Our 2026 Miami GP predictions
About this episode
Matt and Tommy kick off with travel banter from New Zealand before diving into the big Formula 1 talking points: Turkey’s return to the calendar, the updated Miami GP regulations, and what they might mean for racing and qualifying. Their predictions lean heavily toward Mercedes and Kimi Antonelli, with George Russell and Antonelli split across pole, sprint, and race results, while McLaren and Lando Norris also feature as potential spoilers. The episode mixes analysis, playful rivalry, and family prediction cameos, with plenty of debate over whether the new rules will actually improve the show.
WE'RE BACK! Tommy joins us from the other side of the world to look ahead to F1's return, where Matt looks to overturn an already sizeable Predictions deficit...
We're in Australia this month! There are a small handful of tickets for a few of our shows - get your tickets at: http:/tix.to/p1aus
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F1
"The break is somewhat the zipline or F1, do you know me? Yeah, so yeah, that was really cool."
“F1” is short for Formula 1, the biggest kind of race car series in the world. It’s where drivers race high-performance open-wheel cars on tracks around the globe.
“F1” refers to Formula 1, the top tier of open-wheel racing run by the FIA. When the hosts mention it alongside a “break,” they’re using it as shorthand for the racing calendar and the sport’s global travel.
racing lines
"I did Luge with Grace. Practice her racing lines and things. She's a proper daredevil."
“Racing lines” are the best way to drive through a turn. If you practice them, you learn where to enter, where to go through the middle, and how to exit so you can carry more speed.
“Racing lines” are the ideal paths through a corner that maximize speed and minimize time. Practicing them helps drivers hit the right entry, apex, and exit points to keep the car balanced and moving efficiently.
Luge
"So if you don't know what Luge is, it's essentially like downhill racing. Every video I've ever seen looks insanely dangerous. Can you, as someone who has actually done it, tell us how dangerous it actually is?"
Luge is a sport where you slide down an icy track on a small sled. You go really fast, and you steer by shifting your body and controlling the sled with your legs. It can look terrifying because the track is fast and the sled is hard to correct if you get off line.
Luge is a winter sliding sport where athletes lie on a small sled and race down an ice track at high speed. Steering is done by subtle body movements and, depending on the sled setup, using the legs to control the runners. It’s often described as downhill racing because the track is fixed and the main challenge is staying stable and fast.
Formula One
"So as the competitive Formula One fan that I am, I had to go with Grace and Katie, and then when they went off to get dinner, I had one ticket left... We'll get into the updated regs for Miami and get your thoughts, Tommy, shortly."
Formula One, or F1, is the highest level of open-wheel racing. Teams race on tracks around the world, and the rules can change from year to year. In this segment, they’re talking about F1 news and what it might mean for the Miami race.
Formula One (F1) is the top tier of open-wheel motorsport, featuring teams that race on purpose-built circuits around the world. The hosts reference being “competitive Formula One fan” and then pivot to F1 calendar news and rule updates for Miami. That frames the rest of the episode as predictions tied to F1’s current season and upcoming changes.
F1 calendar
"We did discuss it not that long ago about circuits we'd want back on the F1 calendar. So it doesn't feel too unfamiliar, but as if by magic Turkey has returned and is back from 2027 for a five-year deal, I am buzzing."
The F1 calendar is just the list of races for the year—where the cars will compete. If a country like Turkey comes back, it changes the season’s schedule and can affect how teams prepare. Different tracks favor different car strengths, so calendar changes matter.
The F1 calendar is the schedule of races held across the season, including which countries and circuits are included. The hosts discuss circuits they want back and then mention Turkey returning for a multi-year deal, which directly affects where and when teams race. Calendar changes can influence team strategy because cars and setups may suit certain track characteristics better than others.
Turkey has returned
"So it doesn't feel too unfamiliar, but as if by magic Turkey has returned and is back from 2027 for a five-year deal, I am buzzing. This is fantastic news."
They’re saying Turkey is coming back to Formula One starting in 2027 for several years. That matters because it changes which tracks the teams will race on during the season. Teams may need different setups depending on the track, so it can affect performance expectations.
The hosts mention Turkey returning to the F1 calendar starting in 2027 on a five-year deal. This is a meaningful calendar development because adding or re-adding a venue changes the season’s race lineup and can alter how teams plan development and setup work. It also signals renewed interest in that market and circuit.
updated regs for Miami
"We'll get into the updated regs for Miami and get your thoughts, Tommy, shortly."
