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Our 2025 United States GP predictions
Our 2025 United States GP predictions
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About this episode
Matt and Tommy dive into their predictions for the 2025 United States Grand Prix at Austin, discussing key drivers like Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, and Oscar Piastri. They debate potential surprises and flops, including Ferrari's struggles and McLaren's pit stop performance. The hosts also share fan predictions from their families, adding a fun and personal touch. With a mix of stats, vibes, and playful banter, they build excitement for the race weekend and promote their upcoming live tour in the US and Canada.
Topics:
2025 united states grand prix
race predictions
max verstappen
lando norris
oscar piastri
ferrari performance
mclaren pit stops
sprint race
family predictions
p1 live delusion tour
Cars:
Dodge Charger
We're back at one of the most underrated tracks on the calendar - but will this year's US Grand Prix be as chaotic as these predictions?
The Delusion Tour is less than a month away! We're heading to North America in a few weeks and there are still a few tickets available - click here to grab yours: tix.to/p1live
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Hello everybody and welcome back to the B1 Podcast with Matt and Tommy.
It's race week.
It's predictions week.
We're back once again.
The dream is alive for us, Max Verstappen fans around the world, including myself and Tommy.
63 points, Tommy.
Six races to go and it's the penultimate.
No.
Is it the penultimate sprint?
No.
We've got three sprints left, haven't we?
So it's not penultimate.
What's the one before that?
Tree ultimate.
I'm making up words now.
We've got three left.
Yeah.
We've got Austin.
We've got Brazil and we've got Qatar.
Right?
Yeah.
So this is the third.
Fourth.
Are you looking forward to this one?
I am.
Yeah.
It's good.
Austin is such an underrated circuit.
We say it all the time and sometimes there'll be bits in the race where you go, oh, is Austin
that good?
And then it does seem to just deliver like really exciting moments.
So hoping for more of the same.
Me too.
Now before we get into all predictions, this absolutely makes sense to say that we
are doing our P1 live delusion tour in the US.
It's the United States Grand Prix.
Come on.
You can see the segue.
United States and Canada tour.
It's happening in a matter of weeks.
So get yourself a ticket and come and see me and Tommy.
There's no guarantee that we will come back to the US in the near future.
We don't know.
We don't know our plans, but we'd love to have you at the delusion tour.
It's going to be a hell of a lot of fun.
So get your tickets.
There'll be a link in the description.
Right.
It is 45-44 to Tom Bellingham.
Is that correct?
Have we got the correct score?
It is absolutely correct.
It is one point.
One point in it.
Incredible.
I'm not getting a double pointer for the flop.
I saw your comments.
Thanks for all the support, sarcasm.
But look, my flop, wow, I really need to finish that sentence quickly, don't I?
My flop streak was quite something.
Well, not streak.
I think it was like seven in the last nine.
It's been very good.
Tommy, it's your turn to go first, so can you please hit me with your good surprise?
I will do.
My good surprise is Gabrielle Portoletto.
I'm feeling like, hopefully, we get the old Portoletto back, and yes, Sabra back, Portoletto
is back.
Went on this amazing run, and yeah, it just seems like last race in particular was very
tough for him, but I think he's going to do well here.
Sprint weekend, back to his best.
Back to his best.
All the bees.
Pure vibes.
You're flying with the alliteration right now.
I love to see it.
Okay, Portoletto locked in for Tommy.
My good surprise is Max Verstappen.
Oh, God's sake.
He's winning it all.
He's winning.
He's winning the sprint.
He's winning that.
Okay, let's not ruin all the predictions.
And to be fair, I may well just keep my eggs very much spread out of one particular
basket because I have to win this prediction championship more than anything.
It's going to be Max Verstappen.
Yeah.
Just sprint weekends work well with Max Verstappen, I think, I believe.
Yeah, yeah.
And he's very quick, up to speed.
A red ball that's actually working is what I'm seeing right now.
The Singapore bogey track is out the way.
He loves Austin.
And I think that this could be a very special weekend for all of us Max Verstappen fans
out there.
Oh, interesting.
I hope you're right.
Imagine listening to this podcast over the last two weekends, by the way, and thinking
that we're both Max fans.
Yeah, if you've just joined.
What's this Max Verstappen podcast?
Yeah, it's not.
I promise.
I'm a Charlotte Clair fan through and through.
Right.
Let's head to a big flop.
And my prediction for this week is Kimmy Antonelli.
I'm sorry to all Kimmy Antonelli fans.
I really am.
Look, this is all done on vibes.
I don't genuinely think actually quite funny.
