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It's noon here in Ventner City, New Jersey
02:26
and our nation's capital, Washington DC
02:29
and this is Car Edge Live for Friday, September 19th
02:34
with your hosts, me, Ray, in Ventner City
02:37
and Zach, even though it looks like he's somewhere
02:41
in the Vantner, Red Rocks Park, I believe.
02:44
He's really in Washington DC, ladies and gentlemen,
02:50
I'm doing fantastic.
02:51
Happy Friday, everyone.
02:52
Friday, September 19th, my sister's birthday five days away
02:55
so you can't wait to celebrate.
02:56
That'll be her first one with her newborns
02:59
so that'll be really exciting.
03:00
Cannot wait for Dower's birthday, but folks,
03:03
before we talk about birthdays
03:05
and quite frankly price hikes for new cars,
03:08
we gotta talk about the edge for your car.
03:11
Check out caredge.com buy a car without the headache
03:14
and a friendly reminder, we've got car buying services.
03:17
I heard a rumor that we're doing a flash sale this weekend
03:22
Don't buy today, you heard it here first.
03:24
Do not buy our car buying services today.
03:26
Do it tomorrow after 8 a.m. Eastern time.
03:29
I think we're doing 25% off a little flash sale
03:31
for car buying services back at caredge.com.
03:35
Dad, the big story I wanted to cover first and foremost here
03:39
Dad, they are ringing the alarm bell.
03:42
We've got price hikes up to 6.5%
03:45
on some of their 2026 models.
03:47
We're going to start here.
03:48
We also know many automakers
03:50
are increasing their destination charges.
03:53
That is being factored into the MSRP of vehicles
03:55
so they're not increasing the price of the vehicle.
03:57
They're just jacking up the destination fee
04:00
but here we got it, Dad.
04:01
Volkswagen increasing prices 6.5%.
04:03
That is not normal year over year price increases.
04:07
No, and they increased the prices
04:10
of many of their vehicles earlier this year
04:13
on 25 model year vehicles
04:16
because of the advent of the tariffs.
04:18
So we saw a price increase on 25 model year.
04:23
We're going to see a significant price increase
04:26
on many of the 26 model year vehicles
04:29
and the price increases range from 2.9% to 6.5%.
04:37
And that seems steep to me,
04:42
almost as steep as those mountains behind you.
04:47
Well, it means new vehicle affordability
04:49
is going to be a challenge.
04:51
That being said, Cox Automotive does say
04:53
that new vehicle affordability is stable
04:55
even though we have higher prices.
04:58
So we are going to continue to see car prices go up.
05:00
That is the big theme here from Volkswagen,
05:02
ringing that alarm bell.
05:03
Hey, we jacked up prices of our 2025s and Dad, get ready.
05:07
We're jacking up the prices of the 2026s.
05:09
We know other automakers are doing the same
05:11
some to lesser degrees and some to more
05:13
but ultimately that is not having that big of an impact
05:16
on vehicle affordability somehow some way.
05:19
I think it's directly connected, excuse me,
05:22
to interest rates that at least they're lower
05:25
than they were a year ago
05:26
and the expectation is they will continue to go lower.
05:29
Okay, so the affordability issue
05:34
doesn't seem to be that much of an issue
05:38
for perhaps the 13% of the population
05:41
that feels as if they can actually afford to buy a new car.
05:46
For the other 85 to 87% of the population,
05:50
I don't think that holds true.
05:53
Now, having said that, apparently you as a manufacturer
05:59
can sell enough cars to maintain your profitability
06:02
to only 13% of the population and that's what they're doing.
06:08
Yeah, interest rates are down a bit.
06:11
Let's look at the VW price increase for a second.
06:15
And let's also do it through the lens
06:16
of like what's happened to their sales
06:18
because we know Volkswagen's in a lot of trouble right now
06:20
but yeah, let's start with VWs.
06:23
The low end of the price increases 2.9%.
06:27
The Fed lowered the Fed rate by 25 basis points.
06:33
That is a quarter of 1%.
06:37
And as we established yesterday when we looked at it,
06:43
that with the average amount financed on a new car today
06:47
and doing it on a 60-month loan,
06:51
a 1.25% drop in the annual percentage rate
06:57
equated to a $5 drop in the payment from what was it, $792 to $787.
