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CarCast+Edmunds - The status of the car market and the rise of negative equity on car loans.

CarCast+Edmunds - The status of the car market and the rise of negative equity on car loans.

CarCast Jan 26, 2026 59 min
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About this episode

The episode dives into the current state of the car market, focusing on the rise of negative equity in car loans. Hosts Matt, Alistair, and Jessica Caldwell from Edmunds discuss how many consumers are underwater on their loans, especially after the pandemic-induced price hikes. They explore the implications of tariffs, the stability of vehicle prices, and the importance of considering leasing versus buying. The conversation also touches on the evolving landscape of EVs and the challenges of navigating the market's complexities, providing valuable insights for potential car buyers.

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Technical Too Afraid to Ask
Car

Jaguar Type 00

"...what we figured out a couple of weeks ago was that Alistair's in line for a Jaguar Type 00. That long nose, very interesting. It's got him enamored. I like it."

The Jaguar Type 00 is a special car from Jaguar with a unique long nose design. It's a concept car, which means it's not a regular model you can buy, and it's quite expensive, around $150,000.

Car

Jaguar Type

"...e of weeks ago was that Alistair's in line for a Jaguar Type 00. That long nose, very interesting. It's got hi..."

Jaguar is a fancy car brand that makes beautiful and fast cars. People often talk about Jaguars because they are seen as luxurious and fun to drive.

Car

Genesis GV60

"It's not a lateral move to go from the little Genesis EV, the GV60 you have to the Jaguar"

The Genesis GV60 is a luxury electric SUV made by Genesis, which is a brand known for its high-end vehicles. It's designed to be stylish and packed with modern technology.

Term

tariffs

"...the big question that a lot of consumers had was, what are tariffs going to do to prices? And if we look back to the beginning of the second quarter..."

Tariffs are extra costs added to imported cars. If a country charges tariffs on cars, it can make those cars more expensive for buyers.

Term

scarcity

"...it's going to have the, you know, it's going to be a scarcity..."

Scarcity means there aren't enough cars for everyone who wants to buy one. This can make prices go up because more people are trying to buy fewer cars.

Term

destination charge

"...we are seeing price increases are our destination charges. So not necessarily as significant as vehicle prices, but those, you know, if you ask people, you probably think the average destination charge is like $700 and it's actually closer to $2,000 now..."

A destination charge is an extra fee that car companies add to the price of a car to pay for shipping it to the dealership. It's important to know this fee when you're looking at car prices.

Term

MSRP

"...not necessarily reflected in the MSRP. So that's I think if you're a shopper out there, like look vigil, like look visually at some of the smaller..."

MSRP is the price that car makers suggest dealers sell their cars for. It's a starting point for how much you might expect to pay when buying a car.

Brand

Porsche

"...we've seen some brands, I think like Porsche is a good example where they've been quite transparent and prices have just gone up. But that said, a kind of rarefied end of the market..."

Porsche is a famous car brand from Germany that makes fast and luxurious cars. They are well-known for models like the Porsche 911, which is a sports car loved by many.

Car

Jeep Gladiator

"Jeep Gladiators, 309 for a 39 month loan."

The Jeep Gladiator is a pickup truck that can go off-road really well. It has a truck bed for carrying things, which makes it useful for different tasks.

Term

down payment

"...do you have to put $5,000 down? Do you have to put $4,000 down?..."

A down payment is the money you pay upfront when getting a car. It lowers the amount you need to borrow or finance.

Car

Ionic 5

"...the Ionic 5, like you had mentioned, $200 a month, $4,000 down..."

The Ionic 5 is an electric SUV made by Hyundai. It's designed to be stylish and high-tech, making it a popular choice for those looking to drive an electric vehicle.

Term

residual value

"...the residual value of that vehicle is going to be less than 30,000. So you're buying it for 40, you're taking that lifetime cost..."

Residual value is how much a car is expected to be worth after you’ve owned it for a while. It helps you know how much money you might lose when you sell or trade it in later.

Term

EV

"...whether or not an EV is for you, some people definitely don't want to keep it fair enough. They just want to lease it..."

An EV, or electric vehicle, is a car that runs on electricity instead of gas. This means it doesn't produce exhaust fumes and can be better for the environment.

Term

driveline components

"...the driveline components are different. There's no 30,000 miles of wear and tear..."

Driveline components are the parts that help the car move, connecting the engine to the wheels. In electric cars, these parts work differently than in regular gas cars.

Term

electric motors

"on the engine. There's no engine. I mean, it's the electric motors and how well do they hold up. And maybe we don't have enough information on that yet."

Electric motors are parts that help electric cars move by turning electricity into motion. They work differently than regular car engines that run on gasoline.

Term

rear differential

"there was no gear oil changes or anything like that, like on the rear differential, like none of that, because the, so many cars today, those components have like 100,000 mile intervals on maintenance."

The rear differential is a part of your car that helps the back wheels turn at different speeds when you go around corners. It makes driving smoother and safer.

Company

Recurrent

"we have a company that we do a lot of work with called Recurrent, they have a lot of data on, on sort of battery life and"

Recurrent is a company that studies electric car batteries to see how long they last and how well they work. They help people understand what to look for when buying a used electric car.

Car

Tesla Model

"...om like early versions of the Nissan Leaf to the Tesla Model 3. The reality is a three year old Model 3 or a n..."
Car

Tesla Model 3

"...the reality is a three year old Model 3 or a Nissan Leaf or a Volkswagen ID4 or something like that..."

The Tesla Model 3 is a popular electric car that is known for being fast and having a long driving range. It's one of the first electric cars that many people consider buying.

