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Welcome back to EV News Daily and welcome to a special bonus edition of the podcast looking
03:04
at the future of Ford in Europe as it electrifies.
03:09
There was a time when it seemed every second driveway in Britain or Germany had a Ford
03:15
School runs in fiestas, morning commutes in focuses and the Blue Oval found pride of place
03:20
in government fleets and police pools.
03:23
I remember the UK tabloid newspapers when I was growing up in the maybe 80s, 90s, maybe
03:29
a teenager in the 90s.
03:30
They would talk about Mondeo Man literally as a shorthand for the average guy in Great
03:37
Britain because everyone owned a Mondeo.
03:39
Ford's grip on Europe's roads was so firm that 12 years straight in a row the Fiesta
03:46
reigned supreme as the number one car sold in Europe and it didn't lose the crown.
03:53
A symbol of trust and accessibility on a continental scale.
03:57
Well, today, Ford's European operations are somewhat different, facing a critical juncture
04:04
where EVs represent not only the greatest challenge, but the most viable path to salvation
04:12
I'm a huge Ford fan, by the way, because Ford sold cars for the every man and every woman.
04:19
But I grew up in an era of Fords being on my bedroom wall.
04:22
Fast Fords, RS Fords, crazy Cosys and all the rest, just the idea of Fords rallying
04:30
or really rapid Fords gave you a sense you could have something exotic and you wouldn't
04:36
have to have a crazy job when you grew up.
04:39
I mean, I don't get me or I had supercars on my bedroom wall as well and, you know, Lamborghini
04:43
Contaches, but a fast Ford was attainable back in those days.
04:49
These days, it's so different.
04:51
The American automaker finds itself struggling with a rapidly declining market share over
04:56
Their closing factories, the former management team made missteps that have left it vulnerable
05:00
to the Chinese and disconnected it from EV buyers.
05:04
Hey, a reminder, our bonus shows are exclusively for our Patreon supporters.
05:07
For the first seven days, only Patreon insiders get the early access.
05:11
They get their name on the list of legends in the show notes.
05:14
If you want to be an exec producer or above, you get the power to shape future shows as
05:19
And if being in the know and on the, you know, supporter list sounds like you, check out
05:24
the link, patreon.com slash EV news daily and be part of something special.
05:29
I'm looking forward to this podcast that I've been writing this on and off for a long time
05:33
now, making little notes in my book and in my word spreadsheet that I kind of have open
05:38
Ford's European success story began in the late 1960s with the creation of Ford of
05:42
Europe and it really hit its zenith in the 1990s and into the 2000s.
05:48
The company's European strategy was built on three pillars that made Ford truly formidable
05:56
mass market accessibility, a very strong product portfolio and manufacturing efficiency.
06:03
During its peak years, Ford commanded impressive market shares across Europe as high as 12%
06:11
The Ford Fiesta, launched in 1976, was the definition of Ford's European success.
06:17
It involved into the UK's bestseller for 12 years in a row.
06:22
With over 22 million units produced globally, 16 and a half million came here.
06:27
The Fiesta represented Ford's ability to create vehicles that resonated with the European
06:32
They wanted efficiency, affordability, practicality.
06:36
The Blue Oval just defined all of those.
06:39
Similarly, the Ford Focus was introduced in 1998.
06:43
For me, it was a whole new world.
06:46
I passed my test in what, 1996?
06:51
Yeah, I think I passed in 90, maybe 95, 96.
06:53
So the Escort was a car, but I've kind of always looked at maybe one of my, my first
06:58
car was, you know, was going to be something smaller, but maybe I get an Escort one day
07:01
and then the Focus arrived, European car of the year winner.
07:05
It demonstrated Ford's capacity for innovation and quality.
07:10
It was exciting, even though it was a very average family car.
07:14
It was the cornerstone of their European lineup.
07:16
Ford's European operations during the Golden Era were characterised by big
07:21
manufacturing footprints in Germany, Spain, the UK, the company's Cologne and
07:25
Salui factories in Germany became centres of excellence, millions of vehicle made.
07:31
At its peak in 2001, Ford achieved European sales of 1.28 million vehicles.
07:39
It was the second largest automotive brand over here.
07:42
Like I say, everyone had one.
07:45
The company's commercial vehicle division, particularly the Transit,
07:49
established Ford as Europe's leading commercial vehicle manufacturer,
07:54
position it does maintain today with a 14% market share.
