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2026 Monaco GP Preview | Could Ferrari ACTUALLY win Monaco?

2026 Monaco GP Preview | Could Ferrari ACTUALLY win Monaco?

The Late Braking F1 Podcast Jun 03, 2026 68 min
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About this episode

Monaco’s back on the calendar, and the hosts frame it as the European stretch opener and the “most iconic week in Formula one.” With tight racing, limited overtaking, and a forecasted dry weekend, they argue qualifying, chassis/aero, and tire warm-up can decide everything—especially for Ferrari. They debate Ferrari’s win drought versus Leclerc’s Monaco pole-and-win history, then weigh Mercedes and Red Bull through Monaco’s power limits, DRS/active-aero changes, and likely one-stop strategy.

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Technical Too Afraid to Ask
Concept

low and medium speed cornering

"The track, though, has remained relatively unchanged over the years [127.7s] and presents itself as a test for the car's low and medium speed cornering."

This is about how the car handles the slower turns. Monaco has lots of tight corners, so the car’s grip and balance at low speeds matter a lot.

Concept

qualifying is often pretty essential

"It also presents itself as a test for overtaking, which means qualifying is often pretty essential. [138.3s] We've had a few wet Monaco Grand Prix in recent years."

At Monaco, passing other cars is really hard. So where you qualify (your starting position) can make a big difference to your chances in the race.

Topic

wet Monaco Grand Prix

"We've had a few wet Monaco Grand Prix in recent years. [141.9s] This ain't going to be one of them."

This means the Monaco race is happening in the rain. Rain makes the track slippery, so drivers are more likely to make mistakes and spin out.

Brand

Mercedes

"Mercedes have won all five races so far this year, with Antonelli having won four in a row. [155.6s] But they don't come into this race as favorites, according to the bookmakers."

Mercedes is one of the F1 teams. The hosts are saying Mercedes has been winning a lot of races recently.

Brand

Ferrari

"Instead, that privilege goes to Ferrari. [162.7s] So before Sam, we get into maybe some of the chat about Leclerc and whether he can win on home soil"

Ferrari is another F1 team. The hosts are saying Ferrari is expected to be the favorite for this Monaco race.

Term

spings

"The race we've just had, of course, had so many DNFs, lockups, spings, [196.8s] you know, moments that you wouldn't have expected normally."

A spin is when the car rotates and you lose control. On a tight track like Monaco, it’s hard to recover without hitting the walls.

Term

DNFs

"The race we've just had, of course, had so many DNFs, lockups, spings, [196.8s] you know, moments that you wouldn't have expected normally."

DNFs means “Did Not Finish,” i.e., a driver fails to complete the race due to issues like mechanical failure, crashes, or being unable to continue. In Monaco, DNFs are common because the narrow track and close walls make errors and damage more likely.

Term

lockups

"The race we've just had, of course, had so many DNFs, lockups, spings, [196.8s] you know, moments that you wouldn't have expected normally."

Lockups happen when the tires stop turning while braking. That usually means the brakes are skidding, which can make the car harder to control.

Term

runoff

"There's no runoff almost anywhere around this racetrack."

Runoff is extra space next to the track that helps a car slow down if it goes off the road. If there’s little runoff, crashes are more likely to be severe because there’s less room to recover.

Term

aero

"It's all about chassis and aero here."

Aero is short for aerodynamics—how the car interacts with air. In F1, aero is crucial because it generates downforce (pushing the car into the track), which improves tire grip, especially in slow, twisty circuits like Monaco.

Term

warming up their tires

"Ferrari have a very unique way of warming up their tires, firing up their tires."

Tires work best when they’re at the right temperature. If a team can get the tires hot quickly, the car grips sooner—so it can accelerate and turn better right from the start.

Term

safety car restarts

"And that's part of the reason why on these safety car restarts and Grand Prix starts themselves, they get away so much better than the competition around them."

A safety car restart is when the race goes back to normal after a slower period. It’s a tricky moment because the tires may not be at their best temperature yet, so getting traction quickly matters.

Term

geometry of the tires

"whether it's the geometry of the tires, the brakes or the geometry of the suspension is allowing heat to remain in those tires."

“Geometry of the tires” here refers to how the tire’s shape and contact patch behave under load—how it deforms and where it touches the track. Teams tune setups so the tire contact patch works well, helping keep heat in the tire and improving grip.

Term

contact patch

"whether it's the geometry of the tires, the brakes or the geometry of the suspension is allowing heat to remain in those tires."