“Updated regs” means the rules are changing. Those changes can affect how the cars are built and how teams set them up for a race. Since they’re talking about Miami specifically, the rules could change what’s fast there compared to before.
“Updated regs” refers to changes in the rules (regulations) that govern how F1 cars are designed and how races are run. When the hosts say they’ll get into the updated regs for Miami, they’re signaling that rule changes could affect car performance, setup choices, and race strategy at that specific event. For listeners, this is a key lead-in to understanding why predictions might differ from prior years.
Turkey coming back
"But in terms of Turkey coming back, what a W... It's a classic track. And it's a surprise, actually, with all this talk of maybe going to new places..."
The hosts discuss the return of the Turkish Grand Prix to the Formula One calendar. When a classic track comes back, teams can compare expected performance based on prior data and adjust car setups accordingly. Calendar changes also affect how teams plan development across the season.
F1 abandoning classic tracks
"and F1 abandoning classic tracks and stuff, and maybe abandoning Europe a little bit as well."
They’re talking about whether F1 might stop going to some of its older, famous tracks. Different tracks need different car setups and race strategies. So if the calendar changes, it can change how teams perform.
The hosts discuss the idea of F1 moving away from “classic” circuits and potentially shifting toward newer venues. This matters because track characteristics (layout, surface, elevation, corner types) strongly influence car setup and tire/strategy behavior. Calendar philosophy can therefore affect how competitive teams feel across a season.
Port Amal
"We're actually going back to Port Amal, going back to Turkey now as well. So very exciting."
They mention a track name (“Port Amal”) while talking about where races are going on the calendar. They say they’re going back to it, which suggests it’s returning. The exact circuit name in the transcript may be misspelled, but it’s clearly a track discussion.
“Port Amal” appears to be a track reference in the context of F1 calendar changes. The hosts say they’re “going back” to it, implying it’s returning or being revisited in the schedule. This is likely a circuit name, but the transcript spelling is unclear, so it’s best treated as a track mention rather than a car-related term.
Sipang in India
"Certainly too much to ask. And Sipang in India. India, yeah, yeah, yeah."
They’re listing places on the F1 calendar, and they mention “Sipang in India.” That means they’re talking about a race location. The name might be spelled wrong in the transcript, but it’s clearly a track/venue reference.
The hosts mention “Sipang in India” as part of a list of potential or returning venues. This is likely a circuit/venue reference tied to F1’s calendar expansion or reshuffling. The transcript spelling is uncertain, so the annotation is kept as a general track/venue mention.
updated regulations
"I've had some time after the solo podcast to absorb the updated regulations for Miami."
In Formula 1, the rules can change from season to season. When they do, teams have to adjust their cars so they still comply and stay competitive. It’s similar to a video game update that changes how the game is played.
The hosts are referring to rule changes that affect how Formula One cars are designed and raced. In F1, regulations can change things like aerodynamics, engine/energy rules, and technical limits, which can shift competitive balance quickly. Listeners should think of them like a “patch” that teams must adapt to.
Miami GP
"I've had some time after the solo podcast to absorb the updated regulations for Miami. I know a lot of you appreciated the podcast..."
They’re talking about the Miami Grand Prix—one of the Formula 1 races. They’re also connecting it to rule changes, because those can affect how teams set up their cars and how the race might play out. So it’s part prediction, part “what will the new rules do?”
This segment is about predicting and discussing the 2026 Miami Grand Prix, including how new rules might influence outcomes. Miami is a modern street circuit, so regulation changes can have a big impact on setup and race strategy. The hosts treat it like a key upcoming event on the calendar.
Grand Prix
"Tommy, what are your thoughts about the updated regs heading into this weekend's Grand Prix? My thoughts is just that I hope they know what they're doing."
A “Grand Prix” is the full Formula 1 race weekend. It includes practice, qualifying, and the main race.
A “Grand Prix” is the main race event in Formula 1, typically held over a weekend with practice sessions, qualifying, and the race itself. In this segment, the hosts are discussing how rule changes will play out specifically at the upcoming Grand Prix.
patch notes
"The joke was, yeah, like patch notes. They're just because the way they worded everything was even more confusing."
They’re comparing the rule updates to video-game patch notes. The idea is that the changes are listed, but it can still be confusing to figure out what it means for the cars.
“Patch notes” is a gaming analogy for how rule changes are communicated—often as a list of edits rather than a clear explanation of the end result. In motorsport, that can make it harder for fans to understand what actually changes on track.