07:57
This success in the commercial vehicles market provided Ford with stable revenue
08:00
and strong dealer relationships that in a way helped their passenger car sales.
08:04
Now, look, obviously, you know, you might not know the UK car market.
08:08
Obviously, in America and down under, you have either truck culture,
08:12
pickup culture or ute culture.
08:15
We don't have that here.
08:16
We have it was again called the shorthand of the tabloid newspapers, White Van Man.
08:21
But it's true if you are a tradie over here, you don't have a truck or a pickup.
08:24
You have a white van and it was nearly always a transit.
08:28
I remember one of my first jobs when I say I wasn't paid for it, by the way.
08:33
But, you know, when I was 14 or 15, like my job,
08:39
when I was volunteering at radio stations, where I'd go on for a 30 year
08:42
whatever career in commercial radio, when I was starting out volunteering,
08:46
I would literally get in the back of a Ford Transit and drive around the area
08:50
and help the traveling travel reporter do their bulletins.
08:55
Like, and that was it.
08:56
My first, my very first experience of work was spending my day in a Ford Transit.
09:01
I love Ford, so where has it gone wrong?
09:07
When did it start to go wrong?
09:08
The decline began in the mid 2010s and accelerated really dramatically
09:13
with market share falling from eight percent in 2016, five percent in 2022.
09:19
And the decline was really a mix of things.
09:23
Strategic blunders, market timing failures,
09:26
misunderstanding of the European consumers.
09:28
How did it go so wrong for Ford?
09:33
The most critical era was the product refresh
09:37
refresh cycle for Ford compared to its competitors.
09:40
European rivals like Volkswagen maintained a probably about four
09:44
point two year model refresh cycle.
09:47
But Ford, in that era, allowed its models to get really stale.
09:52
The company's division delayed the new Mondeo, the new S Max,
09:56
the new Galaxy because of factory transitions and things like that.
09:59
But when the new model of the Mondeo arrived in 2015,
10:06
It was out in the US for years as the fusion in China since 2013,
10:12
a couple of years before Ford's factory closure decisions
10:15
were damaging the closure of the plant in Belgium and delays in moving
10:19
Spanish production made big gaps in Ford's European lineup.
10:23
These manufacturing disruptions coincided with competition
10:25
from premium German brands and emerging brands as well.
10:29
Let's tie it all up to electric vehicles then.
10:33
So where are we today?
10:35
Well, Ford has gone really premium.
10:38
Ford's approach to going electric here in Europe.
10:41
And again, apologies if you're not in the European market.
10:44
Let me educate you.
10:45
It's not about built tough.
10:47
It's not about pickups and it's about the Ford F 150 over here.
10:52
It's about two models, really.
10:55
And that is the Explorer, which is not the Explorer that you might have in mind.
10:59
But we call it the Explorer and the Capri,
11:01
which is certainly not the Capri that you might have in mind.
11:04
They use the name again.
11:05
They were a bit naughty because they really leaned into that nostalgia
11:09
because the Capri is really special.
11:10
It's an iconic car.
11:11
It had iconic moments in British television in the 1970s and 80s.
11:16
And then when we saw it, we're like, that's not a Capri.
11:20
You're just using the name.
11:22
And that unfortunately resulted in quite a lot of pushback.
11:26
I remember the particularly the electrifying dot com channel.
11:29
Love that brilliant website, great YouTube channel.
11:31
They were brutal about using the Capri name and not delivering a Capri.
11:37
So they discontinued the popular cars they sold here.
11:42
The Fiesta had nowhere to go.
11:44
They killed the Fiesta in twenty twenty three.
11:45
The Focus had nowhere to go and it's gone this year.
11:48
The Mondeo was gone in twenty twenty one.
11:50
All massive vehicles with loads of love and amazing name plates.
11:55
And there was no electric alternative lined up.
11:58
The product pipeline was empty.
12:00
Ford launched the Explorer, which I've had a look today.
12:04
So this data is absolutely bang on accurate as of a couple of minutes ago.
12:09
The Ford Explorer starts at thirty nine two eight five.
12:12
So it's a smidge under the forty thousand pound luxury car tax here.
12:17
But it doesn't get the grant because it's too expensive.
12:19
And it's got a teeny weeny fifty two kilowatt hour battery as well.
