0:00 / 0:00
How to avoid owing more on your financed vehicle than it is worth....the "negative equity nightmare"

How to avoid owing more on your financed vehicle than it is worth....the "negative equity nightmare"

My Car Guru Podcast Jul 08, 2026 23 min
0:00
0:00

About this episode

Longer car loans are setting buyers up for “negative equity nightmares,” with a real example: a financed Expedition that was break-even at trade time becomes about $15,000 upside down after switching to an 84-month loan. The host explains how 72+ month terms are rising and how lenders may finance up to 130% of MSRP, stacking tax and interest into a tough spot. To avoid it, he recommends waiting for 15–20% down, keeping terms to 60 months (48 better), buying less car, and considering leasing—then stresses comparing lease quotes using the same “capitalized cost,” plus mileage/residual details. He also touches on dealer pushback against Scout’s direct-to-consumer EV sales and the likely lack of discounts at MSRP.

Technical Too Afraid to Ask
Term

negative equity nightmare

"Episode: How to avoid owing more on your financed vehicle than it is worth....the "negative equity nightmare""

Negative equity means you still owe money on your car loan, but the car isn’t worth enough to cover what you owe. If you trade it in or sell it, you may have to pay the extra difference out of pocket or add it to a new loan.

Term

84 months

"that maybe you shouldn't finance a car for 84 months. ... Well, here it is two years later since she got her last one and she financed it for 84 months."

“84 months” is a 7-year car loan. It can make the monthly payment smaller, but it also means the loan lasts longer—so the car can lose value before you’ve paid it off.

Car

Ford Expedition

"...needed to have a lower monthly payment on her new expedition than what she had on her old expedition."

The Ford Expedition is a large SUV meant for families and bigger trips. It often comes up when people talk about lowering their monthly payment by changing the deal on a newer or different vehicle. The main idea is that the payment can change even if the car type stays similar.

Concept

upside down

"Well, here it is two years later since she got her last one and she financed it for 84 months. And she's about $15,000 upside down, just 15,000 more on it than it's worth."

“Upside down” means your loan is bigger than what the car would sell for. So if you trade it in, you still owe money after the sale.

Concept

depreciate 15 grand

"And yeah, they'll depreciate 15 grand in two years, they'll do it. And this hasn't just happened to the car guru's daughter."

Depreciation means the car loses value as time goes on. The host is saying the car can drop by about $15,000 in two years, which can leave you owing more than it’s worth.

Term

72 months

"Experian Automotive says nearly 36% of new car loans and almost a third of used car loans now run longer than 72 months."

“72 months” means a 6-year loan. The point is that many people are taking loans longer than that, which can make it easier to end up owing more than the car is worth.

Company

Experian Automotive

"Experian Automotive says nearly 36% of new car loans and almost a third of used car loans now run longer than 72 months."

Experian Automotive is a data company that tracks credit and car-loan trends. The host uses its numbers to show that long car loans are becoming more common.

Term

invoice

"[122.8s] And just to help swallow some of that negative equity, they're willing to stretch to 130% [130.0s] of the invoice or in some cases the MSRP on the new vehicle that you're buying."

Invoice is the dealer’s cost for the car (roughly). If a lender is willing to finance 130% of that, it means you’re borrowing way more than the car is really worth.

Term

down payment

"[151.0s] What can you do to avoid that? [154.5s] Well, the number one thing to do is to wait until you have enough money to make at least [162.5s] a 15 to 20% down payment on a new vehicle."

A down payment is the upfront cash you pay when financing a vehicle. A larger down payment reduces the amount you borrow, which lowers the chance you’ll end up in negative equity if the car depreciates.

Term

60 months

"[165.7s] If you're buying a new vehicle so that you can finance it for no longer than 60 months [172.7s] if you can, 48 months is even better."

This is how long your car loan lasts—60 months is 5 years. Longer loans can keep payments lower, but you may still owe a lot before the car’s value catches up.

Term

48 months

"[165.7s] If you're buying a new vehicle so that you can finance it for no longer than 60 months [172.7s] if you can, 48 months is even better."

This means the loan is paid off in about 4 years. Paying off sooner can help you avoid getting stuck owing more than the car is worth.

