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Affordability CRISIS JUST GOT EVEN WORSE | Latest Edmunds Data | Episode 1102

Affordability CRISIS JUST GOT EVEN WORSE | Latest Edmunds Data | Episode 1102

CarEdge Live Jul 06, 2026 32 min
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About this episode

Ray and Zach break down Edmunds data showing the affordability crisis worsening: record shares of new-car buyers are stretching loans to 73+ months, with 36.5% taking 73+ month terms in Q2. They connect it to higher prices (average new car up to about $52k) and explain how longer terms don’t prevent payment pain—monthly payments still hit highs due to higher amounts financed and more negative equity rolled in. They also discuss knock-on effects for trade-in liquidity, demand, and dealer profitability, plus pressure on the used market.

Technical Too Afraid to Ask
Term

stretch loans

"Nearly one in four new vehicle buyers in Q2 stretch loans to 84 months or longer a record according to Edmunds."

A “stretch loan” is a car loan that’s longer than normal. It can make the monthly payment smaller, but you pay more interest overall.

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Term

Q2

"Nearly one in four new vehicle buyers in Q2 stretch loans to 84 months or longer a record according to Edmunds."

“Q2” is the second quarter of the year—roughly springtime. It’s a way to talk about the data for a specific time window.

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Company

Edmunds

"Nearly one in four new vehicle buyers in Q2 stretch loans to 84 months or longer a record according to Edmunds."

Edmunds is a company that collects car-shopping and pricing information. Here, they’re being used as the source for the loan-term statistics.

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Term

84 months or longer car loans

"Let's start, dad. The number of people who are taking out 84 month or longer car loans has hit a record level."

“84 months or longer” means the car loan is for 7 years or more. That can lower the payment, but it often costs more in interest and keeps you paying longer.

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Company

Experian

"We also have data from Experian that we're going to look at here today as well."

Experian is a credit-data company. In this episode, they’re cited as a source for how many borrowers are using long car-loan terms.

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Term

73 months or longer

"A record, 36.5% of all finance new vehicle purchases in Q2 took on a loan of 73 months or longer, up from 27.3% a decade ago."

This is another way of saying the loan is very long—over about 6 years. If lots of people are doing it, it usually means car prices and payments are harder to manage.

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Term

loan terms

"Loan terms, once you start getting beyond 72 months, you start getting to 84 and 96 months. And 120, we've seen credit unions go up to 120 months, 10-year car loans."

A “loan term” is how long you have to pay back your car loan. Longer terms mean smaller monthly payments, but you’re paying for the car for more years.

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Term

120-month

"And 120, we've seen credit unions go up to 120 months, 10-year car loans."

120 months is a 10-year car loan. It can lower monthly payments, but it also means you’re committed to the loan for a long time.

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Term

credit unions

"And 120, we've seen credit unions go up to 120 months, 10-year car loans."

Credit unions are like banks, but they’re owned by their members. They can offer car loans, and here they’re cited as offering longer loan terms.

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Concept

cannibalizing your existing car market

"once you start getting to 84 and 96 months... And 120... Once you start normalizing that, you are cannibalizing your existing car market. ... you're effectively keeping them out of the market longer."

The host means that if people take longer to pay off their cars, they don’t switch as often. Less switching can slow down the car market for dealers and everyone else involved in selling cars.

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Term

84-month car loans

"People can't trade out of cars quickly enough to sustain the future market if they're in an 84 or 96-month note. ... Why are people having to take out 84-month car loans?"

An 84-month car loan is a car loan you pay off over about seven years. The longer the loan, the harder it can be to switch cars if the car’s value drops.

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Term

negative equity

"They would bring too much negative equity to the table if they decided that they wanted to get out 36 months or 42 months into their 84-month or 96-month car note."

Negative equity means your car is worth less than what you still owe on it. If you try to trade it in, you may have to pay extra—or add that shortfall to your next loan.

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Term

monthly payments

"[403.1s] there in just a second, but before we do, a couple more bullet points. Monthly payments [406.5s] reached an all-time high for the third consecutive quarter."

Monthly payments are what you pay each month to pay off the car loan. They depend on your interest rate, how much you borrow, and how long you take to repay it.

