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and we pride ourselves on providing you
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with the award-winning satisfaction
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00:44
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01:06
Hi everyone, and welcome to the September 12th,
01:09
2025 episode of the Automotive News Canada podcast.
01:12
I'm your host, Greg Lason,
01:14
the digital and mobile editor at Automotive News Canada.
01:17
Coming to you from just outside Windsor, Ontario,
01:20
the automotive capital of Canada.
01:23
Today on the show we'll hear
01:24
from Canadian Automobile Dealers Association CEO, Tim Royce.
01:29
He talks with Automotive News Canada,
01:31
Toronto Bureau Chief David Kennedy.
01:33
The two discuss the government's pause and review
01:36
of the zero emissions vehicle sales mandate.
01:39
They talk tariffs and sales and more.
01:42
But first, a look at some of the top Canadian
01:45
automotive stories of the week.
01:47
General Motors will continue
01:48
to operate its Oshawa assembly plant on three shifts.
01:51
Workers there will continue
01:52
to build the Chevrolet Silverado pickup
01:55
on three shifts until January 30th, 2026.
01:59
The automaker said in May
02:00
that it would cancel the shift
02:01
during this year's third quarter.
02:03
Back then, it cited lower forecasted demand
02:06
and the evolving trade environment for its decision.
02:09
However, this week, GM said the extension
02:12
of the midnight shift was in response
02:14
to short-term production needs for light duty pickups.
02:17
In sticking with manufacturing,
02:19
Stellantis made similar news
02:20
a day after its competitor, General Motors.
02:23
Stellantis says that its Windsor assembly plant
02:26
in Windsor, Ontario
02:27
will return to a three shift operation.
02:30
The midnight shift will be added
02:31
during the first quarter of 2026.
02:34
The automaker says it made the decision, quote,
02:36
in anticipation of increased demand
02:39
for products built at the Windsor assembly plant.
02:42
Workers there build the Chrysler Pacifica minivan,
02:45
Chrysler Pacifica hybrid, Chrysler Grand Caravan
02:48
for the Canadian market,
02:49
and the Chrysler Voyager for US fleet sales.
02:52
They also build electric
02:54
and ice versions of the Dodge Charger.
02:56
We end with a retail note.
02:58
Canada's oldest Toyota dealership has been sold.
03:01
Northern Roads Auto Group recently acquired
03:04
Fort Erie's Bill's Toyota.
03:06
It was previously owned by the Pesinki family.
03:09
Bill Pesinki came to Canada from Hungary in 1957,
03:13
following the 1956 Hungarian Revolution.
03:16
Bill opened up Bill's Sonoco in December, 1958.
03:21
He then opened Bill's Texaco Toyota
03:23
and his Zuzu in 1965.
03:26
The store had been in the family ever since.
03:29
And that's a look at some of the top Canadian
03:31
automotive stories of the week.
03:32
Coming up, a conversation between our Toronto bureau chief,
03:35
David Kennedy, and Canadian automobile dealers
03:38
association CEO, Tim Royce.
03:42
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every step of the vehicle buying journey.
04:40
For JD Power 2025 award information,
04:43
visit jdpower.com slash awards.
04:47
Welcome back to the Automotive News Canada podcast.
04:49
And our host Greg Lason will now hear that conversation
04:52
between our Toronto Bureau Chief David Kennedy
04:55
and Canadian Automobile Dealers Association CEO Tim Royce.
05:01
So Tim, let's start with the big news.
05:04
The federal government has shelved the 2026 target
05:07
and put the EV mandate up for review.
05:10
You know, what's your reaction
05:11
and what do you want to see happen next?
05:15
This is actually welcome news
05:17
and a very good first positive step by the government
05:21
to realize that ambition and reality
05:25
where we're just not matching up at this point in time.
05:28
So we're very happy with this
05:30
because it gives all of industry a certainty now
05:34
at least for the next year of exactly where we stand.
