given away

what you're going to go for pole position

Oh my God

This is tough.

You're baiting, you're baiting

I know for a fact, oh gosh what do I do

Oh my God

I'm going to go for

Oh this is so bad

because if you go for Oscar first

and then I go for who I want to go in second

then who the hell do I put first

that's not going to be good

because George is not winning

Abu Dhabi, I'm sorry he's not

In second place I'm going for Oscar Piastri

I'm locking in Oscar Piastri P2

because I won't be able to choose him

first so I have to go for him second

and then go for someone that might win

so there you go Oscar Piastri P2

that was a long deliberation I apologise

P2 I have gone for

Lando Norris

Yes I think you kind of called that one

I think you saw where

see where this is going and yeah

I think Lando

I can see Lando being

and quite rightly cautious in the world championship fight

I think he'll have the car to win

but of course he doesn't need to win

I think that is very important

to remember for him

and McLaren whether they do or not

is another question

but that's why I'm going for

Lando P2

Yep very fair indeed

Tommy who have you gone for first position

because you have not mentioned Oscar Piastri

and he's not mentioned Max Verstappen

So P1

I have gone for

Oscar Piastri

If you put Max in that was screwed

Yeah I know

Oscar Piastri I'm going for Oscar P1

I think he's going to

want to take that win

obviously

this scenario

means that he would not win the world championship

Norris would win the world championship

but Piastri going into

you know the final race

getting that win

give him some momentum to take into the new year

even though obviously

could potentially be

difficult winter reflecting

on how the championship

has gone but it would be a nice

way to see him in the year

Okay in first position

obviously initially

I was going to go for Oscar Piastri

but I've changed it on the fly

as you've been hearing for the last few minutes

so my first position is going to be

Max Verstappen

I do not

believe it in the slightest but also

stranger things have happened

in literally the last few races

and I can't put anyone else

up there that could do something

and Max's

pace in Qatar wasn't that bad

McLaren were quicker

hard to really judge considering

they were on different strategies and McLaren were on full push

because they were doing

a different way of doing

their pit stops but

Max gets into P1

he's got a chance for sure

I know I'm saying I don't believe it but if

Max somehow finds himself leading the race

those elbows

will be the widest thing you've ever seen

and if Lando

and if Lando's in second Lando will just sit there

Lando doesn't need to try and pass Max

if he'll be world champion

he can just follow Max home

I would love to see what Max would then do

would he then do a Lewis Hamilton

on Rosberg trying to back him into the pack

and things like that

plenty of chaos that could well ensue

but that's only if Max goes into the lead

Can I just congratulate Lando and Orison

victory at the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix as well

are you going for

Piaz?

Are you going for Piaz or are you going for Max?

Lando could well

just dominate this weekend

but the things that

if it was just a normal weekend

I would say yes Lando back him

maybe Oscar it'd be quite close between the two of them

with everything that's on the line

and how the championship in some

very strange ways

is slipping away from him ever so slightly

he's still in the pound seat

and he doesn't need to win does he like

he doesn't need to take risk

he just needs to qualify in the top three

there's so many things that I'm sure be playing in his head

that's why I've not backed him

for this weekend

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let's go to one crazy prediction