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Term

interest rate

"[419.9s] What are the variables at play that can make a monthly payment [427.5s] higher or lower? Interest rate is one."

Interest rate is the “price” of borrowing for your car loan. A higher rate usually means higher monthly payments and more money paid overall.

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Term

cash down

"[427.5s] previous credit history, trade equity or cash down on the vehicle that you're purchasing and [436.8s] the purchase price of what it is that you're purchasing."

Cash down is the upfront money paid toward the vehicle purchase. It reduces the amount financed, which can lower monthly payments and total interest compared with financing the full purchase price.

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Term

loan term length

"[440.4s] So the amount of finance, so interest rate, the amount of finance, what's the other variable? [445.3s] Cash down, yeah. No, loan term length. [450.6s] No, no, but I'm just trying to set the table. Those are the three variables, right?"

Loan term length is how many months you have to pay off the car loan. Longer terms can change your monthly payment and usually affect how much interest you pay over time.

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Concept

rolling a tremendous

"[482.7s] And so what are the reasons for that? In many cases, it's because they're rolling a tremendous"

“Rolling” usually means adding extra costs into your new car loan. That can make you borrow more money than the car is worth, which can be risky if the car’s value drops.

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Term

trade equity

"down as much trade equity or in a lot of cases, they don't have any trade equity or the equivalent [504.0s] cash down. Can't afford to put as much cash down on a more expensive purchase than it just means"

Trade equity is how much money you actually gain (or have left over) when you trade in your old car. If it’s zero, the trade-in doesn’t help lower the new loan.

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Concept

financial suicide

"you're going to finance more money, and in this case, for a longer term at a higher payment, [517.3s] which is financial suicide. Yeah, 100%. So I think that's the point to make to everyone,"

They’re using “financial suicide” to mean taking on a loan that’s too expensive for your budget. The monthly payments can become unmanageable and trap you in debt.

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Term

amount financed

"Loan term lengths are longer, [527.6s] the amount financed is higher, and the amount people are putting down is lower."

Amount financed is the size of the loan you’re taking out for the car. Borrowing more usually means higher payments and more total interest.

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Concept

used car market

"look in the used car market, but the used car market is getting squeezed too. Used vehicle [569.0s] buyers are feeling the squeeze as well."

The used car market is where people buy cars that have already been owned. If it’s tight, used cars can cost more and be harder to afford.

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Concept

supply and demand

"We talk about supply [615.3s] and demand as like the fundamental aspects of car prices in the United States of America."

It’s the idea that prices are affected by how many cars are available (supply) and how badly people want to buy them (demand). If fewer people can buy, demand drops and the market shifts.

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Concept

high profit margin, high priced vehicles

"because the vehicles that they're building are high profit margin, high priced vehicles that appeal to the 11 to 13% of the population out there that can afford to buy new cars."

They’re saying car companies may sell fewer cars, but make more money on each one. Instead of selling lots of cheaper cars, they focus on pricier models that cost more to buy.

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Concept

high water mark for new car sales

"And we've already seen the high water mark for new car sales in this country was 2016 at 17.3 million new cars that were sold that year."

They’re talking about the highest point the market has ever hit for selling new cars. After that peak, sales have been slipping instead of growing.

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Concept

84 months and 96 month loans

"because all of these people that are going into 84 months and 96 month loans won't be able to trade out of them even if they wanted to."

They’re referring to car loans that last a long time—about 7 to 8 years. If you have a loan that long, it can be harder to switch cars sooner because you’re still paying off the old one.

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Concept

inventory is just sitting

"And the reason they're not going to be making money is because their inventory is just sitting. They're not able to sell their cars."

It means dealers have cars that aren’t selling and are staying on the lot. When that happens, sellers often have to lower prices or offer deals to move the cars.

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Company

Stellantis

"For example, maybe it was 12 years ago with Stellantis. A lot of their inventory was priced too high. No one was shopping it."

Stellantis is a big car company that makes many brands. The hosts are using it as an example of what can happen when cars sit unsold because prices are too high.

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Concept

buyer's market opportunities

"So that's another implication here is that this will create buyer's market opportunities as so many people have find themselves priced out of the market."

A buyer’s market means there are more cars available than people want to buy right now. That usually gives shoppers more negotiating power and better chances to find discounts.

