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Car Dealers Are DROWNING in Inventory: Market Update 2026 | Episode 995

Car Dealers Are DROWNING in Inventory: Market Update 2026 | Episode 995

CarEdge Live Jan 06, 2026 28 min
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About this episode

Car dealers are facing a significant inventory crisis as new vehicle sales are projected to decline in 2026. The episode discusses insights from Cox Automotive, highlighting a shift towards a buyer's market, particularly for affluent consumers. The hosts debate the impact of inventory levels on sales strategies, with Ford showing growth in entry-level models while other manufacturers struggle. The conversation also touches on the importance of pre-purchase inspections and the contrasting fortunes of brands like Nissan and General Motors in navigating this challenging market landscape.

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Technical Too Afraid to Ask
Concept

fleet sales

"...fleet sales have been kind of the buoy for auto manufacturers and it seems like maybe they've tapped into that a little bit too much. So you've got fleet sales expected to fall 6%..."

Fleet sales are when companies or government organizations buy many cars at once instead of just one at a time. This can help car manufacturers sell more vehicles quickly.

Brand

Stellantis

"...to take any more of the stagnant, stellantis and Nissan product off of those manufacturers' hands."

Stellantis is a big car company that makes many different brands of cars, like Jeep and Chrysler. It was created when two car companies joined together.

Concept

retail sales

"Now, dad, the expectation for retail used vehicle sales, you see it there as well, is year over year decline in retail sales as expected..."

Retail sales are when regular people buy cars from dealerships instead of businesses buying many cars at once. It's how most people get their cars.

Concept

affordability pressure

"...as expected as to your point, affordability pressure sustains demand for lower priced vehicles."

Affordability pressure is when people find it hard to buy cars because they are too expensive. This makes them look for cheaper cars instead.

Concept

hybrid sales

"So again, record hybrid sales, entry-level trim growth,"

Hybrid sales are about cars that use both gasoline and electricity to run, which helps save fuel and reduce pollution.

Car

Ford Maverick

"...on the Maverick Ranger and Bronco Sport rose 41% in the fourth quarter. The Maverick in particular had a strong year..."

The Ford Maverick is a small truck that is easy to drive and park, making it a good choice for people who want a truck without the bulk. It was first sold in 2021 and is known for being budget-friendly.

Car

Ford Bronco Sport

"...on the Maverick Ranger and Bronco Sport rose 41% in the fourth quarter..."

The Ford Bronco Sport is a smaller SUV designed for people who like outdoor activities and off-roading. It looks tough and can handle rough terrain.

Car

Ford Ranger

"...ed sales of the entry-level trims on the Maverick Ranger and Bronco Sport rose 41% in the fourth quarter."
Car

Ford Escape

"...but I also know that Ford dropped the escape."

The Ford Escape is a small SUV that many people use for everyday driving and family needs.

Car

Ford F150 Lightning

"Well, they also got rid of the F-150 Lightning. So, you can look at just one side of the equation here, but I actually give a lot of credit to Ford."

The Ford F-150 Lightning is an electric version of the popular Ford F-150 truck. It's designed to be environmentally friendly while still being useful for work and everyday tasks.

Term

prior model year inventory

"as these dealers try and sell down prior model year inventory."

Prior model year inventory means cars that were made in earlier years but haven't been sold yet. Dealers often try to sell these older models at lower prices to clear out space for new cars.

Term

2025 models

"if they are interested in those remaining new 2024 and 2025 models to be able to get some sizable discounts."

2025 models are cars that will be made for the year 2025. They will have new features and styles compared to older models.

Term

2024 models

"if they are interested in those remaining new 2024 and 2025 models to be able to get some sizable discounts."

2024 models are new cars that are made for the year 2024. They often have the newest styles and technology.

Term

incentives

"Will there be incentives? I'm pretty sure."

Incentives are discounts or special deals that car companies offer to help sell their cars. They can make buying a car cheaper or easier.

Car

Nissan Rogue

"You can see here, Dad, Nissan's best-selling model was the Rogue or is the Rogue, yet sales fell 11% year over year."

The Nissan Rogue is a small SUV that many people like because it has a lot of room inside and is safe to drive. It's a good option for families or anyone needing extra space.

Car

Toyota Rav4

"...ll 11% year over year. Now, at the same time, the RAV4 and the CRV both posted strong gains."

The Toyota RAV4 is a type of vehicle called an SUV, which stands for Sport Utility Vehicle. It's known for being practical and comfortable, making it a great choice for families or anyone who needs extra space for passengers and cargo.

Term

compact crossover SUV

"...The Nissan Rogue is a compact crossover SUV known for its spacious interior..."

A compact crossover SUV is a type of vehicle that is bigger than a regular car but smaller than a full-size SUV. They are great for families because they have more room and are easier to drive.

Term

MSRP

"...the MSRP is $43,650, the dealer's advertising it..."

MSRP is the price that the car maker suggests the dealer should sell the car for. It's like a guideline for how much the car should cost.

Term

dealer advertising price

"...the dealer's advertising it for $35,150."

The dealer advertising price is how much the dealership is saying the car costs. Sometimes it's lower than the price suggested by the car maker.

Term

out-the-door price

"let's see what the actual out-the-door price is from this dealership."

The out-the-door price is the final amount you pay for a car, including taxes and fees. It tells you exactly how much money you'll need to spend to drive the car home.

Term

invoice price

"Let's go back and just peek really quickly. What was the invoice price on this? $41,290."

The invoice price is what the car dealer pays to get the car from the manufacturer. Knowing this can help you negotiate a better price when buying a car.

Company

General Motors

"about General Motors, Dad, oh, it's down here, dealership inventory,"

General Motors is a big car company that makes many different types of vehicles, including trucks and SUVs.

Concept

dealership inventory

"oh, it's down here, dealership inventory, which includes vehicles in transit"

Dealership inventory is the number of cars that a car dealership has ready to sell. It includes cars that are already on the lot and those that are on their way to the dealership.

Term

vehicles in transit

"which includes vehicles in transit that climb 19% year over year"

Vehicles in transit are cars that are on their way to a dealership but haven't arrived yet. They are part of the dealership's total inventory.

Term

year over year

"that climb 19% year over year to 486,000 at the end of December."

Year over year means comparing something from this year to the same time last year to see if it has grown or shrunk.

Concept

tighter inventory

"So GM is trying to follow the Toyota Playbook a little bit, tighter inventory, increasing the sales obviously."

Tighter inventory means having fewer cars available for sale, which can make them seem more desirable and help the dealership sell them faster.

Term

dealer fees

"...on what happens with this Nissan dealership advertising a vehicle $9,000 below MSRP. We'll see what it actually is."

Dealer fees are extra costs that a dealership might charge when you buy a car. These can include things like paperwork or preparation fees, and they can add up quickly.

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