And on the fly is that weird chemical thing that every single time he does well
at.
I haven't seen it.
I think we have mentioned on the podcast.
It's like food coloring, isn't it?
Food coloring thing.
And I wonder if it's banned in Austin because every time it isn't banned
that particular food coloring Kimmy Antonelli does insanely well.
If you've never heard of this meme before, it is actually wild.
It's really funny.
It's like average finishing position in a country where the food coloring is banned
is basically like 12th or something.
And then when it's allowed, it's like fifth.
And it's so weird.
I need to look it up right now.
I need to titanium dioxide.
So is titanium dioxide banned in Austin?
No, it's not.
Kimmy Antonelli masterclass.
I want to change my flop.
He's winning.
He's winning.
He's winning it all.
No, I'm coming.
It's still Kimmy Antonelli big flop.
No reason other than vibes.
Sorry, Kimmy.
OK, speaking of Italy, big flop I've gone for.
Ferrari.
This has a double DS key written all over it.
The plank isn't even lasting the sprint.
Yeah, I appreciate that they had a terrible, you know,
I'm going for a big flop after one of the cars had no brakes.
The other was lifting coasting the entire Grand Prix.
So that's how bad I think this race is going to be for Ferrari.
Yeah, I just think their struggles will be even more extreme here
at a track that is, you know, of course, they've been shall
look like I got disqualified at before.
And that's before, you know, that's when he had a car that
that's plank could normally last a Grand Prix.
So yeah, I'm not seeing good times for Ferrari.
OK, great.
And to be fair, your flops for Ferrari have been very accurate
this year.
So not looking forward to that one whatsoever.
Sprint pole position, Tommy.
I've gone for Max Verstappen.
And I think you might be changing it.
And yeah, I it's interesting you went for good surprise
because Sprint weekends are something about Max.
He does just he's one of those drivers that just go straight
out the blocks and is quick.
And, you know, you normally see it in a lot of races.
If you get like a wet practice session, he doesn't
he doesn't dial in and do a few laps.
He'll put like a ridiculous lap in.
And he's always been that kind of driver that just goes
for it immediately.
The Sprints do seem to to suit him quite nicely.
So yeah, and it's a circuit they likes.
So Sprint pole gone for Max.
So by way of the regulations, I must now announce
that yes, and to be fair, the F bomb I said under
my breath is probably enough evidence.
But I will also just say that yes, I was going to go
for Max Verstappen Sprint pole.
So instead, I have changed it to Lando Norris,
which is not a bad reserve prediction to be honest with you.
Because I think McLaren will be very strong here.
As much as I say Max Verstappen good surprise.
I think McLaren will be very much fighting Max.
Could well be a mouthwatering prospect to be honest
with you.
I'm very excited to see who will be quickest this weekend.
But yeah, Lando Norris pole position Sprint pole.
Sorry.
And I'm pretty happy with that one.
We now go to Sprint winner where I get to go first
and I'm going for Max Verstappen.
And I will change.
There you go.
Well, yeah, you can do your change in a second.
Of course, I was going to go for Sprint pole
and Sprint winner Max Verstappen,
but I'm still happy for that.
And I think to be honest with you,
if Max is on the front row of the grid,
not even on pole position for the Sprint,
he is flying down the inside at turn one,
no matter how close to the inside Lando gets.
Of course, if you don't remember last year,
of course we were talking about how Lando
did not close the inside enough
and Max will find a way, I think.
So Sprint winner, MV.
Sprint winner, I will change from Max Verstappen
and go for Oscar Piastri.
He's, yeah, maybe not the greatest form at the moment,
but he has been good at these kind of circuits.
McLaren should still be quick,
even though I do think Max will be quick
and challenging them again and be there with them.
So I'll go for Oscar Piastri.
Okey-dokey.
Now we head to the main pole position.
I'm going to go for Max Verstappen.
He loves, he's been very good in qualifying this year.
That has seemed to have been,
you know, McLaren have a very quick race car.
And I say that they've struggled in qualifying.
They certainly haven't struggled at all,
but compared to the race,
it's not been their strongest point,
you know, Max obviously getting the most
poles this year up until this point.
So yeah, I'll go for the Sprint pole pole position double
for Max Verstappen.
Okey, I do not need to change my pole position
because I was already going to go for Lando Norris.
So I've gone for a double pole for Lando.
You've gone for double pole Max.
Do I need to really explain any more
same reasoning as the Sprint pole?
I think Lando is on a good run of form at the moment.
I think you said maybe it was in the previous podcast,
he's beaten Oscar in three of the last four races
and it just feels like the momentum
slightly with Lando at the moment.