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Term

loan-to-value ratio

"Loan-to-value, let's explain what that is in the simplest terms possible because it can get confusing and we don't need it to be. Loan-to-value is how much money you're getting on a loan based on the value of the vehicle."

Loan-to-value ratio is a way lenders measure how big your loan is compared to the car’s value. If it’s over 100%, you’re borrowing more than the car is worth.

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Term

0% financing offers

"I bet you we see in December, Deb. I bet you we see a huge, huge number of 0% financing offers."

0% financing means the loan has no interest rate for the promotional period. It can lower the cost of borrowing, but you still have to qualify and the overall deal can have other costs.

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Brand

Ford

"I bet you we see what we saw last year, Ford extending who they approve for those financing offers. That was one of the craziest stories of last year."

Ford is the car company being discussed. They’re mentioned because their financing/approval practices can affect who qualifies for deals like low- or zero-interest loans.

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Term

underwriting

"offers and just trying to convince people that they should buy a car and underwriting it with crazy interest rates, approving anyone for those crazy interest rates."

Underwriting is the bank’s way of deciding if you’re a safe bet to lend to. They look at your risk and then decide whether you get approved and at what interest rate.

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Term

car note

"What do I mean by that? It's not just a car and the car note. It's the expense of maintaining that car or truck."

A car note is simply your monthly payment on a car loan. The point here is that the payment is only part of what you have to budget for.

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Term

full coverage insurance

"Because you're financing the damn thing, you are required as part of the bank agreement to keep full coverage insurance on your vehicle."

Full coverage insurance is the more complete type of auto insurance that protects the car itself, not just other people. If you finance the car, the bank usually requires it so the car is protected.

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Term

ownership costs

"back at courage.com, under research here, click on ownership costs. That's going to take you to a page that looks a little something like this."

Ownership costs are everything you spend to keep a car over time. That includes things like insurance, repairs, fuel, and the car losing value.

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Term

depreciation

"We have pulled together the five major costs of vehicle ownership for over 250 models of vehicles, depreciation, insurance, premiums, maintenance and repairs, financing costs, and fuel."

Depreciation is how much the car’s value drops as you own it. It’s often one of the biggest costs because you can’t get that money back when you sell.

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Term

financing costs

"We have pulled together the five major costs of vehicle ownership for over 250 models of vehicles, depreciation, insurance, premiums, maintenance and repairs, financing costs, and fuel."

Financing costs are the extra cost of borrowing money for the car. It’s basically what you pay in interest on top of the car’s price.

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Term

money down

"We're getting longer loan terms with less money down and somehow cars are still being sold."

“Money down” is what you pay upfront before the loan starts. More money down usually means you borrow less, which can help keep the total cost lower.

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Term

0% advertised

"You're going to see 0% advertised everywhere and more people, this is my guess, than ever before."

“0% advertised” means the financing offer is advertised as having no interest. But you should still check the full deal for fees and any conditions that could change the real cost.

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Term

lease

"Lease a vehicle, lease a less expensive vehicle for a 36 month term, 15,000 miles, 18,000, you can lease a vehicle."

A “lease” is like renting a car for a few years. You pay for the car’s expected loss in value during that time, plus some fees, and then you give it back.

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Term

36 month term

"Lease a vehicle, lease a less expensive vehicle for a 36 month term, 15,000 miles, 18,000, you can lease a vehicle."

A “36 month term” means the lease lasts three years. The lease price is calculated based on how long you’ll keep the car, so the term affects your monthly payment.

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Term

15,000 miles

"Lease a vehicle, lease a less expensive vehicle for a 36 month term, 15,000 miles, 18,000, you can lease a vehicle."

“15,000 miles” is the mileage limit used in many leases. If you drive more than allowed, you usually pay extra when the lease ends.

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Car

Hyundai Ionic

"...e of the best ones, $18,000 in lease cash on 2026 Hyundai Ionic 9th. What that actually means is the manufacturer..."
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Term

due at signing

"There's a teaser lease promotion going on right now, $159 a month for those. You've got to bring nearly $6,000 in cash down to make it happen, not a deal."

Due at signing is the money you have to pay right when you start the lease. A low monthly payment can still be a bad deal if you have to put a lot of cash down at the beginning.