12:22
So it's a forty grand vehicle with a small battery.
12:25
If you want the old seventy seven kilowatt hour battery that VW have moved on from.
12:30
That's forty five eight eight five and forty six thousand pound vehicle.
12:36
And that's look that's for the base trims.
12:39
Then there's the Capri, which they've priced so premium.
12:43
Again, tiny battery, fifty two kilowatt hours is forty one four eight five.
12:48
So forty one and a half thousand pounds to get into it to get the big battery
12:53
in all wheel drive premium driver assist trim is fifty seven thousand four eight five.
13:00
You you're asking me for fifty seven and a half thousand pounds for a Ford and not
13:06
a particularly spare look the Capri is nice.
13:08
Don't get me wrong, but it's nice in a way that the VW ID four and ID five,
13:14
which these cars are based on are just kind of nice.
13:18
Like I'd love them in my driveway, but I'm not spending fifty seven and a half
13:24
thousand pounds on a Ford Capri.
13:26
They have abandoned the mass market segment where they made all of their
13:31
money with those vehicles.
13:34
The Explorer and Capri's pricing strategy was a fundamental mess up of the
13:39
European market. Ford positioned these vehicles as premium.
13:43
They were built on Volkswagen's MEB platform, though.
13:46
They didn't sound like knockoff vehicles.
13:48
But if you were following the EV industry, a lot of EV early adopters, I know
13:52
because a lot of people listen to this podcast to learn about these know a little
13:56
bit more than your average buyer.
13:57
They do their own research and they made direct comparisons with these European
14:01
brands like Volkswagen, of which the vehicles they were made on Volkswagen ID
14:05
five, Scott, any at Coupe, you'd have those over the Ford Capri, wouldn't you?
14:10
The Ford Mustang Mach E.
14:11
Let's not forget it was technically incredibly accomplished.
14:16
Four hundred and eighty seven PS of power.
14:18
No to sixty two miles now, three point seven seconds at its peak.
14:23
But it hasn't hit any volume sales in Europe.
14:25
It's got premium positioning.
14:26
It's limited mass market appeal, incredible performance specifications
14:29
and long range, three hundred and seventy two miles.
14:32
I think WLTP, Magna Ride, suspension, brilliant vehicle hasn't cut through.
14:38
So what about the pros and cons of using the MEB platform?
14:41
You might make it think that I'm saying it was a mistake to do it.
14:46
Look, by leveraging VW's, the architecture, Ford cut development time,
14:50
but by at least two years, at least allowing its EV models to hit European
14:54
showrooms much sooner, Ford avoided billions of dollars in costs and delays
14:58
otherwise required to engineer and validate an entirely new EV architecture
15:03
for European tastes.
15:04
This reduced technical and financial risk at a critical stage of the business.
15:08
VW's MEB platform was homologated for EU safety, for charging, for regulatory standards,
15:15
Ford sidestepped that and that can stall a new entry on a platform
15:20
in a region for a long time, too.
15:22
Plus, Ford capitalized on VW's supply chain, charging network partnerships,
15:27
access to battery supply contracts, past supplies, already important.
15:31
However, despite the vehicles looking like Ford's,
15:34
and when I get passed by an Explorer or a Capri today, they're good looking vehicles.
15:39
The vehicles drove like VW's and Skoda's.
15:42
It's harder for Ford to command a price of almost 60,000 pounds
15:48
for a Capri at the top end when it's not that premium.
15:52
Is it? Let's face it.
15:53
And you can't really say we're different.
15:56
I mean, the inside and outside are different, but some of the controls
16:00
and infotainment are the same.
16:03
Complaints about VW haptic controls and the UI.
16:07
VW's platform isn't exclusive.
16:09
So Ford competes head to head with those VW.
16:11
Skoda's, Cooper's on identical hardware with, you know, not as great brand
16:16
heritage at the minute and at higher price points, royalty and licensing fees
16:21
cut the profitability erode the margins at Ford, limiting the financial
16:25
upside compared to doing it themselves, which they are doing.
16:29
By the way, long term plan for EVs, I should point out.
16:31
And Ford's ability to respond to new trends, so new battery
16:35
chemistries, software features, entirely constrained by what VW was
16:42
doing on the MEB platform.
16:43
And again, we had an ID three in the driveway for a time.