05:38
And it gives all of us now a renewed avenue
05:43
with the government to engage with them
05:45
on what that revised plan should look like
05:50
if they want to adjust the plan or if it remains okay.
05:54
Let's go back to the drawing board completely.
05:58
And is that your hope?
05:59
Do you want things to go back to the drawing board here
06:03
or do you think there's a way to salvage
06:05
the legislation as it says?
06:08
Well, from our perspective,
06:10
any sort of adjusted plan needs to consider
06:16
just the vast differences that we have across Canada
06:19
when it comes to consumer demand.
06:21
One size does not fit all in our country.
06:25
The demand is not the same in downtown Vancouver
06:29
or Quebec City or Toronto than it is in rural Manitoba
06:34
or Alberta or even rural BC for that matter.
06:38
So whatever adjust the plan needs
06:40
to take that into consideration.
06:42
And also as well as just what is possible
06:46
and reasonable under what we currently have
06:50
in terms of charging infrastructure and energy grid,
06:55
both what we have and what is coming in also there,
06:58
the ambition and reality figures are staggering
07:02
when you look at what charging infrastructure
07:04
should have been built up by now
07:06
and where we currently actually are.
07:08
So this is, I think the main sort of input factors
07:12
that the government needs to consider
07:14
for any sort of adjustments
07:17
or any different plan that it wants to come up with.
07:20
So it's going to be our jobs, so to speak,
07:24
to provide it from our perspective
07:26
the maximum input that we can from the consumer side
07:32
and what consumers are seeing across this country.
07:35
And to also look at the pillar again
07:40
of what is required for consumer demand.
07:43
The mandate, the way it was conceived from the get-go
07:48
I think was flawed in saying,
07:50
well, we have to mandate what is available
07:52
in order for consumers to then buy them.
07:55
Well, I think jurisdictions that have been successful
07:58
with EVs and other parts of the world
07:59
have proven that it's actually the other way around.
08:03
What sort of incentives do you need on the consumer side?
08:08
Be it, yes, price incentives,
08:09
but also soft incentives
08:11
when it comes to charging availability infrastructure
08:14
infrastructure usage, like for example,
08:16
HOV lanes to be used by EVs
08:18
and things of that nature
08:19
that for example, No Way has been very successful.
08:22
And No Way didn't have
08:23
and has never had an EV mandate at all.
08:26
And yet they are very successful in EV.
08:29
So this is what we again,
08:31
we'll be trying to convey now to the government.
08:34
It's been an eventful year, I know.
08:37
So far sales have kind of managed to hold up
08:39
a little bit better than we probably thought initially
08:42
when the tariffs were first mentioned.
08:44
Has the resilience surprised you?
08:46
Quite frankly, it has.
08:49
The market has been surprisingly
08:52
resilient of first half of the year.
08:55
And through July, it was up by 5.8%
08:58
which if you were to extrapolate for the whole year
09:02
would put the total market at around 1.95
09:05
come into the year.
09:06
Now we do expect that the second half of the year
09:09
is gonna, the growth is gonna slow down somewhat.
09:12
And the August figures that actually just came out
09:15
this morning seem to indicate
09:17
that that's going to be the case.
09:19
So we don't necessarily see a market downturn
09:22
but we do see a slow in the growth.
09:24
So our current forecast is for a market of about 1.9,
09:28
1.92 for the total year.
09:32
What is interesting as well is that the growth
09:35
has come pretty much across the country in all provinces.
09:40
So even in the last couple of months
09:42
you've seen a growth in Quebec again
09:45
after the, let's call it the EV hangover
09:47
from last year after that was digested.
09:51
So we see strong growth across the country
09:54
in all provinces with the exception obviously
10:00
So to your question, yes, it's the market
10:03
has been surprisingly resilient.
10:07
Dealers have basically buckled down
10:11
and together with their manufacturers
10:14
and are finding the best way to deal
10:17
with the current uncertainties in the marketplace
10:21
when it comes to supplies
10:23
and what will now be supplied from where
10:26
and how and what a tariff rates
10:28
and that changes almost daily.