at least two drivers

will be in championship

rippling position

during the race

okay so at some point

when landon orris does his pit stop

at the start and drops to fifth and then

yeah gonna get into the specifics

of the T's and C's

and i was hoping you weren't gonna think about the T's and C's

so i'll just lock that one in

and uh no michael massi has resurrected

so there you go that is

that is my prediction

my one crazy prediction i have gone for

lewis hamilton makes q3

for god's sake

oh that's a good loophole

yeah that's good when's the last time he made q3

uh that's a very good question

it's uh well there's been four

sessions he's not made it so

i need facts and figures right now let me see

qualifying lewis hamilton

because if he's

oh god they are bad aren't they

go on hit us with the last one

okay well let's just do the entire season

hamilton has qualified

eighth fifth eighth ninth seventh

eighth ninth seventh twelfth twelfth

fourth fifth fifth fourth fifth sixteenth

twelfth seventh fifth twelfth sixth fifth

third thirteenth twentieth

and that's it and then katar

which was eighteenth but it's not

eighteenth and eighteenth again in the sprint

in the sprint as well so he hasn't made

yeah he hasn't actually made q3 that much

it's not as big as loophole as i think

no i mean that's not it's four

it's a run of four isn't it he hasn't made

q3 he hasn't made out of q1 in the run

of four

anyway it's not been great yeah brazil

okay all right i'll allow it

let's go to our patreon prediction

tommy

my patreon prediction is from that

bloke and it is

carlos science finishes ahead of alex

halban in the world drivers championship

which basically means

yeah he needs nine points so a fifth place

he needs to finish fifth or above and alex

no score obviously you've gone

for a good surprise um yeah

i saw it it's obviously a long

shot but that's where it should be and

uh yeah that was quite a good one so went for

that i also thought this patreon

prediction was really good so uh i've gone

for it it's from marty

the season will be over and there will be

zero controversy peace will reign

and there will be goodwill to all men

so so this is basically

like if the title is just the biggest

anti-climax it's literally just lights to flag

nothing happens nobody dive bombs

nobody does anything silly and it's literally

just the end which i think is actually

unlikely considering max for stappan and

what max can do yeah yeah um so yeah

no controversy is essentially my

but it's also a bw so you never know

you do never know

and how do we rate controversy when we

think of 2021 like you know just

yeah because that was an absolute stinker of a race

and then it was yeah and then michael

massie pressed the big red

safety car button

right well champion

who is going to be crowned

the formula one

world champion in 2025

remember we can both go for the same one

my world champion is

lando norris

lando norris is going to be world champion

i'm i'm i'm pretty

pretty confident should everything

and that's a big caveat

should everything go to plan

lando knows to be world champion and

it's as simple as that

yeah easily uh i've also gone for

well tommy try that again

but with more hype

and more suspense

lando norris is winning uh

the championship exactly

yeah exactly uh you

if you listen to the bonus episodes i said

85 percent

uh looking at this

championship permutations

i'm now like wow

it's even even i don't even know

if uh 85 percent covers it

um but we'll we'll see

would you have gone for max for a seven world champion had kimmy

had to not gone off and lando would have had been 10 points ahead

uh because that would have mean he'd

needed to finish first or second with max

if max won he'd need to finish second

uh he'd been able

to finish third wouldn't he as well no okay

that's this connotation now oh sorry

yeah he's to finish on the podium

i know he can finish fourth

no max will have more wins

uh no

it's 12 points wait fourth or lower

oh sorry it's identical isn't it sorry

bro we look if there's one thing i'm good at

you're good at knowing the entire history of formula one

i'm good at maths don't don't sorry

of course no because what was what in

my head i was remembering those scenarios of george rustle

but then yeah of course i realized um

yeah he's he's got to be on the

podium p2

then then it i would be a bit more

likely and it would just be

what would be more likely i don't know

would it be more likely because max

starts to win i just this is the thing i

don't think max is winning abdabi but

then i said that about vagusness that's

about kata and obviously kata was

even way less likely to him to win it

requires a fumble from a client it's

the only way i see it yeah that's

we've seen that a few times all right

okay both of us gone for land and

or is world champion let's head to the

family top three where it is

currently it's it's 14 9 is it 13 9 i

feel like you got one point you got one

point yeah my dad got you got the top

two did he oh yeah so it's 14 9 to the

boring belliams and sadly it has not been

past that is it is not a double points

situation so uh this is all just for fun

um i am going to call and considering it

is just for fun i'm bringing in i'm

bringing in geogene yes we're bringing

in my wonderful sister to drop her

will knowledge and this is where she

scores a perfect three pointer which

doesn't mean anything when we uh get to

the end of it geogene please i

literally messaged you say that i was

going to ring you and she's not picking

up