16:47
I like that vehicle.
16:48
I like what VW have done with the MEB platform.
16:52
But look, it's not premium at all.
16:55
And there's a lot wrong that has had to be and is being fixed.
16:59
And it will be fixed with this kind of big refresh coming next year.
17:03
A complete reworking of the ID three, ID four entirely.
17:07
And they might even call the Tiguan, the ID four, entirely new vehicle, really.
17:10
And so Ford have been at their mercy when you got to say VW didn't
17:15
particularly smash it out of the park solid, not bad, but solid.
17:20
So we haven't even talked about China yet or the competitive set.
17:26
And what else can you get for that money as a Ford Puma?
17:28
Commercially, these are a big deal.
17:30
Supply chains and also maybe what could Ford do?
17:35
Well, I've got a couple of ideas that they won't care about.
17:37
But, you know, I'll let you know and you can see if I'm wide of the mark or not.
17:42
And if anybody at Ford listens to this podcast, I highly doubt it.
17:47
Feel free to tell me you're an idiot because you don't understand our business.
17:50
But I've got some ideas and I'll present them in a minute.
17:53
We'll take a break, slap a coffee and back in a moment.
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18:29
So we have to talk about China on the podcast, don't we?
18:32
Because the emergence of Chinese EVs fundamentally altered the EV market.
18:39
BYD for one, MG for another.
18:42
Big market share already through very aggressive pricing,
18:45
rapid model development cycles, MG leaning into particularly here.
18:49
I mean, across Europe, of course, as well.
18:51
But I think a lot of people really do think MG is a British brand.
18:55
Still, maybe some older generations have more love for that
18:58
and don't really care that it's owned by the Chinese, but they see the MG badge.
19:02
And so all that heritage, but at very low prices.
19:05
Chinese manufacturers are refreshing some models every 1.3 years on average.
19:11
There are some models that aren't a year old and they're getting a refresh
19:14
or an update on new chips or a new look.
19:19
European competitors, what, 4.2, four and a half year cycles,
19:23
providing continuous tech advancement and cutting costs in China.
19:27
Chinese EV pricing advantages are substantial.
19:30
Of course, labor costs are a lot lower, but they haven't got magical
19:33
ways of making vehicles over there.
19:35
They still make vehicles the same way, but just all of their costs are lower.
19:40
You know, and for good and bad reasons, obviously.
19:42
But labor is the big one and vehicles costing 25 percent less at least
19:46
by the time you've made it in China and shipped it over here and paid tariffs
19:49
and still make money at lower prices.
19:53
And we'll talk about China a bit more in a minute, actually.
19:55
But I want to look at the competitive set for the Ford Puma
19:57
because the Ford Puma is the new one, the new vehicle from Ford.
20:02
I can't possibly look at every market, so I have to focus on the UK where I am.
20:07
And I'm sorry about apologies if I'm not doing this in your local currency.
20:11
Ford Puma built on a modified B2E platform derived from the conventional
20:15
Puma, which is for bestselling vehicle over here now that there's nothing else
20:18
to sell really. The Gen E offers 233 miles of range at its maximum
20:24
and maintains the gigabox, as they call it, the big storage solution
20:27
that made the Puma quite well known.
20:31
So the new Ford Puma started starts at twenty nine nine nine five.
20:38
So that's 30,000 pounds, 30 grand in its absolute stripped down select standard
20:44
trim, they call their base trim, 123 kilowatts of power.
20:47
It's not bad, 43 kilowatt hour battery.
20:50
WLTP range is great for the battery size, by the way, 233 miles.
20:55
It's a really small vehicle, mind, but Ford has nailed the efficiency.
21:00
Comfort pack takes it to 30 and a half.
21:02
Top spec is 31 and a half.
21:04
What about real world pricing, though?
21:07
Because these big car manufacturers can can influence monthly deals and things like that.
21:12
I can't get into all that because you end up looking at what's the deposit down.
21:16
And I'd look at leasing.
21:17
I'd look at PCP. There's no point.
21:19
Everything's different.
21:20
But a quick look on car.
21:22
Wow, an hour ago showed me that the dealer direct offers on Ford Puma's
21:27
brand new car direct from a Ford main dealer is twenty four three fifty
21:32
with the government discount off.
21:34
They got the maximum government grant, one of the only cars that has
21:37
such a saving of five thousand seven hundred pounds from the RRP.
