00:00
I mean, gosh, there's got to be a wait for them to lean in on it.
00:03
Or are you saying, no, pull out your credit card and buy 40 of them right now?
00:10
I mean, they're worrying about the tax credit timer.
00:13
How do you reconcile all of this for those that are like, yeah, I'm feeling the pull.
00:18
I just don't know how to get in.
00:20
I think the fact that we saw such a big shift from 59% aren't doing it to only 49%
00:27
is very much for a byproduct of the tax credit expiration.
00:31
Like, these are really hot right now.
00:34
Like, what's the story behind that number?
00:35
And what are the first maybe two processes of changes that would help move a dealer
00:40
from no thanks to selectively profitable?
00:43
One of the biggest issues around this has been.
00:48
One of the things that I enjoy most about producing the dealer playbook
00:51
is hearing from you the messages that I get of people who are getting
00:55
so much value out of the podcast, applying it to their day to day workflows
00:59
and finding a thriving career right here in the retail auto industry.
01:03
It means the world to me.
01:04
And, you know, one of the ways that we make doing this possible
01:07
is through my agency, Flex Dealer.
01:09
And of course, in the spirit of providing value,
01:12
I think this is a perfect time to head over to www.flexdealer.com
01:16
to show even further support for you, my beloved DPB gang.
01:21
Right now, if you go to my website, flexdealer.com,
01:24
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01:28
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01:29
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01:33
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01:38
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And so I'd love to be able to offer you a free copy of this.
01:50
If you go to flexdealer.com, it would mean the world to me
01:53
because that is how we continue to produce this show for you.
02:10
Jimmy Douglas is the founder and CEO of Plug,
02:13
a wholesale marketplace built specifically for used EVs
02:16
that helps dealers buy and sell with EV specific data and confidence.
02:22
A former Tesla exec and we all know how we talk so much about Tesla these days.
02:28
He's now a leading voice on the pre-owned EV ecosystem,
02:33
frequently interviewed about why most dealers hesitate with used EVs
02:37
and how prepared operators are quietly building margins as supply rises
02:43
and incentives shift.
02:45
Now, I got to dig right into this because I've I've I've been thinking
02:49
about this. I've got questions.
02:51
I need to get to the bottom of Jimmy.
02:54
You've you've cited that roughly 59% of dealers aren't touching used EVs
03:00
while a tiny group sells a disproportionate share.
03:04
Like what's the story behind that number and what are the first
03:08
maybe two process of changes that that would help move a dealer
03:13
from no thanks to selectively profitable?
03:16
Well, first of all, Michael, it's great to see you.
03:19
And I really appreciate the flattering introduction and you're right.
03:25
This is my favorite topic.
03:26
So I'm actually going to break some news here for you.
03:29
The analysis that yielded the 59% metric is a couple of months old
03:33
and we just ran a new one and believe it or not, we're down to 49%.
03:38
Wow. So suddenly now we're just down to half of dealers
03:42
are not touching used EVs, which is a huge improvement.
03:46
But what's also true at the same time is three nationwide retailers
03:52
actually own even more of the market than they used to.
03:55
Now they own 23%, which is my former employer and Carvana and CarMax.
04:01
Meanwhile, another 11% of that whole market is owned by 50 rooftops
04:05
So it's still a very lopsided asymmetric market.
04:10
Only 0.2% of car dealers overall
04:15
sold at least one of these every week.
04:18
So it's practically untapped by the masses.
04:22
And I think about this every day.
04:25
Now, here's the part of this equation that you'd probably be surprised
04:29
to hear me say. I don't walk around saying every dealer should sell used EVs.
04:33
In fact, there actually aren't enough of them for everybody to do it really well.
04:38
The dealers that are doing this really well have a bunch of them in stock.
04:43
They are a bit of a beacon within their geographic region for people to go
04:48
when they want to be educated about the used EV product.
04:51
And they want to speak with somebody that speaks first hand through the nuances
04:55
of charging on the road or at home or thinking through total cost of ownership
04:59
or getting excited about over the air software updates.
