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04:09
It's noon here in Ventner City, New Jersey and our nation's capital, Washington, D.C.
04:16
And this is Car Edge Live for Tuesday, September 9th with your hosts,
04:21
Me, Ray, here in Ventner, and well, Zach, down in Washington, D.C.
04:30
How are you today, handsome?
04:32
I don't understand you, but I'm good, man.
04:35
Happy Tuesday, September 9th.
04:36
Thank you for tuning in and being a part of today's Car Edge Live.
04:39
We've got a sponsor for today's show, but before we talk about them,
04:42
I want to remind everyone, Pops, to go to the Google machine.
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Type in Car Edge Windows stickers or click the link in the top of the description
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and a friendly reminder.
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and it'll pop right up.
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We're going to thank our friends over at DeleteMe in about eight minutes,
05:10
but Pops, the big story this morning.
05:13
Yet another recall for the manufacturer leading the league in recalls.
05:18
You look at this chart that comes from National Highway Transportation Safety Administration
05:22
all the freaking time and the red section here is Ford up to 110 recalls.
05:28
The latest one, Dad, impacting not a million, not a million point one,
05:33
not a million point two, not a million.
05:35
1.5 million vehicles being recalled right now by Ford.
05:42
I downloaded all the data.
05:45
Put it into this column right here.
05:48
Summing that up, 9,327,866 vehicles recalled by Ford so far this year
05:58
on a quest to recall over 10 million vehicles.
06:04
Another 1.5 million vehicles recalled.
06:08
Well, you know, here's what's interesting.
06:10
You put in today's headline of the show,
06:12
The Ugly Truth About Ford Shocked the Auto Industry.
06:17
Well, for Ford, it's just really another day.
06:20
There ain't nothing shocking about Ford at this point.
06:24
It's like, well, it's Tuesday.
06:26
Let's have a recall.
06:29
Let's have a recall.
06:31
It is not shocking to the industry anymore.
06:34
It's not shocking to Ford.
06:36
It's not shocking to their customers.
06:40
It has become almost a daily expectation as to,
06:46
well, what's the problem now that I have to take my car into the dealership for?
06:52
You know, it is, it's almost like beyond parody
06:59
because I think if you go back to that pie chart,
07:03
my guess is is that you, if you added up all the other brands recalls,
07:10
it might not have up to 110 for the rest of the industry.
07:16
And that, that, that's the staggering part.
07:21
It's not that it's shocking anymore.
07:24
It's just, it's just, well, it's Tuesday.
07:30
This recall for what it's worth is one of
07:32
the less serious ones.
07:34
So I think that's like something to give Ford some credit here for a moment.
07:38
They're only recalling the 1.5 million vehicles
07:40
because the rear view camera can have issues causing inverted distorted or blank images.
07:46
Now that being said, it is impacting 1.5 million vehicles
07:48
and these need to be inspected and replaced.
07:51
This is not a software update.
07:53
These are for 2015 to 2019 Lincoln MK, MKC's excuse me.
07:56
Lincoln Navigators, Mustangs, F-250s, F-350s, F-450s, F-550s, the Ford Expedition,
08:02
the Edge, the Transit Connect, Echo Line and Ranger.
08:06
So on the bright side here, it's a camera issue.
08:10
On the downside here, you have to actually inspect
08:13
and replace all of these.
08:15
You can't just do a software update.
08:17
So you can't say, well, it's not really that big of a deal.
08:20
I mean, that impacts 1.5 million owners.
08:26
Yeah, so you can't say, oh, it's just not that big of a deal.
08:31
I mean, yeah, it's a safety recall, but you know,
08:34
it's only the backup camera.
08:36
It could distort everything.
08:39
It could maybe there'll be a sign that says everything in this backup camera.
08:44
It probably appears further away than it really is.
08:48
I don't know, but for the 1.5 million people
08:52
that have to take time out of their day,
08:55
one of these days to go to their local Ford dealership
08:59
to wait around for the car to get pulled into the service department
09:04
for them to do the inspection,
09:06
for them to figure out if they need to replace the camera.
09:12
You know, how much time is that wasting on that customer's behalf?
09:16
Four hours, five hours, six hours?