07:10
And you can't increase your prices by 2.9%
07:17
and hope that a quarter of 1% drop in the APR
07:25
in the Fed rate is enough to offset that 2.9% price.
07:31
It is nowhere near.
07:33
So yes, things might be stable for the 13% or 14%
07:40
of the population that feels as if they can afford to buy a new car.
07:44
But it still seems entirely out of reach
07:49
to the vast majority of the people out there.
07:53
And I'm pretty sure that 85 to 87% is a vast majority
08:03
compared to that 13% or 14% that feels like they can do it.
08:09
And if that doesn't scare the industry to a degree,
08:17
I don't know what will.
08:19
And I had a conversation the other day with our dear friend,
08:24
Chris, AKA Chip, and he couldn't get over how the comeback of leasing
08:35
and it's strictly because it's payment driven.
08:40
Pups, can I share a little bit more data here?
08:43
Sorry to cut you off on your role.
08:46
I think that was pretty much done.
08:48
What you've got that is Volkswagen sales are actually down 29%
08:53
in the second quarter of this year and 13%
08:55
through the first half of this year.
08:57
So think about that.
08:59
Sales volume is down significantly over at Volkswagen,
09:04
they're having to increase their prices even more.
09:07
Last time I checked, keep me honest here,
09:09
you sold cars for 40 plus years.
09:11
The higher the prices go, the less cars are going to sell.
09:14
This is a bit of a recipe for disaster for this brand, I think.
09:18
Well, yeah, typically, the higher the price of the vehicle
09:26
typically indicates that it is designed for fewer people
09:33
and it becomes a coveted item as opposed to an everyday item,
09:39
which is why we have luxury brands.
09:43
When I say luxury brands, where you can buy overly priced stuff,
09:51
it's not just an automotive, it is in all things retail,
09:56
especially in fashion.
09:58
And so, yes, typically, as the price goes up,
10:02
you are looking at a smaller group of people
10:09
who can actually afford to buy it.
10:12
But the reason those people buy it is because it signals
10:17
to everybody else, I'm rich.
10:21
Okay, and so the dilemma with automobile manufacturers
10:27
is every one of them would like to believe
10:31
they're in the luxury automobile space and they are not.
10:35
Let's review a few of the vehicles, Dad,
10:37
that are seeing their prices go up
10:39
significantly just in on our team compiled this list back in May.
10:43
So let's come down here and let's look at some of these vehicles.
10:46
We've got, for example, Honda Passport,
10:49
and a 5.1% price increase.
10:51
Kia Sportage, 4.3% price increase.
10:53
Genesis GV70 and the Electrified version,
10:56
3.6 and 3.3 Calac increasing prices.
10:59
We've got a great list here of year over year,
11:02
the base MSRP changes, and at the low end,
11:07
So Justin's done a great job here compiling the data,
11:10
and a lot of these vehicles are seeing their price increases.
11:13
Top line of the Honda Passport, for example,
11:15
now a $54,000 vehicle.
11:18
And to your point, it just makes it more and more exclusive.
11:21
And if I'm not mistaken, Dad, Subaru,
11:24
Subaru increased their prices by 750 to $2,055.
11:28
And that was back in May.
11:30
Yeah, so what happens when you do that to the 25s?
11:32
And then, yeah, we talk about in 26,
11:34
now prices are going to go up even more.
11:37
It's a little bit of, I think, ringing an alarm bell of like,
11:40
okay, this is, the ringing of the alarm bell
11:43
is the combination of plummeting sales
11:45
and having to increase prices.
11:47
That's the ringing of the alarm bell.
11:49
The Tude cannot coexist.
11:51
Well, it's unsustainable for the Tude to coexist.
11:55
Well, they can coexist if you can figure out a way
12:00
to maintain profit margins by selling fewer and fewer vehicles.
12:07
And one of the things that we have discovered
12:12
and found over the past five, six months
12:16
is that many of the manufacturers
12:20
have tried to absorb as much of the tariff increase costs
12:25
as they possibly can.
12:28
Well, every one of them that has done that
12:30
has seen their profit margins drop from,
12:34
and most of the manufacturers
12:36
had been somewhere around 10% to 12% profit margins.
12:40
And those profit margins are now somewhere
12:46
So can you do it temporarily?
