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Our 2026 Austrian GP Predictions

Our 2026 Austrian GP Predictions

P1 with Matt and Tommy Jun 24, 2026 35 min
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About this episode

Race week at the Red Bull Ring sets the tone as Matt and Tommy frame Austria as a “power track” where straight-mode behavior and “overtake activation” near the last corner could shuffle the order. They debate whether Mercedes can repeat a dominant run, citing past “meltdowns” and reliability pressure, while backing Lando Norris and Charles Leclerc for strong weekends. Pole and podium picks land on Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton, George Russell, and more, plus plenty of off-track chaos and prediction-game banter.

Technical Too Afraid to Ask
Topic

Formula One

"Now we're in the momentum month... We get to talk about some more Formula One."

Formula One (F1) is the top tier of open-wheel motorsport, with teams racing highly engineered cars on purpose-built circuits. In F1, race-weekend performance can swing quickly based on track characteristics and car setup.

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Red Bull Ring

"And I'm very excited Tommy to see what Austria, the Red Bull Ring and the sound of music can bring to us."

The Red Bull Ring is the Formula 1 track in Austria. It has a lot of fast turns and hills, so the way a car grips the road matters a lot for who wins.

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straight modes

"Also worth mentioning is that there are four straight modes for the Austrian Grand Prix. So basically, anytime there's a straight, it's a straight mode."

“Straight modes” are different driving settings the car uses depending on whether it’s going down a straight or through corners. The idea is to make the car faster and more effective where passing is more likely.

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overtake activation

"And then in terms of where the activation point, the overtake activation is just before the last corner."

“Overtake activation” is when the car gets access to extra help for passing. In this case, it kicks in right before the last corner, so that’s when you’ll see attempts to gain position.

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DRS

"So you can keep an eye out for that similar, I think to how we used to have DRS in the past."

DRS is a system in Formula 1 that briefly reduces drag by changing the rear wing. The goal is to help cars get close enough to pass on certain parts of the track.

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Kevin Magnussen

"But former Formula One driver, Kevin Magnussen, was stealing all the headlines because nothing was happening, but also because of his NASCAR debut."

Kevin Magnussen is a well-known Formula 1 driver. In this segment, they’re talking about him trying NASCAR for the first time, which is a big change from F1.

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NASCAR debut

"But former Formula One driver, Kevin Magnussen, was stealing all the headlines because nothing was happening, but also because of his NASCAR debut."

A “NASCAR debut” is when someone races NASCAR for the first time. NASCAR is a different kind of racing than F1, so it often draws extra attention when a top driver makes the switch.

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brake testing

"The guy was brake testing him for 33rd place."

“Brake testing” is when a driver brakes in a way that forces the other driver to slow down or change their line. It’s usually meant to mess with the other car’s rhythm and make passing harder.

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Lando Norris

"Of course, something about Lando Norris, I just think of the Red Bull Ring [492.8s] and the Austrian Grand Prix and Lando Norris. [494.9s] He is brilliant around here."

Lando Norris is a Formula 1 race driver. The hosts are saying he tends to do well at the Austrian track and have had good results there before.

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Topic

Austrian Grand Prix

"Of course, something about Lando Norris, I just think of the Red Bull Ring [492.8s] and the Austrian Grand Prix and Lando Norris."

It’s a Formula 1 race in Austria. Drivers race on a track called the Red Bull Ring, and the cars have to brake hard and manage tires well.

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podium

"He got a podium in 2020 and 2021, as I was saying, [502.2s] back when McLaren certainly weren't the front-running team like they had been."

A “podium” finish means finishing in the top three positions. In F1, that’s a big deal because it shows you were one of the fastest cars that day.

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McLaren

"He got a podium in 2020 and 2021, as I was saying, [502.2s] back when McLaren certainly weren't the front-running team like they had been."

McLaren is a Formula 1 racing team. The hosts are talking about how strong they were (or weren’t) at different points in recent seasons.

