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Predicting the 2029 F1 Driver Line-Ups

Predicting the 2029 F1 Driver Line-Ups

P1 with Matt and Tommy Apr 14, 2026 58 min
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About this episode

Matt and Tommy run a team-by-team, alphabetized crystal-ball exercise to predict the 2029 F1 driver lineups, admitting the “silly season” domino effect has already proven them wrong before (notably in their 2026 predictions). They debate contract timing, junior-driver promotions, and whether teams like Aston Martin, Audi, and Red Bull can rebound under new rules. Standouts include shared picks like Leclerc/Bearman for Ferrari and a split view on Mercedes (Russell/Antonelli vs Verstappen/Antonelli). The episode mixes serious logic with bold, meme-level swings.

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Technical Too Afraid to Ask
Brand

Alpine

"I think Alpine love a bit of that. As for Pierre Gasly individually, I think he will stay there..."

Alpine is an F1 team. The host thinks Alpine is the best place for these drivers to be in the future.

Concept

Red Bull

"He'll want to stay for his career because obviously, you know, with that whole back and forth with Red Bull, I think it's a great kind of home for him."

Red Bull is a major Formula 1 team. If someone has a “back and forth” with them, it usually means they’ve been connected to Red Bull’s plans at some point.

Concept

reserve

"Paul Aaron, who is the reserve at the moment, who is kind of waiting in the wings. But the reason I've gone for Alex Dunn is because it's three years time where I do worry for Paul Aaron that by the time a seat is available, he's not had that experience in a race car."

A reserve driver is basically the backup. They may not race every weekend, but they’re ready to replace someone if there’s an issue.

Brand

Aston Martin

"[484.2s] Let's now go to Aston Martin, Tommy. [488.2s] OK, so Aston Martin I've gone for. [491.2s] Lance Stroll, shocker, unbelievable pick there."

They’re talking about Aston Martin, the F1 team. If the team isn’t winning yet, it’s harder to attract the best drivers.

Term

George Russell

"So come 2029, yes, they are devastatingly slow right now... I think George Russell will go there... George, obviously you've got him leaving Mercedes."

George Russell is a Formula 1 driver. They’re talking about where he might race next and whether he could switch teams.

Term

Lance Stroll

"So I think George Russell will go there and Lance Stroll will still be there unless his dad goes... And then Lance will of course go as well."

Lance Stroll is a Formula 1 driver. They’re discussing whether he’ll still be driving for Aston Martin in 2029.

Term

Kimi Antoni

"Do you think that's like a Toto, you know, Kimi Antoni is his favourite son. Come to me, Lawrence Stroll."

This part sounds like a name reference, but it’s not clear who they mean. It may be a misheard name or a nickname, so listeners may want to treat it as unclear.

Brand

Lawrence Stroll

"Yeah, I mean, I firmly see at this point George Russell as a world champion and Lawrence Stroll wanting another world champion to... [760.9s] From Toto Wolf, do you mean Lawrence Stroll?"

Lawrence Stroll is an important person in Formula 1 who helps run a team. He can influence which drivers the team tries to sign.

Brand

Toto Wolf

"Getting a one-year contract from Toto Wolf every year, even, probably the world championship. [760.9s] From Toto Wolf, do you mean Lawrence Stroll? [762.9s] No, no, it's in Toto Wolf giving George a one-year contract every year."

Toto Wolff runs a Formula 1 team. He helps decide who drives for the team and often negotiates contracts.

Brand

Nico Hülkenberg

"[786.6s] My two drivers at Audi are Gabrielle Bortoletto and Nico Hülkenberg. [796.2s] This is my Aston Martin of 2026. [799.9s] I firmly believe that Hülkenberg will still be in Formula One."

Nico Hülkenberg is a Formula 1 driver. The discussion suggests he might still be racing for years because he’s experienced and motivated.

Brand

Alonzo

"[834.0s] I think the Hulk's 38 and Alonzo's 44. [838.6s] So drivers can stay for much longer than ever, I would say at this point in F1. [845.7s] Especially because the chef can drive the cars now, as Alonzo said."

“Alonzo” is a reference to Fernando Alonso, an experienced F1 driver. The speaker uses his age to support the idea that veteran drivers can still compete and stay in the sport longer.

Concept

chef can drive the cars now

"[838.6s] So drivers can stay for much longer than ever, I would say at this point in F1. [845.7s] Especially because the chef can drive the cars now, as Alonzo said. [848.86s] "

This line sounds like a joke or a metaphor about someone else being able to drive the cars. The exact meaning isn’t clear from this snippet alone.