V10
"because they were never going to stick a V10 in it. Are they after four races and go, oh, here are the new regs."
A “V10” is a type of engine with ten cylinders. The hosts are basically saying it’s not realistic to expect Formula 1 to go back to that kind of engine anytime soon.
A “V10” is an engine configuration with ten cylinders arranged in a V shape. Formula 1 historically used V10 engines, and the hosts are saying it’s unlikely the sport would switch back to a V10 under the current regulatory direction.
super clipping
"The peak super clip power, which is something that upset me greatly just generally that phrase, essentially means when they are super clipping, they will recharge quicker than what they were before... maybe two to four seconds of super clipping."
In F1, the car has to manage energy and power in a few different modes. “Super clipping” sounds like one of those modes where the car is using power in a very specific way. If it can recharge faster, the car may spend less time in that mode and the racing can feel different.
“Super clipping” is shorthand for a period in Formula 1 where the car is pushed into a specific energy-management mode. The idea is that the car can recharge its energy storage faster, which reduces how long it spends in that mode. In practice, that can change lap-to-lap performance and how often drivers can deploy maximum power.
harvest the energy quicker
"...because they're able to harvest the energy quicker in that period of time, maybe two to four seconds of super clipping."
“Harvest the energy quicker” refers to improving how efficiently an F1 car recovers energy during deceleration and other allowed phases. If recovery is faster, the car can build up usable energy sooner for later acceleration. That affects how often drivers can access strong power bursts during a lap.
boost side of things
"Another thing to keep you up to speed with is the boost side of things as well. It's less powerful and hopefully will be less of a... there won't be a bigger discrepancy between slower cars and faster cars that are using boosts."
“Boost” in F1 is the extra power delivered from the car’s energy system (and related deployment rules). When the speaker says it’s “less powerful,” they’re describing a regulation or setup change that reduces how much performance advantage the boost provides. That can tighten the performance gap between cars and change overtaking patterns.
Oli Bearman example in Suzuka
"So hence, obviously, the Oli Bearman example in Suzuka. So there's a few other things that they're testing."
Oli Bearman is referenced in connection with an incident or notable moment at Suzuka, used as an example of what the sport is trying to address. In this context, it’s tied to boost/performance discrepancies and how those can affect race outcomes. The mention functions as a real-world case study for why the testing matters.
dangerous starts
"The testing, the some start minimum sort of power launch getaway thing to stop again having these dangerous starts. That's not implemented, that's being tested."
“Dangerous starts” points to concerns about how F1 cars launch from the grid—especially when traction, clutch/launch behavior, and driver timing combine with tight pack racing. The segment mentions a testing effort for a “start minimum sort of power” approach to reduce risk. That implies rule or control changes aimed at making launches more predictable and safer.
free practice one (FP1)
"“free practice one, I know a lot of you will be tuning into that one, [547.3s] has been extended to 90 minutes… So that free practice one is very important…”"
FP1 is the first practice session of the weekend in Formula One. Teams use it to try out settings and learn how the car feels, so they’re ready for qualifying and the race. If it’s longer, they get more time to figure things out.
In Formula One, free practice sessions (like FP1) are the first on-track runs where teams test setups, tire behavior, and car balance. Extending FP1 to 90 minutes gives engineers more time to understand changes before qualifying and the race.
sprint weekend
"“although I do joke, it is a sprint weekend. [555.2s] Let's not forget this, it's a sprint weekend.”"
A sprint weekend is a Formula One format where a shorter “sprint” race happens on Saturday, affecting the starting grid for Sunday’s main race. Because of that, teams and drivers often treat Friday practice and setup work as extra important to be ready for the sprint.
Williams
"I have gone for Williams... Williams have had a very difficult start to the season... So I'm going for Williams to see if they can salvage anything from a weekend... gone for Williams."
Williams is a Formula 1 racing team. The hosts are saying Williams has struggled early in the season, but they think Miami could be a weekend where the team surprises people.
Williams is a Formula 1 team known for its long history and frequent midfield battles. In this segment, the hosts discuss Williams’ difficult start to the season and why they’re still picking them for a “good surprise” at the Miami GP.
very different regulations
"I know it's very different regulations, but the memory from last year's Miami was how well Williams did..."
When the hosts say “very different regulations,” they’re highlighting that F1 rules can change year to year, affecting car design, setup, and performance. That makes it risky to directly compare last year’s Miami results to this year’s expectations.
reliability
"I think that he's not had a lot of things go his way currently [with] reliability of his car and I would love to see just a clean weekend for Lando."