Car

Cadillac Escalade

"[183.2s] And then just don't buy more vehicle than you need. [187.1s] You know, you may be one of those people, oh, I've got to have an Escalade or I've got [191.0s] to have a Lincoln Navigator or it's got to be black too."

The Cadillac Escalade is a big luxury SUV. The host mentions it as an example of a vehicle people may want for image, but financing it aggressively can lead to owing more than it’s worth.

Car

Lincoln Navigator

"[187.1s] You know, you may be one of those people, oh, I've got to have an Escalade or I've got [191.0s] to have a Lincoln Navigator or it's got to be black too. [194.5s] I want to look like a secret service agent."

The Lincoln Navigator is a large luxury SUV. The host brings it up as an example of a car people want for reasons like looks or image, which can be risky if you finance too much.

Car

Chevrolet Suburban

"[196.9s] Maybe you should buy a Tahoe, a Chevy Tahoe or a Suburban. [201.3s] You know, it's $30,000 less money, does exactly the same thing except maybe one thing."

The Chevrolet Suburban is a large SUV with lots of room. The host suggests it as a cheaper way to get the same kind of big-SUV lifestyle without taking on a loan that could go underwater.

Car

Chevrolet Tahoe

"[196.9s] Maybe you should buy a Tahoe, a Chevy Tahoe or a Suburban. [201.3s] You know, it's $30,000 less money, does exactly the same thing except maybe one thing."

The Chevrolet Tahoe is a big SUV, but it’s usually cheaper than some luxury competitors. The host’s point is that choosing a less expensive SUV can reduce the chance you end up owing more than it’s worth.

Concept

lease

"[223.0s] Or, if I traded every, oh, three years, four years at the most, I would consider a lease. [232.0s] And I know Dave Ramsey and a lot of the financial gurus out there said, don't lease a car, it's [237.2s] just like rent and one."

A lease is a financing arrangement where you pay for using the vehicle for a set term, rather than buying it outright. The host suggests leasing as an alternative to buying when you trade frequently, because it can help you avoid carrying negative equity from one purchase to the next.

Person

Dave Ramsey

"[232.0s] And I know Dave Ramsey and a lot of the financial gurus out there said, don't lease a car, it's [237.2s] just like rent and one. [238.1s] Well, you know, if you buy a car and make monthly payments on it for three years and"

Dave Ramsey is a personal-finance personality known for strong opinions about debt and consumer financing. In this segment, he’s referenced as an example of someone who argues against leasing.

Term

tread depth

"So, you know, when you turn in a lease car, they expect the vehicle to have acceptable tread depth on the tires. And if it doesn't, they'll charge you for a new set of tires."

Tread depth is how much grip is left on the tires. Leases usually require tires to have enough tread when you return the car, or you may be charged to replace them.

Term

money factor

"You know, all those numbers are worth looking at. And I'm not going to discount the option of a lease until, well, because I have some preconceived"

Money factor is the financing cost built into a lease payment. It’s like the lease’s “interest rate,” and a lower money factor usually means a cheaper lease.

Term

residual

"What are the terms? You know, what's the money factor? What's the residual on this vehicle at the end of the lease term?"

The residual is what the lease company expects the car to be worth at the end of the lease. If you want to buy it then, that residual value is the starting point for the purchase price.

Term

mileage

"there's no danger of being upside down unless you go over on [381.7s] mileage. [382.0s] Like I said, what do you mean by that?"

In a lease, mileage is how many miles you’re allowed to drive. If you go over the limit, it can cost you because the car is worth less when you turn it back in.

Term

depreciation

"because what you're paying for on a lease is the depreciation of the vehicle [429.2s] plus the cost of money during that timeframe that you have that car. [435.1s] There is an interest factor built into the lease payment, but most of it is based on [441.4s] depreciation."

Depreciation is how much the car’s value drops as time goes on. In a lease, your payment is based mostly on that expected value drop by the time you return the car.

Term

interest factor

"There is an interest factor built into the lease payment, but most of it is based on [441.4s] depreciation."

The interest factor is the extra cost for borrowing money as part of the lease. Even though the car’s value drop matters most, the lease payment also includes borrowing costs.