05:02
It's a fundamentally different asset.
05:04
It's transformative.
05:06
And in order to actually make money doing this, you kind of need to be
05:10
But when used EVs are only two percent of the used car market,
05:16
not everybody can be all in on it.
05:18
That said, I personally don't think that this entire market should get
05:21
swallowed up by a small number of nationwide operators.
05:25
I think that would be a mistake.
05:27
So to dealers who are investing in it or feel like their team
05:32
or frankly, their community where they live, the ecosystem within
05:37
which they live is ready for them to embrace it.
05:39
Then now is a really exciting time to do that.
05:43
Now, I mean, it makes sense, right?
05:45
You're going to see the, I don't know, big box chain or big dealer group
05:50
soaking up all of the used EV inventory, which doesn't give
05:54
other more rural markets.
05:55
Single point stores the opportunity to even foray into this subject matter.
06:00
But what's the balance there?
06:02
What would have to happen in order for more maybe single
06:06
or dual point stores feel comfortable acquiring used EVs
06:11
and then finding the market in their area to sell them?
06:15
To be honest, we see examples of this in nearly every pocket of the country.
06:23
The first and most important aspect of it is cultural more than anything else.
06:27
Like is the leadership team, the ownership, the sales team, the finance team?
06:31
Is everybody actually really bought in on this versus
06:35
is it something that's being handed over to them?
06:38
One of the biggest issues around this has been the difficulty
06:42
around selling the new EV product.
06:44
We we sat at over 100 days of supply on new EVs across the country for so long.
06:48
Of course, this quarter will be an outlier
06:50
because there is such a rush to capitalize on the credit.
06:53
But it's really hard for people to get on board
06:55
with taking on used EVs when they can't even sell brand new ones
06:59
with extraordinarily low monthly payments
07:02
subsidized through manufacturers and from the government.
07:06
So I don't blame people when they're skeptical about it
07:09
as something that's really profitable for them.
07:13
For those who do feel ready,
07:16
it really starts at the culture within the store.
07:21
Which is not the answer that most people were expecting there, I imagine.
07:25
No, people looking to walk around being ex Tesla
07:28
and telling everybody that they need to buy an EV right now
07:31
or they're destroying the world and that everybody can make money on it.
07:35
Actually, no, not everybody can make money on it right now.
07:38
Eventually, within the next 10 years,
07:40
I see EVs becoming 30% of the used car market.
07:43
And at that point in time,
07:45
non participation is definitely a lot riskier.
07:48
But at this moment in time,
07:51
deciding if you're all in or all out is actually a better strategy
07:54
on the use side and a readiness to jump into it.
08:00
Of course, will depend on if your market where you exist
08:03
has an appetite for it.
08:05
But ultimately, most pockets of the country
08:08
can have a profitable used EV enterprise
08:10
if culturally they're aligned in investing in it at the store.
08:14
And I say that because it's a highly educational sales process.
08:19
People expect to come in and buy a car,
08:22
but they don't realize what they're actually buying is a computer on wheels
08:25
and they have to fundamentally think differently
08:27
about how to plan for a road trip
08:30
or how to expect the functionality of that vehicle to evolve
08:36
or change, hopefully improve over time.
08:40
What the asset appreciation or depreciation might look like.
08:44
So many aspects to it.
08:45
And when it's a black box,
08:46
it's just easier to do something that you're more comfortable with.
08:49
You know, this makes sense, though, when you're saying, you know,
08:51
I asked you, well, like, what what do we do to go from
08:55
kind of not profitable or no, thanks on EVs to selectively profitable?
08:59
And your answer is to go all in, which makes perfect sense to me
09:03
because when you make that decision,
09:05
then you start building standard operating procedures around
09:09
market education and salesperson education and consumer education.
09:15
Like there's so many things then that make that time
09:18
to build out those processes way more worth it
09:21
than if you're kind of selective, you're you're like one foot in, one foot out.
09:25
That's right. So important.
09:27
That's right, Michael.