10:31
Some brands have already started adjusting
10:34
their supply into Canada from their various factories.
10:38
Others have had to hit the pause button for a bit
10:43
and are resuming supplies into Canada
10:48
especially those that were coming
10:49
from the US recently.
10:51
And there's going to be, let's just say
10:55
that the pricing impact of all of those changes
10:59
is only now starting to come
11:01
and hence are somewhat more cautious
11:06
a forecast for the second half of the year.
11:08
Yeah, and when it comes to some of those models
11:11
that we saw disappear but temporarily, hopefully
11:14
has that had an impact on sales for those brands?
11:18
Absolutely, it has and it has been
11:22
let's call it a tilting of the playing field
11:24
because not every brand was affected in the same way.
11:29
So if you recall back to let's say chip shortages
11:33
or the pandemic, pretty much everybody was affected
11:37
and everybody found ways to adjust to it
11:40
but regardless of what brand you had
11:42
if you did the right moves,
11:43
you were actually able to then adapt to the marketplace
11:45
and you weren't in a competitive disadvantage
11:49
to your dealer colleague down the street
11:50
and that is unfortunately now not the case.
11:53
So those brands that have been affected
11:55
have seen a let's say competitive disadvantage
11:58
versus other brands in the marketplace.
12:00
But again, even within that,
12:03
I must commend all OEMs working together
12:06
with their dealers, their dealer council
12:08
to find solutions, find and especially keep
12:12
their dealers appraised of what is going on
12:14
and keeping them informed so that they know
12:16
what is coming, what is not coming,
12:17
what to expect, what not.
12:19
And also being very open with dealers to say
12:22
this is what we don't know at this point in time
12:25
and that helps a lot for dealers then
12:28
to be able to adjust their planning.
12:31
So for example, if you were about to embark
12:34
on an expansion of your dealership or service workshop
12:38
do you put that off?
12:40
And yes, by how long, things of that nature
12:43
that dealers need to decide on a daily basis
12:45
that they're now able to do on a much good basis.
12:47
So I have to extend a kudos here to the OEMs
12:51
and what they have accomplished
12:53
in keeping dealers informed over the last months.
12:56
So when it comes to profitability,
12:58
automakers are obviously looking to find
13:01
some savings somewhere as they absorb these tariff costs.
13:04
You mentioned potential price hikes for consumers
13:07
kind of finding their way in,
13:09
probably some reduction in incentives
13:10
we're looking at as well.
13:11
Are automakers looking at cutting back dealer margin at all
13:17
to make up for some of those profits?
13:20
There was not a widespread discussion of that topic.
13:24
There are individual discussions around that
13:27
with certain brands,
13:28
but interestingly enough those discussions
13:31
were being had before any tariff issues.
13:35
So I'll just leave it at that.
13:38
The main focus I think is together the manufacturers
13:42
together with the dealers trying to figure out,
13:43
okay, what of this?
13:46
Can the market absorb or not?
13:48
How do we deal with it?
13:51
And it ends up being a combination
13:53
of things that need to happen.
13:55
You just mentioned one is, for example,
13:57
a cutback maybe an incentive spending into the marketplace.
14:01
A change in just straight up supply of vehicles
14:05
from one factor to another
14:07
somewhere else in the world,
14:08
those adjustments have already been made
14:10
over the last six months.
14:11
So I think it's in a different brand by brand
14:16
of what needs to be done or not be done.
14:18
And again, not every brand is affected.
14:19
There are certain brands that
14:23
due to the fact that they have production in Canada
14:25
are not affected with the remission scheme
14:28
that the Canadian government put in place.
14:30
Those that have production in Canada
14:31
as long as they maintain that production
14:33
are able to continue importing vehicles
14:35
without a Canadian tariff on it right now.
14:37
So those brands are not faced with those issues.