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Charles Leclerc

"Charles Leclerc. Honestly, I feel... There's a loophole as if he doesn't go into a wall... I feel like a banging Charles Leclerc weekend is coming up."

Charles Leclerc is a Formula 1 race driver. The hosts are talking about how he might do in the Austrian Grand Prix and why they think he could be strong again.

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Kimi Antonelli

"81 points behind Kimberi Antonelli... Charles Leclerc evened the gap between himself and Kimi Antonelli at the Barcelona-Castellini Grand Prix."

Kimi Antonelli is another Formula 1 driver. The hosts compare his points to Leclerc’s and talk about how close Leclerc is in the standings.

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Term

will-to-will battle

"I feel like he changed as a driver when Max Verstappen shoved him wide in that will-to-will battle in 2022."

A “will-to-will battle” means two drivers are fighting hard for the same spot on the track. It’s basically a no-backing-down kind of race duel.

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Topic

Barcelona-Castellini Grand Prix

"Charles Leclerc evened the gap between himself and Kimi Antonelli at the Barcelona-Castellini Grand Prix. Didn't lose any points to Kimi."

They’re talking about a specific race in Barcelona where they think Leclerc improved his championship position. It’s used as evidence for how his season is trending.

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benchmark

"But Barcelona is a track that is quite literally the benchmark, the baseline for a Formula One car."

A “benchmark” is a reference point. Here, they mean Barcelona is a track they trust to compare how fast different F1 cars really are.

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power track

"The explanation is very much a power track. Maybe Ferrari bring their engine upgrades."

A “power track” is a race track where engine power and acceleration matter a lot. Cars that can go fast in a straight line and speed up quickly after slowing down tend to do better there.

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engine upgrades

"Maybe Ferrari bring their engine upgrades. Of course, it seems like they will have engine upgrades as well,"

“Engine upgrades” are updates to the engine to make it stronger or more efficient. In racing, even small improvements can help a team go faster.

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Ferrari

"Maybe Ferrari bring their engine upgrades. ... Of course, it seems like they will have engine upgrades as well, thanks to Red Bull having the best power unit,"

Ferrari is a famous Formula 1 team. In this segment, they’re talking about whether Ferrari’s upgrades and driving strengths will help them be fast at the Austrian GP.

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power unit

"thanks to Red Bull having the best power unit, and then being behind."

In F1, the “power unit” is the whole hybrid power system that makes the car go. It includes the engine and the hybrid parts that store and reuse energy to help with acceleration.

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Mercedes

"So, the logic behind it is that I do get your thoughts behind Mercedes, but I think Mercedes will be strong."

Mercedes is another major Formula 1 team. The hosts think Mercedes might do well here because the track favors cars that accelerate strongly after braking.

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shifted some of the weight out the car

"Being a power track, rumours that Red Bull are potentially shifted some of the weight out the car, so maybe Max is in the mix as well."

“Shifting some of the weight out the car” refers to changing the car’s weight distribution or removing mass to improve balance and performance. In F1, small setup changes can affect traction, tire behavior, and how quickly the car responds in braking and acceleration.

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Max

"rumours that Red Bull are potentially shifted some of the weight out the car, so maybe Max is in the mix as well."

“Max” is Max Verstappen, one of the leading F1 drivers. If they say he’s “in the mix,” they mean he could be fighting for the best positions at the front.

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pole position

"All right, pole position, no sprint weekend, straight into the Saturday pole position, Tom Bellingham."

Pole position means you start the race from the very front. It’s given to the driver who qualifies fastest, and it’s a big advantage at the start.

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FIA

"If Red Bull, because clearly they have, you know, the best power units according to the FIA,"

FIA is the organization that runs the rulebook for motorsport, including Formula 1. When they mention the FIA, they mean the official authority behind the sport.

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Sunday Grand Prix

"Third position for the main race, the Sunday Grand Prix. In P3, I am going to lock in Lewis Hamilton."