09:20
I like to round up.
09:22
You know, it's like when you can always round up
09:26
because it's a much bigger number.
09:28
But take 1.5 million customers
09:34
who are going to have to invest probably somewhere around six hours
09:40
because they have to drive there.
09:41
Then they have to wait for the damn car to get fixed.
09:44
Then they have to drive back and pick up the car or drive home.
09:47
So let's say it's six hours of time times 1.5 million.
09:53
How many millions of hours of people's time is Ford wasting
09:59
just on this recall?
10:02
And that's not to say that after the people invest six hours
10:07
for this recall, that a week later on, say, a Wednesday.
10:11
They get a notice that, well, there's something else
10:14
that Ford needs to fix on their car
10:16
and they need to bring it back.
10:18
Dad, you've got a funny comment here from DB.
10:21
If I don't get a recall twice a year, I feel ripped off.
10:24
And Igor's got a really good comment here.
10:27
I'm very interested in your take on this.
10:28
It's a great day for Ford dealerships.
10:31
Recalls mean money for the dealers that do the service work.
10:35
So talk to me about this, Dad.
10:36
Are the dealers actually happy that they see these recalls coming up?
10:42
And the reason they're happy is, well, there's one.
10:45
Well, what was the total number?
10:50
9.3 million vehicles so far this year.
10:53
So there's 9.3 million service opportunities
10:59
that should come into service departments,
11:01
hopefully this year.
11:03
Ford is going to pay the service department to do the inspections
11:07
and do the repairs, even though the labor rate
11:11
and the times that they pay for warranty repairs
11:14
like this or recall repairs like this aren't the same rate
11:18
as say customer pay, it's still found money
11:23
for the service department.
11:25
So yeah, service managers love it, okay?
11:29
Sales people, if they're smart,
11:32
couldn't figure out how to love it
11:34
because Ford is creating, at least with this last recall,
11:41
1.5 million opportunities for a salesperson to have a customer,
11:47
okay, because that service customer has to come
11:50
into the dealership and they have to drop off the car.
11:53
And, well, there's an opportunity there
11:55
for a salesperson to latch on to one of those service customers
11:59
and say, hey, have you ever thought
12:01
about maybe trading that car in and looking at something
12:06
newer, what if I could show you a way to get out
12:08
of that dog that you have
12:09
and we can put you into a new dog?
12:12
So it should be good, ultimately,
12:17
not only for parts and service
12:19
because it definitely will be good for them.
12:21
But if the sales staff at these dealerships plays it right,
12:25
it could increase sales
12:28
because you're bringing in Ford customers
12:33
to your dealership.
12:34
Well, why not try and sell a new one?
12:37
Yeah, so it's got two benefits.
12:38
One is, obviously, Ford pays for these recalls.
12:41
This is a service order like you were describing that,
12:44
or a repair order, and there's going to be 9.3 million of them
12:47
this year if everyone who's had a recall vehicle takes it
12:50
and actually gets the recall addressed.
12:51
That's one of the issues here
12:52
is do people actually get the recalls fixed?
12:55
In some cases, you know, more than others.
12:57
But that being said, there's 9.3 million repair orders
13:00
that can be written this year that are recalls
13:02
that Ford pays for.
13:03
And last time I checked that,
13:05
Ford is spending a lot of money
13:07
on those warranty costs and on these recalls.
13:09
So we know, you know, this is an article from last year,
13:11
Ford to appoint new head of quality
13:13
to try and rein in warranty costs.
13:14
They've been challenged with that.
13:16
Yeah, that's worked out really well.
13:18
So that's one aspect.
13:19
That's the other aspect is to your point.
13:21
Then you have a customer near the dealership,
13:23
at the dealership in the service drive,
13:24
and so they can try and sell you a new car.
13:27
I don't know. I'm a Ford customer
13:29
and I'm getting all these recalls.
13:30
I don't know how likely I would be to buy another Ford,
13:33
At least it's an opportunity for the dealership.
13:38
It's kind of crazy,
13:41
but it does create fresh sales opportunities
13:44
and it is just a godsend for parts and servers.
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Okay, so we have the recalls going on over at Ford, Dad.