Term

resell value

"Now, if you're looking at a vehicle that has really good resell value, then that factor "

Resell value is what you can realistically sell the car for later. If that number stays high, the car doesn’t lose value as fast—so you’re less likely to owe more than the car is worth.

Car

Dodge Charger

"I mean, if you're looking at something that really goes down in value quickly, like a Dodge Charger, for example, then the depreciation factor is going to be fairly enormous."

A Dodge Charger is a popular American car. The host mentions it because some cars like this can lose value faster than you’d expect, which can make it harder to avoid owing more than the car is worth.

Term

manufacturer incentives

"And unless it's being subsidized by the manufacturer because sometimes they do that. I mean, we had a Nissan Aria and we calculated a lease on it."

Manufacturer incentives are deals the car company offers to lower the cost. The host is saying that sometimes the automaker helps out financially, which can make a car’s lease or price look better than you’d expect from resale value alone.

Car

Nissan Aria

"... because sometimes they do that. I mean, we had a Nissan Aria and we calculated a lease on it. It was an EV and..."

The Nissan Ariya is an electric SUV that uses a battery instead of a gas engine. The podcast mentions it because they looked at leasing one and worked out the monthly lease cost. That’s a common way people compare EVs before buying or committing.

Term

sales tax

"and that was plus tax because on a lease, you don't pay sales tax on the full purchase price of the car, the whole value of the car. That's another big advantage."

Sales tax is the tax added to the cost of the car. The host is saying that with some leases, you may pay sales tax on each monthly payment instead of on the whole car price at the start, which can lower the monthly amount.

Term

capitalized cost

"But here's what you have to remember to say. Base the lease payment on the same capitalized cost as what you're selling me the car for on the purchase. Use that term, capitalized cost."

Capitalized cost is the price number the lease math is built on. If you compare lease and purchase offers, you want that underlying price to match—otherwise the monthly payment comparison can be misleading.

Term

gross on the front end

"The capitalized cost will be $35,000 and we'll make up some extra gross on the front end because we're giving it up on the back end."

“Front-end gross” is the dealer’s profit they make in the pricing part of the deal. The dealer may try to earn more up front and make up the rest elsewhere in the transaction.

Term

back end

"That's how they think. What's the back end? That's what they make in the finance office."

The “back end” is the part of the deal where the dealer’s money-making tends to happen after the car price is discussed. It often involves the financing setup and extra products added in the finance office.

Company

National Auto Dealers Association

"I get this newsletter emailed to me every day from the National Auto Dealers Association, commonly known as NADA."

NADA is a U.S. organization that represents car dealerships. In the episode, the host mentions getting a daily newsletter from them.

Company

NADA

"commonly known as NADA. Isn't that creative? It's called NADA Headlines"

NADA is short for the National Auto Dealers Association. It’s the group behind the daily newsletter the host is reading.

Company

Scout Motors

"Washington State Auto Dealers Association sues to block scout motors direct sales."

Scout Motors is mentioned in a news story about a lawsuit. The dispute is about whether a company can sell cars directly to customers instead of through traditional dealerships.

Term

dealer association

"So this is a dealer association just like we have one in the state of Tennessee. It's called the Tennessee Automobile Dealers Association."

A dealer association is a group that represents car dealerships in a state. It can advocate for dealerships and sometimes even help with lawsuits or legal fights.

Brand

Volkswagen

"And so the Washington State version of a dealer association is suing Volkswagen, basically, because Volkswagen is, well, owns the scout name."

Volkswagen is a major car company. In this story, they’re described as owning the Scout name and bringing it back.

Company

International

"Remember the scout? You're probably too young to remember it, but maybe you're old like me. It was made by a company called International."

International Harvester was a big old company that made trucks and equipment. The host is saying the original Scout brand started with them.

Car

Ford Bronco

"...they just sat on it for a lot of years and then they saw the success of the Ford Bronco and how jeeps were still selling..."

The Ford Bronco is a popular off-road SUV. The host is saying it showed that people still want this kind of SUV, which helped inspire the Scout comeback.

Car

4Runner Forerunner

"...e still selling and I guess the Toyota FGA or the forerunner. And they said, hey, let's get into this game in ..."

