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Used Car Prices SKYROCKET to RECORD HIGHS | Episode 1073

Used Car Prices SKYROCKET to RECORD HIGHS | Episode 1073

CarEdge Live May 18, 2026 29 min
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About this episode

Used car prices are climbing to record highs, and the hosts connect the surge to tight supply: “there is indeed, and in fact, a used car shortage.” They walk through inventory and listing-price trends, explain how chip-shortage fallout and long vehicle lifespans reduce trade-ins, and compare depreciation and CarMax pricing versus MSRP. The show also tackles affordability and risk, noting higher loan approvals but warning about long terms, negative equity, and dealer add-ons that can inflate the out-the-door price.

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Technical Too Afraid to Ask
Term

used car prices

"Dad. Yes. Used car market. We need to talk about it because that is the title of today's show. Prices are skyrocketing."

Used car prices are what people have to pay for cars that aren’t brand new. If prices jump fast, it usually means there aren’t enough cars available for buyers.

Term

used vehicle inventory

"Used vehicle inventory recovers from record low levels increases in April as sales moderate."

It means how many used cars are sitting on dealer lots or available to buy. If there aren’t many choices, prices usually go up.

Concept

record low inventory leading to higher prices

"Used vehicle inventory recovers from record low levels increases in April as sales moderate... The highest we've ever seen."

When there are fewer used cars available than usual, sellers can charge more. Even if the supply improves a bit, prices may stay high if buyers still want cars.

Term

record low levels

"Used vehicle inventory recovers from record low levels increases in April as sales moderate."

It means the situation is at its worst point in the data they’re looking at. Here, it suggests there were unusually few used cars available, which can raise prices.

Term

average used vehicle listing price

"Average used vehicle listing price. You ready for this? This chart shows you from 2022 to 2026 every single month the average used vehicle listing price."

This is the typical price dealers are asking for used cars. It helps show whether prices are trending up or down in the market.

Concept

seasonality in the used car market

"Now we know there's seasonality in the used car market. This is why it happens from time to time."

Car prices can change depending on the time of year. Sometimes that’s because more cars are for sale at certain times, and buyers are more or less active.

Concept

affordability for new cars and used cars

"One was affordability, both for new cars and used cars. And we started talking about that probably five years ago..."

Affordability is about whether most people can actually afford the prices. When cars get too expensive, buyers may have to stick with older cars longer, which can affect used-car supply and demand.

Concept

used car shortage

"And then the other thing that we talked about was that there is indeed, and in fact, a used car shortage. And that used car shortage because of the 10 to 15 million new vehicles..."

A used car shortage means there aren’t enough used cars for people who want to buy them. When fewer new cars are made, fewer people end up trading in their cars later, so the used-car supply stays low.

Concept

chip shortage

"That used car shortage because of the 10 to 15 million new vehicles that were scheduled to have been built after the pandemic that were not built because of the chip shortage."

Cars need computer chips to be built. When chip supplies were tight, manufacturers couldn’t make as many cars as they planned, which later reduced the number of used cars entering the market.

Concept

trade-ins that didn't happen

"That means there were 10 to 15 million new vehicles globally that didn't get sold, which means that there were trade ins that didn't happen, which means that there were more used cars in the market or less used cars in the market than there should have been."

A trade-in is when you give your old car to the dealer when you buy a newer one. If fewer new cars are available, fewer people trade in their old cars, so there are fewer used cars for sale.

Concept

average length of owner/on road is 12.8 years

"The average length of owner or on road for vehicles today is 12.8 years, 12.8 years. And that's, not going to go down because of those missing used cars that aren't out there."

This is basically how long cars tend to stay in use before they get replaced. If cars last longer, fewer used cars show up for sale, which can raise prices.

Concept

lease returns

"And we have fewer lease returns than we've had, so it is just, it is compounding itself."

When a car lease ends, the car usually comes back and can be sold as a used car. If fewer leases end (or fewer cars come back), there are fewer used cars available, so prices can go up.

Concept

used car pricing spikes

"And as long as that remains the case, we are going to see spikes in used car pricing, asking prices like we saw in April."

When there aren’t many used cars available, sellers can charge more. If fewer people are turning in leased cars, the used-car market gets even tighter, so prices jump.

Car

Ford Got Ford

"...nalysis with you here. Newverse is used. So we've got Ford, Chevy, Toyota, Honda, and Nissan. They're the to..."

The Ford GT is a very fast, special sports car made for performance. It’s not a typical daily driver—it’s more about speed and advanced engineering. Because it’s rare and expensive, it often gets mentioned when people discuss high-end cars.