14:58
That's a big story this morning.
15:00
Susanna wants to know,
15:01
does the liability insurance cover that for Ford
15:04
or is that out of pocket for them?
15:05
This is out of pocket for them.
15:06
This is one of their biggest cost centers, isn't it?
15:10
Yeah, I mean, you know, they, they,
15:12
they took what was it a $570 million right down
15:17
or cost adjustment in the last quarter
15:21
due to excessive recall repairs
15:24
and warranty repairs that needed to be done.
15:27
You know, the, the, the being counters,
15:30
the actuaries look at the warranty
15:33
and they can figure out over the course of time
15:37
approximately what it's going to cost Ford
15:40
per every new vehicle sold.
15:43
And I believe it was the second,
15:45
it was either the second quarter or third quarter.
15:46
They were only off by $570 million.
15:50
Okay, that's a lot of scratch.
15:53
I don't know any other way to say it.
15:55
That's, that's just a lot of money.
15:57
And yes, you can factor it in,
15:59
but they're not, they have not been factoring
16:03
in anywhere near enough money for,
16:07
for warranty repairs and recalls.
16:10
And even though their bottom line numbers
16:15
yeah, if you're an investor,
16:18
you have to say to yourself,
16:19
well, there's probably a billion dollars a year
16:23
that's taken away from potential profit
16:25
because we just don't build a quality vehicle to start with.
16:30
Yeah, it's pretty wild.
16:31
Well, let's switch gears pops.
16:32
Let's get away from Ford.
16:33
Let's talk about the car market.
16:34
There was a really interesting story
16:36
that the team over at car dealership guy is covering.
16:39
That tricolor auto is filing for bankruptcy sources say,
16:43
this is a really large independent used car dealership group.
16:47
They are in many states.
16:49
I think they say here in the article,
16:50
I think they're like the seventh largest independent.
16:52
Yeah, there it is right there.
16:53
Tricolor auto group is the seventh largest independent used car
16:56
retailing chain in the U.S.
16:58
And they're expected to file for bankruptcy today
17:00
according to an internal source
17:01
close to the company situation.
17:03
They laid off 80 to 90% of their workforce
17:05
in Texas, Arizona and California
17:08
suspending operations as well.
17:10
It seems like dad, some of the conversations you and I
17:13
have been having about how things in the car market
17:15
are not, you know, not healthy at the moment.
17:18
You know, we're seeing that here with this,
17:20
with this seventh largest independent used car dealership
17:23
group going out of business.
17:24
That's, I did not see that article and that's,
17:29
that's pretty unnerving to a certain degree.
17:32
But then again, you know, with the name of tricolor auto,
17:37
it's like, well, why do I want to go and buy a car
17:40
that's three different colors or three different shades
17:44
It just, I just the name itself doesn't,
17:48
doesn't inspire in my mind confidence.
17:51
But you know, why, why do they call them tricolor autos?
17:55
Are, are they several different shades of brown work?
18:00
You know me, I can make.
18:02
No, I'll let you go full screen.
18:03
Here, how much air?
18:06
There's, there's something interesting here.
18:08
You want to go three color, go three color.
18:11
I was just trying to make a yoke.
18:13
A little bit of a joke.
18:16
Three colors, tricolor.
18:17
Yeah, there you have it.
18:18
Tricolor, I'm done.
18:19
I told you, I'm done.
18:21
You got at least three shades of gray.
18:24
I'm not buying a car that's three shades of gray.
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Why would an independent car dealership group
19:36
be going out of business right now?
19:37
Dad, I thought the car business was great,
19:39
money galore, everything's perfect.
19:40
Why would something like this be happening?
19:43
Well, because the cost of buying used cars has gone up
19:47
and it's harder to get people financed for cars.
19:50
And there are two quality issues.
19:54
The quality of used cars has gone down dramatically.
19:59
And in many cases, the quality of the credit
20:02
for the people who are trying to buy the lower quality
20:05
used cars is equally down.
20:09
And so it's more difficult for some of these,
20:12
some of the types of customers that an organization
20:15
like Tri-Color Auto would appeal to.