12:51
Yes, I think you can.
12:53
They're proving that they can.
12:55
Can they sustain this long-term
12:58
when their investors and stockholders
13:01
are used to seeing profit margins of 10% to 12%?
13:06
My guess is that at some point
13:09
the stockholders and the investors
13:11
are going to want to see a return to 10% to 12% profit margins
13:16
so that they can get their return on their investments.
13:20
Now, if they do that,
13:23
how many fewer cars are they going to sell?
13:27
Because that 13% to 14% of the population,
13:31
it feels like they can,
13:33
will suddenly drop to, I don't know, 10% or 11%.
13:38
You sound like a broken record, Dad.
13:40
I listen to you every day.
13:41
It sounds like you're saying the same thing.
13:43
I think maybe you mean it.
13:44
From Justice here, from 2019 to 2024,
13:47
Volkswagen raised their MSRP by 38%,
13:50
while the average for the rest of the auto industry was 30%.
13:53
During the same time, Igor is over at the dealer auction today,
13:56
and he's just trying to say cars are not selling
13:58
and dealers are dumping them.
14:00
We're talking about Volkswagen, Audi, et cetera.
14:02
We know we can look at the slowest selling cars list
14:04
as well, and we've got Volkswagen's and Audi's
14:07
all over that list.
14:08
Dad, let's switch gears.
14:09
Let's talk about something else.
14:11
You and I are broken record about these price hikes.
14:13
Hyundai Toyota issued US recalls
14:15
for more than 1.1 million vehicles combined.
14:17
What is going on here?
14:19
Well, in some of the Hyundai's,
14:21
if you sit in the back seat,
14:23
you go to fasten your seatbelt, it will not fasten.
14:27
The clicker doesn't want to click.
14:30
It doesn't click in.
14:32
You know, there could be an issue.
14:36
I think they've recalled what was it,
14:44
And it's like, how could that happen
14:49
that you never tested the damn seat belts
14:52
to make sure that they were in compliance
14:54
so that, I don't know, when you inserted the tab
14:57
into the clicker, it actually held in place.
15:01
So there's that for Hyundai.
15:04
Hyundai Toyota has an issue with,
15:07
what is it, the display, the dashboard displays
15:11
on what, 590,000 vehicles?
15:15
That's a, I guess, the only thing I can think of
15:20
is that both Hyundai and Toyota said to themselves,
15:23
we just can't let Ford run away with this recall thing
15:27
for the whole year.
15:29
We need to step up to the plate
15:33
They did so that we have two different manufacturers
15:36
to talk about with recall issues
15:38
than our really good friends at Ford.
15:41
Any guess what number of recalls Ford's up to
15:43
for the year, now that you mentioned them?
15:45
Well, I haven't looked.
15:47
I know last week we were at 110,
15:51
you know, and they'd been obviously adding
15:55
more than one a week.
15:57
So I'm going to guess they're like 113.
15:59
They're really, really solid.
16:01
Guess, Dad, they're at, drum roll please.
16:07
Only two this week.
16:09
Only two recalls this week.
16:11
Wow. Wow, that's pretty crazy.
16:15
And what manufacturer is it, 20 something?
16:20
The manufacturer that is at 20 BW.
16:26
Yeah, these are, Chrysler's at 33.
16:29
Let that sink in the gap there.
16:32
Forest River for recreational vehicles.
16:34
VW Group with 20 recalls.
16:36
GM with 18 recalls.
16:37
Mercedes-Benz with 16.
16:38
And Honda with 16 recalls so far this year.
16:42
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17:05
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Hey girl, what's happening?
17:46
Is that your antiperspirant?
17:50
Let me see that can.
17:53
I cannot pronounce that.
17:57
You have to switch to native deodorant.
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Wow, this smells heavenly.
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Clean effective 72-hour odor protection isn't a myth.
18:12
Dad, the issue that Toyota's running into
18:16
actually impacts 2.8 million vehicles globally,
18:19
which is like a tremendous number.
18:23
The bigger issue to be clear though between
18:25
an infotainment screen
18:27
or an instrument panel failure, excuse me,
18:29
and faulty seat belt buckles
18:31
is certainly the Hyundai issue
18:32
with the faulty seat belt buckles.
18:36
one really is safety-related.