Car

Nissan Leaf

"...e say saw from like early versions of the Nissan Leaf to the Tesla Model 3. The reality is a three year..."
Car

Volkswagen Id4

"...s a three year old Model 3 or a night Volkswagen ID4 or something like that, over 200 miles of range, ..."

The Volkswagen ID.4 is a new electric SUV that can carry a lot of people and stuff while being good for the environment. It's designed to be easy to drive and has a decent range, so you can go far without needing to charge it often.

Term

Apple CarPlay

"...decent technology over the air updates, Apple CarPlay, depending on the car."

Apple CarPlay lets you use your iPhone in your car, so you can listen to music, get directions, and make calls using the car's screen.

Term

SUVs

"...here we're looking at SUVs that you'd mentioned, Alistair. SUVs, by a long shot, are selling more in this particular graph..."

An SUV is a type of car that is bigger and can be used for many purposes, like driving on different types of roads. They are popular because they have a lot of space inside.

Car

Honda Odyssey

"...you think about the minivans out there, the Odyssey, you know, the Sienna, forgetting some of the other names..."

The Honda Odyssey is a minivan that many families choose because it has a lot of space and useful features. It's known for being dependable and good for everyday use.

Car

Chrysler Pacifica

"...the only car Chrysler makes is the Pacifica..."

The Chrysler Pacifica is a family minivan that has many features to make traveling easier and more comfortable. It even has a hybrid version that uses both gas and electricity.

Car

Kia Carnival

"...Kear Carnival is another good one..."

The Kia Carnival is a new minivan that looks modern and has many features that help families. It's designed to be both practical and stylish for everyday use.

Car

Chevy Spark

"...vehicles like Chevy Spark or the Aveo. Sadly, no one really misses those cars too much..."

The Chevy Spark is a small, budget-friendly car that's easy to drive in the city. It's not as popular as bigger cars like SUVs.

Car

Aveo

"...vehicles like Chevy Spark or the Aveo. Sadly, no one really misses those cars too much..."

The Aveo was another small, inexpensive car from Chevrolet that didn't sell well and is no longer available.

Concept

minivans

"...no one wanted a minivan, so those vehicles got shuttered..."

Minivans are cars that can fit a lot of people and their stuff, but fewer people want them now because they prefer SUVs instead.

Term

K-cars

"...I always get the question a lot is if Americans want K-cars. K-cars, that's it by me. Look at the last 15 years of a trend. Absolutely not..."

K-cars are small, affordable cars that Chrysler made in the 1980s. They were popular at the time but aren't really what people want to buy today.

Car

Honda Beat

"which is great for like Honda Beat. I can remember it was fantastically in the late 80s, early 90s."

The Honda Beat is a tiny sports car made by Honda in the early 90s. It's known for being fun to drive and very small, fitting the rules for K-cars in Japan.

Term

body-on-frame

"So when traditionally go back to SUVs in the early 2000s, say, or before, they were body on frame. So basically trucks with"

Body-on-frame is a way to build cars where the main part of the car, called the body, sits on a strong frame. This is often used for trucks and SUVs to make them tough and good for off-roading.

Car

Hyundai Kona

".... I know who do remember a big argument. Hyundai Kona or something maybe? Was it Hyundai Kona? We'd cal..."

The Hyundai Kona is a small SUV that looks cool and is easy to drive around town. It has enough space for passengers and their things, making it a good option for people who want a bit more room than a regular car.

Car

Volkswagen Golf

"...alked about the Ioniq 5, that's scaled up Mark II Golf when you look at the kind of silhouette of it. I..."
Car

Hyundai Ioniq 5

"...cially in the EV world, like we talked about the Ioniq 5, that's scaled up Mark II Golf when you look at t..."

The Hyundai Ioniq 5 is a new electric car that looks really modern and has a lot of cool features. It's designed to be eco-friendly and can go a long way on a single charge, which is great for people who want to drive without using gas.

Car

Honda Civic

"... an Ioniq 5. I cross shop that with like a Honda Civic hatchback. Do I want the EV version? Do I want th..."

The Honda Civic is a small car that many people like because it's dependable and saves on gas. It's also fun to drive and comes in different styles, like a hatchback or sedan, making it a popular choice for many drivers.

Car

Hyundai Palisade

"...iving the, was it the Hyundai? Yeah, the Hyundai Palisade. It was great. Hybrid, three-row. The modern mini..."

The Hyundai Palisade is a big family SUV that can fit a lot of people and their stuff. It's comfortable to drive and has nice features inside, making it a great choice for families or anyone who needs extra space.

Car

Honda Accord

"...look at the size of a Civic today versus what an Accord was back in the day, that's not far off. So I do ..."

The Honda Accord is a larger car that many people choose because it's roomy and dependable. It has a lot of modern features and is good for both commuting and family trips.

Car

Toyota Camry

"...s a lot of money. You see crazy loans for Toyota Camry. That's $55,000. A lot of times this is maybe Cam..."

The Toyota Camry is a popular car that many people trust because it's reliable and gets good gas mileage. It's comfortable to drive and has enough space for passengers and luggage, making it a great everyday car.

Car

Tesla Cybertruck

"...ide of all of this, Matt, is that you don't own a Cybertruck. I feel like those owners definitely feel your s..."

The Tesla Cybertruck is a new electric truck that looks very different from regular trucks. It's designed to be tough and can do a lot of work while being better for the environment since it doesn't use gas.

Car

Ford Mustang

"...ve done it with various cars and trucks, Ford and Mustangs and stuff. Go ahead. In my head, I go, okay, I g..."

The Ford Mustang is a classic sports car that's famous for being fast and stylish. It's been around for a long time and is loved by many people who enjoy driving and the thrill of speed.

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