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Car

Nissan Pathfinder

"They might be able to afford a Centra for $30,000, but insist on getting a Pathfinder for $50,000."

The Nissan Pathfinder is a family SUV. Here it’s mentioned as an example of someone wanting a more expensive SUV than they can really afford.

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Concept

automobiles depreciate

"We know for a fact that historically, automobiles depreciate. I think there are a lot of people in this country that buy outside of their budget..."

Cars usually lose value after you buy them. That’s different from real estate, which often goes up in value over time.

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Concept

chip shortage

"Again, a lot of the finger pointing go to the automakers during the chip shortage when there was a new car shortage."

The chip shortage was when computer chips for cars were hard to get. When that happens, car companies can’t build as many cars, so availability and pricing get weird.

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Term

OEM financing

"OEM financing should allow customers with 20% or more down to buy into whatever special rate they're offering, not just credit score."

OEM financing means the car company helps arrange the loan. Sometimes it comes with special interest rates or offers that other lenders don’t match.

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Term

down payment

"OEM financing should allow customers with 20% or more down to buy into whatever special rate they're offering... If you put down 20% down payment, give me the 0% financing."

A down payment is the cash you pay upfront for the car. Paying more upfront usually means you borrow less and can sometimes qualify for better financing.

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Term

credit score

"OEM financing should allow customers with 20% or more down to buy into whatever special rate they're offering, not just credit score."

A credit score is a number lenders use to judge how risky it is to lend you money. Higher scores often get better loan rates.

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Term

used vehicle loan term

"Now, one of the other things I wanted to bring up on today's show, used vehicle loan term links. This data comes from Experian."

It’s how long you have to pay back your auto loan. A longer loan usually means smaller monthly payments, but you may pay more money overall because interest has more time to add up.

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Term

manufacturer warranties

"A lot of these manufacturer warranties don't even go so long as a lot of these new car loan links. But what about with used cars where there isn't a manufacturer warranty?"

A manufacturer warranty is the car maker’s promise to cover certain repairs for a limited period. If your loan is longer than the warranty, you could be paying for repairs out of pocket later.

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Term

84 month loan

"when that happens? I'm going full screen for you here. Please preach from the pulpit. What do we need to know thinking about buying used cars when that happens?"

An 84-month loan means you’re paying for the car over about seven years. With older used cars, that can be risky because big repairs might happen before you finish paying the loan.

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Concept

major repair

"You'll find in most cases that between eight and 10 years of age is when you can expect some type of major expense, some type of major repair that's going to be required on a vehicle."

A major repair is a big, expensive problem that can cost a lot to fix. The concern is that older cars may need these repairs while you’re still paying off the loan.

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Term

catastrophic repairs

"But it requires maintenance to do that. And there can be catastrophic repairs"

Catastrophic repairs are the worst kind of expensive breakdowns. The worry is that if something major fails, you may still owe money even if the car is expensive to fix.

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Car

Audi A8

"So the longer we finance older cars, the greater the risk there is that we're going to have to make a choice one day between repairing, paying for, or just leaving it somewhere. And you can't just bare your head under the pillow or put your head in the sand... Let's go back to that Audi A8. Or we could search for any make and model right here, but we're fixated on the Audi A8 right now."

The Audi A8 is a luxury car from Audi. The point here is that luxury cars can get expensive to fix, so you should look at real maintenance and repair cost data instead of guessing.

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Term

maintenance and repairs

"Click on Audi A8. You're going to land on this stage. I'm going to click on maintenance and repairs. I'm going to click on all of the data for maintenance and repairs."

This means the money you spend to keep the car in good shape and to fix things when they break. The host is saying you should plan for these costs using actual data, not just opinions about reliability.

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Term

extended warranty

"I can scroll down here. I can see if an extended warranty might make sense for this vehicle based on the information."

An extended warranty is extra coverage after the original warranty ends. It can help pay for repairs, and the host is saying you should decide based on expected repair risk, not just buy it automatically.

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Term

used cars

"and that's the scary, scary, scary thing about the Experian data is almost a third of people out there getting 73 months, excuse me, or longer car loans on used cars, which are prone to have these"

A used car is one that someone else already owned. Because it’s older and has been driven, it can be more likely to need expensive repairs than a brand-new car.

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