20:18
So unless you have your own bank, kind of sort of like
20:25
Carvana seems to or CarMax seems to, you know,
20:29
because we know at CarMax or Carvana,
20:32
in order to qualify for a loan through them,
20:35
you have to have an income of $5,000 a year.
20:42
Less than a hundred a week, ladies and gentlemen.
20:45
So, but that's because, you know, they're packaging
20:49
all their loans because realistically,
20:53
when you look at Carvana, they are a loan originator
20:57
and the vehicles that they use to originate loans
21:02
just happen to be automobiles, okay?
21:06
And so they've been able to get away with it.
21:09
Tri-Color, you know, isn't selling in large enough volumes
21:14
or doesn't have a large enough finance arm
21:17
that they can get away with it.
21:19
So it's the quality of the cars,
21:22
the expense of used cars today.
21:25
And when you are a purveyor of some of not the nicest cars
21:30
out there, you typically attract the customer base
21:35
that is a credit challenge to say, to put it nicely.
21:39
It makes me wonder a little bit about the floor plan situation
21:41
at this dealership group as well.
21:43
I mean, if they've got these cars just sitting, sitting, sitting,
21:45
we've talked about it ad nauseam for years now.
21:48
The longer a car sits, the more expensive it is
21:50
for the dealership group.
21:51
They don't have customers who are buying these,
21:53
you know, potentially more subprime customers,
21:54
potentially more affordable vehicles,
21:56
but to your point, not high quality,
21:58
then they're just sitting there and then Tri-Color,
22:00
the dealer is the one paying all that interest
22:02
to have the privilege of letting those vehicles sit there.
22:04
Eventually the bank's gonna repossess those vehicles
22:07
if you don't make payments on them
22:08
and obviously laying off 80 to 90% of your staff
22:11
and all the things that go into going bankrupt,
22:13
which is a lot of work I imagine.
22:14
I mean, there's some serious expenses there
22:17
that they've now had to cut 90% of staff
22:20
just to maybe try and hold on, but they go bankrupt out.
22:23
I mean, the bank's gonna repossess the vehicles,
22:25
they're gonna end up at auction.
22:26
It's not a good sign for the health of auto industry
22:29
to see a group like this go under.
22:30
We've had a number of major retail use card dealer groups go under.
22:40
This is not the first, nor will it be the last.
22:45
There have been others, and if you really look closely
22:50
at the ones that have gone out of business,
22:53
that have gone bankrupt or just closed,
22:57
there's one common thread.
23:00
It's subprime customers.
23:02
That's the common thread.
23:04
They have built a business that is based upon selling
23:09
to people with bad credit.
23:12
Well, at a certain point, many of their lenders
23:17
because they don't have their own finance company,
23:19
many of their lenders have just looked at the quality
23:22
of the customers that they keep submitting for car loans
23:27
and they're going, no, even we won't touch this.
23:31
And that becomes the issue for them.
23:34
So, that's the one commonality that all of these major
23:40
used car retailers or regionalized used car retailers
23:47
They all cater to the same group of customers
23:51
and that is people with bad credit.
23:53
And yes, you can get away with that for a while.
23:57
Obviously, in many, many cases, you can't.
24:01
And this is just another example of you can't.
24:05
It'll be interesting, Dad.
24:06
We track credit acceptance corporation, for example,
24:09
their quarterly earnings and they've had to increase
24:12
their loan loss provisions significantly
24:14
because they anticipate fewer and fewer of those auto loans
24:17
that they made over the past few years
24:18
are actually going to get paid back in full.
24:20
So, I wonder if this will show up.
24:22
Obviously, it's showing up with some of the independent
24:24
I wonder if it'll show up at the financing level as well.
24:27
Another angle to the auto industry in turmoil, Dad,
24:31
and it's not the most convenient or easy to follow,
24:34
but we can connect the dots here.
24:36
Cox Automotive acquires full-stake
24:38
and a wholesale vehicle inspection partner.
24:41
But look who they bought it from.
24:44
Yeah, they bought it from NEMAC.
24:46
Nissan Motors Acceptance Corporation.
24:47
This is so interesting.
24:48
So, Cox Automotive bought an inspection business, essentially.