Brand

Audi

"I could see him moving again and Audi really, really trying to make this happen. So I was really, really considering Carlos Sainz in Audi,"

Audi is a big car brand. In Formula 1, teams and brands often try to sign certain drivers, and that can shape who ends up in the future lineup.

Term

Formula One

"It was between Perez and Bottas and I think they will still continue to be very evenly matched. However, I just feel like Perez, one, with his backing and two,"

Formula One is the highest level of open-wheel racing. Drivers sign contracts, and teams plan years ahead—so how long someone stays in F1 is a big part of predicting future lineups.

Term

F3 Championship

"So at this moment in time, he is leading the F3 Championship. And I really do think Cadillac will go down this route of wanting an American driver."

The F3 Championship is the overall points race for Formula Three drivers. If someone is leading it, it usually means they’re performing consistently well.

Term

Charles Leclerc

"My two drivers at Ferrari in 2029 are Charles Leclerc and Ollie Bearman. Those are my two picks. So back in 2023, I said there's no chance Charles Leclerc is going to be there in 2026."

Charles Leclerc is an F1 driver. Here, the hosts are predicting that he’ll stay with Ferrari for the long term, including into 2029.

Concept

world champion

"He's still the golden boy there, even with a seven-time world champion in Lewis Hamilton as his teammate."

In F1, a “world champion” is the driver who wins the biggest title for the season. It’s a big deal because it shows they were the best overall that year.

Brand

Esteban Ocon

"I have gone for Esteban Ocon and Rafael Camara. I was unsure whether Ocon would stay."

Esteban Ocon is named as one of the predicted Haas drivers. In F1, Ocon is a proven race-capable driver, so his presence in a prediction suggests the team might prioritize experience and immediate performance.

Term

experienced driver

"...but I do think Haas will want that experienced driver... they are going to want an experienced driver in that team."

“Experienced driver” in F1 usually means someone who has spent multiple seasons racing at the top level. Teams often prioritize experience because it improves car development feedback, race strategy decisions, and consistency under pressure.

Term

Raphael Camara

"And as for Camara, he's obviously won the Formula 3 championship... My two drivers for Haas are Raphael Camara and Liam Lawson."

Raphael Camara is a young racing driver. They’re talking about him as a possible Haas pick because he’s been doing well in the junior series.

Concept

recency bias

"and of course, there is some probably recency bias here as well. Lawson's done great so far this season, and we've had three rounds."

Recency bias means you might judge someone based on what they’ve done most recently. In racing, that can make predictions less accurate if the good run is temporary.

Term

driver moves

"It's this is what makes silly season and driver moves so, so fascinating because all of this could be wrong or some of it could be right."

“Driver moves” just means drivers switching teams or changing roles. In F1, that can change who gets the best support and strategy.

Concept

midfield

"Even is that balance? Isn't it that even if they are in the midfield, would they still be a big enough team because of the history..."

Midfield means the team isn’t usually battling for the win every race, but it’s not at the very bottom either. The question is whether a driver would still want that kind of team.

Concept

regulations

"Red Bull, of course, they're going to have a really strong driver lineup, but they've started the year terribly. And these regulations terribly."

In F1, regulations are the rules that tell teams how the cars can be built and what they’re allowed to do. When rules change, some teams adapt better than others, so performance can jump around.

Concept

Drive to Survive

"I mean, I was going to say, we've seen what it seems in Drive to Survive and then Alpine are like, no, look, they are friends."

Drive to Survive is a Netflix show about Formula 1. It gives fans a behind-the-scenes look, but it’s still a TV series, not a full technical breakdown.

Term

team jumper

"And I think for Carlos, it's not always been his fault, but he is a bit of a team jumper around her. ... He's gone to so many different teams."

“Team jumper” just means someone who keeps switching teams. In racing, switching teams can make it harder to settle in and build a strong working relationship.

Concept

Fernando Alonso

"And I want to see Fernando Alonso winning the World Championship at 50."

Fernando Alonso is one of the most famous F1 drivers. They’re joking/predicting he could still win the championship even at an older age.

Concept

hung up his boots

"Talk about that actually. Hamilton, he's just hung up his boots at this point."

“Hung up his boots” just means someone has stopped playing/competing—here, it means the driver has retired from racing.

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