09:30
The stores that do that are also very proactive
09:32
about acquiring their inventory and doing so with attention to nuance
09:35
around the mix and the the battery size, the range,
09:40
the software enabled features, having a really diversified lineup.
09:45
And that's not easy to do if you don't know what to look for,
09:48
if you haven't educated yourself and gotten fully up to speed.
09:52
And frankly, there's arbitrage in the market, too.
09:54
Like most auctions or places where you source vehicles
09:57
don't represent EVs properly.
09:59
So you really need to know what you're looking for.
10:01
And a lot of dealers that are all in on this market
10:03
actually capitalize on that information arbitrage.
10:06
They don't suffer from it.
10:07
But that makes it much harder for dealers that are entering the fold
10:10
if they're doing it with any intensity, less than all in.
10:16
My hope is, as any good marketer might hope
10:20
that those that we're thinking they should be all in
10:23
are now like holding the the screen or wherever they're watching this
10:27
and they're getting close.
10:29
And then we've just turned off the other 51% of dealers
10:34
that are like, we don't have to turn them off.
10:37
Michael, we we built for them, too.
10:39
So I want to be clear, like I want to ask you about that
10:42
because, you know, when you look at those statistics
10:45
and it's really hard to argue the data, especially from your vantage point.
10:50
For those that are maybe now listening to this
10:53
and looking out the window to their lot and they see four or five of them.
10:57
We brought up like inventory selection and knowing what to look for
11:00
and all those sorts of things.
11:02
But I mean, gosh, there's got to be a way to for them to lean in on it.
11:07
Or are you saying, no, pull out your credit card
11:11
and buy 40 of them right now?
11:14
I mean, they're they're worrying about the the tax credit timer.
11:18
The clock that we've got at timer recording is what?
11:21
September 30th or right?
11:23
So, you know, it's a nine for the record.
11:26
Like we got 21 days left.
11:28
How do you reconcile all of this for those that are like, yeah,
11:31
I'm feeling the pull.
11:33
I just don't know how to get in.
11:37
I mean, I think the fact that we saw such a big shift
11:42
from 59% aren't doing it to only 49% is very much a byproduct
11:48
among other things, but a byproduct of the tax credit expiration.
11:51
Like a lot of the dealers that we work with in our trade desk,
11:53
for example, so they they might be running a Toyota store
11:57
or a CDJR store and if they receive a Tesla trade in,
12:00
like they're not trying to to hang on to it as a retail unit.
12:02
So they get an offer from us at the point of appraisal.
12:05
We're seeing some of those dealers say, hey, you know, like.
12:08
These are really hot right now
12:09
because people are rushing to capitalize on this incentive.
12:12
So when we otherwise might be wholesaling this
12:14
like for the next couple of weeks,
12:15
like we'll see if we can have a retail outcome out of it,
12:20
which I think is a really smart strategy.
12:23
So this next month, the rest of this month is not representative
12:26
of what the world will look like on on the other side in October.
12:30
But right now, dealers are more prone to hang
12:32
on to those EVs radens and retail out of them than they were
12:36
because so many consumers are hungry to capitalize on the credit.
12:40
Interesting. What happens post credit expiration?
12:45
What's going to be the driver of traffic and interest
12:48
and that kind of maybe tipping point for the consumer to consider an EV?
12:52
Sure. Well, so this will be the biggest EV sales quarter,
12:56
both new venues on record in the US for sure.
12:59
And much of that will be because demand from next quarter
13:04
and the quarter after that are all getting pulled into this quarter.
13:06
Anyone that was considering that purchase is not looking to let go
13:09
of a seventy five hundred dollar benefit or a four thousand dollar benefit.
13:12
So they are rushing in, which means
13:16
really painful hangover for Q4 and Q1.
13:22
And that's just what happens when you pull demand forward, right?
13:24
But meanwhile, there are new EVs continuing to roll off the factory lines
13:29
and they have to go somewhere.
13:30
So I actually I've been talking since I started this company
13:33
about what happens in twenty twenty six, which is three years
13:36
trailing the inflation reduction act in twenty twenty three
13:39
when EV leasing just started ripping because of the loophole.