14:42
And when it comes to the tariffs
14:44
heading into the back half of the year,
14:46
I know you said you're a little bit worried
14:47
about where sales might go from here,
14:49
though they've been strong so far.
14:51
Is there anything else top of mind of concern
14:53
when it comes to tariffs?
14:55
If the concern is that things will not continue
14:59
in its current state of complete uncertainty.
15:06
some sort of agreement will be reached
15:09
perhaps a new USMCA or ACUSMA,
15:17
depending on which side of the border you talk about it,
15:22
will be reached or not reached
15:24
or is it going to be a trade agreement?
15:27
What are the details of those?
15:29
And we're starting to find out
15:30
there's lots of movement around those too.
15:34
There's now a bit of legal uncertainty
15:38
as to exactly how those tariffs are applied.
15:41
But I would caution everyone around,
15:45
even if there's certain legalities involved,
15:49
the political will is very clear.
15:51
And if it is not one path,
15:54
another one will be found for those things.
15:56
So just because there's a legal finding right now
16:01
for us doesn't signal that there's gonna be a change
16:04
in the approach of things,
16:05
meaning tariffs are here to stay
16:08
in one shape, way, or another.
16:10
And it's up to the different countries
16:12
to find our agreements with this new approach
16:16
of the US government.
16:19
But it does influence the timelines
16:21
and the mechanisms used for this for the tariffs.
16:26
So those will remain in place.
16:28
So that is what we do expect in the next,
16:32
let's call it month to two months,
16:34
something will have to be announced
16:37
between the US and Canada.
16:39
If it is a wholesale new renegotiation
16:43
and opening up of Kuzma now
16:46
or some sort of high level agreement
16:48
as has been found with other countries,
16:52
that is a bit uncertain at this moment,
16:54
but the current status quo will not continue.
16:59
And obviously I know you and your colleagues
17:02
spend quite a bit of time in Ottawa,
17:04
fighting for your members.
17:07
So tell me a little bit about what you're pushing for,
17:09
what sort of resolution to all of this
17:11
are you looking for from Ottawa?
17:13
Sure, so obviously on the tariff issue
17:16
we are as much involved as we can with the government
17:18
and we just finished a trade mission
17:20
down to Washington about a month ago
17:23
with our executive committee
17:24
where we met with US lawmakers, senators,
17:27
trade officials, Canadian embassy officials,
17:30
trade officials, et cetera,
17:32
in conveying our point of view for Canada.
17:34
So we are involved very much in that file
17:37
trying to influence things.
17:39
But however, we have been clear since quite a while ago
17:43
that regardless of that,
17:44
there's things that the Canadian government
17:46
should do and can do on their own
17:48
regardless of the current tariff discussions
17:50
to help the industry in its competitiveness.
17:56
And one of the other things I know
17:57
you've been arguing for in Ottawa this year
18:00
is sort of an expansion of the regulatory requirements
18:03
to bring in some more vehicles from Europe
18:06
and Japan and South Korea
18:07
that have never met North American standards.
18:10
But I think of station wagons for instance
18:15
have always been popular in Canada,
18:18
So tell me a little bit about that push you've been having
18:22
and whether or not you found any receptive audience in Ottawa.
18:26
Yeah, that was the second point of our five-point framework
18:29
for automotive competitiveness
18:31
was to expand Canada's regulatory emissions
18:36
and standards and safety regulations.
18:40
We have the situation where
18:42
if the US doesn't want a vehicle,
18:45
we also don't get it in Canada.
18:46
And there's a number of vehicles
18:49
that Canadian consumers would love to buy.
18:53
Our members, the dealers would love to sell and service.
18:57
And the manufacturers would actually
18:59
also like to bring in and sell in Canada.
19:03
But the Canadian volume alone is too small
19:07
to warrant the adjustment investments
19:09
that need to be made for the standards.
19:10
And by the way, we're not talking about
19:12
the standards being better, which standard is better.