18:40
You know, we have proven over time
18:43
that seat belts when used work
18:46
might not necessarily work in an airplane
18:50
but they do typically work in cars,
18:58
a dashboard screen that is malfunctioning
19:04
I don't think presents the same safety issue
19:08
as a seat belt that doesn't work,
19:11
although it is a safety issue.
19:13
I mean, you'd like to know
19:14
that what's being displayed is accurate
19:17
and you can count on it.
19:20
I suppose that technology
19:23
is a wonderful thing.
19:25
Screens are a wonderful thing.
19:28
You know, I was last,
19:31
a week ago Tuesday.
19:35
When I arrived in Washington, D.C.
19:39
and I ordered a lift
19:42
so I could get to my hotel.
19:44
And the driver and I were just discussing
19:48
how when you look at everybody
19:51
walking down the street,
19:53
that nobody is looking up,
19:57
everybody is looking down,
19:58
and they are looking down at their phones.
20:00
They are looking down at their screens.
20:02
It is as if the world as we know it,
20:08
if it isn't displayed on a screen,
20:11
isn't really the world as we know it.
20:14
And so, yes, technology is a wonderful thing.
20:18
Screens are a wonderful thing.
20:21
But they are destroying our lives
20:24
in the sense that we can't just take in
20:30
and see the wonders of the world
20:33
through our eyes as opposed...
20:36
I'm sorry, but it's...
20:37
I'm just laughing because this shows
20:39
all that auto industry and cars
20:41
and how to buy cars.
20:43
And now you're getting all, you know.
20:45
But look what they've done to cars.
20:48
They used to be analog dashboards.
20:52
They're now digitized, okay?
20:56
Because it's a prettier screen.
20:58
You know, one of the selling features
21:01
at Mini is, well, it's a 1080p OLED screen.
21:07
Well, look at the window, dammit, okay?
21:12
Dad, you don't want this.
21:14
You don't want that.
21:16
You don't want that.
21:18
And so, screens have overtaken
21:21
our sense of wonder.
21:24
I mean, the background behind you,
21:28
to only look at that in the form
21:32
of on a screen as opposed to in reality
21:36
is crazy because what's behind you
21:39
is absolutely staggeringly beautiful.
21:43
But you would never know it
21:45
if you're just looking at it on a screen.
21:48
Whether it be the screen on your dashboard.
21:51
What about that one, Dad?
21:53
What about that one?
21:54
I mean, why not just go to the planetarium, okay?
21:59
You know, I don't know how I got off on this rant.
22:02
I don't know how you did it either.
22:04
I'm trying to bring it back
22:05
but I'm just gonna enable it.
22:06
The reason you can't is
22:08
because I think screens are harmful to human beings
22:12
and I think phones and social media
22:17
are the most anti-social things
22:20
that human beings have ever created.
22:24
I just did a quick Google search
22:25
Dad of cars with the most infotainment screens
22:27
and it's definitely that Mercedes Benz one.
22:30
I mean, this is literally like you're just,
22:32
there's screens everywhere.
22:34
So, okay, we're gonna keep Ray away
22:38
Good thing he got a Mazda CX-30,
22:40
not too many screens for him there.
22:42
We're gonna switch gears first.
22:43
We're gonna thank Matthew today's show.
22:45
It was a rant on the screen.
22:47
Didn't see that coming.
22:48
Thank you, Matthew, for the kind contribution.
22:50
Ford should change the recalls to blink it,
22:53
They should recall.
22:54
They could recall every model
22:55
and have far fewer recalls.
22:57
Where's my $2 million efficiency boat?
22:59
That's a really good point.
23:01
You know, instead of having 112 recalls,
23:04
you could just, you know,
23:05
instead of going down to the trim level.
23:08
Recall all of them.
23:09
Play it safe that way.
23:10
That's pretty funny.
23:11
All right, Dad, let's talk about the Subaru news today.
23:13
I thought this was pretty interesting.
23:14
Subaru sales have actually not been growing.
23:17
And 36-year-long production run,
23:20
they're stopping the production of the Subaru Legacy
23:24
I thought this was interesting.
23:26
It's the last one to ever be built
23:29
to come off that assembly line.
23:30
I think came off the assembly line September 12th.
23:34
Incent to a dealer.
23:37
It's being sent to a dealer.