The 4Runner is a midsize SUV built to handle rough roads and off-road driving better than a typical family car. It can be mentioned when people talk about entering the market for more rugged SUVs. The main point is that it’s designed for capability, not just commuting.

Term

EV

"...they decided in all of their brilliance, to make it an EV. Now, I do agree with the brilliance when it came to where they were going to build it... And they can't even figure out how they're going to handle the motor. Because the EV is, you know, if it's just an EV, it's not going to work."

EV means electric vehicle. It runs on electricity from a battery instead of a gas engine, and the host is questioning whether that approach will sell.

Place

South Carolina

"Now, I do agree with the brilliance when it came to where they were going to build it in South Carolina. They've already got a factory built..."

South Carolina is a U.S. state. The host is saying the Scout is planned to be built there, which affects how the company will produce it.

Term

internal combustion engine

"When you have to put a big battery, electric motors and an internal combustion engine on something, you better have it down pat as far as your manufacturing and the other cost involved because it's going to be expensive."

An internal combustion engine is the traditional engine that burns gasoline or diesel to make power. The host is saying that combining that with EV parts can make the car more expensive to build.

Term

electric motors

"When you have to put a big battery, electric motors and an internal combustion engine on something, you better have it down pat as far as your manufacturing and the other cost involved because it's going to be expensive."

Electric motors are the parts that use electricity to turn the car’s wheels. The host is pointing out that adding these components (plus a big battery) can raise the vehicle’s build cost.

Place

Washington state

"But the reason I bring this up is because Washington state auto dealers aren't happy, just like most dealers across this country, because scout wants to sell these things like Tesla sells Tesla's directly to the public."

Washington state is referenced as the location where auto dealers are unhappy with the proposed direct-to-consumer sales approach. The point is that local dealer networks can be affected by how vehicle distribution is regulated and structured.

Brand

Tesla

"because scout wants to sell these things like Tesla sells Tesla's directly to the public. And you may say, well, that's great. You cut the dealer out of the middle."

Tesla is an electric-car brand. The host is comparing a different EV brand’s sales model to Tesla’s, especially how it can limit discounts when the factory controls pricing.

Term

MSRP

"When the factory controls the distribution of the vehicle, there is no discounting. There are no deals. Everything is at MSRP, just like with Tesla."

MSRP is the price number the manufacturer puts on the car. The host is saying you may have to pay that full sticker price instead of getting a deal.

Car

Honda Civic

"...hey employ a lot of people. They sponsor a lot of civic activities in the communities. They, you know, ba..."

The Honda Civic is a small, everyday car that many people drive to work and school. It can be mentioned because Honda supports community activities and events connected to the Civic. The key point is that it’s a very common model with a lot of visibility.

Term

service departments

"When it comes to service, you know, most service departments, they're pretty straightforward folks. Yeah, occasionally they'll try to sell you a bunch of stuff that you may or may not need, like all these flushes and they flush this and flush that."

A “service department” is the dealership’s repair and maintenance area. They may suggest extra work, so it helps to ask what’s necessary versus optional.

Term

flushes

"Yeah, occasionally they'll try to sell you a bunch of stuff that you may or may not need, like all these flushes and they flush this and flush that."

A “flush” is when a shop replaces fluid in a system. Some flushes are helpful, but others are unnecessary—so you should confirm the car’s recommended service interval before paying for it.

Term

labor rates

"And you may say, well, the labor rates are really high. Yeah, they are, they're high."

“Labor rates” are what the shop charges for the mechanic’s time. If the job takes several hours, that hourly cost can add up quickly.

Concept

loaner car

"You don't want to have to wait for some rollback to come pick up your vehicle, drop off a loaner car, take it, take it someplace and fix it. It's gone for three weeks."

A “loaner car” is a temporary car you get while your vehicle is in the shop. It helps with getting around, but you still want to make sure the repairs are legit and fairly priced.

Fiat Topolino
TTTNIS (CC0)
Car

Fiat Topolino

"You remember a little Fiat Topolino? ... So anyway, Fiat is coming out with the new 2026 Fiat Topolino, which will be available at your local Fiat store."