19:14
I mean, you've seen my quote and I continue to use that one.
19:19
If a vehicle is deemed safe enough environmentally
19:21
okay to driven on a German Autobahn,
19:23
why shouldn't it be driven on a Canadian highway?
19:27
So those things can be considered.
19:33
But again, we've put also very clear
19:36
from our perspective and our proposal
19:37
GART rails around the saying this should be applied
19:40
to those jurisdictions that have
19:42
a free trade agreement with Canada,
19:44
meaning South Korea, Japan, and European Union only.
19:48
And for those entities that are doing business in Canada
19:51
already, meaning they have either manufacturing
19:54
or production or a substantial sales
19:57
and marketing footprint in Canada
19:59
with a national therefore organization, right?
20:03
And the interesting part is we initially
20:06
received a lot of interest from the political side
20:11
in Ottawa, but again then some of the let's say transition
20:17
bureaucrats from the previous administration
20:19
and then quite frankly for years
20:21
they've been doing their job in trying
20:22
to only align with the US.
20:25
And by the way, we're not saying
20:26
we shouldn't align with the US, right?
20:28
What we're saying is there's a potential
20:30
for an additional add-on here.
20:34
They have sort of said, well,
20:35
but this is the way we've always done it.
20:39
Interestingly enough, in the US and European trade agreement,
20:45
the framework for the trade agreement,
20:49
there was a passage included as well
20:51
that both will look at reciprocal acceptance
20:54
of each other's standards.
20:55
So that's created a lot of interest as well.
20:57
And we'll be making sure that that is catches
21:01
the attention of all of our Canadian trade officials
21:04
as well in this discussion.
21:07
So it sounds like it may be turned into
21:09
of something a little bit more than just an idea.
21:13
And just over the last few days,
21:16
I've had conversations with those manufacturers
21:19
most interested in being able to do that
21:22
and they fully support this as well.
21:25
Again, not every single manufacturer, I have to say,
21:27
but there's quite a few that are behind this
21:30
and again our members would love to sell
21:31
and Canadian consumers would like to have those vehicles.
21:34
But we're not talking about changing
21:36
the complete makeup of the market to be clear.
21:39
95% of the market will still be fairly similar to the US,
21:43
pickups, SUVs, et cetera, but there are certain segments
21:46
in the market that are currently
21:47
not being served in Canada.
21:50
Now, some of the other points that we brought
21:53
to the forefront in our five point framework plan
21:55
are also still front and center for us.
21:57
The other one was the bank act which is up for review
22:02
and the Canadian banks wanna get into leasing in Canada,
22:05
which they're currently not able to do.
22:08
Our members do not support that expansion quite frankly
22:12
because then you would have big financial institutions
22:15
competing with them.
22:16
And those same financial institutions are the ones
22:18
that dictate the floor planning and the conditions
22:21
and have all of the information from the dealer.
22:23
So it would be unfair competition from our perspective.
22:25
So we're fighting against that.
22:27
The other one is the luxury tax,
22:28
the inefficient luxury tax.
22:30
It's time for that one to go.
22:33
And plus we're now faced with the fact that CRA,
22:37
which has been dealing with some issues on their own
22:40
was just the general Canadian population that you saw
22:43
and just this morning a Senator came out with saying,
22:46
you know, if the CRAs left the trust of the Canadian public
22:50
there's something to be said there
22:52
and an emergency plan of 100 days
22:54
is being put in place to correct that.
22:56
And now CRA is auditing dealers on the luxury tax
23:01
and we're heavily involved because they're unevenly applying
23:06
and they sometimes don't even know exactly the rules for that.
23:09
Like for example, our winter tires
23:11
to be included in the price yes or no
23:13
or a discount or a sales incentive from a manufacturer
23:19
and all of the things there's absolute chaos out there
23:22
which has led us to have to engage
23:24
with our great partners from MMP
23:27
to start providing support to dealers
23:30
as they have CRA auditors coming in
23:33
and what gets applied in one jurisdiction
23:36
is very different than another.