13:43
We've been saying in twenty twenty six,
13:45
we're going to get hit in the face with all these lease returns.
13:47
But it's my hypothesis that manufacturers will have to start doing
13:50
lease return pull forwards in order to move new products quickly enough
13:54
because so much of the organic demand got pulled into Q3.
14:03
Do you think that's worrying some of this forty nine percent?
14:08
I'm sure it's worrying everybody.
14:10
Like when we're concerned that we're not going to have enough demand
14:13
for a commodity that's coming directly for us in mass volume,
14:16
whether we're asking for it or not.
14:18
Like, yeah, we should be concerned.
14:19
But ultimately, it's all a throughput game, right?
14:23
And where where used car dealers have agency is how much they pay for a vehicle,
14:30
whether it's a trade in or at the auction or any other channel.
14:34
And those who are focused on EVs already know this is coming.
14:40
They are, in some cases, waiting on the sidelines for certain types of inventory
14:45
or stocking up on others because the tax credit expiring is going to have
14:49
some interesting implications.
14:51
But for the use tax credit, some vehicles are actually selling for less
14:55
money because the credit exists, believe it or not.
14:59
I'll give you an example.
15:00
If you look at like a twenty twenty three Tesla model three in an auction,
15:06
like a rear wheel drive variant, it's pretty hard at auction for that car
15:09
to catch any more than twenty four thousand dollars because most dealers
15:13
want to retail it for twenty five thousand, which is the ceiling for the tax credit.
15:17
And that's actually artificially deflated some of the newer cars in their values.
15:21
But when the credit is gone, that ceiling is also gone.
15:25
Granted, we also have the demand shortfall coming.
15:28
So it's a little bit more complicated than just saying on newer cars,
15:30
the prices will go up, but it's not like a total doom and gloom scenario
15:35
on residual values per se.
15:40
Hey, does your marketing agency suck?
15:42
Listen, before we hop back into this episode, I know you know me
15:45
as the host of the Dealer Playbook, but did you also know that I'm the CEO
15:49
of Flex Dealer, an agency that's helping dealers capture better quality
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16:03
Let's hop back into this episode.
16:09
OK, I'm curious about this in conjunction with everything that we're talking about.
16:13
I mean, there's been so much narrative, fleeting narrative around EVs.
16:18
I mean, you remember back when they really first started hitting the scene
16:20
and it was like, do your part for the environment?
16:22
And then, you know, all we've gone through some motions.
16:25
Yeah. You know, I still get a sense of the pressure of the push,
16:34
which is this is the direction we're going.
16:37
Cars will be there will be no ice vehicles by a certain time.
16:42
And we are going to be all in on EVs.
16:44
Curious, you know, whether it's from your days at Tesla, what you're seeing now.
16:49
Was that the direction?
16:50
Is that the direction that you saw the OEM taking?
16:54
Were they like, yeah, we fully anticipate that every single person
16:57
in North America is going to be driving an EV by 20 80 or like
17:02
whatever the actual date is, or are they approaching it from the angle of,
17:07
we know there's always going to be a market for this
17:10
and we'll probably see some gains and it'll cap out at this place.
17:14
Yeah, great question.
17:15
So most domestic OEMs have a pretty significant global business.
17:21
And everyone's looking at China now, right?
17:24
Like 50 percent EV penetration and the prices keep getting lower
17:28
and the vehicles just become increasingly compelling.
17:32
And in order to compete globally, one needs to have an offering
17:37
that is competitive, both in the feature set and at the price point.
17:40
And the only way to really get there is to start early enough
17:43
so that you can hit volume production at scale
17:47
and benefit from the economies of scale.
17:50
So you can sell a vehicle at a competitive price point.
17:54
The Chinese manufacturers have such a head start now
17:57
compared to most of our domestic OEMs.
17:59
And that's a real problem.
18:00
That's an existential threat to them.
18:03
So the way that I believe this will play out is administration
18:08
changes aside, support or denial for climate change science aside.