Reliability just means the car can keep running all weekend without breaking. If it’s not reliable, the driver might be forced to retire or lose time even if they’re fast.
In Formula 1, reliability refers to how consistently a team’s car can finish races without mechanical failures. When a driver’s car has reliability issues, it can lead to retirements, poor qualifying, or lost points even if the pace is there.
McLaren
"but I think this will be, with the fact McLaren looked genuinely better and Oscar could have won the race at Suzuka had it been for a bit more good fortune."
McLaren is a top Formula 1 team. When people say they “look better,” they mean the car is improving and should be faster and more competitive.
McLaren is one of Formula 1’s major constructor teams, and the team’s car performance is often discussed in terms of upgrades and development progress. In this segment, the hosts suggest McLaren has made genuine performance steps, which would help both drivers.
Red Bull
"I think it's going to get worse for Red Bull before it gets better... wait, Red Bull, we're using that and they're still this bad."
Red Bull Racing is one of F1’s top teams, and its performance is closely tied to how well its car and engine/energy management strategies comply with FIA rules. When the hosts say Red Bull “gets worse before it gets better,” they’re pointing to a period where the team’s pace isn’t matching its usual standard. The mention of qualifying issues suggests the car’s rule-sensitive systems may not be performing as expected.
loophole closed in qualifying
"What was very surprising was there's been a loophole closed in qualifying where Mercedes and Red Bull were doing a trick... And the FIA stopped that from happening."
Sometimes racing rules have gaps that teams can use to get an advantage. If the FIA closes that loophole, the teams can’t use the trick anymore, so qualifying results can swing. That’s why it can feel like the whole competitive picture changes overnight.
In Formula 1, teams sometimes exploit gray areas in the rules to gain an advantage during qualifying. A “loophole” being closed means the FIA updated or enforced the regulations so that the workaround no longer works. This can quickly change competitiveness because qualifying performance is often where the biggest grid-position gains happen.
more power in qualifying
"where Mercedes and Red Bull were doing a trick that basically meant they had more power in qualifying."
The hosts describe teams gaining “more power in qualifying,” which points to F1’s rule-managed engine/energy deployment strategies. In qualifying, teams often run modes that maximize performance for a short window, but those modes must comply with FIA regulations. If the FIA intervenes, it can limit how much extra power teams can access during that critical session.
in-lap
"And then the car would almost shut down on its in-lap. But it didn't matter because they've already completed that lap."
An in-lap is the lap a driver completes after their timed run, typically returning to the pits. The hosts say the car would “almost shut down on its in-lap,” implying a system behavior that changes once the qualifying effort is complete. That kind of behavior can be tied to how teams manage power usage and compliance with FIA monitoring.
FIA
"And the FIA stopped that from happening. And one of the biggest surprises from that was, wait, Red Bull, we're using that..."
The FIA is the organization that makes and enforces the rules in Formula 1. If they stop a tactic, it means teams can’t use that trick anymore. That can change how fast cars are in qualifying and races.
The FIA (Fédération Internationale de l’Automobile) is F1’s governing body that sets and enforces the sport’s technical and sporting rules. When the FIA “stopped” a qualifying behavior, it indicates enforcement or clarification of regulations to prevent teams from gaining an unfair advantage. These interventions can have immediate effects on competitiveness.
Q3
"And one of the biggest surprises from that was, wait, Red Bull, we're using that and they're still this bad. Max didn't even make it into Q3 last time."
In F1 qualifying, Q3 is the last and most important session. If you don’t reach Q3, it usually means your car wasn’t fast enough to fight for the best starting spots. That can make the race harder because you start farther back.
Q3 is the final segment of F1 qualifying where the fastest cars set the top grid positions. Not making it into Q3 usually means the car lacks pace relative to the front-runners, which can be a major problem for race strategy. It’s often a key indicator of whether a team’s car is working well under qualifying conditions.
Nürburgring
"And how motivated is Max going to be returning to Formula 1 after having been racing at the Nürburgring again and things like that."
The Nürburgring is a very famous race track in Germany. The hosts mention it because racing there can help a driver stay sharp and confident. But it’s still different from F1 tracks, so it’s not a perfect predictor of F1 results.
The Nürburgring is a famous German motorsport circuit (often associated with the Nordschleife/“Green Hell”) that can be used for racing and driver practice outside F1. Returning to a track like this can affect driver confidence and car setup understanding, though it doesn’t directly translate to F1 performance without considering car/track differences.