21:40
So Ford have taken some money off the RRP and then you've got the full government grant off that as well.
21:45
So Ford Puma, let's rewire our brains.
21:48
It's not a thirty grand car, which it has been until the government grant.
21:51
Now it's a twenty four three fifty car.
21:56
The depressing thing for Ford is that's probably still not enough.
22:00
A similar sized Vauxhall front era is five thousand pounds cheaper.
22:06
You can get a Vauxhall front era.
22:07
I'm looking at this right now on car.
22:09
Well, dealer direct offers eighteen nine one six.
22:13
Now a lot less range, one hundred and eighty six miles WLTP and one eight six
22:17
is a lot less than two hundred and thirty three.
22:20
But it's got the same size pack, forty four kilowatt hours.
22:23
So a lot less efficient.
22:25
However, something a lot, lot smaller.
22:29
It's a segment smaller.
22:30
It's the Hyundai Insta is forty centimeters shorter, twenty centimeters more narrow,
22:36
fifty percent less storage, but very, very stylish.
22:39
And if you want a compact car for safe, reliable transport for maybe two and
22:43
occasionally four people, you know, that the Insta still does over two hundred
22:48
miles of WLTP range and it's sixteen thousand eight hundred
22:52
pounds for a brand new one.
22:53
Now that's an eight thousand pounds offset.
22:57
No, the Puma is bigger, not by much, but it is bigger.
23:00
But if you need compact, reliable transport to then go eight grand more
23:05
for a Puma, you do need to have, well, I need to maybe fit five adults and a bit
23:10
more storage space.
23:12
So what about comparable vehicles Citroën EC three, not the EC three smaller one,
23:19
but the bigger one, the taller SUV shape, the Citroën EC three Aircross
23:25
directly comparable, one hundred and eighty eight miles.
23:28
So a lot less range, but again, well under twenty K, a smidge over twenty thousand
23:34
at twenty seven four five is the MG for getting a little long in the tooth.
23:40
I can't believe it seems like it's only been here five minutes,
23:43
but they've already refreshed it in China.
23:44
We're going to get the refresh as well.
23:46
Fifty one kilowatt hour battery in that and it's twenty thousand pounds seven
23:50
hundred and forty five. The Renault five. OK, so now it's getting discounts.
23:55
It's been out a little while now, the Renault five.
23:57
So it's just starting to get some offers that now starts at twenty thousand
24:01
eight hundred and twenty nine pounds, forty kilowatt hour pack,
24:05
one hundred and ninety two miles of range.
24:07
So we're forty shy of the the Puma.
24:09
But look, the Renault five bags of style, loads of style.
24:14
MG's MG S five is a couple of pounds more, but that's got a forty nine
24:19
kilowatt hour battery, two hundred and eleven miles of range.
24:23
And the MG S five is a big family vehicle, way bigger than a Puma to fit a family.
24:29
Loads more space generously appointed as well in terms of trim levels.
24:33
And it's twenty one thousand four hundred and three hundred and forty five
24:37
pounds is twenty one and a half.
24:38
And a lot of this depends on monthly offers as well.
24:40
I know what about a curveball Citroen EC four X.
24:45
All right, same mileage on WLTP as the Puma from a slightly bigger battery.
24:49
Fifty kilowatt hours, loads more room, though, quite curious styling
24:54
for a saloon, Sadani kind of what is it?
24:58
But it's twenty one and a half thousand pounds per shows.
25:01
E two double eight.
25:02
That's twenty six and a half, but it comes with a massive battery.
25:05
Fifty four kilowatt hour, two hundred and fifty miles of range.
25:08
And if you want to go a little more premiums, if you want to spend a bit
25:11
more than a Puma, you can get into an ID three in essential pure trim.
25:16
Bit much bigger battery, way more efficient.
25:19
Four point four miles per kilowatt hour.
25:21
Great monthly deals back by VW.
25:22
Scott is new L rock.
25:24
All right, we're getting premium now, but the L rock is twenty seven seven
25:27
fifty five kilowatt hour pack, identical mileage to the Puma,
25:31
but it's three grand more and getting way more premium.
25:34
Renault McGahn is a different segment, two hundred and eighty five
25:37
miles of range, sixty kilowatt hour pack.
