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Predicting the 2026 F1 Championship: 22nd to 11th

Predicting the 2026 F1 Championship: 22nd to 11th

P1 with Matt and Tommy Feb 23, 2026 31 min
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About this episode

Matt and Tommy dive into their bold predictions for the 2026 F1 season, focusing on the challenging midfield and backmarker battles amid major regulation changes. They debate the struggles of Cadillac and Aston Martin, with Bottas and Perez expected to fight at the bottom, while rookies like Arvid Lindblad and Liam Lawson face tough seasons. The hosts highlight the unpredictability of teams like Racing Bulls and VCarb, and express concerns over Williams' performance. Their candid, head-to-head style makes for an engaging forecast full of surprises and differing opinions.

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Technical Too Afraid to Ask
Concept

race winners

"...they've got two very experienced and good drivers and race winners, but, you know, I don't think it's a crazy shout to say that one of them is going to have to be"

Race winners are drivers who have already won races before, so they know how to be the best in competitions.

Concept

midfield car

"...he was always won in a false India that could get a podium in a midfield car in an absolute bonkers race."

A midfield car is a race car that usually finishes in the middle, not the fastest but not the slowest. Sometimes it can do better if the race is crazy or other cars have problems.

Term

podium

"...he was always won in a false India that could get a podium in a midfield car in an absolute bonkers race."

Getting a podium means finishing in the top three in a race, like first, second, or third place. It's a big deal and drivers get awards for it.

Concept

DNF

"where we have massive DNFs. Maybe there's rain in the air as well. But for me, it's going to be a tough season for Cadillac."

DNF means a driver couldn't finish the race because something went wrong, like a crash or car problem.

Brand

Aston Martin

"I think Aston Martin are going to have a poor season. They're going to definitely have a poor start to the season unless this is the greatest sandbagging we've ever seen in the history of the sport"

Aston Martin is a famous car company from Britain that makes fast and fancy cars and also races in Formula 1.

Term

sandbagging

"They're going to definitely have a poor start to the season unless this is the greatest sandbagging we've ever seen in the history of the sport where they don't want to show any Adrian Newey innovations"

Sandbagging means a team or driver is pretending to be slower or worse than they really are, so others don't know how good they really are.

Company

Adrian Newey

"unless this is the greatest sandbagging we've ever seen in the history of the sport where they don't want to show any Adrian Newey innovations and they just didn't want to run"

Adrian Newey is a famous person who designs very fast and clever Formula 1 race cars.

Term

mileage (racing context)

"They've done a brilliant job again, similar to Cadillac in terms of the mileage that they managed to get in Bahrain."

Mileage in racing means how far a race car can go during a race or testing without breaking down. It's important to know if the car can last the whole race.

Concept

Formula One

"I think that in some ways it works in his favour if VCarb aren't having these random podium shouts because it gives him time to learn Formula One, to deal with the pressure that we know that rookies have struggled"

Formula One is a type of car racing where the fastest and best cars race on tracks around the world. It's like the top league of car racing.

Concept

Red Bull Racing

""...I just don't see a racing bulls and a VCarb being as strong as some of the other teams...""

Red Bull Racing is a famous team in Formula 1, which is the highest level of car racing. They build very fast cars and often win races.

Brand

Mercedes

"And yeah, they have a great Mercedes engine underneath them. But it sounds like they're having a lot of trouble as they missed the test."

Mercedes is a big car company that makes engines for racing cars in Formula 1. Their engines help the cars go very fast and perform well.

Concept

Formula 1

"16th place I have gone for, my guy Fernando Alonso. I just don't, I'm not feeling good vibes about the Aston Martin, of course. Is it even delusional that he could be up in the dizzying heights of 16th? It's that bad for Aston Martin at the moment."

Formula 1 is a type of car racing where the fastest and most advanced cars compete on different tracks around the world.

Term

McLaren Honda

"I think they'll improve and Alonso is a driver that, you know, I think even to the like McLaren Honda days, I remember him getting like a fifth place or something in one of the races where they're absolutely awful."

McLaren Honda was a team in Formula 1 where the car maker McLaren worked with the engine maker Honda, but they had a hard time winning races.

Car

Dodge Charger

"Like this 1973 Dodge Charger on eBay that has been tucked away in an Arizona barn for over 40 years, only 55,000 miles and somehow in great running order, even as a rare sunroof."

The Dodge Charger is a famous fast car from America made in the 1970s. The 1973 version is special because it looks different and can be very powerful.

Term

barn find

"Like this 1973 Dodge Charger on eBay that has been tucked away in an Arizona barn for over 40 years, only 55,000 miles and somehow in great running order..."

A barn find is a car that was left in a barn or garage for a long time and then found again. It usually means the car is old but still mostly original.

Car

Pontiac Grand Prix SJ

"There are thousands of cars like this on eBay from rare finds like the Pontiac Grand Prix SJ to unique builds and your next daily driver..."

The Pontiac Grand Prix SJ is a fancier and sportier version of a Pontiac car called the Grand Prix. It usually has a stronger engine and nicer features.

Term

championship table

"in the championship table, which as of right now is one of the most sort of generous predictions I could have put him at."

It's a list that shows which drivers or teams are winning or losing in a racing season based on how many points they have earned.

Brand

Audi

"and this is kind of the risk I've taken with this and gone, that Audi will perform maybe a lot better than Williams"

Audi is a car company from Germany that makes fancy cars and also races cars in big competitions like Formula One.

Brand

Williams

"that Audi will perform maybe a lot better than Williams, which is why Holkenberg is up in 13th place."

Williams is a famous team that builds and races cars in Formula One, which is a top-level car racing competition.

Brand

Haas

"Haas were very impressive in the pre-season test, but then so were Williams last year when they topped the test."

Haas is a team from America that races cars in Formula 1, the highest level of car racing.

Concept

pre-season testing

"Haas were very impressive in the pre-season test, but then so were Williams last year when they topped the test. We can take as much as we can from pre-season. That's right, isn't it? Williams were the fastest car at the end of pre-season testing last year."

Before the racing season starts, teams drive their cars on the track to see how well they work and fix any problems. This is called pre-season testing.

Brand

Alpine

"We saw what he did to basically be able to be in that seat in Alpine in the first place where he impressed at Williams massively and he came in and we all questioned, oh, okay, Colopinto is giving out Alpine a run for his money here."

Alpine is a car company from France that also races in Formula 1, which is the top level of car racing. They make fast cars and try to win races with their team.

Term

engine

"I think they'll have a great car. They've got a great engine and I think they'll be"

The engine is the part of the car that makes it go by burning fuel and turning that into power. In race cars, engines are very powerful and help the car go really fast.

Concept

cost caps

"But it really does depend. Of course, there's cost caps, there's things in"

Cost caps are rules that stop racing teams from spending too much money, so all teams have a fair chance to compete.

Concept

turn it around

"I love the way we've been like, yeah, Aston Martin will turn it around, surely."

When people say 'turn it around' about a racing team, they mean the team will get a lot better after not doing well.

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