Our 2025 United States GP predictions

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Hello everybody and welcome back to the B1 Podcast with Matt and Tommy.

It's race week.

It's predictions week.

We're back once again.

The dream is alive for us, Max Verstappen fans around the world, including myself and Tommy.

63 points, Tommy.

Six races to go and it's the penultimate.

No.

Is it the penultimate sprint?

No.

We've got three sprints left, haven't we?

So it's not penultimate.

What's the one before that?

Tree ultimate.

I'm making up words now.

We've got three left.

Yeah.

We've got Austin.

We've got Brazil and we've got Qatar.

Right?

Yeah.

So this is the third.

Fourth.

Are you looking forward to this one?

I am.

Yeah.

It's good.

Austin is such an underrated circuit.

We say it all the time and sometimes there'll be bits in the race where you go, oh, is Austin

that good?

And then it does seem to just deliver like really exciting moments.

So hoping for more of the same.

Me too.

Now before we get into all predictions, this absolutely makes sense to say that we

are doing our P1 live delusion tour in the US.

It's the United States Grand Prix.

Come on.

You can see the segue.

United States and Canada tour.

It's happening in a matter of weeks.

So get yourself a ticket and come and see me and Tommy.

There's no guarantee that we will come back to the US in the near future.

We don't know.

We don't know our plans, but we'd love to have you at the delusion tour.

It's going to be a hell of a lot of fun.

So get your tickets.

There'll be a link in the description.

Right.

It is 45-44 to Tom Bellingham.

Is that correct?

Have we got the correct score?

It is absolutely correct.

It is one point.

One point in it.

Incredible.

I'm not getting a double pointer for the flop.

I saw your comments.

Thanks for all the support, sarcasm.

But look, my flop, wow, I really need to finish that sentence quickly, don't I?

My flop streak was quite something.

Well, not streak.

I think it was like seven in the last nine.

It's been very good.

Tommy, it's your turn to go first, so can you please hit me with your good surprise?

I will do.

My good surprise is Gabrielle Portoletto.

I'm feeling like, hopefully, we get the old Portoletto back, and yes, Sabra back, Portoletto

is back.

Went on this amazing run, and yeah, it just seems like last race in particular was very

tough for him, but I think he's going to do well here.

Sprint weekend, back to his best.

Back to his best.

All the bees.

Pure vibes.

You're flying with the alliteration right now.

I love to see it.

Okay, Portoletto locked in for Tommy.

My good surprise is Max Verstappen.

Oh, God's sake.

He's winning it all.

He's winning.

He's winning the sprint.

He's winning that.

Okay, let's not ruin all the predictions.

And to be fair, I may well just keep my eggs very much spread out of one particular

basket because I have to win this prediction championship more than anything.

It's going to be Max Verstappen.

Yeah.

Just sprint weekends work well with Max Verstappen, I think, I believe.

Yeah, yeah.

And he's very quick, up to speed.

A red ball that's actually working is what I'm seeing right now.

The Singapore bogey track is out the way.

He loves Austin.

And I think that this could be a very special weekend for all of us Max Verstappen fans

out there.

Oh, interesting.

I hope you're right.

Imagine listening to this podcast over the last two weekends, by the way, and thinking

that we're both Max fans.

Yeah, if you've just joined.

What's this Max Verstappen podcast?

Yeah, it's not.

I promise.

I'm a Charlotte Clair fan through and through.

Right.

Let's head to a big flop.

And my prediction for this week is Kimmy Antonelli.

I'm sorry to all Kimmy Antonelli fans.

I really am.

Look, this is all done on vibes.

I don't genuinely think actually quite funny.

And on the fly is that weird chemical thing that every single time he does well

at.

I haven't seen it.

I think we have mentioned on the podcast.

It's like food coloring, isn't it?

Food coloring thing.

And I wonder if it's banned in Austin because every time it isn't banned

that particular food coloring Kimmy Antonelli does insanely well.