25:40
It's a whole class different to the Puma and it's twenty eight thousand pounds.
25:43
So yeah, it's four grand more.
25:46
The Kona, in case you're wondering, always a good benchmark for a family car.
25:49
Again, Kona, bigger, sixty five kilowatt hour battery,
25:53
well over three hundred and nineteen miles of range, legendary efficiency
25:58
on the Hyundai's, but it is thirty thousand and sixty six pounds.
26:03
So you can probably do a deal and get it under thirty, maybe twenty nine
26:06
something good monthly deals from Hyundai in the two hundreds, you know,
26:10
on that whole different type of vehicle, though.
26:12
But look, that's and that's not even all I say to some American listeners as
26:16
well as fans, I know fans American listeners.
26:19
Our small car market is just ridiculous at the moment.
26:24
The last twelve months, last eighteen months has been an explosion
26:28
in that bit of the market and that and that's just a sample.
26:33
By the way, that's not all of the vehicles.
26:35
There's so much I could go into more.
26:36
That's how competitive it is for Ford and even with the full
26:41
UK government grant and they'd be stuffed without it, by the way,
26:44
but they've got the full UK grant, a bit of money off for Ford as well.
26:48
Twenty four and a half.
26:50
They're starting to get into the right ballpark now for that entry level
26:54
Puma, but that's the level of problem that Ford has got here
26:58
in terms of making money, but up against ridiculous competition.
27:02
And I haven't even mentioned B. Y. D. C. Girls and things like that.
27:05
Smaller vehicles. So quick mention, Ford's commercial vehicle
27:10
electrification plan is a big strength for them in the EV markets.
27:14
E transit custom starts production this year next year.
27:18
Europe's one ton van segment being targeted there with a lead
27:22
two hundred and thirty six miles of range, big towing.
27:25
E transit custom will address commercial users concerns about
27:29
EV practicality, the broader transit, electric family,
27:33
the two tonne transit and smaller courier variants.
27:36
They provide Ford with a comprehensive EV lineup in the commercial world.
27:40
Very, very strong there.
27:41
With a planned focus SUV for twenty twenty seven,
27:45
obviously not its official name might be called the focus,
27:47
might be called something else.
27:49
It's a great name to have in your locker if you afford.
27:51
But we'll call it the focus for now.
27:54
This represents Ford's attempt to recapture mass market segments
27:58
abandoned with the discontinuation of their traditional passenger cars.
28:02
It'll be built at Ford's Valencia plant in Spain.
28:06
That has an annual capacity of three hundred thousand units.
28:08
This crossover will offer both petrol, hybrid and pure electric
28:13
power trains to address the different market needs positioned between
28:17
the Puma Gen E, which we've established is a mid twenty thousand
28:21
something car now and the Explorer, which currently costs 40 K.
28:27
I mean, it's literally going to be between those not only in pricing,
28:31
The focus aims to compete directly with the VW ID for Scott at any
28:36
act in the emerging Chinese competitors in this midsize crossover
28:39
segment and out there loads of those coming from China at the moment.
28:43
However, this vehicle is still at least two years away.
28:45
And that by me two years until the reveal, the model's success
28:49
will largely determine whether Ford can rebuild volume sales in Europe
28:52
or remain relegated to being a niche player.
28:56
The multi energy powertrain choice for the focus acknowledges
29:00
the European market and the realities here where pure electric adoption
29:04
varies by region and consumer segment.
29:07
If they release the focus as a pure bev over here in the UK,
29:10
I think it go down very well.
29:12
Some other countries, France, Germany, Norway, be very good at Spain's
29:16
really coming along where the vehicle will be made by having a great twenty
29:19
twenty five other countries might want possibly plug in hybrid, maybe EREV.
29:25
This approach allows for to compete across the full spectrum of powertrain
29:28
preferences, whilst also catering to customers that want to go electric.
29:33
So what platform will they use?
29:37
Well, I think I can confidently say it won't be VW's MEB platform or even MEB
29:41
plus one option, then Ford has already announced its universal EV platform.
29:48
Now, that is scheduled for a twenty twenty seven release.
29:51
It's developed as part of a five billion dollar investment.
29:54
The UEVP universal EV platform promises to deliver affordable
30:00
EVs with starting prices from twenty two thousand directly competitive
30:03
with the Chinese makers and European value brands.