Brand

Chevy

"Newverse is used. So we've got Ford, Chevy, Toyota, Honda, and Nissan. They're the top selling brands accounting for more than 50% of all used vehicles sold."

Chevy is short for Chevrolet, a car brand. They’re saying Chevy models are among the most common used cars people are buying.

Term

depreciation

" [680.6s] 58% depreciation. That was the thing I wanted to look at here. It's like, how much have these [684.5s] vehicles actually depreciated since they were brand new?"

Depreciation just means the car gets worth less as it gets older. They’re talking about how much value these cars have lost since they were new.

Term

mileage

" [689.8s] nine-year-old Chevy Malibu with 132,000 miles on it that is selling for with $16,000 worth of [699.4s] depreciation... [736.7s] It's got 100,000 miles."

Mileage is how many miles the car has been driven. More miles usually means more wear, which can change the price of a used car.

Car

Chevrolet Malibu

" [689.8s] nine-year-old Chevy Malibu with 132,000 miles on it that is selling for with $16,000 worth of [699.4s] depreciation."

The Chevrolet Malibu is a common everyday sedan. They’re using it as an example of how much a typical used car can drop in value over time.

Car

Chevrolet Equinox

" [703.1s] Sure. Let's go Chevrolet. I'm not going to worry about the model. I don't [708.3s] want 2007. Why not? All right. I want something newer. We'll do this Equinox. Okay. It's coming [715.3s] soon... Oh my God. $17,000, and it already has almost [721.5s] 100,000 miles on it... [729.4s] come on. 43% depreciation."

The Chevrolet Equinox is a compact SUV. They’re using it to show that even fairly newer SUVs can have surprising value changes when you look at mileage and depreciation.

Car

Chevrolet Avalanche

" [742.1s] You want to do this Avalanche? Oh, come on. That's a 19-year-old Avalanche. I mean... [748.3s] Original MS? Oh, dang."

The Chevrolet Avalanche is a pickup-style vehicle. They bring it up as another used-car example while discussing how much different cars have depreciated.

Term

MS

" [748.3s] Original MS? Oh, dang. We don't even have the original MS. I think that's a bomber."

“MS” sounds like they mean the original sticker price a car had when it was new. That sticker price is often used to figure out how much the car has gone down in value.

Car

Toyota RAV4

" [758.0s] Let's do the Toyota. Okay. [763.6s] 2014, RAV4. Yeah. And they're asking $17,500. It's only got 55,000 miles. [771.6s] 43% depreciation on what is that? The 12-year-old Toyota RAV4?"

The Toyota RAV4 is a popular compact SUV. They’re using a 2014 example to show how much (or how little) value it lost compared with its mileage.

Car

Nissan Versa

" [796.6s] Let's make it simple. There's no such thing as an affordable car in this country anymore. [802.4s] Not a decent car. Nissan Versa, Chevy with like a brand new Equinox or..."

The Nissan Versa is a low-cost car model. They mention it to make the point that even the cheaper options aren’t feeling affordable anymore.

Brand

CarMax

"Let's go ahead, Dad, and let's actually come down here dealership. And I want to find the local CarMax. Yes. CarMax of Omaha has what would it say, 42?"

CarMax is a company that sells used cars. The point here is that their prices are usually pretty straightforward, so it’s a good place to compare what used cars cost versus what they originally cost new.

Car

Toyota Sienna XSE

"Do you think this Sienna is selling for more than its original MSRP? It's an XSE. I'm assuming it probably is or very close to original MSRP. Above MSRP. By four grand."

The Toyota Sienna XSE is a specific version of the Sienna minivan. In this discussion, they’re pointing out that a used Sienna can be priced higher than what it cost new, which is unusual and shows how expensive used cars have become.

Term

MSRP

"Do you think this Sienna is selling for more than its original MSRP? It's an XSE... It's 3% below MSRP."

MSRP is the price the car was originally supposed to sell for when it was new. They’re using it as a benchmark to see whether used cars are still selling for close to (or above) that original new price.

Car

Toyota 4Runner

"All right, so let's look at this forerunner. So this is what a seven-year-old Toyota forerunner with 53,000 miles. So low mileage... And they're asking 37. Oh my gosh."

The Toyota 4Runner is a rugged SUV that tends to hold its value. In this segment, they’re using a fairly low-mileage, older 4Runner to show that even used prices can stay close to the original new-car price.