23:39
And the funny thing about it
23:41
is the last one they ever built was in a trim
23:44
that is the least popular trim level.
23:47
It's in their limited trim level.
23:50
And most people don't opt for their limited trim levels.
23:57
when Subaru and a Zuzu
24:02
and many folks won't even remember a Zuzu,
24:05
but a Zuzu is a manufacturer of vehicles
24:09
and they had a joint manufacturing facility,
24:13
Subaru and a Zuzu in Indiana.
24:15
And the Subaru that they built was the Legacy sedan.
24:21
I think it's gone through six or seven generations since then.
24:25
And it is kind of sad that as, you know,
24:30
sedans have kind of lost their way with the American public,
24:36
that after 36 years,
24:38
they've built the last one that they're going to build, you know.
24:42
It is probably one of the roomiest sedans
24:47
you could ever consider purchasing
24:50
at an extremely, at least it always had been
24:53
an extremely attractive price point
24:56
for everything that you got.
24:59
It is the chassis that the outback is built on.
25:04
And so when you folded down the seats
25:08
in one of those Legacy sedans,
25:11
the amount of cargo room you had was unbelievable.
25:17
And it's just kind of sort of sad.
25:20
It's another death nail to the sedan in the United States.
25:24
I have it here on the car edge.
25:26
Let's just take a quick peek at what's going on
25:28
in the Subaru Legacy market.
25:30
Just for a perspective here, we're in Kensington, Maryland,
25:33
where there is a 113 days supply of inventory.
25:36
New car is selling for almost $60,000.
25:39
So look at the Subaru Legacy as an option, limited.
25:42
Like you said, not selling particularly well,
25:44
but $37,000 price point.
25:46
The premium $31,000 price point.
25:49
I'm going to click into one of these in a moment.
25:51
Let's do, all right, let's do the legacy
25:53
that doesn't sell particularly well.
25:55
Open that in a new tab and let's look at,
25:57
excuse me, let me open up a legacy.
25:59
So I'll come back up here, this one.
26:01
Dad, you can see here $37,833 MSRP on the Legacy.
26:06
$35,387 dealer invoice price.
26:11
And look at the target discount that car edge is suggesting.
26:14
$4,000 plus dollars off.
26:17
That's over a 10% discount because 116,
26:20
whoops, 116 days supply.
26:22
It's not selling particularly well.
26:25
And I'm just curious what the incentives are on this view.
26:27
You know, they only sold 19,000 of them last year.
26:30
And you've got subvented financing,
26:32
3.9% for 36 months.
26:35
Okay, so, you know, what does that mean?
26:39
For most people, that would put their payment
26:41
well in excess of $1,000 a month.
26:43
For sure, Dad, for sure.
26:45
But still, I hear where you're coming from,
26:47
but it's still a subvented interest rate,
26:49
and it's a good interest rate.
26:50
3.9%, the average new car finance rate is over 9%.
26:53
Here's the premium, the even cheaper option we can see here
26:56
in our neck, though, it's 181 days supply.
26:58
So, yeah, it's not selling, which is congruent
27:00
with what we know about sedans in the United States.
27:02
But it's an affordable price point.
27:04
It's roomy, like you mentioned before,
27:05
and there's fairly strong incentives against it.
27:07
I mean, I know you're saying you wouldn't finance
27:09
for 36 months with that comment,
27:11
is at least what I'm hearing you say,
27:12
but 3.9% financing and you're also getting,
27:15
I don't know, 10% dealer discount
27:17
on a $30,000 vehicle, that's awesome.
27:19
That doesn't exist in today's market.
27:21
No, and it's a lovely vehicle,
27:25
and it's just not a popular vehicle,
27:28
and it's kind of sad.
27:30
It is sad, because it's another example
27:32
of a fairly reasonably priced vehicle
27:35
that could get people from point A to point B
27:36
that's going by the wayside in favor of
27:38
more profitable and more expensive vehicles.
27:40
It's another example of that.
27:42
Yes, another of the ongoing
27:45
and growing list of samples, examples of that.
27:50
You know, as we see the Mitsubishi Mirage bite the dust.
27:54
We see, I think, the Nissan Versus biting the dust.
27:58
The Altima, I believe, is biting the dust.
28:02
So we are just not a sedan-driven market anymore.