18:14
These are large scale, global, multi-billion dollar businesses
18:17
that need to stay alive in 10 years or in 20 years.
18:20
And if they can't compete on a global scale, then they won't.
18:23
And they know that.
18:25
I think basically what I'm asking here is what company should I be buying stocks?
18:32
Yeah, I don't I want to get overly speculative.
18:34
I was shocked, though, man.
18:36
I was shocked. I was in I was in Europe recently.
18:39
I was in Holland recently at an event there.
18:43
And I was shocked to see that there are 30.
18:46
I thought they at first they were telling me three Chinese
18:50
EV automakers in the market.
18:51
They said 30 30 already in the market.
18:55
Selling cars blew my mind.
18:58
Yeah. Yeah, blew my mind.
19:01
And you look at a Lincoln Co, which looks every bit as good
19:05
and feels every bit as good as a midsize SUV that I've seen here rolling off the line.
19:10
Those things are really cool. Yeah.
19:12
I want to say it was like
19:14
twenty eight thousand euros.
19:17
I was like, what? What do you think? What?
19:19
You know, I couldn't believe it.
19:21
It it it yeah, knocked my block off.
19:24
I couldn't believe it.
19:25
I want to switch gears a little bit.
19:28
You've talked about the the 60 days on the lot
19:32
being a tipping point for used EV valuations and transport.
19:35
We talked a little bit about ask, you know, the depreciation and those sorts of things.
19:41
What's the playbook at 30 days or 45 days leading up to this 60 days
19:45
so that a unit doesn't turn into a write down?
19:48
Yeah. So the retailers that are really doing this right,
19:52
turn them in 30 days or less. Right.
19:58
That's really the only way to solidly make money on EVs.
20:01
They'd appreciate faster than combustion vehicles.
20:04
And that's not changing any time soon.
20:05
If you think about the pace of which vehicles are becoming better,
20:09
more technologically advanced and cheaper when you buy them brand new.
20:13
The used product has to compete with the new product and be
20:17
considerably less expensive in order to be a compelling offering.
20:22
The 60 day turn time idea on EVs like does not work.
20:26
And nobody that's really successful at selling them waits for nearly that long.
20:32
Some retailers we observe maintaining a turn time that's under two weeks.
20:38
Alex Lawrence is just turning those suckers out of EV auto.
20:42
Yes. Yeah. And in bountiful Utah, by the way, right?
20:46
Nobody would have suspected that this was going to be an EV hotbed,
20:49
but there's a, there's a market for it there. Absolutely.
20:53
And look at the culture of his store.
20:57
Everybody is a driver of EVs.
20:58
Everybody can speak confidently about the product.
21:00
He has a whole suite of selection. Right.
21:03
He's got Teslas. He's driving around in a Hummer.
21:06
He's got Rivians. That's a beacon.
21:09
That's where people go when they want to be brought up to speed
21:11
and educated on the product.
21:13
And he is, he's running a very successful business because of that.
21:19
Yeah. Yeah. He's, I mean, it's been so cool to watch him essentially.
21:24
I mean, in his world, he didn't come out from nowhere,
21:26
but kind of in the grand scheme of like automotive,
21:30
he just he just popped in and blew up and it's been so cool to watch.
21:35
Yeah. You know, fun fact about Alex,
21:36
I have a check in a frame out there on the shelf.
21:39
He was the first paying customer of plug.
21:41
No kidding. Mm hmm. Wow.
21:44
Alex, good buddy. Good job.
21:47
OK. I mean, what a guy.
21:48
I wasn't even charging money at that point in time.
21:50
He's the future. Yeah.
21:53
But and I mean, you're right.
21:54
I've been to his one of his satellite stores in Lehigh, Utah.
21:59
OK. I haven't been to the Lehigh one yet.
22:01
I mean, I'm sure they all are.
22:03
But that one you walk in, I was like, I want my office to look like this.
22:07
The vibe, the furniture, the the the greeting,
22:11
the lot presence, just everything was so cool.