hello what's your message wow

is she joking imagine if this was the

actual the championship was still on them

that's null and void like you've

dns yeah dns in the family top three is

wild finally i was we're recording and i

told you and you didn't pick up

hello geogene welcome to the p1 podcast

um the the the gallegers have lost so

um this is why you're being filled

what do you mean oh you've been

watching every podcast right you've

been you've been tuning in

sure um okay all right that's annoying

yeah we have lost it's very annoying um

but this is the way the cookie crumbles

sadly can you give me please your third

position for abu dhabi the finale

oh i'm going to say oscar

oscar third okay in second second i'm

going to say max for stappen right and

in first position

wow a very normal set of predictions no

no Fernando Alonso no Lewis Hamilton

were there any other drivers in your

mind that you're going to drop randomly

or was where you always set on those

three

yeah always on those three my guy wow i

can't wait for you to score a three

pointer and it means nothing in this

family top three thank you mate

speak to you soon love you bye

all right now it's gone for no great

set of predictions yeah very normal at

the wrong time um but here we are it's

fine all right Tommy over to you

okay yeah so don't worry if you were

expecting some fun predictions from

Georgina and she didn't deliver because

i have brought in grace again

ah here we go and even better this

time so look she's she's three and a

half now she she's you know old

enough to exactly she's old enough to

be able to do this herself so no

picture of the drivers she just has to

say

so it might be it might be a unicorn in

first place we don't know okay so here

we go minus points she goes for a

unicorn okay here we go

i need you to tell me everybody

it's the season

hello today right hello

it's the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix okay

the final formula one race of the season

that's the second who's gonna finish

in third place

makes a stopper who's gonna finish second

uh

georgia's Lee and who's gonna win the

Abu Dhabi Grand Prix

color pinto color pinto

i'm gonna fall oh god i've got me so who's

gonna win the world championship max

for stappen lando norris or oscar

piastri oscar piastri

oscar piastri there we go she has she

has oscar piastri betrayed max for

stappen at the last to say oscar

piastri is going to be world champion

crazy wow there you go

franco color pinto is winning the

Abu Dhabi Grand Prix

oscar piastri winning the title

she knows the stat that every time a

three car do you see that three car

championship fight the third place wins

real wow which is mad that that's

happened how many times the last two

times it's happened last two times

2010 2007 i think every time i was

like wow okay but the last two

yeah interesting that go and tell

grace she's not done her maths well

because oscar is 16 exactly the two

alps aren't in the championship

no she's your daughter i'm kidding just

three and a half i can't really have a

go out for that i know maths are better

than mine

one thing that's actually quite funny

let you into a little like funny

thing that happened is um my so like

by the side of our tv um we have

like this like little like crystal

thing like an ornament and um when

i got back down after the race uh

after kata katie was like oh have you

seen where she put the maxa stop and

like little model car that i bought her

back from when we did the tour in the

netherlands and i looked and she'd like

placed it on the crystal before the

race and i've left it there to like

manifest like i was like if it's but

the power if that if that can uh if

that can do what kata did i'm leaving

it there yeah yeah i mean the onesy

and now the crystal with with the car

on top we're doing everything grace has

superpowers unbelievable well there you

go thank you everybody that is the final

predictions of the year don't worry

once abu dhabi is complete we will be

reflecting on our 2025 season

predictions as well as looking back on

our entire 20th the first

championship prediction as well i've

absolutely love those videos uh so

looking forward to that tommy

what are your final thoughts for the

final time in predictions in 2025

uh my final thoughts are this has been

so much fun i've really enjoyed doing the

predictions i think it's great and i love

i love the the thing we've added to

basically like the you can't predict the

same thing i think it's made such a

more interesting scenario in in a year

where obviously like a lot of the time

we've had the same two or three

drivers on on the podium so yeah really

enjoyed it i hope you've all enjoyed it

as well and i'm glad it's gone down

to the finale as well between us yeah

you are definitely the 85% favorite but uh

i wouldn't say three points there's a lot

of predictions i mean how many points

are available like nine i think i think

i've only scored three points and all

more three or more points about four

weekends this year but uh we will be

amending the the the way we do

predictions next year as well to

freshen it up add some things we've

listened to your feedback as well feel

free to send grace is just going to do

all of mine next year yeah that'd be

great just the entire podcast actually

that's that's fine you're gonna let

you win some hour right

but there you go thank you everybody

we'll see you soon lots of love take care

bye see you for the watch alongs can't

wait for it

bye

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