The contact patch is the part of the tire that’s touching the road. If that area works well, the car grips better and the tire can perform more consistently.

Person

Charles Leclerc

"that I don't think Leclerc and Hamilton would have forgotten how to get it done. But equally, the team might be a bit rusty in that regard."

Charles Leclerc is one of Ferrari’s top race drivers. The hosts are saying that even if Ferrari has been struggling lately, Leclerc still knows how to win races.

Person

Lewis Hamilton

"that I don't think Leclerc and Hamilton would have forgotten how to get it done. But equally, the team might be a bit rusty in that regard."

Lewis Hamilton is a very successful Formula 1 driver. The point of mentioning him is that a driver like him knows how to turn a good car into a win, even after a rough stretch.

Term

chassis

"And you've already mentioned the chassis of Ferrari looks very good this year. Low speed corners look really, really strong."

The chassis is the car’s main frame. It’s what the suspension and steering attach to, and it affects how the car turns and stays stable—especially in tight, slow corners.

Place

Paul Ricard

"where he was up against Max Verstappen and that ended in the wall at Paul Ricard with the big famous scream that he does so well."

Paul Ricard is a famous race track in France. It has a variety of corner types, so it’s a good place to see how well an F1 car’s setup works in different conditions.

Person

Charlotte Clair

"He's beating Charlotte Clair and qualifying more regularly than he ever has. I'm not saying it's consistent, but it's much better. Charlotte Clair, when he's happy with the car and the regulations,"

This sounds like the driver Charles Leclerc. In Formula 1, drivers are judged a lot on how fast they can be in qualifying—especially on a single lap.

Term

one lap pace

"which currently isn't right now, he's able to deliver one lap pace, which I think is almost unmatched up and down the grid right now."

“One lap pace” means how quickly the car can go on its best single lap. It’s what matters most in qualifying when drivers try to set the fastest time.

Term

front row

"if they can get one of those cars on the front row. Next to her Mercedes, next to Max Verstappen, of course,"

“Front row” means starting in the first two spots on the grid. At Monaco, that’s important because it’s hard to pass once the race starts.

Term

overtaking is very, very limited

"As we mentioned, overtaking is very, very limited. So if they can stay in front, there's a real chance if they get the pit stops right"

They mean it’s hard to pass other cars on track. On Monaco, you often need to qualify well and then manage the race so you can stay ahead.

Term

pit stops

"So if they can stay in front, there's a real chance if they get the pit stops right and that man with the blue thing, he doesn't really appear in the pit."

“Pit stops” are when the car comes into the pits to change tires and follow the team’s strategy. At Monaco, when you pit can strongly affect whether you stay near the front.

Place

Suzuka

"the qualifying session we had at Suzuka, when Charles Leclerre didn't end the session brilliantly well... that's where all the corners are, and it's not a straight line section."

Suzuka is a well-known F1 track in Japan. The point here is that it has lots of corners, so it rewards drivers who are good at turning—similar to Monaco.

Topic

qualifying session

"the qualifying session we had at Suzuka, when Charles Leclerre didn't end the session brilliantly well. He was the fastest driver in the first sector, all throughout qualifying."

Qualifying is the session where drivers set their fastest laps to decide where they start the race. The hosts are using qualifying results to judge who might do well at Monaco.

Person

Charles Leclerre

"the qualifying session we had at Suzuka, when Charles Leclerre didn't end the session brilliantly well... Charles Leclerre in particular, he is an understandable favourite here."

Charles Leclerc is a Formula 1 race driver. The hosts are saying he’s been very fast in qualifying and has a good chance at Monaco based on past results.

Term

first sector

"He was the fastest driver in the first sector, all throughout qualifying. Hamilton was second, proving that that Ferrari was great."

On many F1 tracks, the lap is split into sections called sectors. Being fastest in the first sector means he was doing especially well in that part of the track.

Term

pole position

"Pole position in 2021, only his third visit to the circuit, by the way... in an F1 car pole position that year, pole position in 2022."

Pole position means starting first in the race. It’s earned by being fastest in qualifying, and the hosts are saying Leclerc has a strong history of getting it at Monaco.

Person

Louis Hamilton

"So he's in a very elite club, like Louis Hamilton is not on that list. Sebastian Vettel is not on that list."

The hosts are comparing Leclerc’s Monaco pole record to other big-name drivers. They’re saying Hamilton isn’t on the same specific pole-count list.