If you've never heard of this meme before, it is actually wild.

It's really funny.

It's like average finishing position in a country where the food coloring is banned

is basically like 12th or something.

And then when it's allowed, it's like fifth.

And it's so weird.

I need to look it up right now.

I need to titanium dioxide.

So is titanium dioxide banned in Austin?

No, it's not.

Kimmy Antonelli masterclass.

I want to change my flop.

He's winning.

He's winning it all.

No, I'm coming.

It's still Kimmy Antonelli big flop.

No reason other than vibes.

Sorry, Kimmy.

OK, speaking of Italy, big flop I've gone for.

Ferrari.

This has a double DS key written all over it.

The plank isn't even lasting the sprint.

Yeah, I appreciate that they had a terrible, you know,

I'm going for a big flop after one of the cars had no brakes.

The other was lifting coasting the entire Grand Prix.

So that's how bad I think this race is going to be for Ferrari.

Yeah, I just think their struggles will be even more extreme here

at a track that is, you know, of course, they've been shall

look like I got disqualified at before.

And that's before, you know, that's when he had a car that

that's plank could normally last a Grand Prix.

So yeah, I'm not seeing good times for Ferrari.

OK, great.

And to be fair, your flops for Ferrari have been very accurate

this year.

So not looking forward to that one whatsoever.

Sprint pole position, Tommy.

I've gone for Max Verstappen.

And I think you might be changing it.

And yeah, I it's interesting you went for good surprise

because Sprint weekends are something about Max.

He does just he's one of those drivers that just go straight

out the blocks and is quick.

And, you know, you normally see it in a lot of races.

If you get like a wet practice session, he doesn't

he doesn't dial in and do a few laps.

He'll put like a ridiculous lap in.

And he's always been that kind of driver that just goes

for it immediately.

The Sprints do seem to to suit him quite nicely.

So yeah, and it's a circuit they likes.

So Sprint pole gone for Max.

So by way of the regulations, I must now announce

that yes, and to be fair, the F bomb I said under

my breath is probably enough evidence.

But I will also just say that yes, I was going to go

for Max Verstappen Sprint pole.

So instead, I have changed it to Lando Norris,

which is not a bad reserve prediction to be honest with you.

Because I think McLaren will be very strong here.

As much as I say Max Verstappen good surprise.

I think McLaren will be very much fighting Max.

Could well be a mouthwatering prospect to be honest

with you.

I'm very excited to see who will be quickest this weekend.

But yeah, Lando Norris pole position Sprint pole.

Sorry.

And I'm pretty happy with that one.

We now go to Sprint winner where I get to go first

and I'm going for Max Verstappen.

And I will change.

There you go.

Well, yeah, you can do your change in a second.

Of course, I was going to go for Sprint pole

and Sprint winner Max Verstappen,

but I'm still happy for that.

And I think to be honest with you,

if Max is on the front row of the grid,

not even on pole position for the Sprint,

he is flying down the inside at turn one,

no matter how close to the inside Lando gets.

Of course, if you don't remember last year,

of course we were talking about how Lando

did not close the inside enough

and Max will find a way, I think.

So Sprint winner, MV.

Sprint winner, I will change from Max Verstappen

and go for Oscar Piastri.

He's, yeah, maybe not the greatest form at the moment,

but he has been good at these kind of circuits.

McLaren should still be quick,

even though I do think Max will be quick

and challenging them again and be there with them.

So I'll go for Oscar Piastri.

Okey-dokey.

Now we head to the main pole position.

I'm going to go for Max Verstappen.

He loves, he's been very good in qualifying this year.

That has seemed to have been,

you know, McLaren have a very quick race car.

And I say that they've struggled in qualifying.

They certainly haven't struggled at all,

but compared to the race,

it's not been their strongest point,

you know, Max obviously getting the most

poles this year up until this point.

So yeah, I'll go for the Sprint pole pole position double

for Max Verstappen.