Mercedes
"And again, this is maybe the Mercedes advantage in qualifying isn't going to be as strong. Oscar Piastri had a brilliant race in Japan, of course, and great qualifying as well. But Mercedes have been, of course, very, very fast in qualifying."
Mercedes is a top Formula 1 team. The hosts are saying Mercedes might be less dominant in qualifying than before, which could change who starts near the front.
Mercedes is one of Formula 1’s major constructor teams, and the hosts are discussing its qualifying pace. In F1, teams can have different strengths—some are better at one-lap speed (qualifying) while others are stronger in race trim.
engine
"I just feel as though Mercedes will just turn up their engine a little bit more. So interesting. OK, keep that up, Tommy."
When the hosts say Mercedes will “turn up their engine,” they’re referring to increasing engine output within the allowed operating modes and regulations. In F1, engine settings and deployment strategy can vary between qualifying/sprint and the race, affecting speed and reliability margins.
Sprint Pole
"Antonelli, don't forget, last year got Sprint Pole and was really good around Miami... So that is what I've gone for for Sprint Pole position."
In F1, there’s sometimes a sprint weekend where a short race happens before the main race. “Sprint pole” means you were fastest in the session that sets up the sprint, so you start the sprint from the front.
“Sprint Pole” refers to winning pole position for a sprint session—i.e., being fastest in the sprint qualifying format that sets up the sprint race grid. In F1, it’s a strong indicator of one-lap pace and often correlates with good weekend performance, though it doesn’t guarantee the main race result.
Sprint Winner
"...Charlotte Clair, Sprint Paul, Charlotte Clair, Sprint Winner, Charlotte Clair. I am eight points out of three. If Charlotte clean sweeps this weekend..."
A sprint winner is the driver who wins the shorter sprint race during a race weekend. That result can help decide where cars start for the main race.
“Sprint Winner” refers to winning an F1 sprint session, a shorter race format that affects grid position for the main Grand Prix. The hosts are using sprint results to project championship swings and race-day expectations.
new start procedure
"Will we see a new start procedure implemented? ... I don't know if they've said that they might do it or they said they're just testing it, but would if it worked, would they not do it immediately?"
This is about how the race start might be changed—like the exact steps and timing before the cars go. If a new method works better, teams and officials usually want to use it right away.
A “new start procedure” refers to changes to how F1 races begin—rules and operational steps around the grid, formation, and the moment the race is underway. The hosts are speculating whether teams are testing it and whether it would be adopted immediately if it works.
pole position
"And if Oscar Piastri can qualify well, we've said many times it's so hard to overtake that the Mercedes certainly haven't breezed past everyone in the races as much as we thought..."
Pole position means you qualify fastest and start at the very front of the grid. It’s a big advantage because you’re in the best position to lead early.
Pole position is the starting spot on the front row awarded to the fastest qualifier in F1. Starting from pole can increase the odds of controlling the race early, especially when the hosts believe the team has strong launches.
hard to overtake
"And if Oscar Piastri can qualify well, we've said many times it's so hard to overtake that the Mercedes certainly haven't breezed past everyone in the races as much as we thought..."
They’re saying it’s tough to pass other cars in Formula 1. So if you don’t start near the front, you may struggle to move up during the race.
The hosts emphasize that overtaking is difficult in F1, meaning qualifying position and clean starts are especially valuable. If passing is hard, even a dominant car may not “breeze past” everyone as quickly as expected.
safety mechanisms
"And just to clarify the race start stuff, most of it is around safety mechanisms, as opposed to actually changing the start procedure, just in case there was any confusion about that."
Before the race starts, F1 uses extra safety steps to prevent problems like cars stalling or getting away too slowly. The goal is to keep the whole field safer at the most chaotic moment of the race.
In Formula 1, “safety mechanisms” around the race start are designed to reduce the risk of stalls, slow launches, or accidents at the grid. They can change how teams manage the start sequence without necessarily altering the fundamental start procedure.
40-second weigh on the grid
"We're going to have a 40-second weigh on the grid. Yeah, it's more about the stalls and the slow getaways than it is."
F1 sometimes has rules that require cars to be weighed while they’re lined up before the start. If it takes about 40 seconds, teams have to plan so it doesn’t cause delays or problems when the lights go out.