22:14
And we had a miscommunication.
22:16
He actually wasn't there.
22:17
He was at the bountiful store and he was like, shoot.
22:19
And I was like, well, I'm taking candy, bro.
22:25
I got liquid that's in the fridge.
22:30
Let me ask you this when it comes to pricing and reconditioning costs.
22:36
You know, you've kind of alluded to like traditional book values
22:39
and recon checklists weren't built for computers with wheels.
22:44
As you've as you've mentioned it, like fast charging
22:48
over the air updates, all these sorts of things.
22:50
So what are some what are some EV specific variables
22:55
that you would insist anyone listening factors into
22:59
the price and reconditioning on the list?
23:03
Yeah, this is very near and dear to me.
23:05
EPA estimated range when it was new current maximum range
23:13
capability net of any battery deterioration.
23:16
In the case of Teslas, you'd likely want to consider
23:19
the autopilot computer hardware version, potentially even the MCU version.
23:25
Software enabled features is an autopilot car, a full self-driving car.
23:28
Does it have acceleration boost as it have access
23:31
to Tesla's supercharger network, either as a Tesla or as a non Tesla.
23:34
If it is a Tesla, is that supercharging access unlimited and free?
23:38
Does that free unlimited supercharging transfer to the next owner?
23:41
Or is it the kind that does not?
23:44
I'm sitting here, dude.
23:44
I'm like, I'm writing those for those that are listening.
23:47
I've got my remarkable time.
23:48
And I'm like, this is I'm like, he doesn't know what he's talking about.
23:53
They can just like they can just buy the car and plug and see all of that
23:56
and not have to worry about it.
23:58
But, you know, tax credit qualification for the next two, three weeks is a thing to
24:04
yeah, I can we pontificate for a minute, though, because you got
24:10
you're the one of the most knowledgeable people in this this field
24:14
as it pertains to EVs that I know of.
24:17
And and just like human nature, where things don't always end up
24:20
the way that we think they will.
24:23
Do you think, I mean.
24:25
And if you don't want to say you can say I don't want to say.
24:29
But I'm like, I really think the end of September is like it.
24:37
You don't think there's going to be a flip and be like,
24:39
I, you know what, we got to reevaluate.
24:41
We're going to go another four or five days.
24:45
But also, I don't necessarily think it's a bad thing either.
24:49
I actually I have kind of a complicated relationship with the tax credits.
24:54
Listen, when they launched, I ran sales operations across North America
24:57
at Tesla. I love free money from the government to help me not get fired.
25:04
But ultimately going back to the China problem, right?
25:08
Like it this transformation is happening in a global context,
25:13
no matter what anybody tells you, like it's very clear.
25:15
And in order for American manufacturers to maintain their.
25:21
Their state in the world as real world competitors,
25:23
like we need products that can compete that are compelling for the money.
25:27
And the only way to do that is they have volume production
25:31
following many years of innovation and product cycles.
25:34
And the problem with a lot of the new EVs that we have available to us
25:38
in the States right now is they were, frankly,
25:39
uncompelling products for the money.
25:41
You're talking about a car that costs $80,000 that can only drive
25:44
two hundred and fifty miles and doesn't have access to the only DC fast
25:47
charging network that people actually trust.
25:49
Like who's buying that?
25:51
Like it's not because it's an EV.
25:52
It's because it's an uncompelling product for the money.
25:55
And we need to get to a place where we have
25:59
ripping products that are affordable, that people actually want,
26:02
not because it was shoved down their throat based on some sort of mandates.
26:06
And my complicated relationship with the tax credits was that it kind of
26:10
bought everybody more time to have a compelling product
26:15
that people want for the money.
26:17
What I would have actually liked to see instead of mandates and credits
26:20
is manufacturers have the time to properly invest in product lines
26:25
and technology in parallel with charging infrastructure
26:28
being built up so that these products can be truly compelling
26:32
and not sour the taste in everyone's mouths around EVs.
26:35
And I'm talking about consumers and I'm talking about dealers,
26:37
many of whom are very turned off by all of this.