24:52
They owned half of it Nissan Motor Acceptance Corporation
24:55
owned the other half.
24:56
Nissan, Dad, liquidating another asset
24:58
to try and get some cash on hand.
25:00
Well, that's really what it says.
25:03
That's what it says, yeah.
25:04
Yeah, the fact that Cox is going to own 100% of it.
25:08
My guess is that they didn't buy the remaining 50% stake
25:15
at a premium, okay?
25:17
My guess is that Nissan offered them a good deal.
25:24
Take this off our hands.
25:25
Wouldn't you really feel better if you owned 100% of it?
25:28
Isn't this incredible?
25:29
Think about it, Dad.
25:30
Like Nissan is in financial turmoil.
25:31
We've said this for a long time.
25:33
They're closing down manufacturing plants globally.
25:35
We've been documenting their challenges for about a year now
25:38
and especially this guy kind of doom and gloom
25:40
when they had potential talks
25:41
or they had talks about a potential merger with Honda
25:44
and Honda walked away from the table.
25:46
Ever since then, things have looked pretty dire over at Nissan.
25:49
They've sold off stakes in other automakers
25:51
and now they're selling off stakes in an inspection business
25:55
It's just fascinating.
25:56
Like the story here for our audience is not the type
25:58
that Cox now owns 100% of an inspection business.
26:02
The story is Nissan is struggling to find cash
26:05
and they're selling off their assets
26:07
to try and fund their operation.
26:11
It is harder to bring the new vehicles to market
26:16
that Nissan needs to survive
26:19
when you don't have the money to do it.
26:22
So in order to bring those,
26:25
I think they have like 26
26:27
or 28 new vehicles or refreshes planned
26:31
over the next couple of years.
26:33
They have to raise the cash to do that.
26:36
And so, you know, they're selling real estate holdings.
26:41
They are putting their corporate headquarters.
26:46
If they haven't already, they have spoken
26:48
about putting their corporate headquarters in Tokyo
26:51
on the market because they figure they can get
26:54
a whole lot of money for that.
26:56
They are selling as many things as they possibly can
27:00
in order to raise enough cash
27:02
so that they can continue to move forward
27:05
with all the new vehicle launches
27:07
that they hope will save their collective asses
27:11
in a couple of years.
27:13
But it takes cash to do that.
27:16
And, you know, they're liquidating things.
27:19
It's like, wow, just go to a pawnbroker for the sake.
27:25
It's a little bit what it feels like.
27:26
Dad, let's do a little bit of a live experiment.
27:28
So back on caredge.com.
27:30
If you Google search car incentives and car edge,
27:34
it'll take you to our best new car deals
27:36
for September 2025 page.
27:38
Or you can just do this from the car search as well.
27:41
So let me change my location really quickly.
27:43
Let's go to two, zero, whoops, eight, nine, five.
27:46
So that's here in Maryland.
27:48
And now I want to do Nissan.
27:51
And let's just do a quick, we'll do the rogue.
27:53
We'll start there and we'll look at the SL trim.
27:56
I'm just curious what the incentives are right now
27:59
over at Nissan for this particular vehicle.
28:01
Let's scroll down here.
28:03
$1000 cash incentive.
28:05
That's really not going to move the metal that much.
28:07
Let's see on the finance side, no special financing lease.
28:10
We're at 3.65%, which is good, but not great.
28:14
You know, like, this is pretty interesting to me.
28:16
I would expect more on the road.
28:18
What if we did something like, I don't know,
28:19
which vehicle you want to do?
28:21
Maybe they can't afford to do more.
28:24
I mean, that is part of their issue.
28:29
It takes money to do this.
28:32
And, you know, a year ago, it was, the headline was,
28:38
Nissan has a 12 to 18 month runway of cash left.
28:43
Well, we're 12 months into that 12 to 18 months.
28:48
So what is that translating to it?
28:50
It means that you don't necessarily have the financial
28:55
wherewithal to do all the things that you need to do
28:59
in order to move your stale vehicles that you have out there
29:05
and to be able to develop and bring
29:08
to market the new fresher ones.
29:10
So it's, it is, it's a conundrum form
29:17
and which is why we're seeing them sell off
29:19
as much stuff as they are.