The Sunday Grand Prix is the main Formula 1 race on the weekend. It’s the big race where drivers score points.

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Lewis Hamilton

"In P3, I am going to lock in Lewis Hamilton. Now, no disrespect to Lewis Hamilton. Our third place is actually a good thing for the 2026 season."

Lewis Hamilton is a top Formula 1 driver from the UK. Here, the host is predicting he’ll finish third in the main Sunday race.

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George Russell

"P2, I've gone for George Russell. Back-to-back P2s for George Russell, potentially. If this comes in, I do think Mercedes will still have a good opportunity here."

George Russell is a Formula 1 driver for Mercedes. The host is predicting he’ll finish second in the main race.

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Term

reliability issues

"it just depends whether his car goes, you know, I don't fancy it this weekend and he has seven different reliability issues."

“Reliability issues” means the car might have problems—like parts not working properly. If that happens, it can hurt the driver’s results and may force the team to change parts.

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last parts

"he is very much on his last parts of certain things in his car as well."

“Last parts” means the car’s key components are nearly used up. The team tries to avoid using them too much so they don’t have to replace them early and get penalized.

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penalties

"So he will be receiving penalties in the near future. So he sits in the garage all the practice to save them."

“Penalties” in F1 are punishments that can move a driver back on the starting grid. They often happen when teams replace worn-out parts too soon.

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Charlotte Clair

"So you're like, I'm going to go for Charlotte Clair first... And Le Clair will bounce back."

This sounds like Charles Leclerc, a top Formula 1 driver. The host is saying he’ll likely do better again after a bad race.

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Term

double digit lead

"So I just want to say congratulations to you, Tommy, for having a double digit lead at the end of the Austrian Grand Prix weekend."

A “double digit lead” means one person is ahead by 10 or more points. It’s just about the score in their game.

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bounce back

"And Le Clair will bounce back... But I think he will bounce back in serious fashion."

“Bounce back” just means doing better again after something went wrong. In racing, teams try to fix the problem so the next race is stronger.

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brakes

"What was the recipe for bouncing back like a third different manufacturer of brakes? ... He didn't crash before because of his brakes in Spain."

Brakes are what slow the car down. In racing, they’re especially important for getting the car turned into a corner safely.

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under traction

"All right, it was under traction."

“Under traction” means the tires aren’t gripping the road enough. The car can slip or not accelerate the way the driver wants.

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traction manufacturer

"So we're going to have a new traction manufacturer. Oh, if you don't laugh, you'll cry."

In F1, “traction” usually means tire grip. A “traction manufacturer” is basically the company supplying the tires that help the car accelerate and turn safely.

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power steering issue

"His car broke down because he had a power steering issue. So we'll have a new steering wheel as well."

A power steering issue means the car’s steering help isn’t working. That makes steering harder, which can slow you down and make the car harder to control.

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steering wheel

"So we'll have a new steering wheel as well. We're so back."

In F1, the steering wheel is also a control panel. It has buttons the driver uses during the race, so if it’s replaced, it’s usually because something went wrong.

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Piastri

"So crazy. No Piastri on the podium. No Piastri on the podium."

Piastri is Oscar Piastri, an F1 driver. They’re predicting he won’t make the top three this race.

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Topic

P-WAT

"Now let's head to our new segment for this season, the P-WAT. Where Tommy's going to load up a random number generator between 4 and 22."

P-WAT is a fun recurring game the hosts do during the show. Tommy randomly picks a number, and that number drives the next prediction.

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retirements

"They can have a banger of a race and also probably have to rely on quite a few retirements. Okay. Speaking of retirements, which is generally..."

“Retirements” means cars that have to stop racing and don’t finish. If more cars retire, it can help other teams finish higher and score points.

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parking the bus

"You're literally parking the bus without realising it. [1532.3s] It makes me sick. [1532.8s] Yeah, yeah, an accidental parking the bus."

“Parking the bus” means playing super defensively. Instead of trying to win with bold moves, you focus on stopping other people from getting past you.

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