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CarMax Is in SERIOUS Trouble (WORSE THAN WE THOUGHT) | Episode 1051

CarMax Is in SERIOUS Trouble (WORSE THAN WE THOUGHT) | Episode 1051

CarEdge Live Apr 14, 2026 31 min
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About this episode

CarEdge Live digs into CarMax’s worsening used-car business, citing a $121M quarterly loss and a shift toward subprime lending while retail sales and per-vehicle gross profit fall. The hosts use CarEdge beta pricing tools to show long-staying inventory at seemingly unrealistic prices—like a 2016 Tacoma listed around $30K that, with typical CarMax financing, can land near $682/month. They contrast that with rising wholesale auction prices and argue CarMax may need deeper discounts, while consumers may still face stubborn used prices.

Cars: Audi Q8
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Technical Too Afraid to Ask
Company

CarMax

"We're gonna be talking about CarMax today, Dad. There is some serious trouble. It's worse than we thought... We've got the latest financial results from CarMax..."

CarMax is a big company that sells used cars in the U.S. This segment is about how their recent money problems may reflect trouble in the used-car business overall.

Concept

$121 million loss

"The first and foremost thing, they lost $121 million. That's a big deal at CarMax because they're used to making money."

A $121 million loss means the company lost a huge amount of money over that quarter. For a used-car dealer, that can happen when cars don’t sell fast enough or when financing and other costs go the wrong way.

Concept

lower their prices on vehicles

"At the same time, Dad, they had to lower their prices on vehicles, but they're still not selling."

If cars aren’t selling, dealers may drop prices to attract buyers. But if demand is still low, they might cut prices and still not sell enough cars to make money.

Concept

inventory not selling

"they had to lower their prices on vehicles, but they're still not selling. And one of the biggest pieces to this whole conundrum is the fact that they are setting up more and more sub-prime auto loans."

When vehicles “aren’t selling,” it typically means inventory turnover slows—cars sit on lots longer. That increases holding costs and can force further price reductions, worsening profitability.

Concept

loan originations

"In a sense that at this point, I think they're going to be more concerned with loan originations and then selling those loans as asset-backed securities, much like Carvalho does."

Loan originations means the company is arranging financing for car buyers. More loans can be a revenue stream even if car sales are slower.

Term

days on market

"[353.0s] Well, and what I've done, Dad, is I've sorted by days on market up here in the top right. [356.9s] Yes. I'm curious, the most aged inventory at Carmac's."

Days on market tells you how long a car has been sitting on the dealer’s lot or website without selling. If it’s been listed a long time, it often means the price may be too high or the car isn’t moving.

Concept

lost $2,000 worth of its value from original MSRP

"they think it's lost $2,000 worth of its value from original MSRP with 56,000 miles on it."

They’re estimating how much the truck’s value dropped since it was new. Normally cars lose a lot more value over 10 years, so this small drop is surprising.

Concept

10% down

"And let's say you put the 10% down for the fee. So you're looking to finance 30 grand on a 10-year-old vehicle."

Putting 10% down means you pay part of the price upfront. The rest is financed, so the down payment helps lower the loan amount, but interest still matters a lot.

Concept

price cuts

"and a quarter, they lowered the price. They doubled first. They lowered the prices of their vehicles, yet they sold fewer to retail customers."

Price cuts mean the dealer lowers the asking price to try to sell more cars. Here, they’re saying lowering the price didn’t fix the sales problem.

Term

mileage

"It's got 56,746 miles, which is significantly low mileage. And when we do the comparison, this is the depreciation analysis."

Mileage is the total distance a vehicle has been driven, usually shown as odometer miles. Lower mileage generally supports higher used-car pricing, and the segment calls out that 56,746 miles is “significantly low mileage.”

Term

original MSRP of $32,085

"To be clear here, this is an original MSRP on this vehicle of $32,085. If you bought this used from CarMax today with these financing terms, you're going to spend $44,000 on it."

This is the price the Tacoma cost when it was new. They’re using it to show the used price doesn’t seem to reflect normal aging.

Concept

depreciation

"Used to be that used cars were a better value than new cars. You got some of the depreciation."

Depreciation is how a car loses value as it gets older. When you buy used, you often pay less because the car has already “lost” some of its value.

Term

appreciated

"Mercedes, an Audi Q8, Prestige. Wow, that thing appreciated a bunch."