29:22
I'm kind of curious.
29:23
Now let's go over to the car search.
29:25
You were me for a moment here.
29:27
And what I want to look at that is the available Nissan inventory.
29:31
And I want to look by oldest.
29:32
I'm just kind of curious.
29:34
So we'll do days on market oldest.
29:37
We're looking at new ones.
29:39
There's probably going to be some anomalies here.
29:41
So let me skip a couple pages ahead.
29:43
Let me, let me do the year filter here.
29:46
So let's say it has to be a new 2025.
29:49
So I want one and we'll go to 2024.
29:54
700 days, 700 days, 700 days.
29:57
I mean, dad, there are some of these vehicles.
30:00
That Nissan's had out there.
30:02
I mean, look at this 15,000 miles on it.
30:04
Like the dealership just gave up and put it in service loan
30:08
There's just a lot of these vehicles that Nissan hasn't
30:14
So, you know, some of them are, are, are getting very,
30:18
very excited about celebrating their second birthday on the,
30:21
on the dealers lot.
30:23
That's not good for the customer.
30:25
That's not good for the dealer.
30:26
I mean, you know, we have talked about lot brought for years
30:32
that as vehicles sit, they break down.
30:36
If you have vehicles that have been on the lot for 700 days
30:42
and they don't get moved or driven often, then every one
30:46
of the tires is going to be flat spotted.
30:48
So all of a sudden you have, you have to invest another
30:52
$800 to $1,000 in tires.
30:56
What other issues might develop?
30:59
There's any number of things that can happen.
31:02
My goodness, you're probably going to have to detail it
31:04
for the third or fourth time to make it look presentable.
31:09
So it's just, it is so costly for the dealership
31:14
and it is such a struggle for, for the customer
31:19
because the customer is going to expect a really,
31:24
And the dealership, sales managers looking at it,
31:28
well, if I sell it for what the customer is willing
31:31
to pay for it, then I am paying the owner to have
31:35
come to work today instead of him paying me
31:39
because it's going to be a negative profit deal.
31:43
And so sales managers many times will say to themselves,
31:47
I ain't willing to take that loss.
31:49
Now the dealer might be, but the sales manager
31:52
isn't, he's passing on the deal.
31:54
And, and so it just, it just, just gets ugly for both
31:59
the dealer and the customer.
32:02
I just, I just filtered to 2025, 2026 oldest days on lot.
32:07
Nissan Leaf, Nissan Leaf, Nissan Leaf, Nissan Leaf, Nissan Leaf, Nissan Leaf, Nissan Leaf, Nissan
32:16
Leaf, Nissan Leaf, Nissan Leaf, Nissan Leaf, Nissan Leaf, Nissan Leaf, Nissan Leaf, Nissan
32:20
Leaf, Nissan Leaf, these – oh man, it's a tongue twisted and they're all Nissan Leafs.
32:23
Well, you know, one time the Leaf was the – was a desirable electric car, but that
32:31
It's not at this time.
32:33
And think about it.
32:34
We have the tax credits coming to an end shortly over here.
32:36
I mean, if you can't.
32:37
You can't sell these leafs now.
32:39
You ain't never going to sell them.
32:41
I was about to say, you ever sell them?
32:42
Let's come down here.
32:43
I want to look at incentives.
32:48
I have a Uber to catch.
32:49
Zero percent financing for 36 months.
32:52
This is the one that they're pushing, but they still can't sell it.
32:55
You've got a Uber to catch.
32:56
You're coming to Washington, DC.
32:57
We'll call it a show for today.
32:58
If we can help you out with anything, folks, caredge.com.
33:00
Like I said at the outset as well, if you're not using our free Windows sticker
33:04
tool you need to, just Google search caredge, Windows sticker, and it'll pop right up.
33:08
Dad, safe travels here to DC this afternoon.
33:10
I can't wait to spend tomorrow with you.
33:13
We'll be back then.
33:16
See you all back tomorrow in our nation's capital, Washington.
33:20
What the hell was it?
33:22
We'll see you from Washington tomorrow at noon Eastern.
33:30
This winter, know what your vehicle needs before it needs it.
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33:35
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