A “weigh on the grid” refers to a mandated check where cars are weighed while they’re staged before the start. The “40-second” timing indicates how long the process takes, which can affect how teams plan their launch and avoid delays.
stalls and the slow getaways
"Yeah, it's more about the stalls and the slow getaways than it is. I mean, I know Mercedes have had slow getaways, but I don't know if that's what this is trying to help, this is more of a safety thing."
A stall is when the car doesn’t get going properly at the start. A slow getaway is when it takes too long to launch, and in racing that can cost you a lot of positions quickly.
“Stalls” and “slow getaways” are start-line failures where a car doesn’t launch cleanly—either the engine stalls or the car is slow to move off the grid. In F1, start-line reliability is critical because even small delays can compound into large gaps by the end of the first lap.
Ferraris
"So fully expecting the same kind of McLaren and Ferraris to get off the line well, although McLaren are literally running a Mercedes engine."
Ferrari is the Italian F1 constructor and one of the sport’s most historic teams. The hosts group Ferrari with McLaren as likely to have a good start, implying strong launch performance and race execution.
Insurance isn't one size fits all
"So how long will it take until Mercedes just get off cleanly and then win by 60 seconds? Insurance isn't one size fits all. That's why drivers have enjoyed Progressive's Name Your Price tool for years now."
Insurance plans aren’t all the same—different people need different coverage. The sponsor is saying you can choose what fits your situation instead of taking a generic option.
This is an insurance concept rather than a racing one: different drivers and households need different coverage levels and deductibles. It’s used here to set up the sponsor message about customizing a policy.
Progressive's Name Your Price tool
"That's why drivers have enjoyed Progressive's Name Your Price tool for years now. With the Name Your Price tool, you tell them what you want to pay, and they'll show you options that fit your budget."
This is a Progressive insurance feature where you tell them the price you want to pay. Then they show you options that could fit that budget.
Progressive’s “Name Your Price” is a pricing tool that lets customers enter a target budget and see insurance options that match it. It’s a sponsor feature rather than an automotive technical topic, but it’s a notable named product in the segment.
poll position
"Right, let's head to poll position for the main race. Poll position. I'm going to go for George Russell..."
Pole position means you start the race from the very front. It’s usually won by being fastest in qualifying, and it helps because you’re less likely to get stuck in traffic at the start.
“Pole position” (often shortened to “poll position” in transcripts) is the starting spot on the grid for the main race—earned by the fastest qualifying lap. Starting from pole generally gives a cleaner launch and track position, which can be a big advantage in Formula 1.
problem in qualifying in China
"...he's not had the best of luck either with the problem in qualifying in China as well, and had a few issues in Suzuka."
They’re talking about something going wrong during qualifying in China. In F1, qualifying is crucial because it decides where you start the race, so problems there can hurt your whole weekend.
The hosts mention a qualifying problem in China, which is important in F1 because qualifying determines the starting grid. A qualifying issue can come from setup mistakes, traffic, or reliability/technical problems, and it often has a knock-on effect on race strategy.
issues in Suzuka
"...and had a few issues in Suzuka. So he's still got the pace and can still absolutely deliver."
They mention Suzuka, where Russell had some problems. Different tracks can stress the car in different ways, so issues there can point to setup or performance challenges.
“Suzuka” refers to the Japanese F1 venue (often called Suzuka Circuit), and the hosts say Russell had a few issues there. In F1, track-specific problems can be related to traction, braking stability, or aerodynamic balance—things that can vary a lot from circuit to circuit.
P3
"Charlotte Clair. So, P3, I have gone for McLaren"
“P3” means finishing third. It’s a common way F1 fans talk about podium spots.
“P3” means third place in the race classification or in a prediction context. In F1, podium positions are often discussed as P1/P2/P3 because they correspond to the top finishers and the points/visibility that come with them.
points
"[1484.4s] Not for Oscar Piastri's sake, [1485.6s] but the fact that you will score any points this week. [1488.5s] I really, really need you to have a big fat duck."
Points are how the sport keeps score across the season. You earn them by finishing in certain positions, and they add up over time.
In F1, “points” are the championship scoring units awarded based on finishing position (and sometimes sprint results). Even a small points haul can be crucial for drivers and teams across a season.
tactics
"[1506.4s] This is going to finish second, [1508.4s] and now we wait to see if tactics will be played. [1514.3s] If tactics will be played."
In F1, “tactics” usually means strategic decisions like when to pit, how to manage tire wear, and how to respond to rivals’ undercuts/overcuts. These choices can swing track position and ultimately the finishing order.
lockout
"In first position. Is it Kimmy Antonelli lockout? Well done."