So I think it's a safer bet to go for Lando over Oscar,
but I could also say Oscar of course doing
great performances as he's done many times this year.
Third position for the main race.
I am locking in Oscar Piastri.
I'm not seeing any Mercedes shenanigans
to be messing with the top three in my opinion.
I'm definitely not seeing any Ferrari.
So yeah, I think Oscar.
Look, it's getting crunch time in the main championship.
It's getting to crunch time in the predictions championship
and I'm not doing anything stupid at this point.
Ask me in the next one.
But for now Oscar P3.
For the, I don't know how many time in this podcast
I will change my version because I had Oscar Piastri P3
and I will change it too.
Max for Stappen.
Oh, there we go.
He's lost all hope immediately.
I'll go for Max.
No reason to just.
Because yeah, I mean, no spoiling the top two
but I think it's going to be between
three drivers this weekend.
No offense to George Russell
and every time we write him off he somehow wins the race
so maybe he's going to win.
But yeah, I see this being
a papaya versus Max for Stappen weekend.
But who knows?
Who knows?
We certainly don't.
Based on predictions last time.
Entire year.
Second place then, Mr Bellingham.
So I now have to change mine again
because I had for Stappen in P2
and I've already picked him.
So I will now change that to
Oscar Piastri.
Say that with some confidence, Tommy.
Yeah, I'll go for Oscar Piastri.
Yes, he's, I think he's going to
have a good weekend
but spoiler alert,
I kind of, you know, this is where it goes bad
when we share the same opinion
and the complete opposite happens
but I do concur that I think
there's just something in the moment
that feels like the momentum
is with Lando a little bit more
based on his driving
and also how papaya rules are implemented.
So, yeah.
Okay, so
I'm going to do something very funny now.
Because in second place
I am going to go for
Max Verstappen.
So I've changed that on the fly
because I'm doing something very funny indeed.
So looking forward to seeing what Tom Bellingham does
from here.
So yeah, second place Max Verstappen.
We now go to first place
where of course it is my pick first
and I'm going for
Lando Norris.
See.
Oh, I love these rules.
I love them so much.
The way this works out as well
is when you go first you get screwed
which is really annoying.
We switch every week
and there's more opportunities for you
to screw me over as well
but that's what I'm going to do
for the sake of the predictions points
for the sake of the podcast
and watch Tommy now pluck a first place
out of thin air that comes through
at the end of Sunday.
Hmm.
Well, I think it
I think it can only be one man
now. Charlie Clair.
Oh.
I went for a very big flop.
So yeah, I was
going to go for Lando.
I'll, you know, explain my reasoning
the same as you I think that
the vibe
has shifted towards Lando.
I do think there's
I don't think it's like pure insane
favoritism but I think
this whole narrative even just in the media
will pile pressure
on the whole situation
and that
it will play on, you know,
Piastri's mind and it will how
how he kind of manages that
is going to be really, really fascinating
because I think what's so exciting
about this championship fight
going into it is you've almost got
like the three drivers
in order you flip
them round is the form like
this happens on the best form at the moment Lando second
Oscar third but they're the opposite
way around in the championship which is exactly
what you want to see. So I do think Lando
is going to be really strong but I can't predict him
so I will go for George Russell
the who will do less
and win the race.
Imagine imagine I forced you into something
crazy and he actually does go and win back to back races
that would be wild and fair play
you know fair play it's a good prediction
but it depends if Mercedes can
just literally turn up
and randomly beat the fastest car.