30:06
There's a load of choice between 18 and twenty two in the UK.
30:10
So this production system, it's a whole new way of making cars, really.
30:14
It reduces the parts count by at least 20 percent assembly workstations
30:17
by 40 percent and even production time by 15 percent.
30:22
And this is all in an industry that has iterated itself down to the final
30:26
nth degree. These are massive, massive improvements.
30:30
It's a whole new way of building vehicles.
30:32
The efficiency enables Ford to compete on price and be profitable
30:36
and also be sustainable.
30:39
Technical specs for you, EVP vehicles include cobalt free and nickel free
30:43
lithium ion phosphate packs integrated structurally into the floor of the vehicle,
30:47
reducing weight and cost, improving space.
30:50
The platform's flexibility enables multiple body styles from hatchbacks
30:54
to pick up trucks and economies of scale across every segment.
30:57
However, that may well be too much too soon for Ford of Europe.
31:03
The first vehicles they produce on this revolutionary architecture
31:06
will surely be for the USA first.
31:09
And if they're a global vehicle, it probably won't be a European made focus.
31:14
So what else have they got?
31:16
Well, according to Felix Page at Auto Car Magazine,
31:20
he writes, the new crossover could become one of Ford's best selling lines globally.
31:26
It will not replace the Cougar, but rather will be sold alongside it
31:30
as a separate model line that introduces a multi energy approach
31:35
with petrol, hybrid and electric drivetrains as it has done with the Puma.
31:39
As the two cars will be built in parallel at Ford's Valencia plant,
31:42
it is also expected to be a close match size wise to avoid the need
31:46
for costly alterations to the production line and process.
31:49
While also sharing key components, the new model, we'll call it the focus,
31:54
is highly likely to be based on the C2 platform,
31:58
the same one that Ford uses for mid sized C segment models in Europe.
32:03
Having first been used for the outgoing fourth gen focus way back in 2018.
32:09
This architecture underpins a range of saloons,
32:12
crossovers and SUVs worldwide testament to its flexibility.
32:15
But it's so far yet to accommodate a pure electric powertrain.
32:20
And once again, this is me editorializing here, not Mr.
32:26
Once again, it's that it's that dilemma.
32:29
Do you go with a pure EV platform to make the best possible EV that you can?
32:33
Or do you use an architecture that by the time this vehicle comes out,
32:37
is not only almost 10 years old, maybe older,
32:40
which is the problem that that's what got Ford in this problem.
32:44
But also is a compromise to the car makers have to compromise to make money,
32:50
to make affordable vehicles, should they be going pure EV?
32:53
The likes of, well, Tesla's always done, but the likes of BMW more recently
32:59
saying, all right, we tried it both ways and now this is the way to do it.
33:01
So we'll wait and see.
33:05
So what's Ford got to do where they've got to localize European
33:08
EV production if they want to be competitive and reduce supply chain
33:12
vulnerabilities, they have their Cologne EV center as the foundation.
33:16
But additional capacity is going to be required.
33:18
Battery supply chain partnerships should prioritize European
33:20
suppliers to reduce costs and improve supply security and do things like
33:24
accessing things like the new UK car grant.
33:28
There's the Turkish partnership with Ford Ottersand that can be expanded
33:31
to provide additional manufacturing capacity to European markets as well.
33:37
And how do they fight the Chinese?
33:38
Ford's commercial vehicle heritage is an advantage in practical electric
33:43
vehicles that the Chinese can't operate, that replicate very easily.
33:47
There are some commercial vehicles from China.
33:50
They're pretty rubbish.
33:51
The company should emphasize payload capacity for to talk about towing
33:55
and payload and durability and their heritage in commercial vehicles.
34:00
The service network can be an advantage over the Chinese as well.
34:03
Because there's Ford dealers everywhere.
34:06
Service infrastructure will give customer confidence.
34:09
They should really play into that and say, you know, these Chinese
34:12
brands, some of them aren't even around anymore because they've gone bust in China.
34:16
Want to take the risk on that?
34:17
No, hey, with Ford Blue Oval come to us.
34:20
I think they need to be more aggressive and and, you know, I'm here for
34:24
the Chinese invasion because they're cheap cars and I want people to drive
34:26
cheap cars that are safe and reliable.
34:28
They're going Euro and cap five testing and stuff.