Concept

used car factory

"I mean, since there is no used car factory, perhaps somebody should create one. I don't know. But since there is no used car factory, since we can't order half a million more used cars,"

It’s basically saying there’s no “machine” that can instantly create more used cars. If supply can’t increase, prices tend to stay high.

Concept

car market supply shortage

"But since there is no used car factory, since we can't order half a million more used cars, how is it ever going to ride itself?"

When there aren’t enough used cars available, more people want the same cars. That usually pushes prices up.

Term

electric scooter

"Where... I think scooters and elect... And I'm not trying to be funny. Every now and then I watch HGTV... everybody's on an electric scooter"

An electric scooter is a small scooter you ride that runs on a battery. The point here is that some people may switch to scooters instead of buying a car.

Brand

Vespa

"and everybody's on an electric scooter or a gas powered scooter or a Vespa or something like that."

Vespa is a famous brand of scooter. The host is mentioning it as another option people might use instead of a car.

Term

e-bikes

"there's an incredible poop ton of Vespas and e-bikes and things. And that is, I'm afraid, where we're headed"

E-bikes are regular bikes with a motor that helps you pedal. The host is saying more people may rely on them if cars get too expensive.

Concept

credit more available

"One way to keep the merry-go-round running to make things affordable is make credit more available. And so that's what's interesting"

This means banks are more willing to lend money for car purchases. If more people can get financing, more cars can sell and the market doesn’t stall as much.

Company

Cox Automotive

"is we get these reports once a month from Cox Automotive. How do credit availability"

Cox Automotive is a company that studies the car market using lots of data. Here, they’re used as the source for monthly updates on how easy it is to get auto loans.

Term

credit availability

"How do credit availability inches higher in April, despite pullback and subprime lending? Availability of credit increase."

Credit availability is basically how easy it is to get approved for a car loan. If it’s higher, more people can buy cars, which can push prices up.

Term

approval rate for auto loans

"The approval rate for auto loans rose to 71% in April up from March's lower read of 70.4."

The approval rate is the share of car-loan applications that get accepted. If more people are approved, more cars get bought, and prices can rise.

Concept

year-over-year improvements

"So the most notable year-over-year improvements were an all-new and non-captive new indicating continued strength in the new vehicle segment."

Year-over-year means “compared to the same month last year.” The hosts use it to tell whether the market is improving or weakening versus last year.

Concept

captive finance

"So the most notable year-over-year improvements were an all-new and non-captive new indicating continued strength in the new vehicle segment."

Captive finance refers to financing companies owned or closely tied to an automaker, often used to offer dealer and customer incentives. The segment contrasts “non-captive new” strength with captive channels to interpret where demand and financing are coming from.

Concept

Franchise used

"Franchise used and independent used also posted solid gains while all used improved broadly."

Franchise used cars are used cars sold through brand-affiliated dealerships. Those dealers can have different pricing and financing than independent used-car lots.

Term

CPO

"CPO saw a more modest year-over-year improvement."

CPO means “certified pre-owned.” It’s a used car that’s been checked and usually comes with extra protections compared with a regular used car.

Concept

60 or a 72-month loan

"today, you can probably get a 60 or a 72-month loan for one of those vehicles."

A 60- or 72-month loan means you pay the car off over about 5 to 6 years. That can lower the monthly payment, but it also means you may still owe money even if the car needs expensive repairs.

Term

major repair

"Because when it blows up, okay, when the engine goes or there's a major repair that's necessary, the people that find themselves in those kind of vehicles typically don't have the funds"

A major repair is a big, expensive fix—something that can cost a lot of money. The worry is that if the car breaks and the buyer can’t afford it, the loan can turn into a problem.

Concept

auto loan term length (5-6 year notes on 10-12-year-old cars)

"Okay, because everybody knows if you're financing a 10 or a 12-year-old car for five or six years, everybody knows it... For all the people that sign up for five and six year notes for 10, 11, 12 year old cars..."

They’re pointing out a mismatch: taking out a long loan on an older car. If the car needs big repairs, it can become hard to keep up with payments, which can lead to repossession.

Concept

auto loan approval vs best decision

"So it's really important for our audience dad to know and to be reminded by you that just because you can get approved for an auto loan doesn't necessarily meet its best decision for you and to really do the calculus of new versus used."

Just because a bank says “yes” to a car loan doesn’t mean it’s the smartest choice for your situation. The episode is basically saying you should compare new vs used and think about repair risk, not just approval.