The Fiat Topolino is a tiny, city-friendly Fiat car. In this episode, the host brings it up as an example while discussing what happens when you need service or a replacement vehicle.

Company

Stellantis

"Stellantis, you ever heard of them? Stellantis, Fiat is actually a part of that corporation, as is the Chrysler Corporation, Dodge, Ram, Jeep."

Stellantis is the big company that owns several car brands. The host is saying Fiat is part of Stellantis, along with other brands like Jeep and Dodge.

Car

Dodge Ram

"Stellantis, Fiat is actually a part of that corporation, as is the Chrysler Corporation, Dodge, Ram, Jeep. They're all under the Stellantis umbrella, headquartered in the Netherlands."

Ram is a brand that makes pickup trucks, and it belongs to the same parent company as several other truck and car brands. The podcast may mention this to explain who owns the brands. It helps clarify that these vehicles can be managed under one larger company.

Place

the Netherlands

"They're all under the Stellantis umbrella, headquartered in the Netherlands."

The Netherlands is where the host says Stellantis is headquartered. It’s just background on where the company is based.

Term

destination charges

"base price is going to be $13,995, plus destination charges, which will be $990. So the total starting price will be $14,985."

Destination charges are extra fees to get the car from the factory to the dealer. They raise the total price you finance, which can make it easier to end up owing more than the car is worth later.

Term

charging

"They still have the same issue. You have to charge them. And you can't drive to Myrtle Beach without finding a place to charge your EV."

Charging is how you refill an EV’s battery. The host’s point is that it takes time and you may have to wait for a charger, which can be inconvenient on longer drives.

Place

Myrtle Beach

"And you can't drive to Myrtle Beach without finding a place to charge your EV. And what if there's like 15 other cars sitting there waiting to charge their EV?"

Myrtle Beach is the example trip location. The host is saying that for EVs, you have to plan where you’ll charge before you go.

Term

gasoline, diesel

"I think that hybrids are a great alternative as long as there's plenty of fuel as far as gasoline, diesel."

Gasoline and diesel are the fuels used by most non-electric cars. The host is saying hybrids can be a good middle ground if fuel is easy to find for a long time.

Term

EV incentives

"You will probably see the EV incentives come back, whether or not we can afford it."

“EV incentives” are money-saving programs that help you pay less for an electric car. They’re usually offered by the government to encourage more people to buy EVs.

Concept

power company

"most power companies are quasi-government agencies. And when they want to raise electric rates, there's nothing you can do about it because you still need electricity, right?"

A “power company” is the utility that supplies electricity to your home. The point here is that if they change prices or service, EV charging can be affected because you still need electricity.

Concept

brownout

"And if they have a brownout or a blackout, you have to turn the power off for some reason."

A “brownout” is when the electricity in your area gets weaker than normal. If you’re trying to charge an EV, that weaker power can make charging fail or pause.

Concept

blackout

"And if they have a brownout or a blackout, you have to turn the power off for some reason."

A “blackout” means the power goes out completely. If you’re charging an electric car, it won’t charge until the electricity comes back.

Term

free market of gasoline

"I want to rely on the free market of gasoline. And of course, there's nothing free about that, but it is not controlled by the federal government."

This phrase means gas prices are determined by the market—things like supply and demand—rather than being fixed by the government. So prices can rise or fall depending on conditions.

Topolino
Palauenc05 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Car

Topolino

"Well, I guess I should say this, the Topolino. It's probably not going to be a replacement for a regular passenger car. Top speed is 19 miles an hour. And it has a range of 46 miles."

The Topolino is a very small electric car designed mainly for short trips. The host points out it only goes about 19 mph at top speed and has around 46 miles of range, so it probably won’t work well for everyday driving like a normal car would.

11 cars featured

Request an Explanation

Heard something you'd like explained? We'll add it to this episode.

Sign in to request explanations for terms you heard.

Want to learn more?

Browse our glossary for plain-English explanations of automotive terms, jargon, and concepts.

Explore Terms

Help improve this episode

See something that's not quite right? Our annotations are AI-generated and can sometimes miss the mark. Click the flag icon on any annotation to suggest a correction.

Report incorrect info
Suggest better explanations
Flag missing cars