34:31
And so, you know, you can argue about how they're made and the regime and whatnot.
34:35
But still, I want people to have great value cars to choose from.
34:39
And so that's the weakness, isn't it?
34:41
It's the uncertainty.
34:42
Now, what the heck is this new Chinese name?
34:45
They, you know, it's not scaremongering.
34:47
Just telling say, these companies are going bust in China.
34:51
You want to be left with a car that doesn't work or whatever.
34:53
Lots of people have been with Ford.
34:55
They lean into that regulatory compliance in the European markets.
34:59
They've been here forever.
35:00
They know how it works.
35:01
They should be doing better and Ford can accelerate their product development
35:04
cycles to match the Chinese as well.
35:07
And they've talked about how they're going to do this as well.
35:09
So what a Ford need to do, in my opinion, it's the sub 20,000 euro or it's
35:15
around 20,000 euro models.
35:19
And I'm not saying launch the fiesta EV.
35:22
But launch the fiesta EV, do you know what I mean?
35:25
They're bringing back things like the Nissan Micra based on the Renault five
35:29
and Nissan are smart because it's, you know, partnership with Renault.
35:32
And the Micra is a big vehicle now.
35:35
It's not like the small little micro that it used to be.
35:37
Everything's got fat, though, because of safety.
35:39
But still, you know, a new fiesta would get bigger.
35:42
But still, the timing advantage of hitting Europe now with cheaper cars.
35:48
Ford still has time to establish a market position in cheap EVs.
35:54
It's not too late for them.
35:56
Fleet and commercial integration has to be prioritized between now and then.
36:00
The next couple of years, lean into commercial, lean into the transit.
36:04
Ford's European recovery through EVs has to mean an abandoning of premium positioning.
36:11
I see why it was tempting to do it and I get why they did it.
36:14
But Ford is the mass market and they left it and they deserted it and no one's
36:19
paying almost 60,000 pounds for a Ford Capri that's not a Capri.
36:23
So the UAVP platform and for the Focus SUV are vital in that 20 something
36:28
thousand euro price band in vans and small commercial vehicles.
36:34
I think they're fine there.
36:35
Second wave collaborations and rapid platform development will enable
36:40
Ford to catch up on costs, features and adaptability.
36:43
It's not too late, like I say, their extensive dealership network
36:47
can be scaled for EV adoption.
36:48
A customer loyalty, I think, can still be there, but they must launch
36:53
ultra competitive EVs in core segments.
36:55
They won't do it before the Chinese because the Chinese are here now.
36:59
And but VW, the European rivals, if not the ID one, then certainly the ID
37:04
Polo and the other vehicles, so Cooper, Ravel and the Scotter version as well,
37:10
the Epic, they are coming sooner than Ford will get cheap EVs here.
37:15
And then time is ticking for them.
37:19
If Ford delivers on that, they could see a resurgence in popularity and profitability,
37:26
maybe not at the glory days, but I think they can do it.
37:29
Ford set the standard back in the day for family, for fleet vehicles,
37:35
for small, cheap vehicles, but so many problems over here in Europe.
37:41
It wasn't just one thing delaying models over reliance on partnerships.
37:45
Poor pricing choices have led for that to that big dramatic decline
37:49
in market share and I hate to say it relevance as well.
37:53
With Chinese EVs capturing share through just sheer pricing,
37:58
but also value as well, because it's loaded with technology.
38:01
Ford's premium EV approach missed the mark.
38:05
It doesn't. It didn't work draw a line under it.
38:07
Strategic recommendations from me would be accessibility.
38:11
The lineup from Ford, get back to what we love about them.
38:15
Localize production, be cost competitive,
38:17
strengthen their commercial vehicle at the same time, reputation and advantage
38:22
and realign with that rapid execution of bringing new things to the market
38:27
to restore Ford's position and growth over here in Europe.
38:32
That's my thoughts anyway. Maybe I'm right.
38:35
I've waffled on for far too long today.
38:37
But hopefully a bit of a history lesson and a bit of a look at where we are
38:40
today with Ford and maybe where they go in the future.
38:44
What do you think? I'd love to hear from you.
38:46
Have you owned Ford's in the past? Do you own them now?
38:48
What do you think of the Explorer and Capri?
38:50
Have you bought the new Puma? What do you think?
38:53
Let me know. Thanks for listening and I'll see you on the next one.