Person

Sebastian Vettel

"like Louis Hamilton is not on that list. Sebastian Vettel is not on that list. Max Verstappen is not on that list."

Sebastian Vettel is another well-known F1 driver. The hosts mention him to show that not many drivers have the same Monaco pole record as Leclerc.

Person

Fernando Alonso

"Max Verstappen is not on that list. Fernando Alonso isn't. And you might say, well, they're all on another list,"

Fernando Alonso is another famous F1 champion. The hosts mention him as not matching Leclerc’s specific Monaco pole record.

Term

world championship

"And you might say, well, they're all on another list, which is they've won a world championship."

The world championship is the big F1 season title decided by points. The hosts are saying Leclerc’s Monaco pole record is rare even compared to other champions.

Term

raw power

"But on the flip side, they're also benefited by the fact [663.4s] that the strength that Mercedes have is raw power."

“Raw power” means how strong the car’s engine is. It’s basically the car’s ability to make a lot of force to accelerate, even if other things like handling aren’t perfect.

Place

Monza

"But Max Verstappen, if you remember, [710.9s] he's completed the fastest race of all time at Monza. [713.5s] I don't think anyone's ever mentioned that."

Monza is a track that’s famous for going very fast, especially on long straight sections. It’s a good comparison point because it rewards power and top speed more than Monaco does.

Term

top speed

"So the average speed at Monza is not far off being quicker [724.1s] than the top speed we have at Monaco, just to prove your point."

Top speed is the fastest the car gets. Some tracks don’t give you enough long straight sections to use top speed much, so other things like cornering matter more.

Person

Toto Wolf

"He will be hungry like the WOLF, the Toto WOLF, for a victory. And he needs it now. ... And Toto Wolf has kind of said that afterwards."

Toto Wolff is the boss of Mercedes in Formula 1. When he talks about upgrades and race results, he’s basically explaining how the team thinks their car is doing.

Concept

optimal racing line

"if Antonelli and Russell are fighting all the time and they're taking away the optimal racing line from each other, they should be slowing each other down,"

The optimal racing line is the best way to drive through a corner to be fastest. If two cars get in each other’s way, they can’t take that ideal path and they end up slower.

Term

rear wing pop up and then pop down

"since we saw a rear wing pop up and then pop down again during a straight. What do you think of this?"

They’re describing the rear wing moving between two positions. Changing the wing position changes how much grip the car has and how fast it can go.

Person

Sergio Perez

"The one that immediately springs to mind [1272.8s] is Sergio Perez from 2011, I think it was, [1274.6s] where it was a qualifying one."

Sergio Pérez is a Formula 1 race driver. The hosts mention him because he had a crash in qualifying that shows how hard that Monaco corner is to get right.

Concept

safety grounds

"and he is not only out of qualifying. [1289.2s] He doesn't race on safety grounds, [1292.1s] and two weeks later in Canada, [1293.8s] he also has to withdraw because of concussion protocols."

In F1, “not only out of qualifying” but “doesn’t race on safety grounds” means the driver is prevented from continuing because officials judge it unsafe. This can be due to car damage, track conditions, or—like in the next sentence—medical concerns.

Term

concussion protocols

"and two weeks later in Canada, [1293.8s] he also has to withdraw because of concussion protocols. [1297.9s] So I understand the safety aspect of this,"

Concussion protocols are the safety rules doctors use when someone might have a concussion. They can force a driver to stop racing and only return after medical clearance.

Term

Active Arrow

"but I think with Active Arrow, [1303.1s] at least the way I understood it when it was introduced [1305.7s] or it was announced to be introduced, [1308.1s] was that outside of just being the cars will be quicker"

Active Arrow is an F1 tech that adjusts the rear wing while the car is running. The goal is to make the car stick better and go faster by changing how much downforce it produces.

Term

straight line mode

"Like if you want to risk things, if you want to risk being in straight line mode longer than someone else, that is your prerogative,"

It means the driver is focusing on going as fast and as smoothly as possible on the straight sections. Instead of worrying about corner feel, they’re trying to keep the car stable and fast until the next braking area.

Term

stopping power

"If you're worried about a few extra miles per hour on a straight line and a slight adjustment in stopping power, you probably should be racing at Monaco at all"

Stopping power is how well the car can slow down when you brake. If it’s weaker, you have to brake earlier; if it’s stronger, you can brake later and still make the turn.