28:09
And maybe perhaps to some degree we should be,
28:13
and we should learn to do with,
28:17
I know people hate when I see this,
28:19
but we should learn to do with smaller vehicles.
28:24
I mean, most people don't need the big-ass SUVs
28:28
and big-ass trucks that they drive.
28:32
Certainly create more parking spaces
28:34
for people if everybody drove little cars.
28:37
All right, now we're going to do a live experiment, y'all.
28:41
All right, so let's come over here.
28:44
Subaru Legacy interior screens.
28:50
You know, not bad, Dad. Not bad.
28:53
No, they've been using that style of screen for years.
29:00
Yeah, it is unlike what you find in most cars today.
29:07
Thought it might be worse.
29:09
That reminds me to a degree of when you had that Volvo S90.
29:16
A similar type of screen.
29:19
Also, it's super interesting, kind of like peanut buttery interior.
29:23
Also, I just want to pull up from space here.
29:25
I would get a 2025 Camry SE Hybrid for $30,000
29:29
before tax time on license.
29:30
Instead, I think space is on to something here.
29:32
That being said, limited options when it comes to,
29:35
in this case, you know, sedans.
29:37
It is definitely a smaller market, much smaller market,
29:43
I would say actually legitimate value today.
29:46
Okay, that's all I had for today, Pops.
29:50
Okay, then be that way.
29:52
Do you want to talk about screens for four more minutes?
29:55
We'll see if all of your ship goes up or down.
29:58
No, I think my rant was just about long enough.
30:06
And I want to thank you and I want to thank our audience
30:10
for allowing me to get a lot of my feelings out there
30:15
so that I can express them.
30:17
So I don't get frustrated and just carry them deep inside of me.
30:22
We're here for you in that way, Pops.
30:24
And trust me, nobody appreciates it more than I do.
30:28
I am ever so thankful that people will allow me
30:33
the opportunity to share what I feel in many cases.
30:39
Well, folks, if we can help you out with anything,
30:41
again, check it out, caredge.com.
30:44
And again, we've got a little flash sale running this weekend.
30:47
So do not buy our car buying service
30:50
or negotiation expert today.
30:52
Instead, wait till 8 a.m. tomorrow morning
30:55
or just reach out to our team and we'll give you that.
30:57
May I say something about that?
31:00
It takes a lot of courage
31:05
as someone who operates a business
31:08
to say to the public out there,
31:11
don't do it today because I'll feel bad
31:16
if you do it today at full price
31:18
when I know in my heart of hearts
31:20
that tomorrow you could do it and save 25%.
31:24
I would prefer that you wait until tomorrow.
31:30
That takes courage.
31:33
That, I think, is a lovely indication
31:39
as to the type of person that you are
31:43
in that you're not doing this
31:47
in order to take advantage of people.
31:50
You are trying to do this in a manner
31:53
that doesn't take advantage of people.
31:56
And so as the CEO of a multimillion-dollar business,
32:05
It is. I'm sorry, but it is.
32:08
Thankfully, you don't have any public stockholders
32:12
because they might get mad at you,
32:14
but it speaks volumes to the type of person that you are
32:19
in order to do what you just did.
32:22
Thanks, Pops. Appreciate you.
32:24
Thanks for putting this spotlight on me.
32:26
All right, folks, we'll be back on Monday.
32:28
I'll have a new background on Monday as well.
32:30
Dad, enjoy the upcoming weekend.
32:32
It's going to get up to 90 degrees here in Washington, D.C.
32:35
Today I'm going to go play some tennis tonight.
32:37
I think I'm going to be sweating my butt off.
32:39
It is going to be so hot,
32:40
but hold on for the weekend,
32:42
which I'm really excited about.
32:43
Enjoy the weekend, Dad.
32:44
Well, the good news is you could get on a train.
32:47
You could come here,
32:49
and it's only going to top out at 80 degrees.
32:52
And with those sea breezes,
32:54
it'll seem even cooler than that when you're playing tennis
32:58
or as many people do at the shore.
33:02
Yeah, not a pickleball or more of a tennis player.
33:04
All right, Dad, I love you.
33:05
Enjoy the afternoon.
33:07
I shall talk to you later.
33:08
Thank you, everybody, for being here,
33:10
and we'll see you back here on Monday.
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