23:37
So that's something that we're also focused on.
23:40
And then the last one is, this might surprise you,
23:42
I'd like to thank the government
23:44
for finally doing what was the right thing
23:45
which is pay the dealers the money that were owed
23:48
for the emission vehicles, zero emission vehicle incentives
23:55
when the federal program wound down in February
24:00
dealers were left holding the bag
24:01
to the tune of almost an 11 million dollars in Canada.
24:04
That's something that we had to fight for months
24:07
but finally they relented, they saw that that was not right
24:12
and corrected the situation.
24:14
And we now know that the dealers
24:16
that were left holding the bag
24:18
they've been able to submit their claims
24:20
and are actually now receiving the money.
24:21
So thank you very much to the Canadian government
24:24
for doing that, I'll be a few months late
24:27
but better late than ever.
24:29
Yeah, and just on that ZEV incentive,
24:34
any word on when we might see something returned
24:37
I know the federal government has kind of been saying
24:39
that it will, but it's been months now
24:41
and really no word from Ottawa.
24:44
So this is an interesting one as well
24:46
where you have ministers that are not in charge
24:48
of the file saying something that it's gonna come back
24:51
and quite frankly making an announcement
24:53
this was months ago and basically any consumer
24:56
that was in the market saying,
24:57
oh, I'll hold off on buying a vehicle
24:59
because the incentives might be coming back.
25:01
It's been two months now and nothing's come back
25:03
but those were from ministers
25:04
that are not in charge of the files.
25:06
We do know that the government is
25:09
ruminating about potentially bringing back
25:13
EV incentives and they want to make certain adjustments
25:18
to it, which we would agree to
25:21
but we're also just concerned that in doing so
25:25
they might tilt the playing field
25:27
too much in one direction or another
25:28
like for example, you only get access to an EV incentive
25:31
if you're producing Canada
25:33
or for vehicles produced in Canada.
25:34
That would be a tilting of the playing field
25:36
too far in one direction
25:37
and that would not be something that we would agree to.
25:41
Now, if you wanna find a way to keep certain companies
25:43
out of those incentives that have been the ones
25:46
that have been unproportionately benefiting from that
25:49
and sometimes in dubious ways
25:51
as was the fact in February
25:53
when the incentive was wound down.
25:57
Okay, but then engage with industry on this
26:00
and that has so far not happened.
26:02
So both, all the manufacturers and us
26:05
we have told the government
26:06
if you're thinking of doing something
26:08
and tweaking it or changing it, consult with us
26:11
before you do so and before announcing something
26:13
that then might have certain areas of concern
26:17
especially if you still want the dealers
26:19
to continue fronting the money on your behalf
26:22
as was the case before.
26:23
Because again, the system in place
26:25
is that the dealer is giving that money to the consumer
26:28
in the assumption that he's gonna be paid back
26:30
by the government and that for a while there was not the case.
26:33
So if you want our members to continue on that
26:36
you better consult with us
26:38
on how that system is gonna look going forward.
26:40
So that is something that we hope that now
26:43
the government's back in session
26:45
we'll be able to get a bit of movement on.
26:48
I'd like to thank Tim for his time
26:50
and David for conducting the interview.
26:52
If you'd like to be a guest
26:54
or have a suggestion or simply want to comment,
26:56
email me at glasenatautonews.com
26:59
and remember you can listen to all our previous podcasts
27:01
on Spotify, iTunes, Google Play or on our website
27:07
Just scroll to the podcast hub
27:09
in the middle of our homepage
27:10
and don't forget you can follow Automotive News Canada
27:13
on X where we're at Autonews Canada
27:17
and you can find me there too under at glasen, A-N-C.
27:22
And finally, look for us on LinkedIn.
27:24
Just search Automotive News Canada.
27:26
That does it for this episode
27:27
of the Automotive News Canada podcast.
27:29
We hope you'll join us next time.