Appreciation means the car got more valuable instead of less valuable. That’s unusual for most cars, so it stands out in the pricing discussion.

Car

Audi Q8

"Mercedes, an Audi Q8, Prestige. Wow, that thing appreciated a bunch."

The Audi Q8 is a luxury SUV. They’re using it as an example to show that some vehicles keep their value better than others.

Term

standard equipment

"They negated some of the standard equipment and they brought the price down."

Standard equipment is the list of features that come with the car by default. If a trim removes some standard features, it usually lowers the price.

Term

miles

"They're asking $15 grand for it. It's got 60,000 miles, which again is relatively low miles."

Mileage is how much the car has been driven. Lower mileage usually makes a used car more valuable, all else equal.

Term

111 days on the market

"It's got 60,000 miles, which again is relatively low miles. You'd expect 2019 to have more miles. But it is a mini. I mean, they break me. 111 days on the market."

Days on the market is how long the car has been sitting for sale. If it takes a long time to sell, the seller usually has to lower the price.

Term

warranty

"Yeah, that's the unfortunate thing is that it's a mini and that the cost to maintain a mini once it's out of warranty and factory maintenance is expensive."

A warranty is like a repair guarantee for a limited time. After it ends, you pay for fixes yourself, so costs can jump.

Concept

original MSRP was 24,000

"is it actually a $15,000 vehicle when the original MSRP was 24,000, seven years ago?"

They’re comparing what the car cost new to what it costs now. If the used price hasn’t dropped much, it may not be a great bargain.

Company

Carfax

"I'm going to pull up the latest data from Carfax. The latest data from Carfax... Carfax has this new press release, this new study..."

Carfax is a company that tracks vehicle history and publishes data dealers use to understand the market. In this segment, they’re using Carfax information to show used car prices are rising.

Company

Blackbook

"people like us who are about to show you the Blackbook data, which for another week shows wholesale used car prices increasing..."

Black Book is a company that estimates what used cars are worth, especially for dealer-to-dealer (wholesale) pricing. They’re using it to show wholesale prices are also moving up.

Concept

MSRPs

"Could that have something to do with the fact that the prices of new cars continues to go up as well? The MSRPs continue to go up."

MSRP is the “list price” for a new car set by the manufacturer. If list prices go up, new cars get more expensive, and used cars often become more expensive too.

Term

aged vehicles

"...especially on their older ones... And so that's why we've seen them on their aged vehicles sit on those prices for four months"

This means cars that have been on the lot for a while. If a dealer thinks prices will rise later, they may wait instead of dropping the price quickly.

Concept

dealer auctions

"...the sales through rate over at the dealer auctions... This is higher than normal, significantly higher than normal."

Dealer auctions are like wholesale car markets where dealers bid on used cars. If dealers are competing hard, the prices they pay can go up.

Concept

overpaying at the auction

"The dealers are overpaying at the auction. CarMax is overpaying to buy cars."

Overpaying means dealers are paying more than they normally would for cars at auction. That can be risky, but it can also happen when everyone is trying to buy the same limited supply.

Company

CarEdge

"This is going to be a brief plug, but a plug nonetheless. We have in the new beta experience, caredge.com slash beta, but what's my car worth?"

CarEdge is promoting a website tool that helps you estimate your car’s value. The idea is to see what buyers might pay right now.

Brand

Ford

"And yeah, now the CEO of Ford saying, don't do that. [1732.8s] Fascinating."

Ford is one of the major U.S. car companies. In this discussion, Ford’s leadership is pushing back on letting Chinese cars in without protections.

Concept

protect the American car industry

"But yeah, I can't see the government going, yeah, we don't want to [1798.0s] protect the American car industry."

This is about the government stepping in to help U.S. car companies compete. The idea is that protections make it harder for cheaper imports to take over the market overnight.

Concept

What we lose on each vehicle will make up in volume

"We had a thoughtful contribution from Rich. Thank you for this, Rich. [1808.4s] What we lose on each vehicle will make up in volume."

The idea is: make less money on each car, but sell a lot more cars so you still end up making money overall.

Concept

beta

"And again, we have the beta out there right now as well. We appreciate your feedback and your input, caredge.com and caredge.com slash beta."

A beta is a “test” version of a website or app. They’re letting people try it early and collecting feedback to make it better.

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