Concept

new versus used "calculus"

"So it's really important for our audience dad to know and to be reminded by you that just because you can get approved for an auto loan doesn't necessarily meet its best decision for you and to really do the calculus of new versus used."

They’re talking about doing a real comparison between buying new and buying used. It’s not just the sticker price—wait times and the chance of costly repairs matter too.

Company

Dealer Transparency Index

"This is why we're so proud of the Dealer Transparency Index. Find an A-rated dealer, work with them instead."

The Dealer Transparency Index appears to be a rating or scoring system used to identify dealers based on how transparent they are with pricing and fees. In this segment, it’s positioned as a way to find an “A-rated” dealer to reduce the risk of surprise add-ons.

Concept

repossession

"Well, you're going to take those people out of the market because they'll never ever be able to buy another car after this one blows up and they get another repossession."

Repossession is when the bank takes the car back because the loan payments aren’t being made. The hosts are saying that happens more easily when an older car suddenly has expensive problems.

Term

private credit

"Month over month, there were fewer loans made to those that have subprime lending or some private credit, which is generally speaking a good thing from a risk perspective."

Private credit is money lent by non-bank lenders. It can have different rules than loans from a regular bank.

Term

subprime lending

"Month over month, there were fewer loans made to those that have subprime lending or some private credit, which is generally speaking a good thing from a risk perspective."

Subprime lending means loans for people with lower credit scores. Lenders see it as riskier, so the terms are often tougher.

Term

basis points

"But the subprime share remains 370 basis points above last year's level, so significantly higher than last year."

Basis points are a way to measure small percentage changes. One basis point is 0.01%, so 100 basis points equals 1%.

Term

loans exceeding 72 months

"There's an all time high in loans exceeding 72 months right now, which is a huge risk for the auto industry... they're almost 30% of loans are more than 72 months right now"

This means the car loan is longer than 6 years. Longer loans can be riskier because you’re paying for the car for a long time.

Term

negative equity

"and combine that with negative equity that is 540 basis points higher this year than it was last year... many people are over $10,000 upside down on their car right now"

Negative equity is when your car is worth less than what you still owe on the loan. If you sell it, the sale price may not pay off the loan.

Company

Edmunds

"We know from Edmunds data that many people are over $10,000 upside down on their car right now, which again, another takeaway..."

Edmunds is a company that tracks car pricing and market information. In this segment, they’re being used as a source for the hosts’ statistics.

Term

upside down

"We know from Edmunds data that many people are over $10,000 upside down on their car right now, which again, another takeaway..."

In car finance, being “upside down” is the everyday way of saying you have negative equity—your loan balance is higher than the vehicle’s current market value. It’s a common reason people struggle to sell or trade cars.

Concept

private individual

"create an auction between dealers in your area to try and see who will pay you the highest price if you want to sell it yourself to a private individual because..."

Selling to a private person means you sell your car directly to another driver, not to a dealership. The hosts say this can sometimes get you a better price.

Concept

auction between dealers

"you could, like I mentioned last week, create an auction between dealers in your area to try and see who will pay you the highest price"

This is when you get several dealers to compete to buy your car. More competition can help you negotiate a higher price.

Term

price transparency

"There is a huge push going on, y'all, for price transparency in the auto industry. Just today, as I was pulling up resources for today's show..."

Price transparency means the dealer shows the real total price clearly, not just a starting number. It helps you compare deals because you can see the extra fees and add-ons too.

Concept

price compliance

"joined Senator Bernie Mourinho and other leading industry voices for the Auto Leadership Summit on Fair Pricing and Compliance."

In the auto industry, “price compliance” refers to following pricing rules and accurately representing what buyers will be charged. The segment frames it as part of broader efforts to ensure dealers don’t mislead shoppers with incomplete or inconsistent pricing.

Term

dock fee

"For example, if I come down here to auto boutique, I can see why they earn their F grade. Their dock fee is $1,298."

A dock fee is an extra dealer charge tied to getting the car to the dealership. It’s usually added on top of the car’s base price, so it can raise the final total.

Term

dealer add-ons

"On 81% of quotes we've received from this dealer, they have add-ons, averaging $647. On average, their quoted price, once you actually ask for the out-the-door price..."

Dealer add-ons are extra charges the dealer adds on top of the car’s price. They can make the final deal cost more than what you first saw online.

Term

out-the-door price

"On average, their quoted price, once you actually ask for the out-the-door price, is 7.3% higher than their online advertised price."

Out-the-door price is the final total you pay to get the car. It includes the car price plus things like taxes and dealer fees, not just the advertised price.

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