A “lockout” means one team finishes at the very top, like taking first and second. It implies they were so strong that nobody else could beat them.
“Lockout” in racing means one team takes the top positions (often 1-2, or even 1-2-3), leaving no other team in front. It’s a shorthand for overwhelming performance rather than a close race.
George Russell
"So P1, I've gone for. George Russell. ... I think Russell's going to bounce back. ... huge opportunity to win the championship and probably still the favourite at this stage."
George Russell is one of the Mercedes drivers in Formula 1. The hosts think he’s had some inconsistent results, but they still believe he can fight for the championship. They’re basically saying he’s not done yet.
George Russell is a Mercedes Formula 1 driver, and the hosts are predicting he can “bounce back” and still be a championship contender. The discussion frames his recent results as not being “washed,” but rather not yet stringing together consistent weekends. That’s why they’re focusing on him as a likely front-runner.
1-2
"From Mercedes 1-2 in different orders. Who's going to be right or find out?"
“1-2” in racing means one team’s cars finish first and second in the same race. When the hosts say “Mercedes 1-2,” they’re implying a strong team result where both Mercedes drivers are at the front. The “different orders” part means the finishing order could swap between races.
championship lead
"Yeah, my mind's eye is seeing Kimi Antonelli getting a decent championship lead and then George Russell going on an absolute blinder of a European season."
A “championship lead” refers to the driver who is ahead in the season standings based on points. In F1, that lead can change race to race, so predicting how big it becomes is a key part of season forecasting.
P-WAT
"And it's called P-WAT. FWAT. Where if you don't know, Tommy is going to get up a random number generator between, well, fourth and 20th. And we are going to say immediately who is going to finish in that position."
P-WAT is a fun prediction game they play. They randomly pick a finishing place (like 4th to 22nd), then they guess which driver will finish there, and they score points for accuracy.
P-WAT is the hosts’ game for their predictions: they use a random number generator to pick a finishing position range, then everyone predicts who will land in that spot. It’s basically a structured “guess the grid result” challenge with a points-based scoring rule.
random number generator
"Where if you don't know, Tommy is going to get up a random number generator between, well, fourth and 20th. And we are going to say immediately who is going to finish in that position."
They’re using a random number generator to pick which finishing position they’ll predict. That way, it’s not just based on who they think will do best—it’s more of a challenge.
They’re using a random number generator to select a finishing position range for their predictions. This removes bias and makes their predictions more like a game than a purely reasoned forecast.
DNS
"So, double DNS confirmed for McLaren like last time. OK, well, there you go."
DNS means the car didn’t even start the race. If it happens to both picks, it can completely flip the results of a prediction.
DNS stands for “Did Not Start,” meaning a driver’s car didn’t start the race. In prediction games, “double DNS” implies both selected entries failed to start, which can drastically change who scores points.
sprint and race wins together
"I will be getting into the nitty gritty of adding the sprint and race wins together if it hasn't come in. So, just be aware of that one."
The hosts are combining sprint wins and main-race wins into one total to evaluate a prediction. This matters because sprint weekends can produce multiple “win” moments beyond just the main Grand Prix.
sprint poll
"Because they have every sprint poll, every win this year. Yeah, they top everything. That's a good loophole."
In F1, a “sprint” weekend includes a shorter race that sets the grid for the main race, and “poll” here refers to pole position—starting first. The hosts are using sprint results as part of their prediction about Mercedes’ dominance.
Miami turn one
"Tommy, who have you gone for? I have gone for S Mitchell 8, which is a three car incident into turn one in either race. I mean, to be fair, Miami turn one does like a little incident, doesn't it?"
“Turn one” is the first big corner at the Miami race track. It’s known for being busy right after the start, so crashes or close calls happen there more often than elsewhere.
“Turn one” at the Miami Grand Prix is a specific corner where drivers often get bunched up at the start, making it a common spot for contact. The hosts are referencing the track’s tendency to produce incidents there.
three car incident
"I have gone for S Mitchell 8, which is a three car incident into turn one in either race. I mean, to be fair, Miami turn one does like a little incident, doesn't it?"
A “three car incident” is when three cars get involved in the same crash or contact. It usually happens when cars are packed together and someone can’t avoid the others.