26:40
And I don't blame them because it's hard to run a business
26:43
when you're forced to sell a product that people aren't buying.
26:46
Right. I'll admit, you know, as a former Tesla owner,
26:54
I got spooked because where I live in in North Texas,
27:03
we had the vehicle.
27:05
I want to say, dude, I can't.
27:06
This it even hurts me to say we had the vehicle for probably.
27:16
I looked at the odometer and I saw 30,000 miles.
27:21
And I was like, 10 months.
27:23
I'm like, where did my wife drive this thing to Jupiter?
27:27
She drove 30 miles in 10 months.
27:31
Right. So then I got spooked.
27:34
Because in my mind, I was like,
27:36
I'm going to have to replace the battery in this thing real quick.
27:38
Like, I'm yes. So there you go.
27:40
You're already shaking your head for those listening.
27:42
He's already saying, oh, nay, nay.
27:45
But I did get spooked and it brings up the reality of this
27:48
misperception or idea of the EV.
27:54
You brought up depreciation and those sorts of things.
27:57
And maybe it's going to depreciate faster,
27:58
but that doesn't have anything to do with how long it lasts.
28:00
That's the funny part, Michael.
28:02
There's such a disconnect between residual values and longevity.
28:06
So the fact is, is we don't know how long these vehicles will be on the road.
28:11
But the only sizeable data set that exists around this
28:15
was released by Tesla in two of their annual environmental impact reports.
28:20
And in those reports, they released information
28:22
about the broader Tesla Model S and X fleet that had crossed 200,000 miles.
28:27
And that fleet went across 200,000 miles
28:30
and aggregate had retained 88 percent of its battery capacity
28:34
for Model three and why it was 85 percent.
28:36
So if that's at 200,000 miles, and as you likely know,
28:40
the steepest end of the battery degradation curve
28:42
is at the very beginning on the front end.
28:44
These are probably half a million mile cars, at least.
28:48
Now, that doesn't make it suck any less for the one person
28:51
that's one out of 500 that had a high voltage battery pack failure
28:54
right after their eight year warranty expired at a nometer lower than that.
28:59
That's where warranty products are going to be really important.
29:02
And it's honestly like a massive F and I upside opportunity
29:04
for any dealer that's participating in this.
29:06
And Alex sells enough F and I product right now
29:09
and that there are multiple of them out there.
29:12
I really like battery for life,
29:13
which is one that any dealer can get access to.
29:17
It's it's it's a real fear.
29:19
It's a legitimate fear because it's such an expensive failure.
29:22
But the rate of failure is so far below
29:25
the rate of failure for any combustion drivetrain
29:28
when you get above 100,000 miles.
29:30
And I don't think enough people realize that.
29:33
And you definitely would have been fine hanging on to your car.
29:35
What was it? Tesla, what is a three? Yeah.
29:38
Is the three dual battery, dual, you know,
29:42
it's like if people didn't believe in the resurrection,
29:44
they would after I floored that thing because you're like,
29:47
it's a tiny little thing.
29:49
And then you go and your ghost leaves the body
29:51
and then it reenters when you decide to hit the brakes.
29:54
The model three performance, I have one bought it
29:58
twenty twenty one out of the factory.
30:00
The car still feels like magic.
30:06
Now, I regret I'm like, I'm going to I'm like,
30:09
I don't bring it up to regret my life choices.
30:11
No, you buy another one.
30:12
Like there's a really affordable. That is true.
30:17
From all of the the I'm almost curious
30:20
and you can tell me offline because I am curious about this
30:22
of all of the models that you see pass through plug.
30:25
What are the models of EVs that you're like, maybe not yet?
30:32
I know that's a no no.
30:33
I told you I wasn't going to throw you a curveball,
30:38
Actually, I really like the question.
30:43
The hardest ones to move right now are the ones that have
30:45
a huge stack of incentive on new cars.
30:48
It's it's like if something is relatively new
30:53
and a used one is just impossible math, then
30:57
this is going to be the case across an auction
30:59
no matter what it's an EV or not.