Term

crash cell

"I get why they are slightly concerned, [1373.2s] but the cars, the crash cell, [1374.8s] it's phenomenally safe these days."

The crash cell is the strong “protective box” around the driver. In a crash, it’s built to keep the driver’s space from collapsing.

Topic

Monaco safety debate

"If you're not going, [1378.0s] if you're going to worry rather about Monaco safety, [1380.0s] you should worry about that as a whole."

They’re debating whether Monaco is more dangerous than other races. The point is that modern safety systems make crashes less likely to be fatal, even at Monaco.

Term

DRS

"And actually, we raced here with DRS. [1384.0s] We've raced here where the cars are worse. [1385.6s] We raced here without the halo."

DRS is a system that makes the rear wing open up to reduce drag. That gives the car a speed boost, which can make passing easier.

Term

halo

"We've raced here where the cars are worse. [1385.6s] We raced here without the halo. [1387.0s] And now we're deciding now is the year"

The halo is a protective bar above the driver’s head. It’s there to help shield the driver from debris and some types of crashes.

Term

Macarena wings

"We now know, obviously, that the Macarena wings, for example, the ones that Ferrari have got, they won't be in effect this weekend."

In F1, teams use wings to push the car down so it sticks to the track. “Macarena wings” is a nickname for a particular wing setup, and the hosts are saying Ferrari won’t be using that exact setup this weekend.

Term

downforce

"All of the teams are still going to be 100% all out downforce. That's not going to change."

Downforce is what makes the car feel “grippier” by pressing it toward the road. In F1, teams tune wings and aero so the tires can hold the car better in turns.

Brand

McLaren

"that McLaren have gone through a whole history book on their social media showing off some of their biggest moments."

McLaren is a famous Formula 1 racing team. Here, they’re talking about McLaren’s social media post and a new look for the car.

Brand

Aston Martin

"Tomorrow, though, there's apparently a new Aston Martin delivering coming. [1814.8s] Oh, great. Yeah, that'll source it."

Aston Martin is a well-known car brand that also races. They’re saying Aston Martin is bringing out something new for the weekend.

Term

compression ratio

"Well, that's really interesting [1836.7s] because the compression ratio, of course, is coming to effect here. [1840.1s] So, Mercedes Engings are going to be, in theory, reduced"

Compression ratio is how much an engine squeezes the air-fuel mixture inside the cylinder. Changing it can affect how efficiently the engine makes power and how safely it can run.

Term

tyre management

"Therefore, where power is most limited and chassis and tyre management and the aerodynamics of the car are most important, there is a real risk that Mercedes may end up being the third fastest team"

Tyre management means using the tires in a way that keeps them working well for the whole race. If the tires overheat or wear out too fast, the car loses grip and becomes slower.

Topic

Saudi Arabia

"If you remember the situation in the championship coming into Monaco last year, Piaz was on this brilliant run where he'd won Saudi Arabia, he'd won at Bahrain, I'm missing one in there as well,"

Saudi Arabia is mentioned because the speaker is talking about recent races and results before Monaco. It’s part of the story of who’s been in great form lately.

Term

wheelbase

"And in terms of the McLaren itself, you mentioned that maybe the chassis is pretty good. They have the shortest wheelbase on the grid at the moment, which is quite significant here."

Wheelbase is how far apart the front and rear wheels are on a car. That spacing changes how the car feels when turning and when hitting bumps. A shorter wheelbase often makes a car feel a bit more nimble, which can be helpful on twisty tracks.

Car

Mini Cooper

"Compare a limousine to a Mini Cooper. Sure. It's a lot better at dealing with these lower speed corners."

A Mini Cooper is a small car. In this comparison, it represents a car that’s easier to steer and maneuver than a long limousine, especially at lower speeds.

Concept

high speed cornering

"Now, there are disadvantages to it as well, but they mainly relate to high speed cornering, instability, things you're not really going to be worried about at Monaco."

High-speed cornering means going through a turn fast. Some cars can feel stable at slow speeds but start to feel twitchy or unstable when you’re going faster.

Concept

instability

"but they mainly relate to high speed cornering, instability, things you're not really going to be worried about at Monaco."

Instability means the car doesn’t feel steady. Instead of tracking smoothly through a corner, it can feel unpredictable or hard to control.

Part

front-wing upgrade

"They had a planned front-wing upgrade for Canada. They put it on the car in practice. They then took it off the car afterwards, because it wasn't working as it should have done."