A “three car incident” means multiple cars are involved in the same crash/contact event, typically causing retirements or damage. The hosts are predicting a multi-car collision at Miami’s Turn 1 in either the sprint or the main race.
pile-up into turn one
"[1868.4s] So, that's so fascinating, by the way. [1870.4s] Wait for a 22 car pile of into turn one now, after you said that. [1874.7s] Bottas, Bottas has done at least an under and hungry before."
A “pile-up into turn one” means lots of cars crash at the first corner. It happens because everyone is close together at the start, so if one car slows or turns wrong, others can’t avoid it.
A “pile-up into turn one” is a multi-car crash at the first corner, often caused by tightly packed cars braking and turning simultaneously. These incidents are common in F1 because the field is bunched up at the start, leaving little room for mistakes.
collisions as prediction theme
"[1878.2s] So, this is really interesting though, Tommy, because mine is also to do with collisions. [1884.1s] Oh, OK. [1885.2s] Mine's from Shezan. [1887.4s] Team mates have a collision."
They’re basically predicting that there might be crashes in the Miami GP, including between teammates. They’re using that as a “what could happen” storyline for the weekend.
The hosts are framing their Miami GP predictions around the likelihood of collisions—especially between teammates. This is a common F1 talking point because early-race chaos and restart/return-from-break dynamics can increase incident risk.
DNF
"[1904.3s] And I'll take the point. [1905.2s] It doesn't need to be a DNF. [1906.6s] Like, you know, we're not going to wish any ill will."
DNF means the driver didn’t finish the race. Usually it’s because of a crash or something breaking, and they won’t score the normal race points.
DNF stands for “Did Not Finish.” In racing, it means a driver couldn’t complete the race due to issues like crashes or mechanical problems, and it typically costs them points.
F1 race there
"I feel like it used to be your dad last time, but it's also been like ages since F1 race there."
The hosts note that it’s been a long time since an F1 race was held at that location (Miami). This kind of “time since last visit” matters because track conditions, car setup trends, and team momentum can shift between visits.
P2
"P2, Kimmy. Kimmy Antonelli in P2. And then in first place, George Russell."
“P2” means second place. So they’re saying that driver should finish just behind the winner.
“P2” means second place in an F1 session or race. When the hosts say “Kimmy Antonelli in P2,” they’re predicting the driver finishes runner-up.
first place
"And then in first place, George Russell. All right."
“First place” means the winner. They’re laying out who they think will take the top spot.
“First place” refers to winning the race or session. In F1 prediction segments, it’s used to set the expected top finisher before discussing who ends up second and third.
clean sweep
"for a Kimmy Antonelli clean sweep. So, that's interesting."
A “clean sweep” means the same driver or team wins everything they can in that weekend—no close calls or second-place finishes.
A “clean sweep” in racing predictions means one driver/team dominates across multiple outcomes—typically taking top spots like pole and winning, or winning both qualifying and the race. It’s a shorthand for an unlikely-but-possible total control scenario.
P1
"I'll put it to P2. George Russell. And P1. I'm going to go for Kimmy and Tinelli."
“P1” just means the winner—first place. They’re using it like a quick way to say who they think will finish where.
In racing, “P1” means first place. The hosts are using P1/P2/P3 shorthand to predict the finishing order for the race.
third to fifth
"I think third to fifth. But you know, let us know."
“Third to fifth” means finishing somewhere between 3rd and 5th place. It’s still a strong result, but not as dominant as taking 1st and 2nd.
“Third to fifth” describes a mid-to-front finish range rather than a podium lockout. In F1 predictions, discussing whether a team lands in that band helps frame expectations for competitiveness versus outright dominance.
Charlotte Club predictions
"Or maybe it'll be like a where the Charlotte Club finish full stop, like just every single week. Just that's the focus. Just the Charlotte Club predictions."
They’re saying they’ll keep doing the “Charlotte Club” predictions every week. It’s more like a regular show segment than a single prediction event.
The hosts are talking about a recurring “Charlotte Club” prediction segment, where they make weekly predictions. It’s framed like a consistent routine rather than a one-off discussion.
Australia tour
"Final thoughts are that kind of wait for the Australia tour. It's going to be weird because we're going to be in Australia in different places at the start. But then we will be together for the first show in Adelaide."
They’re talking about a trip to Australia for their shows. They’ll be apart at first, then meet up for the first show in Adelaide.
They discuss an upcoming Australia tour tied to their schedule, including being in different places at the start and then coming together for the first show in Adelaide. This is a show logistics segment rather than a technical automotive topic.
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