Okey, I do not need to change my pole position

because I was already going to go for Lando Norris.

So I've gone for a double pole for Lando.

You've gone for double pole Max.

Do I need to really explain any more

same reasoning as the Sprint pole?

I think Lando is on a good run of form at the moment.

I think you said maybe it was in the previous podcast,

he's beaten Oscar in three of the last four races

and it just feels like the momentum

slightly with Lando at the moment.

So I think it's a safer bet to go for Lando over Oscar,

but I could also say Oscar of course doing

great performances as he's done many times this year.

Third position for the main race.

I am locking in Oscar Piastri.

I'm not seeing any Mercedes shenanigans

to be messing with the top three in my opinion.

I'm definitely not seeing any Ferrari.

So yeah, I think Oscar.

Look, it's getting crunch time in the main championship.

It's getting to crunch time in the predictions championship

and I'm not doing anything stupid at this point.

Ask me in the next one.

But for now Oscar P3.

For the, I don't know how many time in this podcast

I will change my version because I had Oscar Piastri P3

and I will change it too.

Max for Stappen.

Oh, there we go.

He's lost all hope immediately.

I'll go for Max.

No reason to just.

Because yeah, I mean, no spoiling the top two

but I think it's going to be between

three drivers this weekend.

No offense to George Russell

and every time we write him off he somehow wins the race

so maybe he's going to win.

But yeah, I see this being

a papaya versus Max for Stappen weekend.

But who knows?

Who knows?

We certainly don't.

Based on predictions last time.

Entire year.

Second place then, Mr Bellingham.

So I now have to change mine again

because I had for Stappen in P2

and I've already picked him.

So I will now change that to

Oscar Piastri.

Say that with some confidence, Tommy.

Yeah, I'll go for Oscar Piastri.

Yes, he's, I think he's going to

have a good weekend

but spoiler alert,

I kind of, you know, this is where it goes bad

when we share the same opinion

and the complete opposite happens

but I do concur that I think

there's just something in the moment

that feels like the momentum

is with Lando a little bit more

based on his driving

and also how papaya rules are implemented.

So, yeah.

Okay, so

I'm going to do something very funny now.

Because in second place

I am going to go for

Max Verstappen.

So I've changed that on the fly

because I'm doing something very funny indeed.

So looking forward to seeing what Tom Bellingham does

from here.

So yeah, second place Max Verstappen.

We now go to first place

where of course it is my pick first

and I'm going for

Lando Norris.

See.

Oh, I love these rules.

I love them so much.

The way this works out as well

is when you go first you get screwed

which is really annoying.

We switch every week

and there's more opportunities for you

to screw me over as well

but that's what I'm going to do

for the sake of the predictions points

for the sake of the podcast

and watch Tommy now pluck a first place

out of thin air that comes through

at the end of Sunday.

Hmm.

Well, I think it

I think it can only be one man

now. Charlie Clair.

Oh.

I went for a very big flop.

So yeah, I was

going to go for Lando.

I'll, you know, explain my reasoning

the same as you I think that

the vibe

has shifted towards Lando.

I do think there's

I don't think it's like pure insane

favoritism but I think

this whole narrative even just in the media

will pile pressure

on the whole situation

and that

it will play on, you know,

Piastri's mind and it will how

how he kind of manages that

is going to be really, really fascinating

because I think what's so exciting

about this championship fight

going into it is you've almost got

like the three drivers

in order you flip

them round is the form like

this happens on the best form at the moment Lando second

Oscar third but they're the opposite

way around in the championship which is exactly

what you want to see. So I do think Lando

is going to be really strong but I can't predict him

so I will go for George Russell

the who will do less

and win the race.

Imagine imagine I forced you into something

crazy and he actually does go and win back to back races

that would be wild and fair play

you know fair play it's a good prediction

but it depends if Mercedes can

just literally turn up

and randomly beat the fastest car.

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