A front-wing upgrade is a change to the front aerodynamic element on an F1 car. The front wing strongly affects downforce and balance, so if it “isn’t working as it should,” it can hurt stability or cornering performance.

Brand

Red Bull

"What about Red Bull? Because Verstappen wasn't a million miles away... But as we know, that car is a little bit over the weight limit... I just don't think that Red Bull has got what it takes"

Red Bull is the racing team in Formula 1 that the speakers are talking about. They’re saying the team’s car might be a bit too heavy for Monaco, but Verstappen can still drive it very well.

Term

weight limit

"But as we know, that car is a little bit over the weight limit. Is that going to cost them here?"

F1 cars have rules about how heavy they’re allowed to be. If a car is heavier than it should be, it can feel slower and harder to change direction—especially on a tight track like Monaco.

Person

Max Verstappen

"I mean, Count Max Verstappen out at your peril... So, I think if anyone can elevate the car... it's Max Verstappen."

Max Verstappen is the driver for Red Bull. The hosts are basically saying that even if the car isn’t perfect for Monaco, his talent could still help it perform well.

Term

qualifying lap

"And as I mentioned already, I think it is his 2023 qualifying lap here, was just something special."

Qualifying is when drivers try to set their best single-lap time to decide where they start the race. At Monaco, starting position matters a lot because it’s hard to pass.

Term

nimble

"but when you need to be light and you need to be nimble, you need to be elegant to get through the streets of Monaco."

In racing talk, “nimble” describes how quickly a car can change direction and respond to steering inputs. On Monaco’s tight street layout, a nimble car can help drivers place the car precisely through slow corners and chicanes.

Car

Ferrari 12

"It's about Ferrari. Ferrari 1-2. I mean, you've just gone with what the bookmakers think."

The Ferrari 812 Superfast is a very powerful luxury sports car made by Ferrari. It’s designed for quick acceleration and high-speed driving on normal roads as well as spirited trips. The podcast brings it up as part of a discussion about Ferrari performance and results.

Person

Michael Schumacher

"in a row this century is Michael Schumacher. [3370.4s] True or false?"

Michael Schumacher was one of the most successful Formula 1 drivers ever. Here, the hosts mention him because he’s associated with a Monaco Grand Prix winning streak record.

Person

Nico Rosberg

"The only person to win three Monaco Grand Prix in a row since Ayrton Senna back in 1993 is Nico Rosberg. [3402.4s] He won it in 2013, 14, and 15."

Nico Rosberg is a Formula 1 driver. The hosts are saying he won the Monaco Grand Prix three years in a row: 2013, 2014, and 2015.

Person

Bernie Ecclestone

"Second one, Bernie Ecclestone. [3413.9s] Getting another mention on this show. ... [3416.0s] Bernie Ecclestone attempted to qualify [3418.0s] for the 1958 Monaco Grand Prix,"

Bernie Ecclestone was a major figure in Formula 1. In this story, they say he tried to qualify for the 1958 Monaco Grand Prix, but he was far off the speed of the field.

Person

Jack Brabham

"Jack Brabham lost the lead of the 1970 Monaco Grand Prix at the very last corner. Brabham defended the inside line at the final corner to prevent Jochen Rint from passing."

Jack Brabham was a famous early Formula 1 driver from Australia. Here they’re talking about how he defended his position at the end of the 1970 Monaco race.

Term

inside line

"Brabham defended the inside line at the final corner to prevent Jochen Rint from passing."

The inside line is the part of the track closest to the inside of the turn. Defending it means you make it harder for the other car to pass you there.

Person

Jochen Rint

"Brabham defended the inside line at the final corner to prevent Jochen Rint from passing. My guy's got Jochen Rint around the outside."

Jochen Rint was a Formula 1 driver from Germany. In this story, he’s the driver trying to get past Jack Brabham at the last corner.

Term

locked the wheels under braking

"Brabham locked the wheels under braking and the car skidded across the track towards the barriers."

It means the brakes were so strong that the tires stopped gripping and started sliding. When that happens, the car can lose control and slide toward the wall.

Car

Chevrolet C8

"...nd of made me chuckle as well. Tire compound, the C8, which we've only ever gone up to C6 in Monaco, s..."

The Chevrolet Corvette is a sports car made for fast driving and track-style performance. The podcast mentions it in connection with tires, because the type of tire can change how the car grips the road. They also reference different Corvette generations, like the C8, to explain how things may differ on track.

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