31:01
As an example, we just did a the new wagon near EV
31:06
and I think it's barely been out.
31:07
And I think the used one that we that we had
31:09
had just like a few hundred miles on it.
31:11
We bought it through our trade desk.
31:12
Like we will buy any EV through our trade desk
31:14
and the challenge there is the leasing deals
31:18
are just so outrageously generous.
31:20
So on the front end, the used product picks a really big hit.
31:25
And for that product in particular, it's fairly unknown
31:29
amongst the dealer body.
31:30
Like a dealer is going to look at that and compare it
31:32
to a Rivian R1S where they're familiar with it
31:34
because they've sold so many and like they're going to pick the Rivian.
31:37
So I would say anything that's like relatively brand new
31:42
and doesn't have a lot of context as a used product
31:46
that is embraced by the broader dealer body
31:48
is going to inherently like have a more difficult time
31:50
than products that have had a bit more runway.
31:53
This my beloved DPB gang is how you know
31:57
when somebody's been media trained because.
32:01
I mean, perfect response.
32:04
You you in you took it.
32:06
You ingested the question.
32:08
I saw you flip it in your brain to a much more diplomatic posture
32:12
and it was so perfect of an answer.
32:14
I'm like, you need to run for some sort of office,
32:18
even if it's like you're something God help us all.
32:23
Man, this is so much fun.
32:24
I've taken so many notes.
32:26
By the way, those listening or watching, you'll be able to get the notes
32:29
and some of the key takeaways by going to the dealer playbook.com website
32:33
and visiting the link for this episode.
32:36
Jamie, how can those listening or watching get in touch with you and connect?
32:40
Yeah, great question.
32:41
If you don't mind, I would like to plug one of our products here as well.
32:45
And I'll start with that.
32:46
So dealers are receiving EV trade-ins or at least appraising them
32:51
at a much higher rate than ever before.
32:52
And when we got started as a dealer to dealer auction,
32:56
we came to realize that everybody has an auction relationship
32:59
and EVs as trade-ins come up for a lot of dealers
33:03
that don't retail them, but they're not so frequent
33:06
that a differentiated auction process is like a super compelling idea
33:12
for many people, but cash certainly is.
33:15
So what we did is we rolled out our trade desk.
33:17
And what that is is it's something that you can use during the point of appraisal.
33:21
If you go to our website plug.vin, the first thing you see is a place to enter a VIN.
33:26
And in fact, if you do it on your phone,
33:27
you can actually scan the VIN with your phone on our website, no app required.
33:31
We put a number on that car in under 15 minutes and we put cash behind it.
33:36
So if you sell the new vehicle and then receive the used EV as a trade-in,
33:43
and you can exercise our cash offer and we become the owner basically immediately.
33:48
And then we sell it directly from your lot, generally the next business day in our own auction.
33:53
But we take all the risk off the table for you and let you get that deal done.
33:56
That's the fastest growing product segment that we have right now.
34:00
And it's really built for that half of dealers that we don't observe
34:05
retailing any EVs because we know they still receive them as trade-ins.
34:09
So yeah, thank you.
34:12
And we're really excited by that product.
34:13
It's growing lightning fast.
34:16
And it's also really great for us because ever since we launched it,
34:20
the average number of unique dealers competing for vehicles in our auction
34:25
actually also went up because plug is the owner of those vehicles,
34:29
which means they are definitely transacting that day.
34:31
We don't we don't hold on to inventory and we take on all the risk.
34:35
And we don't lose money in aggregate on this business model,
34:38
but we're not aiming to make arbitrage.
34:40
We generally try to offer what we believe it will sell for.
34:42
So that's been what's the URL you want to you want to set us to?
34:46
Plug dot Vin plug dot Vin.
34:49
Go check it out. That sounds super cool.
34:50
Jimmy, man, thank you so much for joining me on the dealer Playbook podcast.
34:56
Hey, thanks for listening to the dealer Playbook podcast.
34:58
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35:03
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35:06
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35:09
Thanks so much for joining.