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all right one
crazy prediction Tommy
this is unbelievable
for me if it comes true of course
this is the Matt Gallagher
of all Leap Poles
this is brilliant
this is actually one of my best I think I've ever done
my one crazy prediction is
all McLaren pit stops are under
three seconds
and I've bought receipts
that's fine I'm fine with that
but it's actually
surprising
so basically in the last
eight races they've only
done this once which is crazy
wow isn't that mad
I had a slow
slow stop seven of the last eight
races sometimes twice and
yeah the
the only race that it did go
well for them they did a 1.9
a 1.9 of the two
so they just smashed hungry
and all the rest went wrong
goodness gracious I mean
I love how
confident you are with this one
I can't wait for the
two three second stops
three point oh and I'm celebrating
I can't wait for that
okay my crazy prediction is also to do with
McLaren and it is that Lando and Oscar
have another disagreement
whatever that might be
papaya rules discussion or whatever
so basically just stupid radio
where they're asking each other what strategies are
we'll decipher that
to my benefit
whichever way possible
but that's my crazy prediction
we now go to our Patreon prediction
where if you're part of the P1 Patreon
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I have gone for
P13
and this is me now spreading my eggs
finally at the end of the podcast
to try and maybe get a point
sprint poll does not win the sprint
same for the main qualifying and main race
so poll does not win
either of the sprint
and yeah so basically they have to not win both
of those sessions which goes
against literally a double poll
and win
for oh no I went sprint poll
to be fair now I've mixed up a little bit
but that's what I've gone for
so the poll sitter can't
win in both of them
nice good one
I have gone for
Glush
Lance
Outscores
Fernando
it's a Lance Fernando one again
ridiculous
now Fernando has got into the lead
I'm scared
that every time he does get into the lead
in the
the real world championship
which is
can Fernando Alonzo beat Lance Troll
in the championship
yeah something
happens and Lance gets ahead again so
yeah that's what I've gone for
right it's time for the family
top three yes
what everyone tunes in for
to hear our family's washed
predictions it's nine eight
to the boring Bellingham
still
still leading so I have
drafted in an absolute
it's my mum
mum has not been on the channel for a while
I am very
concerned about this
we can have a double Ferrari
top three
just stopped ringing that's always useful isn't it
yeah Matt don't worry
you can ring me
and it's just stopped ringing
let's try that again
mum
wow
it's not even ringing
the spend is killing me
let me try a whatsapp ringer
because that was really weird it rang once
and then went and then just like she froze
she hadn't studied every driver's
race
oh wow that was the quickest answer
I tried to ring you normally it didn't work
I had to use whatsapp
I tried to actually pick up
but it didn't pick up phenomenal content
absolutely brilliant right so you're live
you're live on the P1 podcast right now mum
I'm live I've just been tackling
an infestation of lady birds
for your listeners
wow I wonder where you're going with that
anyway yeah okay so
can you please give me
third place for Austin
third is
George Russell
George Russell is third place
alright P2
Oscar Piastri
okay and let me think
who might be first place
Max Verstappen
oh no Landau
no Landau
wow no Landau fourth
nah that doesn't matter
there's no fourth in the top three
okay wow good
she know we're behind right anyway okay that's fine
that's fine alright okay we've gone from Max Verstappen
win to be fair so did I
so yeah thanks mum right
thank you love you bye
okay
okay my dad
what is he going to call me this way
get your predictions in now
do something crazy go wild
new name
hi dad you alright what do you mean hello
hi Freddy yeah
I'm fine thank you good stuff right
we've not scored many big points
in a long time and the Gallegas are far too close
so I want a big big
good prediction
well mum told me off and we were discussing it
oh okay
she said Tom won't be very happy
because I was going to go out
there a bit
let him cook Tommy don't you dare
P3 go for it
P3
Charles
no okay P2
it's over it's over
Max and P1
Louis
wow
oh I love it
I love it
the funniest thing is
Matt just rang his mum
and Max was like
this could be interesting and I went
we're getting a double Ferrari podium
and you did it so amazing
thanks
alright
you never know
I think we should just win the championship
to be honest
I'm obviously predicting the
McLaren's take each other out
oh yeah spicy
spicy
and I sent you a thing about the Williams
yeah don't worry
that's not getting that Williams
point from last time don't you worry
quite right too
alright dad
that's enough from the boring Bellingham
okay take care
sorry
I love it
your mum was in the background as well
oh no
well that makes things
very interesting
I mean if Ferrari do
char one round Austin I'll tell you
yeah he did actually didn't he
it's not the same car that's for sure
but wow I thought my mum was definitely
going to put Charlotte Clair in her top 3
I was convinced your mum was going to put both
Ferraris in there and my dad just did the ultimate
amazing it has gone for a Hamilton
win in Austin that would be
quite something that would
right that is it thank you everybody for tuning
in to the P1 predictions for the Austin
GP the United States Grand Prix even though there's
three US GP's but this one is the US
Grand Prix Tommy how excited are you
for this one it's one of my favourite tracks on the calendar
and I
am rather ready for it
same I love
I love this track we were lucky
enough to go last year doing our
live show when we as well and stuff so
yeah big
big hype I can't believe
I've got a cowboy hat and I didn't wear it for the
intro crazy
might have to re-record that
that is devastating maybe for the
re-record the YouTube intro
do it for a future one for people to look forward to
just the cowboy hat and nothing else
maybe if Max wins
and on that note we will see you
for all of the weekend's coverage
can't wait for it and yeah go get your P1
live delusion tour tickets
we'll see you soon
bye
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